Trade Winds Research Articles

Impact of the ENSO phenomenon on wave variability in the Pacific Ocean for wind sea and swell waves

Using wave data from 1960 to 1990 from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis ERA-40 dataset and the ERA-5 reanalysis dataset (1990–2018), this paper presents a comprehensive study on the spatial and temporal variability of wind sea wave height (Hw), swell wave height (Hsw) and mixed significant wave height (Hs) in the Pacific during the warm (El Niño) and cold (La Niña) ENSO phases. The main findings show that During DJF, the Hsw is dominated by strong winds and large waves from extratropical cyclones in the North Pacific, especially from 1960 to 1990. However, from 1990–2018 these maximum values extend into the subtropical crest of the Pacific Ocean and the southeast trade winds increase during La Niña. The annual cycle of Hw, Hsw and Hs for specific points located from the west center toward the east center along the equatorial Pacific for the analyzed decades show a strong transition in the locations of the maximum and minimum values during the year. In this sense, the eastern point is more highly influenced by the swell systems that flow from the northwest and southwest of the southern hemisphere associated with the intensification of winds during the occurrence of La Niña. It is therefore not possible to determine a single period of maximum and minimum values. During the decades of 1990–2018, the difference in swell wave height during La Niña compared to El Niño increased throughout the year compared to 1960–1990. During the 1960–1990 period, the maximum values were detected in JJA for both El Niño and La Niña in an area that extends from Perú and ends toward the eastern center of the Colombian Pacific Basin.

Whither warming in the Galápagos?

The Galápagos Islands play host to an iconic ecosystem—a UNESCO World Heritage Site and the second largest marine reserve in the world, home to several endangered species. The waters off the west coast of the Galápagos are also one of the few places in the world ocean that are presently cooling, with potentially significant ecological consequences of this local reprieve from global warming. Here I show, using a recently developed high-resolution ocean state estimate, that the observed cooling in the Galápagos is the result of a strengthening of the wind-driven equatorial ocean circulation. An acceleration and shift of the Equatorial Undercurrent, which can be attributed to a strengthening of the cross-equatorial component of the trade wind in response to the interhemispheric gradient in surface warming, leads to a 54% increase in upwelling velocity along the western Galápagos Islands as well as increased shear-induced mixing. Analogous to other so-called “cold blobs,” such as the one south of Greenland in the North Atlantic, this is an early and important sentinel of a broader change in the tropical ocean circulation. Thus far, and for perhaps the very near future, the western shores of the Galápagos appear to offer refuge from some of the deleterious impacts of anthropogenic climate change including suppressed upwelling and surface warming.

Local and remote forcing on the interannual variations of the sedimentary δ15N in Santa Barbara Basin during the past 80 years

Sedimentary nitrogen isotope (δ15Nsed) in Santa Barbara Basin (SBB) has been mostly interpreted as the record of the eastern tropical North Pacific (ETNP) intermediate water denitrification process. Nevertheless, debate remains regarding sources and control mechanisms of δ15Nsed signal in SBB. Multi-proxy analyses including δ15Nsed, total organic carbon (TOC), total nitrogen (TN), C/N ratio, and marine biomarkers were performed on a 46-cm sediment core (SBB-190629) collected from SBB in 2019. The core was dated with varve counting and 210Pb dating method, showing a depositional history of 1938–2019 CE with a sedimentation rate of 0.564 cm/year. The findings show that the δ15Nsed record (at ~0.25-year resolution) ranges from 6.24‰ to 7.43‰, which was affected by both local and remote forcing. The long-term variations of the SBB δ15Nsed signature show a general decreasing trend from 1940 to the late 1980s, low values during 1980~2000, and an increase afterward, which is thought to reflect changes in ETNP denitrification induced by the strength of tropical trade winds. Our results also reveal a series of abrupt annual to multiannual changes, superimposed on the long-term variation mentioned above. The SBB local δ15N signal (Δδ15NSBB) is accessed by using the deviation from the mean δ15N (Δδ15N) of SBB-190629 to subtract the Δδ15N of the ETNP. The Δδ15NSBB record compares well with redox-sensitive proxies (Re/Mo ratio and C29 stanol/stenol ratio) from the SBB bottom water and with the OCmarine content calculated based on the C/N ratio mixing model, indicating that the Δδ15NSBB is mainly controlled by bottom water denitrification, which was induced by the change of upwelling intensity and marine productivity. Since various climatic factors (e.g., El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO)) have different impacts on the upwelling intensity (hence the marine productivity and denitrification) in SBB on different timescales, the influence of combined climatic factors on SBB denitrification is time dependent.

