Fault Displacement Research Articles

A refined nonlinear theoretical model for mechanical analysis of tunnels subjected to strike-slip faulting with multiple fault planes

During strike-slip fault dislocation, multiple fault planes are commonly observed. The resulting permanent ground deformation can lead to profound structural damage to tunnels. However, existing analytical models do not consider multiple fault planes. Instead, they concentrate the entire fault displacement onto a single fault plane for analysis, thereby giving rise to notable errors in the calculated results. To address this issue, a refined nonlinear theoretical model was established to analyze the mechanical responses of the tunnels subjected to multiple strike-slip fault dislocations. The analytical model considers the number of fault planes, nonlinear soil‒tunnel interactions, geometric nonlinearity, and fault zone width, leading to a significant improvement in its range of applicability and calculation accuracy. The results of the analytical model are in agreement, both qualitatively and quantitatively, with the model test and numerical results. Then, based on the proposed theoretical model, a sensitivity analysis of parameters was conducted, focusing on the variables such as the number of fault planes, fault plane distance (d), fault displacement ratio (η), burial depth (C), crossing angle (β), tunnel diameter (D), fault zone width (Wf), and strike-slip fault displacement (Δfs). The results show that the peak shear force (Vmax), bending moment (Mmax), and axial force (Nmax) decrease with increasing d. The Vmax of the tunnel is found at the fault plane with the largest fault displacement. C, D, and Δfs contribute to the increases in Vmax, Mmax, and Nmax. Additionally, increasing the number of fault planes reduces Vmax and Mmax, whereas the variation in Nmax remains minimal.

Characterization of a deep-water turbiditic reservoir under an active hydrodynamic regime (Niger Delta).

The Egina Field, situated in the deep-water region of the eastern Niger Delta, is characterized by a NE-SW trending anticline that contains several Middle to Upper Miocene stacked reservoirs. Notably, one of the reservoirs in the field includes three sandy intervals, which have been identified as deep marine turbidite systems. The lowest level (Interval 1) comprises a lobe complex, while the uppermost Intervals 2 and 3 consist of erosive channel complexes. These three reservoir intervals exhibit both static and partial dynamic communication. The Egina Field is affected by a coherent network of extensional and oblique-slip faults, with current activity confined to the eastern sector of the structure. Large displacement faults (throw >30m) offset individual reservoir intervals, creating lateral disconnection and acting as barriers to fluid flow across faults. Minor NNE-SSW oriented faults can locally baffle the flow of fluids, as evidenced by well tests and 4D seismic data. Nonetheless, well interference tests suggest good communication within the reservoir. Vertical communication between the stacked sand bodies is facilitated through erosional contacts between reservoir intervals, while lateral communication occurs around segmented faults, via relay ramps and fault tips, in a NE-SW direction. Across the field, ten oil-water contacts have been identified, with a general trend of deepening towards the south. This pattern has been interpreted as a tilted contact caused by an active hydrodynamic regime, where aquifer overpressures gradually decrease from north to south (31 m of difference), aligning with the regional trend. This paper describes how the geological (structural and sedimentological) heterogeneities are paramount in deep-water turbiditic reservoirs, for both static and dynamic conditions. The work presented here shows how the geological analysis can impact reservoir management, driving strategic decisions on field development, as such as the identification of infill wells opportunities or the optimizing the placement of injectors wells, to effectively support producers.

Unveiling crustal deformation patterns along the north Tabriz fault from 2015 to 2022 using multi-temporal InSAR analysis

