Organization of Industrial Construction of Nuclear Power Plants in the Global Market, Taking into Account Reliability Modeling at Pre-investment Stages

Abstract

The problems of managing the organizational reliability of the pre-investment phase of the industrial construction of nuclear power plants in global markets have been investigated. The relevance of the topic is determined by the great uncertainty in the implementation of international investment projects of nuclear power plants. This is confirmed by the facts of construction delays and an increase in costs by more than 60% of nuclear reactors under construction in the world.Purpose of research: development of methodological approaches and practical recommendations for modeling and integrated management of organizational reliability indicators of industrial construction of nuclear power plants in the global market at pre-investment stages.Methods: a set of systematic methodological approaches based on methods of comparison, analysis, synthesis, modeling, forecasting, expert assessments, mathematical statistics, economic and mathematical modeling, factorial, situational and retrospective analysis, scenario method, morphological and logical analysis.Results: the author's methodology for modeling organizational reliability and the structure of the life cycle of industrial construction of nuclear power plants; features and development trends of this type of industrial construction; recommendations in the field of industrial construction organization to increase the reliability of NPP construction based on a controlled factor space and multi-criteria optimization of calendar schedules.Conclusion. The studies performed have confirmed the relevance of studying the subject of research associated with solving the problem of increasing the organizational reliability of industrial construction of nuclear power plants in global markets, formed and managed at the pre-investment stages of planning these types of investment projects. At the same time, the main result of these studies can be considered as an increase in the competitiveness of the Russian divisions of Rosatom State Corporation in the international market with an increase in its current share of 26% (130 billion US dollars) to 40-50% for the period up to 2035.