Interregional Migration Research Articles

Interregional Migration of Youth in the Russian Federation

The subject of the study is interregional migration of young people in the Russian Federation during the period of obtaining higher education; The topic of the study is the change in the migration attractiveness of regions for higher education; research hypothesis: there has been a change in the centers of gravity of migration flows and the status of regions from 2017 to 2020 and 2023 due to the impact of the pandemic and government measures to increase the attractiveness of universities in the regions. Source data includes official government statistics for the period from 2017 to 2023. The article identifies limitations on the use of this source (migration of 18-year-olds and migration of 21-year-olds is not identical to direct and return educational migration) and formulates a thesis about the need to use aggregated data of «digital traces» of applicants and graduates and federal information systems. An assessment of changes in the status of regions for 2017, 2020 and 2023 was carried out. The study makes assumptions about the possibility of using tools for objective monitoring of interregional educational migration of applicants to improve the work of universities. It is necessary to concentrate the efforts of the regional authorities of the «donor» region and the regional university community on first obtaining «transit» status for the university and the region, followed by transition to the «acceptor» category. For 2017, the author identified 12 «acceptor» territories, 59 «donor territories» (the rest were mixed and intermediate forms). In 2020, there were only 30 «donors», 12 «acceptors», 37– they reached conditional «balance» positions– this is how the COVID-2019 pandemic affected interregional migration. In 2023, there were 12 «acceptors» in the Russian Federation (the list has changed slightly), the number of «donors» was 46, 21 territories reached a «balance» state, the rest still belong to intermediate types.

Analysis of multiple gravitational influences on interregional population migration in South Korea

ABSTRACT Migration is the result of complex interactions between different socio-economic factors in different areas. This study analyses the multiple gravitational influences on interregional migration in South Korea. Spatial econometric models are employed to incorporate spatial interactions between multiple socio-economic gravitational influences into spatial weight matrices. Using Bayesian posterior probabilities to evaluate models incorporating different gravitational influences, this study finds that the primary driver of migration is the difference in human capital conditions between areas. Furthermore, it suggests that the simultaneous consideration of differences in both economic and human capital conditions across areas increases the attractiveness of certain areas for migration.

Welcome back! The impact of ‘return initiatives’ on return migration to rural regions

Abstract This article studies the effect of return initiatives in rural regions of Germany on interregional return migration. The initiatives aim to increase return migration by, amongst other things, providing information on local employment opportunities and personal support to workers interested in returning to find a job in the former rural region of residence. Analysing administrative data on individual labour market trajectories through survival analysis and difference-in-differences estimation, we find that return initiatives, on average, promote interregional return migration. Among the considered workers, particularly those in the middle and at the top of the wage distribution are more likely to return.

Labour shortage in industrial regions of russia: can interregional migration help mitigate the problem?

The article is devoted to the study of the possibilities of using the mechanism of interregional migration to mitigate the problem of labour shortage in the industrial regions of Russia. The object of the study is old industrial regions as a special type of industrial territories. It is concluded that in modern conditions interregional migration is not capable of having a positive impact on the functioning of regional labour markets in old industrial regions. It is shown that there is a reserve for increasing the level of wages in the manufacturing industries of the old industrial regions of Russia. Measures of a tactical and strategic nature are proposed to help increase the attractiveness of old industrial regions for internal migrants.

Effects of interregional migration: determinants, intersectoral links, and economic effects

Effects of interregional migration: determinants, intersectoral links, and economic effects

Dynamics of a susceptible-infected-recovered model on complex networks with interregional migration.

We present a susceptible-infected-recovered model based on a dynamic flow network that describes the epidemic process on complex metapopulation networks. This model views population regions as interconnected nodes and describes the evolution of each region using a system of differential equations. The next-generation matrix method is used to derive the global basic reproduction number for three cases: a general network with homogeneous infection rates in all regions, a fully connected network, and a star network with heterogeneous infection and recovery rates. For the homogeneous case, we show that this global basic reproduction number is independent of the migration rates between regions. However, the rate of convergence of each region to an equilibrium state exhibits a much larger variance in random (Erdős-Rényi) networks compared to small-scale (Barabási-Albert) networks. For the general heterogeneous case, we report interesting results, namely that the global basic reproduction number decays exponentially with respect to the smallest nonzero Laplacian eigenvalue (algebraic connectivity). Furthermore, we demonstrate both analytically and numerically that as the network's algebraic connectivity increases, either by increasing the average node degree of each region or the global migration rate, the global basic reproduction number decreases and converges to the ratio of the average local infection rate to the average local recovery rate, meaning that the lower bound of the global basic reproduction rate does not equal the mean of local basic reproduction rates.

