Ice Clouds Research Articles

Evaluation of COSMO-CLM Model Parameter Sensitivity in the Study of Extreme Events across the Eastern Region of India

The present study aims to identify the parameters from the Consortium for Small-scale Modelling in CLimate Mode (COSMO-CLM) regional climate model that strongly controls the prediction of extreme events over West Bengal and the adjoining areas observed between 2013 to 2018. Metrics, namely Performance Score (PS) screen out the most persuasive parameter on model output. Additionally, the Performance Index (PI) measure the reliability of the model and Skill Score (SS) establishes the model performance against the reference simulation leading to the optimization of the model for a given variable. In this study, parameter screening for four output variables such as 2m-temperature, surface latent heat flux, precipitation and cloud cover of COSMO-CLM is accomplished. For heat wave simulations, 2m-temperature and surface latent heat flux are explored whereas cloud cover and precipitation are examined for extreme rainfall events. A total of 25 adjustable parameters representing the following parameterization schemes: turbulence, land surface process, microphysics, convection, radiation and soil. Out of the six parameterization schemes, the scaling factor of the laminar boundary layer for heat (rlam_heat) and the ratio of laminar scaling factors for heat over sea and land (rat_sea) from the land surface process is sensitive to SLH, TP. The exponent to get the effective surface area (e_surf) from the land surface has a large impact on 2m-temperature. A few parameters from microphysics (cloud ice threshold for auto conversion), convection (mean entrainment rate for shallow convection) and radiation (parameter for computing the amount of cloud cover in saturated conditions) play a significant role in producing TP, and TCC fields. It is evident from the results that the parameter sensitivities on model performance depend on the choice of the meteorological field. Furthermore, in almost all input model parameters, the model performance reveals the opposite character in different domains for a given meteorological field.

Uncertainties in cloud-radiative heating within an idealized extratropical cyclone

Abstract. Cloud-radiative heating (CRH) within the atmosphere affects the dynamics and predictability of extratropical cyclones. However, CRH is uncertain in numerical weather prediction and climate models, and this could affect model predictions of extratropical cyclones. In this paper, we present a systematic quantification of CRH uncertainties. To this end, we study an idealized extratropical cyclone simulated at a convection-permitting resolution of 2.5 km and combine large-eddy-model simulations at a 300 m resolution with offline radiative transfer calculations. We quantify four factors contributing to the CRH uncertainty in different regions of the cyclone: 3D cloud-radiative effects, parameterization of ice optical properties, cloud horizontal heterogeneity, and cloud vertical overlap. The last two factors can be considered essentially resolved at 300 m but need to be parameterized at a 2.5 km resolution. Our results indicate that parameterization of ice optical properties and cloud horizontal heterogeneity are the two factors contributing most to the mean uncertainty in CRH at larger spatial scales and can be more relevant for the large-scale dynamics of the cyclone. On the other hand, 3D cloud-radiative effects are much smaller on average, especially for stratiform clouds within the warm conveyor belt of the cyclone. Our analysis in particular highlights the potential to improve the simulation of CRH by better representing ice optical properties. Future work should, in particular, address how uncertainty in ice optical properties affects the dynamics and predictability of extratropical cyclones.

Subgrid-scale variability of cloud ice in the ICON-AES 1.3.00

Subgrid-scale variability of cloud ice in the ICON-AES 1.3.00

Propyne: Determination of Physical Properties and Unit Cell Parameters under Titan-Relevant Conditions.

With its large size, dense atmosphere, methane-based hydrological-like cycle, and diverse surface features, the Saturnian moon Titan is one of the most unique of the outer Solar System satellites. Study of the photochemically produced molecules in Titan's atmosphere is critical in order to understand the mechanics of the atmosphere and, by extension, the interactions between atmosphere, surface, and subsurface water ocean. One example is propyne vapor, a photochemically produced species in Titan's upper atmosphere expected to condense in Titan's stratosphere at lower altitudes. Propyne may also be a trace species in Titan's stratospheric co-condensed ice clouds detected by the Cassini Composite InfraRed Spectrometer. Bulk structural characterization of propyne ice is currently incomplete and is lacking in published laboratory Raman spectra and X-ray diffraction data. Here, we present a laboratory characterization of propyne ice, including the first published X-ray diffraction and Raman spectroscopy results for propyne ice.

