ОРГАНИЗАЦИОННО-ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКАЯ НАДЕЖНОСТЬ СТРОИТЕЛЬСТВА ОБЪЕКТОВ АТОМНОЙ ЭНЕРГЕТИКИ НА ГЛОБАЛЬНЫХ РЫНКАХ АЭС НА ПРЕДИНВЕСТИЦИОННЫХ ЭТАПАХ

Abstract

The problems of ensuring the growth of the export potential of investment projects of nuclear power plants in the global markets of nuclear and energy construction by modeling and managing the organizational and economic reliability of their life cycles at the preinvestment phase are investigated. The relevance of this topic is determined by a significant level of uncertainty in the field of reliability of the imp- lementation of international investment projects of nuclear power plants, when more than 60% of nuclear reactors in the world are being built with a delay in construction and with an increase in costs. The aim of the research is to develop methodological approaches and practical re- commendations for modeling and integrated management of indicators of organizational and economic reliability of the construction of nuclear power facilities in the global NPP market at pre-investment stages. The article demonstrates the scientific results: a methodology for modeling the organizational and economic reliabi- lity of the life cycle of industrial construction of nuclear power plants; features and development trends of this type of industrial construction in the global NPP market; recommendations in the field of investment management of indust- rial construction to increase the organizational and economic reliability of NPP construction based on a controlled factor space and multicriteria optimization of calendar schedules. The investigated conceptual approach in the field of modeling and managing the organizational and economic reliability of the life cycles of industrial construction and operation of nuclear power plants in global markets is defined as a promising market tool for increasing the competitiveness of Russian divisions of Rosatom State Corporation. This implies ensuring the growth of industrial construction of nuclear power plants on the international market from the current share of Rosatom State Corporation of 26% (130 billion US dollars) to 40–50% for the period up to 2035, by increasing the organizational and economic reliability of the implementation of these types investment projects.