Does Climate Variability Influence Internal Migration Flows in Senegal? An Empirical Analysis

This paper aims to estimate the total effect of climate variability on interregional migration flows in Senegal. We match regional climate data at origin, represented by normalised rainfall and normalised temperatures (maximum and minimum), with regional migration flow data from Senegal’s Agence Nationale de la Statistique et de la Démographie (ANSD) censuses to construct a panel database covering the five-yearly internal migration waves of 1976, 1988, 2001 and 2013. Using a gravity equation model where migration flows are explained by measures of climatic variability at origin, controlled for geographical, socioeconomic and demographic factors traditionally identified in the literature. Our results show that only negative precipitation anomalies at the origin area act as a push factor and accelerate emigration. In the predominantly agricultural regions, rainfall deficits appear, alongside traditional socioeconomic variables, as an additional significant factor shaping mobility across the country.

Job Loss and Migration: Do Family Connections Matter?

Abstract This paper utilizes administrative employer–employee data to analyze the effect of job loss on interregional migration and to study how family connections, related to childhood family members and birth region preferences, shape these location choices. The results reveal that job loss due to establishment closures increases the probability of interregional migration by nearly 80 %. While local family member connections and birth region preferences pose substantial obstacles to moving, they do not necessarily lead to relocation in response to job loss. Instead, displaced workers tend to migrate to non-birth regions where they have no observed family member connections, although higher economic gains in these regions may partly offset the loss of utility resulting from these factors.

Modelling and Forecasting Interregional Migration for Multiregional Population Projections

In this paper we focus on modelling and forecasting gross interregional migration in a way that can be embedded within multiregional population projections. We revisit, and apply, a family of spatial interaction models first formulated during the 1970s. The classic gravity model—in which migration is positively related to the populations of sending and receiving areas, but inversely related to various types of spatial friction associated with migrating between them—is a special case that is nested within this family of models. We investigate which member of the family of models gives the best fit when modelling five-year migration flows between the 66 Territorial Authorities (TAs) of Aotearoa New Zealand, using 2013 and 2018 census data. We find that predicting migration between two TAs can be improved by taking into account, firstly, an index of the ‘draw’ from all other TAs when modelling out-migration of any TA and, secondly, an index of the ‘competitiveness’ of a TA vis-à-vis all other TAs when modelling in-migration of any TA. We highlight the properties of the statistically-preferred model by simulating the impact on internal migration of an exogenous increase in Auckland’s population. In this model, such a population change affects not only migration flows from and to Auckland, but also migration between other TAs. The usefulness of this approach for population projections is assessed by forecasting the 2013–18 migration matrix by means of 2013 census data only. In this specific case, the model outperforms the classic gravity model in terms of forecasting gross migration, but not net migration.

‘Get back to where you once belonged’? Effects of skilled internal migration on Italian regional green growth

The paper investigates the effects of internal migration on green growth in Italian regions. We use employment in "sustainable" sectors to measure green growth, resorting to a novel measure based on the EU taxonomy for sustainable activities. Using data from 103 Italian regions (NUTS3) from 2008 to 2018, we find that highly skilled interregional migrants are positively related to green employment in their destinations. The effect is possibly due to return migrants to the Southern regions. Overall, the evidence emphasizes the importance of human capital migration in sustainable development.

Social capital and internal migrant entrepreneurship: Evidence from urban China

The increasing flow of interregional migration can lead to the reconstruction of social capital. Unlike international migrants who tend to engage in enclave entrepreneurship, internal migrants are dispersed in host regions and experience the dual dynamic of alienation from their original social networks as well as integration into new societies. Using data collected from the China Migrants Dynamic Survey (CMDS), we examine different dimensions of social capital and their effects on migrant entrepreneurship. The results demonstrate that both enclave relationships from preexisting networks and the local identity newly established in host cities have a significant positive effect on migrant entrepreneurial activities. By distinguishing self-employment from entrepreneurial activities, the two dimensions of social capital exert significant influence on employer-based entrepreneurial activities, while local identity fails to promote the impact on urban migrants. Our study calls for a nuanced and situatedness understanding of social capital and migrant entrepreneurship.

