Developing connected and automated vehicle (CAV) technologies that can interact effectively with surrounding intelligent agents is a crucial challenge to cope with the near-future mixed-flow environment composed of CAVs and human-driven vehicles (HDVs). A fundamental problem to be solved is understanding and recognising driving styles, which can help CAVs reason and predict human driving behaviour. Motivated by it, this study designs a belief-renewing method to recognise the styles of different driving primitives. We first propose a hierarchical Dirichlet process hidden semi-Markov model (HDP-VAR-GP-HSMM) considering time-varying properties to extract driving primitives from natural driving behaviours. The extracted primitives are divided into two driving styles (aggressive or cautious) to build a training dataset with a multi-dimensional k-means clustering algorithm. Next, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network with the Bayesian posterior correction model is trained to recognise the driving styles of primitives. The recognition model can dynamically renew the belief of CAVs on target vehicles' driving styles to mitigate the negative effect caused by stochastic fluctuations. The proposed algorithm is tested using an open-source freeway merging zone dataset. Experimental results show that: (1) the proposed HDP-VAR-GP-HSMM can capture time-varying characteristics of driving primitives and achieves better performance compared with other nonparametric approaches, (2) the accuracy of recognition models with Bayesian belief-renewing method is higher than conventional models. Related approaches and findings in this study can be helpful in the decision-making and control of CAVs.
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