This paper presents a comprehensive study on the recognition of crustal deformation patterns surrounding the North Tabriz Fault in Northwestern Iran, utilizing Multi-Temporal InSAR analysis. The fault, despite its seismic inactivity for over two centuries, has a long history of ancient seismicity, with earthquake recurrence intervals exceeding two centuries. This makes it highly susceptible to future activity and the generation of significant and devastating earthquakes. However, limited research has been conducted on extracting and modeling deformation patterns of the North Tabriz Fault to identify its active segments. The primary objective of this study is to derive a general trend for fault displacement and investigate regions under pressure in terms of abnormal crustal movements. The results indicate that the Earth's crust in the surrounding regions of the central and northwest segments of the fault exhibits an upward movement ranging from approximately 2 to 10 millimeters per year from 2015 to 2022. In contrast, neighboring areas of the northwestern fault, as well as the northwestern, western, and southwestern parts of Tabriz County, experience ground subsidence with rates ranging from approximately 5 to 40 millimeters per year. These findings are consistent with GNSS-derived line-of-sight measurements obtained from some IPGN stations around the fault with an RMSE of 1.72 mm/yr. Furthermore, the study identifies critical points near the fault that exhibit varying and diverse displacement patterns over time, suggesting significant strain and notable stress within the subsurface environment. According to the analysis of time series data on crustal movements at the identified critical points, it has been found that the prevailing motion pattern of the Earth's crust within the fault zone largely conforms to a sinusoidal descending pattern. Additionally, recent earthquakes in the northwest vicinity of the fault have been observed to occur close to these critical points. Using line-of-sight (LOS) data acquired at these critical points, the study estimates a slip rate of 7.71 ± 0.01 mm/year and a locking depth of 11.27 ± 0.01 km, contributing to a better understanding of the fault's seismogenic behavior. These findings provide valuable insights into the crustal deformation patterns around the North Tabriz Fault, highlighting active segments and regions under pressure.

Detection for Axial Displacement Fault of Winding in Autotransformer Based on Dynamic Frequency Division of FRA and HHO-RF

Detection for Axial Displacement Fault of Winding in Autotransformer Based on Dynamic Frequency Division of FRA and HHO-RF

Recent and active faulting along the exposed front of the Northern Apennines (Italy): New insights from field and geochronological constraints

Establishing genetic links between active shallow faulting and deep seismogenic sources is challenging, especially in areas where seismogenic faults lack clear and readily interpretable geological evidence at the surface. The architecture of the Pedeapenninic margin of the Northern Apennines (Italy) reflects a regional-scale and complex NE-verging blind thrust system, which is dissected by transpressive/transtensive faults resulting from active NE-SW orogenic compression. The local geological framework is defined by allochthonous ocean-derived units resting atop Pliocene-to-present successions exposed along the Northern Apennines margin and to the NE of it, while the innermost chain sector mostly contains Adria-related units. We present results from field structural-geological investigations to identify and characterize potential active faults along the margin. There, the Pliocene-to-present units are faulted and folded, indicating that tectonic activity is still on-going, thus contributing to the local seismic hazard. Top-to-the NE and SW normal faults are common in the area and deform the Pliocene-to-present succession together with NE-SW strike-slip and transpressional/transtensional faults. Based on field evidence, we define four potentially active thrust segments affecting Middle Pleistocene to Holocene deposits exposed along the margin. Calcite U-Th dating on samples from faults extend the most recent datable tectonic activity back to the Middle Pleistocene. Paleostress analysis from inversion of fault-slip data from the most recent identified striated fault planes constrains a NE-SW shortening direction parallel to the Apennines regional migration direction. A distinct but coaxial extensional stress regime, recorded by structures measured within Plio-Pleistocene formations, was also identified. Our results offer a sound starting point for future investigations aimed at improving our understanding of active and seismogenic faulting in the area, so as to create robust Probabilistic Seismic and Fault Displacement Hazard Assessment (PSHA and PFDHA) models that can implement refined seismic hazard maps benefitting from structural-geological deterministic inputs in addition to the classic seismological constraints.

Coseismic surface ruptures of 20 strike-slip earthquakes measured from geodetic imaging data

Observations of coseismic surface ruptures are widely used for examining faulting mechanics and kinematics, and in fault displacement hazard analysis. Here, first, we provide new remote sensing observations of 20 historic surface rupturing continental strike-slip earthquakes (6.1 ≤ Mw≤ 7.9). To measure the near-field surface deformation pattern, we have processed a range of raw radar and optical images from satellite and aerial platforms with pixel tracking techniques, and in two cases using standard interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR). We provide a range of observations, including surface displacement maps that constrain at least the horizontal component of surface motion (2D), and for three events the full 3D components. Second, we provide strain invariants for each event, which includes the finite dilatational strain, strain magnitudes, the vorticity, and maximum shear strain. Third, we provide a total of 134 surface fault rupture traces that are mapped manually from the displacement maps. Finally, we provide 2648 measurements of coseismic horizontal fault-parallel surface fault slip that are measured objectively using swath profiles with a function fitting method that we have developed.