Two Ubiquitous Radiative States Observed across the High Latitudes

Abstract Previous studies have shown the Arctic exhibits two preferred radiative states, one that is regarded as “radiatively opaque” and the other as “radiatively clear”; this presents as bimodality in the surface longwave flux distributions. How frequently these two states occur and what causes them to persist has significant implications for the polar climate. Furthermore, in the presence of multimodality, evaluating models based solely on their ability to resolve the mean and variance of a distribution can lead to a poor representation of the physical evolution of our climate. This study takes a holistic view of this bimodal behavior, seeking to understand to what degree the high latitudes of both hemispheres reside in distinct radiative states. Even when separated into climatologically distinct subregions, many polar regions exhibit bimodality in their longwave flux distributions not observed at lower latitudes, suggesting that the existence of these two states is both common in and unique to polar regions. Bimodality arises due to a tendency for the atmosphere to alternate between transmissive or opaque clouds, with surface longwave radiative effects of approximately 0 and 75 W m−2 (relative to clear-sky values), respectively. Clouds need not contain liquid to lead to the opaque state, as is typically assumed. The presence of solely ice clouds can cause bimodality to arise in downwelling longwave flux distributions. While some regions do not explicitly exhibit multimodal surface longwave radiation distributions, it is found that similar cloud states exist but in disproportionate frequencies. Significance Statement Radiation plays an important role in shaping the Arctic and Antarctic climates. Several Arctic expeditions have found that certain regions flip between having a very large energy deficit (“transmissive”) to relatively small energy deficit (“opaque”). The former allows for surface cooling and promotes the formation of ice, while the latter hinders such behavior. This study utilizes satellite observations to understand if this behavior is consistent across the Arctic and Antarctic. Understanding the frequencies of these two states is increasingly important within the context of our rapidly changing climate, and by uncovering the fundamental processes which lead to them, we may be able to model how they will change in the future.

Aerosol influence on cloud macrophysical and microphysical properties over the Tibetan Plateau and its adjacent regions.

This study uses aerosol optical depth (AOD) and cloud properties data to investigate the influence of aerosol on the cloud properties over the Tibetan Plateau and its adjacent regions. The study regions are divided as the western part of the Tibetan Plateau (WTP), the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP), and the Sichuan Basin (SCB). All three regions show significant cloud effects under low aerosol loading conditions. In WTP, under low aerosol loading conditions, the effective radius of liquid cloud particles (LREF) decreases with the increase of aerosol loading, while the effective radius of ice cloud particles (IREF) and cloud top height (CTH) increase during the cold season. Increased aerosol loading might inhibit the development of warm rain processes, transporting more cloud droplets above the freezing level and promoting ice cloud development. During the warm season, under low aerosol loading conditions, both the cloud microphysical (LREF and IREF) and macrophysical (cloud top height and cloud fraction) properties increase with the increase of aerosol loading, likely due to higher dust aerosol concentration in this region. In IGP, both LREF and IREF increase with the increase in aerosol loading during the cold season. In SCB, LREF increases with the increase in aerosol loading, while IREF decreases, possibly due to the higher hygroscopic aerosol concentration in the SCB during the cold season. Meteorological conditions also modulate the aerosol-cloud interaction. Under different convective available potential energy (CAPE) and relative humidity (RH) conditions, the influence of aerosol on clouds varies in the three regions. Under low CAPE and RH conditions, the relationship between LREF and aerosol in both the cold and warm seasons is opposite in the WTP: LREF decreases with the increase of aerosol in the cold season, while it increases in the warm season. This discrepancy may be attributed to a difference in the moisture condition between the cold and warm seasons in this region. In general, the influence of aerosols on cloud properties in TP and its adjacent regions is characterized by significant nonlinearity and spatial variability, which is likely related to the differences in aerosol types and meteorological conditions between different regions.

Evaluation of downward and upward solar irradiances simulated by the Integrated Forecasting System of ECMWF using airborne observations above Arctic low-level clouds

Abstract. The simulations of upward and downward irradiances by the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts are compared with broadband solar irradiance measurements from the Arctic CLoud Observations Using airborne measurements during polar Day (ACLOUD) campaign. For this purpose, offline radiative transfer simulations were performed with the ecRad radiation scheme using the operational IFS output. The simulations of the downward solar irradiance agree within the measurement uncertainty. However, the IFS underestimates the reflected solar irradiances above sea ice significantly by −35 W m−2. Above open ocean, the agreement is closer, with an overestimation of 28 W m−2. A sensitivity study using measured surface and cloud properties is performed with ecRad to quantify the contributions of the surface albedo, cloud fraction, ice and liquid water path and cloud droplet number concentration to the observed bias. It shows that the IFS sea ice albedo climatology underestimates the observed sea ice albedo, causing more than 50 % of the bias. Considering the higher variability of in situ observations in the parameterization of the cloud droplet number concentration leads to a smaller bias of −27 W m−2 above sea ice and a larger bias of 48 W m−2 above open ocean by increasing the range from 36–69 to 36–200 cm−3. Above sea ice, realistic surface albedos, cloud droplet number concentrations and liquid water paths contribute most to the bias improvement. Above open ocean, realistic cloud fractions and liquid water paths are most important for reducing the model–observation differences.