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Organization Development in Precipitating Shallow Cumulus Convection: Evolution of Turbulence Characteristics

Abstract Horizontal organization or mesoscale variability is an important mechanism in the interaction of the boundary layer with the large-scale conditions. The development of organization in a precipitating cumulus trade wind boundary layer is studied using large-eddy simulations with extensive horizontal domains, up to 160 × 160 km2 and fine grid resolution (40 m). The cloud fields vary between different computational domain sizes. Mean profiles and vertical velocity statistics do not vary significantly, both with respect to the domain size and when large-scale organization develops. Turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) rapidly increases when organization develops. The increase of TKE is attributed to the horizontal component, whereas the vertical velocity variance does not change significantly. The large computational domains blend the boundary between local convective circulations and mesoscale horizontal motions leading to the dependence of horizontal TKE on the LES domain size. Energy-containing horizontal length scales are defined based on the premultiplied spectra. When large-scale organization develops, the premultiplied spectra develop multiple peaks corresponding to the characteristic horizontal scales in the boundary layer. All flow variables have a small length scale of 1–2 km, which corresponds to local convective motions, e.g., updrafts and cumulus clouds. Organization development creates additional larger length scales. The growth rate of the large length scale is linear and it is about 3–4 km h−1, which agrees well with the growth rate of the cold pool radii. A single energy containing length scale is observed for vertical velocity for the entire run (even after organized convection develops) that is fairly constant with height.

Observed Subcloud-Layer Moisture and Heat Budgets in the Trades

Abstract The trade wind subcloud layer is an important structural component of the atmosphere. Its thermodynamic variability has long been characterized using simple frameworks, of which mixed-layer theory is the simplest kind. Past studies qualitatively support such a description, yet the adequacy of mixed-layer theory as a quantitative description has not been tested. Here we use observations collected during the Elucidating the Role of Clouds–Circulation Coupling in Climate (EUREC4A) field campaign to test this framework and evaluate our understanding of the trade wind subcloud layer. We find evidence for a transition layer separating the mixed-layer and subcloud-layer tops. The presence of such a finitely thick transition layer with vertical gradients complicates the application of mixed-layer theory, which assumes an abrupt gradient, or “jump” at the subcloud-layer top. This ambiguity introduces effective parameters and motivates their estimation through a Bayesian methodology. Results from this Bayesian inversion further reflect a finite-depth entrainment zone. We find that subcloud-layer moisture and heat budgets close for synoptic variability and a monthly campaign mean, yielding a campaign-mean residual of 3.6 W m−2 for moisture and 2.9 W m−2 for heat. Surface wind speed variability influences the subcloud-layer depth and fluxes, yet thermodynamic variability above the subcloud-layer top emerges as the primary control on subcloud-layer moisture and heat variability. Given that this simple theoretical framework can explain observed variability, it offers an appealing framework for evaluating larger-scale models that must parameterize the processes regulating this fundamental part of the atmosphere.

A central place foraging seabird flies at right angles to the wind to jointly optimize locomotor and olfactory search efficiency.