Improved Simplified Engineering Fault Displacement Hazard Evaluation Method for On-Fault Sites

The safety of high-potential risk facilities concerned with fault displacement hazards is a complex technical issue, especially if the fault is revealed beneath the facility during the operation. Applying simple conservative engineering hazard evaluation methods is rational if an urgent decision should be made to continue operation or implement protective measures. Engineering methods are being published for strike-slip on-fault sites and structures. Their crucial point is to estimate the probability of the rupture at the site intersection and consider the displacement distribution over the rupture length relative to the site’s on-fault location. It is shown in the paper that strict geometrical relations between the site location, length and initial point of the rupture determine whether the principal fault displacement intersects the site. The paper considers these geometrical parameters as independent random variables and applies a screening of ruptures contributing to the hazard. Magnitude- and on-fault coordinate-dependent empirical relations have been analysed and selected to evaluate the site displacements. The procedure resulted in realistic but conservative hazard curves for different on-fault site locations using data from the Paks site in Hungary. The results were compared to those obtained by the conservative engineering method for the same site and some published analyses.

Fine Shallow Structures of Binchuan Basin Inverted From Receiver Functions and Implications for Basin Evolution

AbstractThe understanding of the velocity structure and basement morphology within the basin is crucial for seismic hazard mitigation and the study of basin evolution. To explore the intricate structure of the Binchuan Basin in western Yunnan, China, we deployed a linear dense array in the northern region of the Binchuan Basin, with inter‐station distance ranging from 50 to 100 m. We propose a novel receiver function processing workflow. Initially, we extracted coherent receiver functions based on the dense array, followed by a inversion of basement morphology, S‐wave velocities, and sedimentary layer's average Vp/Vs ratio jointly with frequency‐dependent teleseismic apparent shear velocity and receiver function waveforms. The results show that S‐wave velocity anomalies correspond to the unconsolidated sediments. The thickness of the sedimentary layer ranges from ∼0.5 to ∼0.75 km. The basement morphology suggests the basin is controlled by normal faults. Additionally, intra‐basin faults displayed higher fault displacement to length ratios (∼0.27) than most isolated normal faults (10−3–10−1), which may result from accumulated fault displacement due to interactions between fault segments. These results emphasize the significant role of N–S trending intra‐basin faults in basin evolution, suggesting that micro‐block rotations and transitional movements within the Northwestern Yunnan Rift Zone are primary mechanisms shaping the Binchuan Basin. We further proposed a multi‐stage model for the evolution of the Binchuan Basin. The robustness testing validates that the proposed processing flow is an effective approach to comprehensively image the basin velocity structure and the basement morphology.

Frictional Properties of Simulated Fault Gouges Subject to Normal Stress Oscillation and Implications for Induced Seismicity

AbstractUnder critical conditions where experimental fault slip exhibits self‐sustained oscillation, effects of normal stress oscillation (NSO) on fault strength and stability remain poorly understood, as do potential effects of NSO on natural and induced seismicity. In this study, we employed double direct‐shear testing to investigate the frictional behavior of a synthetic, slightly velocity‐weakening (SVW) fault gouge (characterized by self‐sustained oscillation under quasi‐static shear loading), when subjected to NSO at different amplitudes (5%–20% of 5 MPa) and frequencies (0.001–1 Hz). During the experiment, fault displacement and gouge layer thickness were measured. Transmitted ultrasonic waves were also employed to probe grain contact states within the gouge layer. Our results show that fault weakening and unstable slip can be triggered at NSO frequencies ranging from 0.03 to 0.1 Hz and amplitudes exceeding 5%. Interestingly, an amplified shear stress drop and weakening effect were observed when the NSO frequency fell in 0.05–0.1 Hz. Analysis of transmitted ultrasonic waves in tests on the SVW gouge revealed fault dilation, accompanied by unstable slip and weakening. By extending an existing microphysical model (the “Chen‐Niemeijer‐Spiers [CNS]” model), to account for elastic effects of NSO on gouge microstructure and grain contact state, the mechanical and wave data obtained in our experiments on the SVW gouge was reproduced, suggesting an approach for modeling fault instability under upper crustal (SVW) conditions where normal stress is perturbed by subsurface operations, such as periodic gas storage stimulation of reservoir formations.

