Sites In Pakistan Research Articles

A cohort study analyzing the impact of socioeconomic and spatial characteristics alongside treatment regimens on the environmental-health outcomes of the MDR-TB treatment in Pakistan.

This study identifies and analyzes a number of factors that correlate with the environmental-health outcome of multi-drug resistance tuberculosis (MDR-TB) treatment in Pakistan. Survival analysis is carried out by applying the multivariable Cox Proportional Hazard model on secondary data of 369 patients registered at three main MDR-TB sites in Pakistan during 2012-2017. Results show that there is no difference in survival of patients between the two treatment arms, hospital and ambulatory care. Male gender and travel expenditure are found to be negatively associated with the environmental-health outcome, whereas spatial characteristic of time expenditure is positively related to it supporting distance bias approach. Medical expenditure is also positively related to the environmental-health outcome. The study concludes that availability of affordable and accessible health services, better environmental conditions, and ambulatory care based on WHO recommendation as well as health education along with social protection schemes should be ensured by the government to improve environmental-health outcome in the resource-scarce setting in Pakistan.

The Indo‐European flyway: Opportunities and constraints reflected by Common Rosefinches breeding across Europe

AbstractAimThe configuration of the earth's landmasses influences global weather systems and spatiotemporal resource availability, thereby shaping biogeographical patterns and migratory routes of animals. Here, we aim to identify potential migratory barriers and corridors, as well as general migration strategies within the understudied Indo‐European flyway.LocationEurope, Central Asia.Major taxon studiedCommon rosefinches.MethodsWe used a combination of theoretical optimization modelling and empirical tracking of Common Rosefinches (Carpodacus erythrinus) breeding across a large latitudinal gradient in Europe. First, we identified optimal migration routes driven by wind and resource availability along the Indo‐European flyway. Second, we tracked rosefinches from five breeding populations using light‐level geolocators. Finally, we compared to what extent empirical tracks overlapped with the modelled optimal routes.ResultsIn autumn, theoretical wind driven migration routes formed a broad‐front corridor connecting Europe and the Indian Subcontinent while the theoretical resource driven routes formed a distinct north‐south divide. The latter pattern also reflected the rosefinch tracks with all but the most southerly breeding birds making a northern detour towards non‐breeding sites in Pakistan and India. In spring, the resource availability model predicted a similar migratory divide, however, the southern route seemed relatively more favourable and closely matched with the optimal wind driven migration routes. Spring tracking data showed larger overlap with the modelled wind driven migration routes compared to the resource driven routes.Main conclusionsOptimal wind and resource driven migration routes along the Indo‐European flyway are seasonally specific and to a large extend do not overlap with one another. Under these conditions, migratory birds adopt seasonally distinct migration strategies following energy minimization strategy in autumn, driven by resource availability, and time minimizing strategy in spring, driven by wind conditions. Our optimal migration models can be applied worldwide and used to validate against empirical data to explain large‐scale biogeographic pattern of migratory animals.

Extraintestinal Seeding of Salmonella enterica Serotype Typhi, Pakistan.

We evaluated Salmonella enterica serotype Typhi strains isolated from all body sites in Pakistan during 2013–2018. Despite an increase in overall number of localized, extensively drug-resistant Salmonella Typhi in organ infections during 2018, there was no increase in the proportion of such isolates in comparison with non–extensively drug-resistant isolates.