To increase the probability of detecting odour plumes, and so increase prey capture success, when winds are stable central place foraging seabirds should fly crosswind to maximize the round-trip distance covered. At present, however, there is no empirical evidence of this theoretical prediction. Here, using an extensive GPS tracking dataset, we investigate, for the first time, the foraging movements of Bulwer's petrels (Bulweria bulwerii) in the persistent North Atlantic trade winds. To test the hypotheses that, in stable winds, petrels use crosswind to maximize both the distance covered and the probability of detecting olfactory cues, we combine state-space models, generalized additive models and Gaussian plume models. Bulwer's petrels had the highest degree of selectivity for crosswinds documented to date, often leading to systematic zig-zag flights. Crosswinds maximized both the distance travelled and the probability of detecting odour plumes integrated across the round-trip (rather than at any given point along the route, which would result in energetically costly return flight). This evidence suggests that petrels plan round-trip flights at departure, integrating expected costs of homeward journeys. Our findings, which are probably true for other seabirds in similar settings, further highlight the critical role of wind in seabird foraging ecology.

Spatio-Temporal Characteristics of the Indo-Pacific Warm Pool and the Corresponding Rain Pool

The greatest warm body in the world exists in the tropical oceans, which stimulates deep convection, resulting in abundant water vapor and precipitation in the tropical atmosphere. Using multiple SST datasets and related precipitation and atmospheric parameter data, this study examines multi-scale variabilities of the Indo-Pacific warm pool (IPWP) as well as the associated rain pool (IPRP). The results show that the IPWP and IPRP are spatially analogous and have significant increasing trends of intensity and coverage. Seasonal variations of the IPWP and IPRP are the strongest and almost coincident with each other. Our results also confirm previous findings that the most important interannual variations of the IPWP and IPRP are associated with various types of ENSO. The composite analysis reveals that the IPWP’s SST structure is linked to the ENSO-induced trade wind anomaly and that SST structural changes cause changes in the position and intensity of the ascending branch of the Walker circulation, which in turn drives changes in the position and intensity of the IPRP.

Assessment of Tropical Atlantic ocean variability and associated rainfall sensibility due to atmospheric ozone changes

Considering the impacts of atmospheric ozone changes on climate, its effects on Tropical Atlantic Variability (TAV) since 1955 are investigated. Two ensembles of simulations from the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble Project are examined. One of them (varO3) considers historic tropospheric and stratospheric ozone levels while the other (fixO3) keeps ozone fixed at the 1955 levels. Results for varO3 reveal a warming in the northern Tropical Atlantic (TA) when compared to fixO3, which is more pronounced in boreal spring, and a cooling of the southern TA in early summer. A dipole-like pattern was also observed in the mean zonal wind stress field, with a weakening of the trade winds in northern TA and strengthening in southern TA, although the strongest difference is observed in the southern westerlies, which are intensified. As for the impact on the main rainfall regions, results show differences between the experiments in the depiction of the Atlantic Ocean convergence zones. The fixed ozone experiment shifts the ITCZ position to the south, which leads to an increase in precipitation over most of Northeast Brazil and western South Africa, in addition to simulating lower precipitation in the South Atlantic Convergence Zone region. However, although there are differences in SST and precipitation between varO3 and fixO3, the ozone influence on TAV is not significant.

Condensation–mass flux connection in warm convective clouds: theory and implications for cloud supersaturation

Abstract. The study focused on the relationship between Condensation Rate (CR) and the upward/Plus Mass Flux (MFP) in a system of trade wind cumulus clouds simulated by an LES model. The model was initialized with data observed during the RICO field project, and simulated in a 50.0×50.0 km horizontal domain. In our previous study (Kogan, 2021) we showed that a nearly perfect correlation exists between CR and MFP (correlation coefficient R=0.99). As a result, condensation rate can be highly accurately expressed as a linear function of upward mass flux. This LES derived finding was explained using condensation theory and concept of quasi-steady supersaturation. The obtained from the LES model slope of the CR–MFP linear fit was in excellent agreement with its theoretical value (error less than 5 %). The theory also showed that the equality between the LES and theoretical values of the slope follows from the equality between supersaturation and its quasi-steady value. The study results suggest that condensation rates, for a variety of cloud conditions, can be precisely estimated using the single variable–upward mass flux. Possible implications of the results for evaluating supersaturation and degree of non-adiabaticity in clouds are discussed.