Gypsum alleviates pneumonia via the gut–lung axis by mediating ILC2 compartmental migration

IntroductionBacterial pneumonia is a common lower respiratory tract infectious disease. Gypsum, a type of calcium sulfate mineral, primarily consists of calcium sulfate and contains trace amounts of other metallic elements. In traditional Chinese medicine, gypsum has been widely applied, possessing effects such as heat-clearing, detoxification, cooling blood, arresting bleeding, reducing swelling, and alleviating pain. The purpose of this study was to investigate the mechanism of gypsum inhibition of Streptococcus pneumoniae -induced pneumonia by mediating interregional migration of ILC2 through the gut-lung axis. MethodsNormal pneumonia model was induced by Streptococcus pneumoniae, and pseudo-sterile mouse model was established using broad-spectrum antibiotics. The influence of gypsum on the intestinal flora was analyzed using 16S rDNA. Flow cytometry was used to analyze the typing and content of ILC2 in mouse mesenteric lymph nodes and lung tissues. The expression levels of inflammatory cytokines and specific targets associated with immune migration were assessed using ELISA, RT-qPCR, and western blotting methods. And the effects of gypsum on mucosal barrier using IHC. ResultsGypsum effectively alleviates pulmonary inflammation in mice with pneumonia. Gypsum restores the gut microbiota in mice with Streptococcus pneumoniae and gypsum can regulate the expression of miR-155, miR-146a, IL-25, and S1P, promoting the migration of intestinal ILC2s to the lungs. Finally promotes type 2 immunity, alleviating pneumonia and restore lung mucosal barrier. DiscussionOur study contributes to the understanding of gypsum's function in treating infectious pulmonary conditions. Its mechanism involves remedying gut dysbiosis and initiating ILC2 migration, culminating in decreased lung inflammation and enhanced mucosal immunity in the lungs.

Spatial spillover effects of skilled migration on innovation in China

Despite the importance of interregional skilled migration to regional development, few studies have explored its spatial spillover effects and their changes over time. Thus, employing the Spatial Durbin Model, we investigate the presence of regional spillovers of skilled migration at both national and sub-national levels in China. Especially, we focus on the regional difference and change in the spatial spillover. Although our results confirm positive spillover effects at the national level due to the strong mobility characteristic of skilled migrants, developed regions benefit more from spillovers of skilled migration than developing regions, and such effects are divergent in different regions over time. Our findings also indicate that changes in spatial spillovers among regions are closely associated with the mobility of economic factors in geography. Theoretically, by considering the spatial effects of skilled migration on the innovation output of recipient regions, we extend the labour economics literature into geographical economic agglomeration, especially innovation economic geography. Methodologically, we examine the spatial effects at both national and sub-national levels, and capture the spatial externalities; we also apply Maximum Likelihood estimation to assess the endogeneity issues to understand the mechanisms of spillover change over time. The study can be of significance for municipalities in the policy-making of attracting talents and promoting regional innovation.

Regulation of labor migration in rural areas

Goal – the article examines the process of outflow of highly qualified specialists from rural areas, its reasons, since this trend is relevant for the Republic of Kazakhstan and the world community. Methods – retrospective analysis, demographic and economic statistics, index, graphic, comparisons and generalizations. Results – the main directions of Kazakhstan’s migration policy are considered. The authors analyzed data on the number and share of the urban and rural population in the republic, based on statistics. The balance of interregional migration is presented, since demographic and economic results affect the economy regardless of its level of development. Conclusions – attention is focused on the process of urbanization in the context of globalization, which negatively affects the number of rural residents. Internal migration is interconnected with international migration, the possibility of moving to other states. Currently, migration processes in the country have undergone changes, due to the transformation of values and migration factors, which represent specific results of the current stage of socio-economic and political development of Kazakhstan, which is confirmed by analytical information from 2013 to 2023. Government measures, reflected in resettlement programs, are aimed at stimulating national economy, quantitative transformations of the ethnic composition in the receiving areas, as well as modifications in the structure of labor market. Current issues of labor migration: labor shortage, natural and migration population decline. Tracking these indicators is difficult due to the unorganized labor market, labor intensity of this work and the need for significant financial resources.

Internal Migration in Nepal: Resilience to Departure and Host Area

The present study aims to explain the current situation of internal migration and resilience. It is based on secondary sources of information. Mixed method is used to depict the complex scenario of inter-regional migration. Internal migration is a common phenomenon in Nepalese social history. It is generally attributed to poverty, low income, scarce fertile land, lack of opportunity, disparity of population distribution and resources. The unnatural flow of population from hilly to Tarai and rural to urban areas is an issue of study. Migration creates an unprecedented challenge to modern society. The resilience of society either to the host area or the place of departure being painful. The issue of mobility of the people generates disparities of population distribution and resources. Due to uncontrolled movement of people either temporarily or permanently, balanced social and cultural issues are being destroyed and several complexities are emerging. Ancient migration pattern was guided by the scarcity of food and security. Current migration issues are governed by the luxuries of life. Over pressure of population in Tarai and urban areas and dearth of people in hilly region creates havoc in life of both the places.

