Abstract

Establishing genetic links between active shallow faulting and deep seismogenic sources is challenging, especially in areas where seismogenic faults lack clear and readily interpretable geological evidence at the surface. The architecture of the Pedeapenninic margin of the Northern Apennines (Italy) reflects a regional-scale and complex NE-verging blind thrust system, which is dissected by transpressive/transtensive faults resulting from active NE-SW orogenic compression. The local geological framework is defined by allochthonous ocean-derived units resting atop Pliocene-to-present successions exposed along the Northern Apennines margin and to the NE of it, while the innermost chain sector mostly contains Adria-related units. We present results from field structural-geological investigations to identify and characterize potential active faults along the margin. There, the Pliocene-to-present units are faulted and folded, indicating that tectonic activity is still on-going, thus contributing to the local seismic hazard. Top-to-the NE and SW normal faults are common in the area and deform the Pliocene-to-present succession together with NE-SW strike-slip and transpressional/transtensional faults. Based on field evidence, we define four potentially active thrust segments affecting Middle Pleistocene to Holocene deposits exposed along the margin. Calcite UTh dating on samples from faults extend the most recent datable tectonic activity back to the Middle Pleistocene. Paleostress analysis from inversion of fault-slip data from the most recent identified striated fault planes constrains a NE-SW shortening direction parallel to the Apennines regional migration direction. A distinct but coaxial extensional stress regime, recorded by structures measured within Plio-Pleistocene formations, was also identified. Our results offer a sound starting point for future investigations aimed at improving our understanding of active and seismogenic faulting in the area, so as to create robust Probabilistic Seismic and Fault Displacement Hazard Assessment (PSHA and PFDHA) models that can implement refined seismic hazard maps benefitting from structural-geological deterministic inputs in addition to the classic seismological constraints.

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