Wind-to-Hydrogen Production Potential for Selected Sites in Pakistan

This paper provides a comprehensive assessment of wind energy potential for Hydrogen production under local conditions of Pakistan from the design, development and practical implementation perspectives. Simulations were performed for three sites—Bahawalpur, Sanghar and Gwadar using actual wind speed site data, recorded between 2016 and 2018, at intervals of 10 minute. For the selected sites, wind resource assessment was performed using the Weibull distribution function parameters, energy and wind-power density calculations at hub heights of 20m, 40m, 60m and 80m of the wind turbines. It was observed that Sanghar is the most suitable site for wind-to-Hydrogen production potential with power and energy density of $305.86~W/m^{2}$ and $2665.81~kWh/m^{2}$ , respectively. From the implementation perspective, the Nordex N90/2500 wind turbine at an 80m hub height was found to be beneficial for Sanghar with a cost of energy of 35.21 $\$ $ /MWh (0.035 $\$ $ /kWh). The cost of Hydrogen using an electrolyzer for 7-year long-term investment was 2.29 k $\$ $ /ton using Nordex N90/2500 turbine. Based on the available power density and land area, a general scheme for production of Hydrogen using electrolysis can be implemented with possibility of installation and commissioning of wind farms.

Incidence of Typhoid and Paratyphoid Fever in Bangladesh, Nepal, and Pakistan: Results of the Surveillance for Enteric Fever in Asia Project

Background: Precise enteric fever disease burden data are needed to inform prevention and control measures, including the use of newly available typhoid vaccines. To inform these strategies, the Surveillance for Enteric Fever in Asia Project (SEAP) conducted prospective, facility-based surveillance for Salmonella Typhi and S . Paratyphi A from 2016-2019. Methods: To generate population-based incidence estimates of enteric fever, we conducted prospective clinical surveillance at five hospitals in pre-determined catchment areas in Dhaka, Bangladesh, Kathmandu and Kavrepalanchok, Nepal, and Karachi, Pakistan. We employed a hybrid surveillance model, pairing facility-based blood culture surveillance with community surveys of healthcare utilization. Blood cultures were performed for enrolled patients. We calculated overall and age-specific typhoid and paratyphoid incidence estimates for each study site. Adjusted estimates accounted for the sensitivity of blood culture, the proportion of eligible individuals who consented and provided blood, the probability of care-seeking at a study facility, and the influence of wealth and education on care-seeking. Findings: Of the 33,136 blood cultures performed on enrolled patients, 8,705 (26%) were positive for typhoidal Salmonella . Adjusted incidence of S . Typhi, expressed per 100,000 person-years, was 1,110 (95% CI: 949-1,305) in Dhaka. In Nepal, the adjusted typhoid incidence rates were 330 (95% CI: 232-476) in Kathmandu and 271 (95% CI:205-365) in Kavrepalanchok. In Pakistan, the adjusted incidence rates per hospital site were 195 (95% CI:163-236) and 126 (95% CI:106-151). Although lower than the rates of typhoid, the adjusted incidence rates of paratyphoid were 150 ( 95% CI: 127-177) in Bangladesh, 49 (95% CI: 38-65) and 82 (95% CI: 57-116) in the Nepal sites, and 25 (95% CI: 21-31) and 1 (95% CI: 1-1) in the Pakistan sites. Adjusted incidence of hospitalization was high across sites, and overall 32% of case patients were hospitalized. Interpretation: Across diverse communities in three South Asian countries, adjusted incidence exceeded the threshold for “high burden” of enteric fever (100 per 100,000 person-years). Incidence was highest among children, although age patterns differed across sites. The substantial disease burden identified highlights the need for control measures, including improvements to water and sanitation infrastructure and the implementation of typhoid vaccines. Funding: This work was supported by a grant from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (grant number INV-008335). Declaration of Interest: None to declare. Ethical Approval: We obtained written informed consent from all eligible participants and the parents/guardians of participants aged <18 years prior to collection of blood samples and completion of the questionnaire. We also obtained written assent from children aged 11–15 years in Bangladesh and children 15-17 years in Nepal and Pakistan. Institutional Review Boards in the United States (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; Stanford University Institutional Review Board), Bangladesh (Bangladesh Institute of Child Health Ethical Review Committee), Nepal (Nepal Health Research Council and Institutional Review Committee; DH, KUH and KMC) and Pakistan (AKU Ethic Review Committee and Pakistan National Bioethics Committee) approved the study forms and protocols.