Factor model of the health of the Russian population in the border areas

The subject of the study included significant conditions and factors for maintaining health in the context of ensuring the demographic security of Russian society. The object of the study was the national health of Russians and its regional specifics. Methodological approaches included a civilizational approach to the analysis of global and regional social, economic, behavioral determinants of health and population motivation for health-saving technologies. A secondary analysis of the phenomenon of national health in the context of modern humanitarian research is presented. The novelty of the study is based on the analysis of regional practices of the population in relation to their health, the structure of morbidity, factors and reasons motivating the population to take care of their health and lead a healthy lifestyle. Behavioral models of the population's attitude towards health and a healthy lifestyle are described; the structure of diseases in the population of border areas was analyzed. The specifics of motivation to preserve health through employer investments are described. It was concluded that there are regional specificities that determine the quality of public health and, in some cases, provoke specific “medical” interregional and external migration (for example, the opportunity to change place of residence to improve medical care). The health of employees of an enterprise of any form of ownership is a decisive reproductive component of human capital. In the conditions of the modern world, the permanent experience of the socio-economic and financial crisis, the transformation of values, the population is expected to significantly adapt to the changed conditions of society. All of this requires optimal levels of health and vitality. In this context, health is essential for the full and effective implementation of educational or professional activities.

Interregional Labor Migration and Its Role in Shaping Economic Growth: A Case Study of Casual Worker Migrants in Indonesia

Purpose: This study analyzed the determinants and impacts of casual migrant workers that was conducted in East Java, which is known as one of highest economic growth area in Indonesia and experiencing a higher influx of migrants compared to migrants leaving the region. Design/Methodology/Approach: This study employs the two-step heckman method. The sample consists of workers who engaged in interregional migration within East Java on 2015. The sample was selected based on characteristics that align with the research requirements, extracted from secondary data derived from the 2015 inter-census population survey. The data type used is cross-sectional data. Findings: The research findings indicate that significant determinants of casual migrant workers are migrants of non-productive age, male migrants, migrants with non-bachelor's/diploma, unmarried migrants, migrants without family under 5 years old, migrants originating from predominantly wooden/board/earthen floors, migrants from higher minimum wage regions than the destination, non-metropolitan city migrants, and migrants from areas with a lower poverty rate than destination region, which are more likely to move and become migrants. The results for the significant impact of casual migrant workers on the economic sector are influenced by casual migrant workers originating from non-metropolitan city regions, which contribute the most to the destination region's GRDP. Research, practical & social implications: This study formulates policy strategies that can be employed by government to enhance the quality of human resources and expand employment opportunities, particularly for casual migrant workers, as an endeavor to boost economic growth in the destination regions of migration.

Внутрирегиональная и межрегиональная миграция населения Сибири: сравнительный анализ Иркутской, Томской областей и Красноярского края

The article focuses on the analysis of intraregional migration processes in Tomsk and Irkutsk Oblasts and Krasnoyarsk Krai. The aim of the article is the observation of trends and consequences of the interregional and intraregional migration processes in three Siberian territories. The basis of this study is the migration statistic data in Irkutsk and Tomsk Oblasts and Krasnoyarsk Krai. The authors use data that were both published in open access and obtained on individual request from the Russian Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat). Migration statistics was analyzed by means of authors’ statistic calculations and visualization of these data by mapping the information. The migration situation in the Siberian regions is analyzed in the following steps: comparison of indicators and coefficients of migration growth/loss of interregional movements to identify the most and least intensive and productive migration connections of the regions; comparison of the coefficients of migration growth/loss of intraregional migrations to identify the main migration trends – donor-territories and recipient-territories within the regions; comparison of indicators and coefficients of migration intensity to identify the territories of the region with the most and least movable population. The data of intraregional migrations are the basis for the mapping of these processes. The comparison of data on interregional and intraregional migration in relation to the identification of centers of attraction and migration donors on a regional scale allowed identifying common patterns and regional specifics of these processes, as well as key migration trends and territories that are most actively involved in migration exchange. These approaches ensured the comparison of migration situation in three regions. The authors ascertain trends of sustainable population outflow from rural areas to large cities and concentration of intraregional migrants in cities of regional or district administration. Taking into account the movement of people to the central and southern regions of the country, described through the western shift concept, presumably, the intraregional migration trends that repeat directions of interregional migration flows can create extra conditions for negative migration processes in these regions. The results of the study allowed formulating a hypothesis about the correlation of the role of interregional and intraregional migration for the social and demographic development of Tomsk and Irkutsk Oblasts and Krasnoyarsk Krai.