Relationship between precipitation and cloud properties in different regions of Southwest China

AbstractThe relationship between precipitation and cloud properties in Southwest China are investigated by using the CLARA‐A2 cloud parameters data and TRMM‐3B43 precipitation data from 1998 to 2015. Ice water path (IWP) and cloud top height (CTH) are significantly and positively correlated with precipitation in all regions, indicating that ice‐phase processes and cloud development processes are the critical processes influencing precipitation. Precipitation is also directly associated with cloud fractional coverage (CFC) due to the significant positive correlation between CFC and precipitation in all regions except the Sichuan Basin (SCB). A positive correlation between liquid water path (LWP) and precipitation is found in the Eastern Tibetan Plateau (ETP) and Yunnan‐Kweichow Plateau (YKP), but not in the Western Tibetan Plateau (WTP) and SCB. Notably, the response of precipitation to LWP is not as good as that to IWP in SCB. Precipitation is significantly negatively correlated with ice effective radius (IREF) in WTP and ETP and positively correlated with liquid effective radius (LREF) in ETP, YKP and SCB. IREF and LREF are closely related to cloud microphysical processes. Specifically, small IREF could accelerate the Bergeron process and thus increase precipitation, while large LREF is closely related to the cloud droplets coalescence process. Results indicate that the difference in precipitation between the cold and warm seasons is related to convective available potential energy (CAPE) and low troposphere relative humidity (RH). High CAPE and RH favour the precipitation occurrence in Southwest China. The influence of CAPE and RH on precipitation is more significant in the ETP than that in the WTP, owing to the orographic lifting and moisture transport from the Indian Ocean. Thermodynamic and humidity conditions have a greater impact on precipitation by influencing LREF, LWP and IWP in YKP. In SCB, precipitation shows a strong dependence on CAPE, IWP and LREF, but not on RH.

A New Comprehensive Cloud Macrophysics Scheme With a Prognostic Dual‐Triangular PDF

AbstractTo improve cloud simulation in a general circulation model, we develop a new cloud macrophysics scheme that treats detrained cumulus generated by convective detrainment process separately from pure stratus; prognoses two symmetric triangular probability density functions of total specific humidity for each detrained cumulus and pure stratus; and diagnoses both cloud fraction and cloud condensate in all liquid, ice, and mixed‐phases in a consistent and unified way without any adjustment to remove empty or very dense cloud. Supersaturation is allowed within ice cloud. The new scheme (“NEW”) is compared with the previous model (“OLD”) using single‐column simulations for subtropical marine stratocumulus (DYCOMS2) and continental deep convection (ARM97) cases. In DYCOMS2, both NEW and OLD produce vertical profiles of grid‐mean cloud condensate similar to large‐eddy simulation. In ARM97, compared with OLD, NEW simulates less sporadic vertical profiles of in‐cloud condensates, due to consistent diagnosis of cloud fraction and cloud condensate; more continuously‐varying detrained cumulus with time, due to prognostic treatment of detrained cumulus; and ice cloud fraction and ice condensate similar to those of OLD, in spite of completely different treatment of ice cloud processes. The global performance of NEW is similar to OLD with improved relative humidity. Compared to OLD, NEW simulates more and improved cloud condensate, but less and degraded cloud fraction, particularly, in the lower troposphere. Detrained cumulus is moister and colder and has a larger moisture variance than pure stratus. Overall, NEW simulates stronger condensation‐deposition rates than OLD, due in part to the separate treatment of detrained cumulus and pure stratus.

Implementation of All-Sky Assimilation of Microwave Humidity Sounding Channels in Environment Canada’s Global Deterministic Weather Prediction System

Abstract Cloud-affected microwave humidity sounding radiances were excluded from assimilation in the hybrid four-dimensional ensemble–variational (4D-EnVar) system of the Global Deterministic Prediction System (GDPS) at Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC). This was due to the inability of the current radiative transfer model to consider the scattering effect from frozen hydrometeors at these frequencies. In addition to upgrading the observation operator to RTTOV-SCATT, quality control, bias correction, and 4D-EnVar assimilation components are modified to perform all-sky assimilation of Microwave Humidity Sounder (MHS) channel 2–5 observations over ocean in the GDPS. The input profiles to RTTOV-SCATT are extended to include liquid cloud, ice cloud, and cloud fraction profiles for the simulation and assimilation of MHS observations over water. There is a maximum (35%) increase in the number of channel 2 assimilated MHS observations with smaller increases for channels 3–5 in the all-sky experiment compared to the clear-sky experiment, mostly because of newly assimilated cloud-affected observations. The standard deviation (stddev) of difference between the observed global positioning system radio occultation (GPSRO) refractivity observations and the corresponding simulated values using the background state was reduced in the lower troposphere below 9 km in the all-sky experiment. Verifications of forecasts against the radiosonde observations show statistically significant reductions of 1% in the stddev of error for geopotential height, temperature, and horizontal wind for the all-sky experiment between 72- and 120-h forecast ranges in the troposphere in the Northern Hemisphere domain. Verifications of forecasts against ECMWF analyses also show small improvements in the zonal mean of stddev of error for temperature and horizontal wind for the all-sky experiment between 72- and 120-h forecast ranges. This work was planned for operational implementation in the GDPS in fall 2023.