Tourist Intentions to Visit or Revisit Archaeological Sites in Pakistan

Abstract This study contributes to the literature on archaeological tourism by investigating the impact of psychological distance on tourist’s continuity to visit or revisit the archaeological sites. Recent trends show tourist preferred to visit the natural beauty and modern art instead of archaeological sites. Archaeologist encounters a considerable amount of difficulties when they try to operate on economic and sites protection fronts simultaneously. This study has relied on construal level theory to determine the tourist intentions to visit or revisit the archaeological sites in different time contrast and social proximity with identity centrality and gender diversity. For this study, 868 responses were collected from tourists using a structured questionnaire and analysed by structural equation modelling. The study establishes the role of psychological distance, which offers a clear plan to the tourist to visit or revisit archaeological sites by understanding their religious, social, and historical connection to them. This research also provides a dynamic way of thinking for archaeologists, policy makers, and the managing institutions to assist the tourist to visit or revisit archaeological sites through using social ties and time-spans as unique alternatives. The notable findings of this study open the door for future research to bridge the economic and social aspects with site preservation and capacity parameters.

Maternal mortality in six low and lower-middle income countries from 2010 to 2018: risk factors and trends

BackgroundMaternal mortality is a public health problem that disproportionately affects low and lower-middle income countries (LMICs). Appropriate data sources are lacking to effectively track maternal mortality and monitor changes in this health indicator over time.MethodsWe analyzed data from women enrolled in the NICHD Global Network for Women’s and Children’s Health Research Maternal Newborn Health Registry (MNHR) from 2010 through 2018. Women delivering within research sites in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Guatemala, India (Nagpur and Belagavi), Kenya, Pakistan, and Zambia are included. We evaluated maternal and delivery characteristics using log-binomial models and multivariable models to obtain relative risk estimates for mortality. We used running averages to track maternal mortality ratio (MMR, maternal deaths per 100,000 live births) over time.ResultsWe evaluated 571,321 pregnancies and 842 maternal deaths. We observed an MMR of 157 / 100,000 live births (95% CI 147, 167) across all sites, with a range of MMRs from 97 (76, 118) in the Guatemala site to 327 (293, 361) in the Pakistan site. When adjusted for maternal risk factors, risks of maternal mortality were higher with maternal age > 35 (RR 1.43 (1.06, 1.92)), no maternal education (RR 3.40 (2.08, 5.55)), lower education (RR 2.46 (1.54, 3.94)), nulliparity (RR 1.24 (1.01, 1.52)) and parity > 2 (RR 1.48 (1.15, 1.89)). Increased risk of maternal mortality was also associated with occurrence of obstructed labor (RR 1.58 (1.14, 2.19)), severe antepartum hemorrhage (RR 2.59 (1.83, 3.66)) and hypertensive disorders (RR 6.87 (5.05, 9.34)). Before and after adjusting for other characteristics, physician attendance at delivery, delivery in hospital and Caesarean delivery were associated with increased risk. We observed variable changes over time in the MMR within sites.ConclusionsThe MNHR is a useful tool for tracking MMRs in these LMICs. We identified maternal and delivery characteristics associated with increased risk of death, some might be confounded by indication. Despite declines in MMR in some sites, all sites had an MMR higher than the Sustainable Development Goals target of below 70 per 100,000 live births by 2030.Trial registrationThe MNHR is registered at NCT01073475.

Why are the Pakistani maternal, fetal and newborn outcomes so poor compared to other low and middle-income countries?