GEOGRAPHY OF MIGRATIONS IN POPULATION OF UKRAINE: CONSEQUENCES OF RUSSIAN AGGRESSION

Population migrations (causes, regions of departure/arrival, directions, scope, intensity, and consequences) are predefined by economic, social, political, inter-confessional, interethnic, ecological and other factors. Problems of migration in Ukraine have become specifically painful under the conditions of russia’s war aggression and its invasion of the sovereign state of Ukraine in 2014. It was in the pre-war peaceful period (2006–2013) that migration flows in Ukraine became stable both quantitatively and in aspects of their major directions. The majority of regions (25 of 27) showed a positive interstate balance of population. Interregional migrants were attracted by 7 regions (City of Kyiv and Kyiv Oblast, Kharkiv Oblast, Odesa Oblast, City of Sevastopol, Autonomous Republic of Crimea, and Chernivtsi Oblast), while 20 regions had a negative balance of this type of migration. In the conditions of russia’s hybrid war against Ukraine (2014–2021), the interstate migration balance was still positive, but its volume was down by 30% (with no figures available for the temporarily occupied territories). The disproportion between the figures of interregional migration available for oblasts grew (in comparison to the pre-war period) 1,6 times. The Kyiv Oblast and the City of Kyiv, together with the Kharkiv, Odesa, Dnipropetrovsk, Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk oblasts, have become the most attractive localities for migrants from other Ukrainian regions. Significant growth was observed in interregional migrants who departed from the localities of direct combat activity (Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizzia, and Kherson oblasts). A new category of forced migrants—internally displaced persons—appeared. The russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine (beginning on February 24, 2022) has resulted in the occurrence of substantial forced migration flows. The war has brought an increase in the number of refugees, internally displaced persons, temporarily protected persons (when abroad), forcibly transferred persons (to Russia), etc. The directions and the scale of migration flows depend on the geography of the hostilities. Spatial specificities of interstate and interregional migrations in the population of Ukraine are defined for the prewar period, the period of russia’s hybrid war against Ukraine (2014–2021), and the full-scale russian-Ukrainian war (beginning on February 24, 2022). The scope and the directions of migrant departures/arrivals are disclosed, as well as their effect on the dynamics of population number in Ukraine and its regions.

ДИНАМИКА ЧИСЛЕННОСТИ И ТЕНДЕНЦИИ МИГРАЦИИ МОЛОДЕЖИ НОВГОРОДСКОЙ ОБЛАСТИ: ИЗМЕНЕНИЯ ЗА ПОСЛЕДНИЕ ГОДЫ

The article, based on demographic statistics, analyzes the dynamics of the number of youths aged 14 to 34 years in the Novgorod region from 2018 to 2023. The topic of demographic reproduction of youth has recently acquired relevance, since during this period there has been a decrease in the number of youths in the region, which tends to increase in the near future. One of the mechanisms for maintaining the number of young people is the migration of high school stu-dents and young professionals to the region as part of interregional and international migration. Therefore, the purpose of the work is to study the demographic development, scale and direction of migration movements of youth groups in the Novgorod region. Youth migration data over the past three years show an increase in the number of young people aged 15-24 arriving in the region. However, the scale of negative migration growth in the age groups of 25-29 years and 30-34 years, recorded in 2022, raises concerns. A comparison of interregional and international youth migration flows makes it possible to rank them, from which it can be seen that the former significantly pre-dominate in the region over the latter. Another of the tasks set in the work is to analyze the dynam-ics of the population group under 14 years of age, since in the near future it will be precisely this that will influence the demographic processes in the youth group as a whole. From a comparative analysis of the children's group, it is clear that within it there are subgroups with differently directed demographic processes - the numerical decline of some and growth of other groups. The data obtained during the study can become the basis for developing models for predicting the process of youth migration in the region, as well as a topic for expert discussion of the complex impact of demographic processes on the education system and labor market in the region. To realize the pos-itive potential of educational and labor migration, the author proposes to concentrate on research activities to analyze groups of youth, the number of which will decline in the coming years.