Mixed eolian–longshore sediment transport in the late Paleozoic Arizona shelf and Pedregosa basin, U.S.A.: A case study in grain-size analysis of detrital-zircon datasets

ABSTRACT Detrital-zircon U–Pb geochronology has revolutionized sediment provenance studies over the last two decades, and zircon has been successfully analyzed from nearly all sedimentary lithologies, depositional environments, and sediment grain sizes. However, despite the ubiquity of this method and the far-reaching interpretations supported by detrital-zircon data, few studies have investigated the potential role of zircon grain size on age spectra and provenance interpretation. In this study, we investigate the connections between sample grain size, zircon grain size, U–Pb age spectra, and interpreted provenance using 18 detrital-zircon samples (4999 individual grains) collected from Pennsylvanian–Permian strata in central and southern Arizona, USA. In these samples, there is no clear correlation between sample grain size and zircon grain size and no clear correlation between sample grain size and age spectra. However, when all grains are grouped by zircon minimum long-axis dimension, the abundance of some age groups is correlated to zircon grain size. In Pennsylvanian samples, < 400 Ma grains and 2500–3000 Ma zircons are more abundant in the finer fractions, and 1400–1900 Ma zircons are more abundant in coarser fractions of both Pennsylvanian and Permian samples. In Permian samples, 500–800 Ma zircons are most abundant in the finer fractions, and 2500–3000 Ma grains are concentrated in the coarser fractions. Based on changes in abundance and grain-size distribution of 500–800 Ma grains, we interpret a change in zircon provenance across the Pennsylvanian–Permian boundary that reflects regional climate and paleogeographic changes driven in part by the northward drift of Laurentia across the equator. Specifically, we interpret the concentration of 500–800 Ma zircons in Permian samples in central and southern Arizona to indicate that these grains were: 1) sourced from Gondwana, 2) deposited in, and subsequently eroded (recycled) from, Mississippian–Pennsylvanian strata in the Arkoma, Anadarko, and Fort Worth basins at the margins of Laurentia, and 3) finally transported into the Arizona study area as loess by easterly trade winds. This study serves as a case study in the value and interpretive power of basic grain-size characterization of detrital-geochronology datasets.

North Pacific trade wind precursors to ENSO in the CMIP6 HighResMIP multimodel ensemble

North Pacific trade wind precursors to ENSO in the CMIP6 HighResMIP multimodel ensemble

Columnar optical, microphysical and radiative properties of the 2022 Hunga Tonga volcanic ash plumes

The Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai eruption on January 15, 2022 was one of the most explosive volcanic eruptions of the 21st century and has attracted global attention. Here we show that large numbers of the volcanic aerosols from the eruption broke through the tropopause into the lower stratosphere, forming an ash plume with an overshooting top at 25–30 km altitude. In the four days following the eruption, the ash plume moved rapidly westward for nearly 10,000 km under stable stratospheric conditions characterized by strong tropical easterlies, weak meridional winds and weak vertical motion. The intrusion of the ash plume into the stratosphere resulted in a marked increase in atmospheric aerosol loading across northern Australia, with the aerosol optical depth (AOD) observed by satellites and sun-photometers peaking at 1.5 off the coast of northeastern Australia; these effects lasted for nearly three days. The ash plume was characterized by fine-mode particles clustered at a radius of about 0.26 µm, with an observed peak volume of 0.25 µm3 µm−2. The impact of the ash plume associated with the Hunga Tonga eruption on the stratospheric AOD and radiative balance in the tropical southern hemisphere is remarkable, with an observed volcanic-induced perturbation of the regional stratospheric AOD of up to 0.6. This perturbation largely explains an instantaneous bottom (top) of the atmosphere radiative forcing of −105.0 (−65.0) W m−2 on a regional scale.