BackgroundPakistan has among the poorest pregnancy outcomes worldwide, significantly worse than many other low-resource countries. The reasons for these differences are not clear. In this study, we compared pregnancy outcomes in Pakistan to other low-resource countries and explored factors that might help explain these differences.MethodsThe Global Network (GN) Maternal Newborn Health Registry (MNHR) is a prospective, population-based observational study that includes all pregnant women and their pregnancy outcomes in defined geographic communities in six low-middle income countries (India, Pakistan, Democratic Republic of Congo, Guatemala, Kenya, Zambia). Study staff enroll women in early pregnancy and follow-up soon after delivery and at 42 days to ascertain delivery, neonatal, and maternal outcomes. We analyzed the maternal mortality ratios (MMR), neonatal mortality rates (NMR), stillbirth rates, and potential explanatory factors from 2010 to 2018 across the GN sites.ResultsFrom 2010 to 2018, there were 91,076 births in Pakistan and 456,276 births in the other GN sites combined. The MMR in Pakistan was 319 per 100,000 live births compared to an average of 124 in the other sites, while the Pakistan NMR was 49.4 per 1,000 live births compared to 20.4 in the other sites. The stillbirth rate in Pakistan was 53.5 per 1000 births compared to 23.2 for the other sites. Preterm birth and low birthweight rates were also substantially higher than the other sites combined. Within weight ranges, the Pakistani site generally had significantly higher rates of stillbirth and neonatal mortality than the other sites combined, with differences increasing as birthweights increased. By nearly every measure, medical care for pregnant women and their newborns in the Pakistan sites was worse than at the other sites combined.ConclusionThe Pakistani pregnancy outcomes are much worse than those in the other GN sites. Reasons for these poorer outcomes likely include that the Pakistani sites' reproductive-aged women are largely poorly educated, undernourished, anemic, and deliver a high percentage of preterm and low-birthweight babies in settings of often inadequate maternal and newborn care. By addressing the issues highlighted in this paper there appears to be substantial room for improvements in Pakistan’s pregnancy outcomes.

Hemoglobin concentrations and adverse birth outcomes in South Asian pregnant women: findings from a prospective Maternal and Neonatal Health Registry

BackgroundWhile the relationship between hemoglobin (Hb) concentrations and pregnancy outcomes has been studied often, most reports have focused on a specific Hb cutoff used to define anemia. Fewer studies have evaluated pregnancy outcomes across the entire range of Hb values. Moreover, to date, most studies of the relationship of Hb concentrations to pregnancy outcomes have been done in high-income countries. Thus, we have sought to determine the relationship between the range of maternal Hb concentrations and adverse birth outcomes among South Asian pregnant women.MethodsFor this study, we used data collected from two South Asian countries (Pakistan – Sindh Province and two sites in India - Belagavi and Nagpur) in a prospective maternal and newborn health registry study. To assess the association between Hb concentrations and various maternal and fetal outcomes, we classified the Hb concentrations into seven categories. Regression analyses adjusting for multiple potential confounders were performed to assess adverse pregnancy outcomes across the range of Hb concentrations.FindingsBetween January 2012 and December 2018, 130,888 pregnant women were enrolled in the South Asian sites had a Hb measurement available, delivered and were included in the analyses. Overall, the mean Hb concentration of pregnant women from the sites was 9.9 g/dL, 10.0 g/dL in the Indian sites and 9.5 g/dL in the Pakistan site. Hb concentrations < 7 g/dL were observed in 6.9% of the pregnant Pakistani women and 0.2% of the Indian women. In both the Pakistani and Indian sites, women with higher parity and women with no formal education had lower Hb concentrations. In the Pakistani site, women > 35 years of age, women with ≥4 children and those who enrolled in the third trimester were more likely to have Hb concentrations of < 7 g/dL but these associations were not found for the Indian sites. When adjusting for potential confounders, for both India and Pakistan, lower Hb concentrations were associated with stillbirth, preterm birth, lower mean birthweight, and increased risk of low birthweight. In the Pakistani site, there was evidence of a U-shaped relationship between Hb concentrations and low birth weight, and neonatal mortality, and in India with hypertensive disease.InterpretationThis study documented the relationship between maternal Hb concentrations and adverse pregnancy outcomes in women from the Pakistani and Indian sites across the range of Hb values. Both low and high Hb concentrations were associated with risk of at least some adverse outcomes. Hence, both low and high values of Hb should be considered risk factors for the mother and fetus.