Timing and characteristics of co-seismic surface ruptures in the Yadong rift, southern Tibet

The Yadong-Gulu rift (YGR) is the most prominent and seismically active of the seven main ∼ NS-trending rifts in southern Tibet. Although the morphology of the southern YGR clearly indicates it has witnessed large earthquakes in the past, and despite its significant late Quaternary throw rates of ∼1 mm/yr, no large historical or instrumental earthquakes have been reported, including in the southernmost Pagri half-graben, in contrast to the northern part of the rift which is highly seismically active. Here, geomorphic characteristics helped us constrain the timing of a paleoearthquake that produced surface ruptures along the Pagri half-graben, used to document its past activity and evaluate its seismic hazard. We demonstrate that the co-seismic surface ruptures extend for ∼65 km along the Yadong normal fault, with a maximum vertical displacement ranging from 2 to 4.0 ± 0.1 m. Based on empirical relationships between magnitude, surface rupture length, and fault displacement, we suggest that this event may correspond to a Mw6.9–7.2 earthquake. Combined with previous studies, our radiocarbon (14C) and Optically Stimulated Luminescence (OSL) ages from three pits within the earthquake wedge across the surface ruptures constrain the paleoearthquake timing at 3470-2056 years BP. We suggest that the southern YGR currently has a high regional seismic hazard for a Mw6.8–7.1 earthquake, considering the significant throw rates and long timespan since the last strong event. Furthermore, we suggest that such different seismic activity and throw/extension rates between the southern and northern YGR may be explained by different upper crustal rheology behavior and mid-crustal structure.

Multi‐mode gravity tectonics during northern North Sea rifting: the Snorre fault block case

AbstractContinental rifts are characterized by up to 30 km wide rotated fault blocks with stratigraphic dip away from the central rift axis. Although gravity‐induced mass movements are well known features of collapsed fault block crests, I here demonstrate the occurrence of polymodal gravity‐driven mass transport down the back slope of a first‐order rift fault block. I identify (1) early sliding related to syntectonic crestal collapse of second‐order rift faults, (2) large‐scale bed‐parallel sliding of the L‐M Jurassic sedimentary package, and (3) the accumulation of two 7 km long, 1–2 km wide and up to 750 m thick volumes of complexly slumped material in the hanging walls of two ramp‐forming faults. Early sliding is documented by 100 m of repeated Brent Group stratigraphy in a cored well in the study area (well 34/4‐15A). These smaller slides have intact internal stratigraphy but show elevated deformation band densities. The seismic data also show evidence for ca. 2 km of massive translational sliding of the ca. 400 m thick and ca. 300 km2 large Jurassic section above a lowermost Jurassic bedding‐parallel detachment. This translational slide did not deform much internally, except for ductile folding where it slid over underlying active rift faults. Chaotic seismic facies in fault hanging walls are interpreted as contorted Jurassic beds, formed by multiple slumping and sliding events that stacked mobilized sediments into a 750 m thick column. These complex slump volumes occur where fault displacement is highest along two relayed faults. A model is favoured where the large translational slide ruptured with an opening of space against the fault that was progressively filled with slumped material from the footwall. While the large‐scale translational sliding only caused moderate internal subseismic deformation, early sliding and, particularly, the complex slumping caused significant internal deformation. This study shows the importance of carefully searching for and distinguishing between different types of mass movement in rift systems.

