Determining the impact of an oil spill on aquatic ecosystems is a challenge. Because of the chemical complexity of crude oil, risk assessments rely on quantitative structure associated relationships to group chemical classes of compounds based on similar modes of toxicity. Quantitative structure associated relationships like the target lipid model can be used to determine species sensitivity by determining the critical target lipid body burden (CTLBB) and can be used to calculate the toxic units (TU) of a mixture. In this study we used the CTLBB generated from single polycyclic aromatic compound toxicity data and the analytical chemistry of whole oil to predicted and validate toxicity of both water-accommodated fraction (WAF) of crude oil and chemically dispersed WAF (CEWAF) to American lobster (Homarus americanus) larvae. A two-step procedure for modelling whole oil partitioning was utilized to compute the dissolved components in each of the WAF and CEWAF dilutions. Then, a species and life stage specific CTLBB derived for lobster larvae was applied in PetroTox to compute the TUs of exposure solution. The approach used in this study was able to effectively predict the effects observed in the exposures and can be integrated into oil spill fate and effects models to improve the oil spill assessment and response.
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