Stillbirth 2010\u20132018: a prospective, population-based, multi-country study from the Global Network

BackgroundStillbirth rates are high and represent a substantial proportion of the under-5 mortality in low and middle-income countries (LMIC). In LMIC, where nearly 98% of stillbirths worldwide occur, few population-based studies have documented cause of stillbirths or the trends in rate of stillbirth over time.MethodsWe undertook a prospective, population-based multi-country research study of all pregnant women in defined geographic areas across 7 sites in low-resource settings (Kenya, Zambia, Democratic Republic of Congo, India, Pakistan, and Guatemala). Staff collected demographic and health care characteristics with outcomes obtained at delivery. Cause of stillbirth was assigned by algorithm.ResultsFrom 2010 through 2018, 573,148 women were enrolled with delivery data obtained. Of the 552,547 births that reached 500 g or 20 weeks gestation, 15,604 were stillbirths; a rate of 28.2 stillbirths per 1000 births. The stillbirth rates were 19.3 in the Guatemala site, 23.8 in the African sites, and 33.3 in the Asian sites. Specifically, stillbirth rates were highest in the Pakistan site, which also documented a substantial decrease in stillbirth rates over the study period, from 56.0 per 1000 (95% CI 51.0, 61.0) in 2010 to 44.4 per 1000 (95% CI 39.1, 49.7) in 2018. The Nagpur, India site also documented a substantial decrease in stillbirths from 32.5 (95% CI 29.0, 36.1) to 16.9 (95% CI 13.9, 19.9) per 1000 in 2018; however, other sites had only small declines in stillbirth over the same period. Women who were less educated and older as well as those with less access to antenatal care and with vaginal assisted delivery were at increased risk of stillbirth. The major fetal causes of stillbirth were birth asphyxia (44.0% of stillbirths) and infectious causes (22.2%). The maternal conditions that were observed among those with stillbirth were obstructed or prolonged labor, antepartum hemorrhage and maternal infections.ConclusionsOver the study period, stillbirth rates have remained relatively high across all sites. With the exceptions of the Pakistan and Nagpur sites, Global Network sites did not observe substantial changes in their stillbirth rates. Women who were less educated and had less access to antenatal and obstetric care remained at the highest burden of stillbirth.Study registrationClinicaltrials.gov (ID# NCT01073475).

The relationship between birth intervals and adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes in six low and lower-middle income countries

BackgroundDue to high fertility rates in some low and lower-middle income countries, the interval between pregnancies can be short, which may lead to adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes.MethodsWe analyzed data from women enrolled in the NICHD Global Network Maternal Newborn Health Registry (MNHR) from 2013 through 2018. We report maternal characteristics and outcomes in relationship to the inter-delivery interval (IDI, time from previous delivery [live or stillborn] to the delivery of the index birth), by category of 6–17 months (short), 18–36 months (reference), 37–60 months, and 61–180 months (long). We used non-parametric tests for maternal characteristics, and multivariable logistic regression models for outcomes, controlling for differences in baseline characteristics.ResultsWe evaluated 181,782 women from sites in the Democratic Republic of Congo, Zambia, Kenya, Guatemala, India, and Pakistan. Women with short IDI varied by site, from 3% in the Zambia site to 20% in the Pakistan site. Relative to a 18–36 month IDI, women with short IDI had increased risk of neonatal death (RR = 1.89 [1.74, 2.05]), stillbirth (RR = 1.70 [1.56, 1.86]), low birth weight (RR = 1.38 [1.32, 1.44]), and very low birth weight (RR = 2.35 [2.10, 2.62]). Relative to a 18–36 month IDI, women with IDI of 37–60 months had an increased risk of maternal death (RR 1.40 [1.05, 1.88]), stillbirth (RR 1.14 [1.08, 1.22]), and very low birth weight (RR 1.10 [1.01, 1.21]). Relative to a 18–36 month IDI, women with long IDI had increased risk of maternal death (RR 1.54 [1.10, 2.16]), neonatal death (RR = 1.25 [1.14, 1.38]), stillbirth (RR = 1.50 [1.38, 1.62]), low birth weight (RR = 1.22 [1.17, 1.27]), and very low birth weight (RR = 1.47 [1.32,1.64]). Short and long IDIs were also associated with increased risk of obstructed labor, hemorrhage, hypertensive disorders, fetal malposition, infection, hospitalization, preterm delivery, and neonatal hospitalization.ConclusionsIDI varies by site. When compared to 18–36 month IDI, women with both short IDI and long IDI had increased risk of adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes.Trial registrationThe MNHR is registered at NCT01073475.