A simplified analytical solution of pipeline response under normal faulting

Buried pipelines are one of the critical lifeline structures, and the evaluation of pipeline performance under seismic faulting is essential for protection of pipeline networks. This paper explores an analytical solution incorporating implementation of Winkler models around a beam-type structure using the finite difference method to evaluate the pipeline response under normal faulting. The effectiveness of the analytical solution is assessed by comparing the calculated pipe strains with centrifuge and full-scale laboratory testing measurements. Subsequently, the effect of pipe size, faulting condition, and burial condition on pipe response are investigated. It can be found that a pipeline with a smaller pipe wall thickness or larger pipe diameter is generally more prone to failure. Larger pipe wall thickness or lower D/t ratio should be used for pipe design crossing an active fault. In geotechnically problematic areas, shallow burial depth and less stiff soil with lower modulus are recommended to reduce the probability of exceedance of allowable limit states due to normal faulting. In the end, empirical functions relating to critical D/t ratio are proposed to evaluate the critical states of fault displacement, burial depth, and spread of fault rupture with different diameter-to-thickness ratio considering the controlled limit of failure modes.

Propagation buckling failure of a buried offshore pipeline with integral arrestors under external overpressure and strike-slip faulting disturbance

In this study, the propagation buckling failure of a buried offshore pipeline under external overpressure and strike-slip faulting disturbances was investigated numerically. A nonlinear shell model, accounting for geometric, material, self-contact, and pipe-soil interaction nonlinearities, was developed using the vector form intrinsic element method. The arresting performances of the single- and double-integral arrestors were analyzed based on a series of simulations considering various combinations of arrestor diameter-to-thickness ratios, lengths, and sub-arrestor intervals. A comparative analysis was conducted between single- and double-integral arrestors, focusing on their arresting performance, material usage, and manufacturing complexity. The results revealed that pipelines under external overpressure are prone to local collapse and bidirectional buckling propagation under small fault displacements. Reverse ellipticities occur downstream of the buckling propagation and their development leads to flipping propagation. Buckling arrestors function by exhausting the upstream flattening propagation and inhibiting the development of reverse ellipticities downstream. The material consumption of each single-integral arrestor was significantly higher than that of a double-integral arrestor with the same diameter-to-thickness ratio. The weld count of the double-integral arrestors was lower than that of the single scheme, but this difference narrowed as the pipeline mileage increased. These results can serve as valuable guidelines for the design and construction of pipelines crossing seismic zones.

Tectonic Landform and Lithologic Age Impact Uncertainties in Fault Displacement Hazard Models

AbstractTectonic landforms and surficial lithologic age are essential data for producing quality late Quaternary fault maps and predicting coseismic fault rupture location before an earthquake. However, we lack a clear understanding of the relationship between tectonic landforms and shallow earthquake processes and how lithologic age relates to landform preservation. We assess how fault location error (rupture‐to‐fault separation distance) and coseismic displacement residual (difference between observed and predicted coseismic displacement) vary with tectonic landform and lithologic age for four historical earthquakes. Certain tectonic landforms identified before these earthquakes correlate with lower fault location errors and median displacements below model predictions. Faults cutting Holocene units exhibit the largest location errors, reflecting surface processes that erode or bury fault evidence. This study shows that tectonic landforms and lithologic age have a significant impact on fault location uncertainty and coseismic displacement, which should be considered in fault mapping and fault displacement assessment.

Kinematic and dynamic fault slip analyses: Implications from the surface rupture of the 2023 Elbistan (Kahramanmaraş) (Mw7.6) earthquake, Türkiye