The Influence of the Stratospheric Quasi‐Biennial Oscillation on the Tropical Easterly Jet Over the Maritime Continent

AbstractThis study investigated the influence of the stratospheric quasi‐biennial oscillation (QBO) on the tropical easterly jet (TEJ), using the ERA5 and QBO series of Singapore and Freie Universität Berlin. Since the 1980s, the easterlies of the TEJ over the Maritime Continent are weaker during easterly QBO (EQBO) than westerly QBO. QBO influences TEJ by affecting convection on the east and west sides of the Maritime Continent. The climatological rising movement on the west side of the Maritime Continent can reach a higher altitude than that on the east side, which implies the convections on the west side are likely to be more effectively promoted by the reduced stability near the tropopause during EQBO. The zonal asymmetry in the stability near the tropopause is also a possible cause for QBO modulating convection. QBO has a significant influence on the Asian summer monsoon and tropical/subtropical precipitation through modulating the TEJ.

The Interdecadal Change of the Relationship Between North Indian Ocean SST and Tropical North Atlantic SST

AbstractThe summertime North Indian Ocean (NIO) and tropical North Atlantic (TNA) sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies exert important impacts on atmospheric circulation and climate variation. Little attention is paid on the interdecadal change of NIO–TNA SST connection. This study reveals that the NIO–TNA SST relationship experiences an obvious interdecadal change around the early 2000s. The NIO and TNA SST correlation is positive and significant before the early 2000s, while this connection becomes weak and insignificant after that. This interdecadal change is closely associated with the changes in the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) intensity. During 1980–2001, strong ENSO forces a sustained SST warming in the southwest Indian Ocean, which further warms the summertime NIO via inducing antisymmetric circulation and reducing the upward surface latent heat flux. Meanwhile, strong ENSO forces a summertime TNA warming via arousing the Pacific North American (PNA) teleconnection. The PNA weakens the TNA trade winds, then reduces the upward surface heat flux and consequently warms the TNA. Thus, NIO and TNA SST connection is established via ENSO events during 1980–2001. In contrast, during 2002–2020, the summertime NIO SST anomaly is still related to ENSO. However, the connection between the TNA SST anomaly and ENSO is interrupted due to the weak ENSO intensity. Such weak ENSO yields a much weaker PNA teleconnection, which is inefficient to generate the TNA warming. Further analysis shows that the TNA warming during 2002–2020 is generated mainly by the negative North Atlantic Oscillation. Therefore, the connection between NIO and TNA SST anomalies collapses under the weak ENSO condition.

How Does Sea Surface Temperature Drive the Intertropical Convergence Zone in the Southern Indian Ocean?