Population Surveys of Endangered Egyptian vulture (&lt;i&gt;Neophron percnopterus&lt;/i&gt;) in Mahasheer National Park Kotli, Azad Jammu and Kashmir

The global distribution and population of the Egyptian Vulture (Neophron percnopterus) has declined but the species remains poorly studied in the Azad, Jammu and Kashmir area of Pakistan. This lack of information about the species limits the ability to adopt strategies for its conservation. This study was conducted in four selected sites of northeast Pakistan to estimate the population status of Egyptian vultures in the study area. Potential sites and colonies of the Egyptian vultures were first identified and then monitored using point count methods. We counted a maximum of 121 Egyptian vultures across the four sites that were surveyed in the study area. Conservation action at the State level is needed to help protect this vulture species of global conservation concern, and our results provide a baseline from which future monitoring can proceed.

Wind Energy Potential and Economic Assessment of Southeast of Pakistan

ABSTRACT This study aims to evaluate wind resource potential and analyze the performance of wind turbines for six onshore and near-coast sites (three commercial power plants and three new potential sites) of Pakistan. The technical and economic performance analysis of more than 200 commercially available turbines suitable for weak wind regions is performed, 20 turbines were selected based on performance. The percentage increase in annual Capacity Factor (CF) and decrease in Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) for commercial sites using proposed turbine is 42–61% and 30–38% respectively compared to installed turbines on the sites. Three potential sites have wind power density as 155, 203, and 237 W/m2 and corresponding wind power class as poor, marginal and marginal respectively. The CF and LCOE of potential sites having marginal power class using PT10 turbine (Goldwind GW140/3.0) is up to 50% and 5.5 US¢/kWh respectively so these two sites are economically feasible for future wind projects. The CF and LCOE of potential sites having poor power class using PT10 turbine is 34% and 7.2 US¢/kWh. The wind turbines having lower cut-in wind speed and lower-rated wind speeds are economically feasible for sites having poor wind power class.

Risk Factorsfor Construction Workforce Safety towardsSustainability

This research article is based on the identification of safety risk factors associated with construction projects in Pakistan related with the China-Pakistan economic corridor (CPEC). In this paper, four construction sites have been targeted from Sindh, Punjab, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Baluchistan province of Pakistan. The research was based on quantitative mode where the questionnaire survey was adopted for data collection and analysed statistically. The targeted respondents were 400 CPEC construction workforces from four different targeted sites in Pakistan. The collected data was analysed using descriptive statistical methods of Statistical Package of Social Sciences (SPSS) 23.0 software. According to the findings, it has been specified that the respondents fromall four targeted construction sites in Pakistan has considered three major safety risk factors such as administrative, personal protective equipment (PPE) and workforce safety. Risk factors for administrative is between 1.06 and 2.65 (low level to moderate level), for PPE is between 1.06 and 2.65 (low level to moderate level) and for workforce safety is between 2.4 and 3.60 (moderate level to high Level). Meanwhile, the safety experts have been indicated the lack of proper training &amp; PPE equipment’s, falling from height and falling object hazardsare as the major cause of injuries at Pakistani construction sites related with CPEC projects.The findings of this study will be the catalyst for the CPEC projects in Pakistan to minimize the safety and health concern among construction industry workforce.