On 6 February 2023, the Elbistan (Kahramanmaraş) (Mw7.6) earthquake produced a strike-slip type coseismic surface rupture zone, involving the sinistral slip of the Doğanşehir Fault (DF) and Çardak Fault (ÇF). Fault slickenlines and seismic slickenlines were included in the inversion as part of the dynamic analysis. The inversion of fault slickenlines collected from nine outcrops along the surface rupture following the earthquake, many of which developed during the event and are referred to as coseismic slickenlines, reveals a strike-slip stress regime (σ2 = σv) characterized by a NE-SW (mean azimuth: N045°E) σ1 (maximum) axis. Relict slip planes adjacent to main slip surfaces were found to host slickenlines that appear much older than the most recent earthquake, referred to as paleoslip slickenlines. Inversion of the paleoslip slickenline collected from four outcrops reveals an extensional stress regime (σ1 = σv) characterized by a NE-SW σ3 (min) axis, consistent with previously published studies. To define a significant stress tensor concerning present-day faulting within the investigated area, the inversion method was applied to the seismic slickenlines of shallow earthquakes in the surface rupture area. The inversion of sixty selected nodal planes reveals a strike-slip stress regime (σ2 = σv) characterized by an NNE–SSW (N10°E) σ1 (max) axis. Besides, the moment tensor summation analysis using displacement vectors inferred from visible field markers offset during the earthquake was applied to the seismic slickenlines as part of the kinematic analysis. The shortening and extension results for the moment tensor summation are 044/36 and 307/11 indicating NE-SW compression. Results of the moment tensor summation (weighted by fault displacement) agree broadly with the inversion of seismic slickenlines results, indicating an NE orientation for shortening and an SE orientation for extension.

Impact of Seismic Geohazards on water supply systems and pipeline performance: Insights from the 2023 Kahramanmaras Earthquakes

This study delves into the profound repercussions of geohazards on water supply systems, specifically in the aftermath of the Kahramanmaras earthquakes. The influence of these geohazards was far-reaching, impacting a vast geographical expanse affected by the seismic events. The primary focus of this investigation centers on the provinces of Adiyaman, Gaziantep, and Hatay, providing representative damage examples from the earthquake-affected areas. The study illustrates various types of pipe failures induced by geohazards such as fault displacements, landslides, and liquefaction. The analysis encompasses diverse cases of damage, starting from the water resources, progressing through issues at transmission lines, and extending to challenges faced by pumping and treatment facilities. Key aspects of damages and geohazards are presented, shedding light on the intricate dynamics of these interactions. It is crucial to note the scarcity of real cases in the existing literature, emphasizing the need for extensive site investigations and dedicated research endeavors to construct a comprehensive database of case histories in this domain. This study addresses this gap, contributing valuable insights into the tangible impacts of geohazards on water supply systems. By comprehending and effectively addressing the risks associated with geohazards, water supply organizations can fortify the safety and resilience of their infrastructure. The findings presented herein offer a foundation for informed decision-making and strategic planning, fostering a proactive approach to mitigate potential damages and enhance the overall robustness of water supply systems in regions prone to seismic events and associated geohazards.

Database for the Fault Displacement Hazard Initiative Project

New predictive models for fault displacement and surface rupture hazard analysis developed through the Fault Displacement Hazard Initiative (FDHI) research program require a high-quality empirical database to apply advanced statistical methods and improve hazard estimates. This article discusses the development and contents of the FDHI Project database. We systematically collected, reviewed, and organized fault displacement measurements, surface rupture maps, and supporting information from the scientific literature. A framework was developed and implemented to classify principal and distributed faulting. Best-estimate net displacement amplitudes were calculated from slip component measurements and quality codes were assigned to all net displacement values. The database contains 75 historical, surface-rupturing crustal earthquakes ranging from M 4.9 to 8.0. Thirty-five earthquakes have a strike-slip faulting mechanism, while 25 and 15 events are reverse/reverse-oblique and normal/normal-oblique, respectively. Although most of the earthquakes are from Western North America, Japan, and other active tectonic regions, there are nine reverse faulting events from the stable continental region of Australia. The database contains over 40,000 individual fault displacement measurements for various slip components from roughly 28,000 observation sites. Geographic coordinates are included for all data, and event-specific coordinate systems are provided for each earthquake that transform data into an along-strike dimension. Our new database provides a standardized collection of surface rupture and fault displacement data and metadata that is the result of a comprehensive effort to create a reliable and stable product for the FDHI model development teams and the geoscience community.