Abstract The Indian Ocean has an intriguing intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) south of the equator year-round, which remains largely unexplored. Here we investigate this Indian Ocean ITCZ and the mechanisms for its origin. With a weak semiannual cycle, this ITCZ peaks in January–February with the strongest rainfall and southernmost location and a northeast–southwest orientation from the Maritime Continent to Madagascar, reaches a minimum around May with a zonal orientation, grows until its secondary maximum around September with a northwest–southeast orientation, weakens slightly until December, and then regains its mature phase in January. During austral summer, the Indian Ocean ITCZ exists over maximum surface moist static energy (MSE), consistent with convective quasi-equilibrium theory. This relationship breaks up during boreal summer when the surface MSE maximizes in the northern monsoon region. The position and orientation of the Indian Ocean ITCZ can be simulated well in both a linear dynamical model and the state-of-the-art Community Atmosphere Model version 6 (CAM6) when driven by observed sea surface temperature (SST). To quantify the contributions of the planetary boundary layer (PBL) and free-atmosphere processes to this ITCZ, we homogenize the free-atmosphere diabatic heating over the Indian Ocean in CAM6. In response, the ITCZ weakens significantly, owing to a weakened circulation and deep convection. Therefore, in CAM6, the SST drives the Indian Ocean ITCZ directly through PBL processes and indirectly via free-atmosphere diabatic heating. Their contributions are comparable during most seasons, except during the austral summer when the free-atmosphere diabatic heating dominates the mature-phase ITCZ. Significance Statement The intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) is the globe-encircling band where trade winds converge and strong rainfall occurs in the tropics. Its rains provide life-supporting water to billions of people. Its associated latent heating invigorates the tropical atmospheric circulation and influences climate and weather across the planet. The ITCZ is located north of the equator in most tropical oceans, except in the Indian Ocean where it sits south of the equator year-around. In contrast to the well-known northern ITCZs, the origin of the southern ITCZ in the Indian Ocean remains unknown. This work provides the first explanation for how ocean surface temperature works together with processes in the lower and upper atmosphere to shape the unique ITCZ in the Indian Ocean.

A study on the anomalous TOA net radiative warming by clouds in a sub-region within the Indian summer monsoon region

Indian summer monsoon clouds generally exert a net radiative cooling at top of atmosphere. In contrast, clouds over a sub-region comprising parts of South peninsular India, Sri Lanka and adjoining Bay of Bengal (SISB) inside the Indian monsoon region exert a net radiative warming. In this work, an attempt is made to understand the reasons behind the anomalous radiative warming found over SISB. Ten-year (2000–2009) top of atmosphere radiative flux data from Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System payloads onboard Aqua and Terra satellites and cloud data from International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project during the peak Indian summer monsoon season of July–August are analyzed to understand the underlying causes. Top of Atmosphere net radiative forcing is positive and as high as ∼15 Wm−2 over SISB during the peak Indian summer monsoon season.Cloud cover amounts over SISB with net radiative warming and north Bay of Bengal with net radiative cooling are compared. Cloud cover amounts of high-level cirrostratus and deep convective cumulonimbus clouds are less by 65% and 87% respectively over SISB when compared to north Bay of Bengal. SISB is located on the leeward side of the Western Ghats mountain chain with descending motion. Adiabatic compression and associated warming of descending air leads to dehydration of air parcel. The upper tropospheric tropical easterly jet sweeps the deep convective cloud tops of the Indian monsoon and advect them to large distance as upper level thin cirrus family of clouds. When these clouds reach SISB with descending motion, they thin out by melting and evaporation or sublimation as the air mass is compressed and heated adiabatically. Over SISB, pressure vertical velocity at 500 hPa is moderately inversely correlated to cloud cover amount of cirrostratus and cumulonimbus clouds. Cloud cover amount of these two clouds is significantly correlated to shortwave cloud radiative forcing and longwave cloud radiative forcing over SISB. When cloud cover amount of cirrostratus and cumulonimbus clouds are low (<∼15% and <∼5% respectively), magnitude of longwave cloud radiative forcing is mostly higher than the magnitude of shortwave cloud radiative forcing which results in net radiative warming. Reduction in cloud cover amount of cirrostratus and cumulonimbus clouds by subsidence appears to be the cause behind the observed warming over SISB. When the magnitude of shortwave cloud radiative forcing is below (above) ∼55 Wm−2, longwave cloud radiative forcing is more (less) than the magnitude of shortwave cloud radiative forcing which results in net warming (cooling). Net radiative warming is found in 65% of grid points over SISB.