Extrapolation of wind data using generalized versus site-specific wind power law for wind power production prospective at Shahbandar- a coastal site in Pakistan

The aim of this work is to compare the wind data extrapolated by 1/7th wind power law and site-specific wind power law for wind power potential estimation at Shahbandar. Both the Wind shear exponents (WSE) and local air density values were calculated using measured wind data at 10 and 30 m heights and they were found minimum in summer and maximum in winter. Weibull distribution was applied with a newly developed method to estimate the Weibull parameters whose accuracy was tested using coefficient of determination which was more than 95%. Technical analysis of energy generation was conducted which showed that GE1 and GE2 turbines have highest yield and capacity factors respectively while B3 and V5 has corresponding minimum values. Comparison showed that 1/7th wind power estimates lower values of wind potential than site-specific wind power law. Moreover, comparison of predicted data with measured data shows that site-specific wind power law estimates data more accurately.

Weibull parameters estimation using combined energy pattern and power density method for wind resource assessment

This work deals with the development of Combined Energy Pattern &amp; Power Density Method (CEPPDM) to evaluate the two parameters needed to define Weibull distribution. Five years (2015–2019) wind data recorded each 60-minutes interval at eleven representative sites in Pakistan was used and efficiency of CEPPDM was compared with Energy Pattern Factor Method (EPFM) and Power Density Method (PDM) with the help of MAPE, MSE and R2. Analysis showed that CEPPDM is the most efficient method while EPFM is the least efficient. Furthermore, it was found that RYK is the most lucrative site and Layyah is the weakest site regarding wind potential. Wind rose plots were drawn which showed that the wind mainly blows in the range of 200°–270°.

Evaluating the suitability of two parametric wind speed distributions: a case study from Pakistan

The most suitable energy source for human use is wind energy which is inexpensive and supports to fulfill the energy demand of the large population. In Pakistan, different wind energy projects are under progress in different potential sites to deal with the energy crises and environmental pollution. Therefore, it is need of the hour to identify all the wind energy potential sites in Pakistan. For that purpose, different wind speed distributions are used. The wind speed distribution is described by the application of probability density functions (pdfs) to evaluate the wind energy potential. The two-parameter Weibull probability density function is used extensively for the applications of wind energy. In this study, we studied the hourly wind speed data for the period of 2017–18 from five different locations in Pakistan is selected for modeling using specific pdfs. The models consist of parametric models that are used for this purpose. The log-likelihood, AIC, BIC, RMSE (root mean square error) and R2 (coefficient of determination) provides the basis for the evaluation of wind speed data with the application of suitable distribution. Results indicate that, Gamma and extreme value distributions provide generally the best fit to the wind speed data for all stations.

Drought signal in the tree rings of three conifer species from Northern Pakistan

Anthropogenic and climatic stressors have affected the forests of northern Pakistan in recent decades. Several studies have been conducted to understand forest growth and its relation to the changing climate in this region, but more work needs to be done to understand this complex environment. In this study, we have collected tree core samples of three conifer species (Pinus wallichiana, Picea smithiana, and Abies pindrow) from three different sites in northern Pakistan to understand their radial growth pattern with the goal of finding a relationship between ring-width and climatic parameters (temperature, precipitation, and drought). A 610-year (AD 1406–2015), a 538-year (AD 1478–2015), and a 306-year (AD 1710–2015) long tree-ring width chronology of Pinus wallichiana, Picea smithiana, and Abies pindrow were developed, respectively, using living trees. The ring-width chronologies of these three species showed a strong positive link with the self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI) rather than precipitation or temperature alone, indicating that soil moisture is the primary limiting climatic factor for the growth of these species in the sampling locations. The chronologies of Pinus wallichiana and Picea smithiana exhibited growth suppressions during AD 1570–1610 and the second half of 17th century while their growth was heightened from AD 1540–1560. We have found the lowest growth in Abies pindrow and Picea smithiana from AD 1900–1920, suggesting dry conditions. All three chronologies have exhibited the most rapid increase in growth during the recent decades, suggesting that this region is experiencing climate change with a strong trend towards wetter conditions.