A Decoupled Buckling Failure Analysis of Buried Steel Pipeline Subjected to the Strike-Slip Fault

Over the past few years, there has been an increased focus on offshore pipeline safety due to the development of offshore oil and gas resources. Both onshore and offshore pipelines may face significant geological hazards resulting from active faults. Pre-excavated soil can be used as backfill for trenches to prevent major pipeline deformations. Since these backfill materials have been heavily remolded, they are softer than the native soil. Therefore, the difference in shear strength between the backfill and native ground may have an effect on the interaction between the pipeline and the backfill. In this paper, the pipeline–backfill–trench interaction is investigated using a hybrid beam–spring model. The P-Y curves obtained from CEL analysis are incorporated into a 3D beam–spring model to analyze the pipeline’s response to lateral strike-slip faults. Additionally, the nonlinearity of pipeline materials is considered to study pipeline failure modes under strike-slip fault movements. A series of parametric studies were conducted to explore the effects of fault intersection angle, pipe diameter, buried depth of the pipe, and soil conditions on the failure modes of buckling pipelines. The developed method can be used to analyze and assess pipeline–backfill–trench interaction when subjected to strike-slip fault displacements.

Constraining Displacement Magnitude on Crustal‐Scale Extensional Faults Using Thermochronology Combined With Flexural‐Kinematic and Thermal‐Kinematic Modeling: An Example From the Teton Fault, Wyoming, USA

AbstractConstraining the geometry and displacement of crustal‐scale normal faults has historically been challenging, owing to difficulties with geophysical imaging and inability to identify precise cut‐offs at depth. Using a modified workflow previously applied to contractional systems, flexural‐kinematic (Move) and thermal‐kinematic (Pecube) models are integrated with apatite (U‐Th)/He (AHe) and apatite fission track (AFT) data from Teton footwall transects to constrain total Teton fault displacement (Dmax). Models with slip onset at ∼10 Ma and flexure parameters that best match the observed Teton flexural profile require Dmax > 8 km to produce young (<10 Ma) AHe ages observed at low elevation footwall positions in the Tetons. For the same slip onset, models with Dmax of 11–13 km provide the best match to observed AHe data, but displacements ≥16 km are required to produce observed AFT ages (13.6–12.0 Ma) at low elevations. A more complex model with slow slip onset at ∼25 Ma followed by faster slip at ∼10 Ma yields a good match between modeled and observed AHe ages at a Dmax of 13–15 km. However, this model predicts low elevation AFT ages 6–8 Ma older than observed ages, even at Dmax values of 16–17 km. Based on this analysis and integration with previous studies, we propose a unified evolution wherein the Teton fault likely experienced 11–13 km of Miocene‐recent displacement, with AFT data likely indicating a pre‐to early Miocene cooling history. Importantly, this study highlights the utility of using integrated flexural‐ and thermal‐kinematic models to resolve displacement histories in extensional systems.

The performance of transmission pipelines on February 6th, 2023 Kahramanmaras earthquake: a series of case studies

AbstractThe Mw 7.8 earthquake that struck Kahramanmaras on February 6, 2023, caused significant damage to hydrocarbon and water transmission lines due to permanent ground deformations. Explosions occurred in the Kahramanmaras–Gaziantep Natural Gas transmission pipeline causing disruption of gas in the cities of Gaziantep and Hatay Fault Displacement Hazard. Water transmission pipelines were also damaged due to extreme fault offsets. This paper presents the findings from the earthquake affected zones. Particular attention was given to the performance of the 2600 mm diameter Duzbag–Gaziantep water transmission pipeline due to three reported challenges: (#1) The behavior of the pipe in the Duzbag tunnel, (#2) The pipe bend behavior at the fault crossing, and (#3) The pull-out of the pipe at valve room. Based on field observations, extreme damage forms at pipes were presented. A three-dimensional nonlinear numerical analysis was performed to simulate the observed damage of the reoriented water pipe at the fault crossing for Case #2. The nonlinear finite element model was able to capture the complex nature of the post-yield behavior of steel pipe as well as the damage locations along the pipe and their sequence of occurrences. As a mitigation measure for new pipes, the need for using flexible connections at critical crossings was highlighted. For existing pipes, the importance of developing secondary (by-pass) lines was emphasized.