Forcing mechanisms of the circulation on the Brazilian Equatorial Shelf

The Brazilian Equatorial Shelf (BES) is a very dynamic region due to the influence of various forcings: trade winds, macrotides, the Amazon River, and the North Brazil Current (NBC). To investigate each forcing’s role in BES circulation, a control simulation and three sensitivity simulations (without rivers, without tides, and without winds) were performed using the Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) with a horizontal resolution of 1/24° and realistic forcings. The results showed that the NBC advected low-salinity waters from the Amazon River northwestward to Caribbean Sea and occasionally eastward through the NBC retroflection. The NBC exhibited the strongest flow when all forcings were included in the simulation. On the other hand, southeasterly winds inhibited the NBC retroflection system and, thus reducing its contribution to North Equatorial Counter Current (NECC) and Equatorial Undercurrent (EUC). The simulation without tides showed a plume more advected by the NBC and constricted to the first 10 m of the water column, while in the simulation without wind the plume was less advected northwestward by the weakened NBC and spread more toward the shelf break. The correlation analysis highlighted the complexity of the system, the complementarity of the forcings and their time-variable interdependence. The three sensitivity simulations and correlation analysis demonstrated the wind to be the main mechanism of the circulation in the BES. The sensitivity simulations also gave insight of how circulation would respond in a future scenario if climate changes persist. Previous studies suggest that the reduced Amazon runoff may indirectly weaken Atlantic ITCZ and thus trade winds causing a weakened circulation in tropical Atlantic. Our results show that this weakened circulation would advect even less fresh water northward, worsening the disturbances in North Atlantic due to the reduced freshwater supply.

Climate variability along the margin of the southern African monsoon region at the end of the African Humid Period

Evidence for climate variability in the southern African monsoon region (SAMR) is limited by a spatially and temporally discontinuous palaeoclimatic dataset. We describe a 6680 year long, largely sub-decadal resolution δ15N record from a rock hyrax midden from southeastern Africa. The results provide a detailed reconstruction of regional hydroclimates since the beginning of the mid-Holocene. A long-term – albeit subtle – increase in humidity consistent with precessional forcing is observed, but the record is dominated by a strong ∼1750-yr cycle, a signal that is shared with other SAMR records. Considered in their regional context, these data suggest that changes coincident with the termination of the African Humid Period at ∼5500 cal BP do not express the abrupt transition observed in some records from the northern African tropics. Rather they indicate gradual changes, as observed at peri-equatorial sites. Notably, however, eastern and western subregions of the SAMR experience a rapid phase shift beginning ∼5500 cal BP, with initially in-phase hydroclimate anomalies transitioning to the establishment of a strong east-west dipole. This likely reflects a coeval strengthening of the Southeast Atlantic trade winds and decreased atmospheric pressure in southeast Africa, factors associated with increasing (decreasing) austral (boreal) summer insolation. The results highlight the distinct nature of southern African responses across this key period of African climate history.

Ocean Reference Stations: Long-Term, Open-Ocean Observations of Surface Meteorology and Air–Sea Fluxes Are Essential Benchmarks

Abstract There is great interest in improving our understanding of the respective roles of the ocean and atmosphere in variability and change in weather and climate. Due to the sparsity of sustained observing sites in the open ocean, information about the air–sea exchanges of heat, freshwater, and momentum is often drawn from models. In this paper observations from three long-term surface moorings deployed in the trade wind regions of the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans are used to compare observed means and low-passed air–sea fluxes from the moorings with coincident records from three atmospheric reanalyses (ERA5, NCEP-2, and MERRA-2) and from CMIP6 coupled models. To set the stage for the comparison, the methodologies of maintaining the long-term surface moorings, known as ocean reference stations (ORS), and assessing the accuracies of their air–sea fluxes are described first. Biases in the reanalyses’ means and low-passed wind stresses and net air–sea heat fluxes are significantly larger than the observational uncertainties and in some case show variability in time. These reanalyses and most CMIP6 models fail to provide as much heat into the ocean as observed. In the discussion and conclusions section, long-term observing sites in the open ocean are seen as essential, independent benchmarks not only to document the coupling between the atmosphere and ocean but also to promote collaborative efforts to assess and improve the ability of models to simulate air–sea fluxes.