Use of Sentinel-1 GRD SAR Images to Delineate Flood Extent in Pakistan

Floods are some of the most serious and devastating natural hazards on earth, bringing huge threats to lives, properties, and living environments. Rapid delineation of the spatial extent of flooding is of great importance for the dynamic monitoring of flood evolution and corresponding emergency strategies. Some of the current flood mapping methods mainly process single date images characterized by simple flood situations and homogenous backgrounds. Although other methods show good performance for images with harsh conditions for floods, they must be trained—many times based on pre-classified samples—or undergo complicated parameter tuning processes, which require computation efforts. The widely used change detection methods utilize multi-temporal Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) images for the detection of flood area, but the results are largely influenced by the quality of defined reference images. Furthermore, these methods were mostly applied for some river basin floods, which are not effective for the large scale, semi-arid regions with complex flood conditions, and various land cover types. All of these extremely limited the use of these methods for the timely and accurate extraction of the spatial distribution pattern of floods in other typical and broad areas. Based on the above considerations, this paper presents a new method for rapidly determining the extent of flooding in large, semi-arid areas with challenging environmental conditions, based on multi-temporal Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data. First, a preprocessing scheme is applied to perform geometric correction and to estimate the intensity of the imagery. Second, an automatic thresholding procedure is used to generate an initial land and water classification through the integration of the probability density distribution. A fuzzy logic-based approach, combining SAR backscattering information and other auxiliary data, is then used to refine the initial classified image. The fuzzy logic-based refinement removes areas that look similar to water in the SAR images, significantly enhancing the flood mapping accuracy. Finally, a post-processing step consisting of morphological operations and extraction improves the homogeneity of the extracted flood segments, discards isolated pixels, and gives the final flood map. This method can automatically detect the extent of floods at little computational cost. As Sentinel-1 data are publicly available and have a fast repeat cycle, the procedure can provide near real time results for rapid emergency response following flash floods. The accuracy of the proposed method is assessed at three test sites in Pakistan, which covered diverse landscapes and suffered large scale serious flooding after a long and severe drought in 2015. In comparison with the more recent studies from Ohki et al., 2020, and Shahabi et al., 2020, our results indicate the best spatial agreement with GF-2 panchromatic multi-spectral (PMS) water classification, with an encouraging overall accuracy ranging from 91.1% to 96.6%, and Kappa coefficients ranging from 0.893 to 0.954. Especially for the areas with fragmented floods, heterogeneous backgrounds, and the areas where samples are highly unbalanced in the SAR images, our method combines the global statistics and local relationships of backscattering properties, terrain, and other auxiliary information, enabling to effectively preserve the detailed structures and also remove the noise.

Emergence and Decline of the Indus Valley Civilization in Pakistan

Indus Valley Civilization is one of the oldest civilizations in the world dating back to 7000BCE. The explored sites of the civilization span present day Pakistan and India. The following paper explore the Indus Valley Civilization through the sites in Pakistan. The paper highlights feature of various stages of the Indus Valley, for example, Early Food Producing Era (7000-4000 BCE), Regionalization Era – Early Harappan Era (4000-2600 BCE), Integration Era (Early Harappan Phase) (2600 – 1900), Localization Era (Late Harappan Phase) (1900 – 1300), and Indus Valley from 1300 BCE to Present. In doing so, the paper discusses the geography, environment, material culture, subsistence patterns, political and social organization of each era. Finally, it explores the various theories of decline of Indus Valley Civilization, drawing on various sources. In the conclusion, the paper provides recommendations for future focus on the archaeological sites in Pakistan enhance our understanding of the civilizations.