Seasonal vertical distributions of diurnal variation of ice cloud frequency by CATS measurements over a global region (51°S-51°N)

Ice clouds can strongly affect the radiation budget through the reflection (absorption) of solar shortwave (longwave) radiation in the Earth-atmosphere system. Unlike water clouds, ice clouds present a longer lifetime in the upper troposphere. Therefore, the vertical patterns of diurnal variation of ice clouds are of very importance to understand climate change in the globe. The present paper investigates the diurnal variation of ice cloud frequency (ICF) from March 2015 to October 2017 over the global scale (51 ° S and 51 ° N) by CATS (Cloud-Aerosol Transport System) LiDAR onboard the International Space Station (ISS) and CALIPSO (Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations) LiDAR measurements. Our results suggest that: (1) ICF derived from the CATS and CALIPSO LiDAR presents the similar geographical variations. (2) The vertical distribution of ICF in land area over the North Hemisphere (NH) is found larger than in the South Hemisphere (SH) likely due to the more dust aerosols as ice nuclei to influence ice cloud formation over the NH. (3) ICF at nighttime (00:00–06:00 and 18:00–23:00) exhibits higher value than daytime (06:00–18:00), especially in high altitude (more than 12 km) ice clouds in the tropics. (4) The number of ice cloud samples is higher in spring and winter compared to summer and autumn, and the highest amount of ice cloud samples in spring(winter) occurs during nighttime(daytime) for most hours. These findings provide significant insights that may help improving the ice cloud's representation in climate models.

A cloud-by-cloud approach for studying aerosol–cloud interaction in satellite observations

Abstract. The effective radiative forcing (ERF) due to aerosol–cloud interactions (ACIs) and rapid adjustments (ERFaci) still causes the largest uncertainty in the assessment of climate change. It is understood only with medium confidence and is studied primarily for warm clouds. Here, we present a novel cloud-by-cloud (C×C) approach for studying ACI in satellite observations that combines the concentration of cloud condensation nuclei (nCCN) and ice nucleating particles (nINP) from polar-orbiting lidar measurements with the development of the properties of individual clouds by tracking them in geostationary observations. We present a step-by-step description for obtaining matched aerosol–cloud cases. The application to satellite observations over central Europe and northern Africa during 2014, together with rigorous quality assurance, leads to 399 liquid-only clouds and 95 ice-containing clouds that can be matched to surrounding nCCN and nINP respectively at cloud level. We use this initial data set for assessing the impact of changes in cloud-relevant aerosol concentrations on the cloud droplet number concentration (Nd) and effective radius (reff) of liquid clouds and the phase of clouds in the regime of heterogeneous ice formation. We find a Δln⁡Nd/Δln⁡nCCN of 0.13 to 0.30, which is at the lower end of commonly inferred values of 0.3 to 0.8. The Δln⁡reff/Δln⁡nCCN between −0.09 and −0.21 suggests that reff decreases by −0.81 to −3.78 nm per increase in nCCN of 1 cm−3. We also find a tendency towards more cloud ice and more fully glaciated clouds with increasing nINP that cannot be explained by the increasingly lower cloud top temperature of supercooled-liquid, mixed-phase, and fully glaciated clouds alone. Applied to a larger number of observations, the C×C approach has the potential to enable the systematic investigation of warm and cold clouds. This marks a step change in the quantification of ERFaci from space.

Joint Retrieval of Multiple Species of Ice Hydrometeor Parameters from Millimeter and Submillimeter Wave Brightness Temperature Based on Convolutional Neural Networks

Submillimeter wave radiometers are promising remote sensing tools for sounding ice cloud parameters. The Ice Cloud Imager (ICI) aboard the second generation of the EUMETSAT Polar System (EPS−SG) is the first operational submillimeter wave radiometer used for ice cloud remote sensing. Ice clouds simultaneously contain three species of ice hydrometeors—ice, snow, and graupel—the physical distributions and submillimeter wave radiation characteristics of which differ. Therefore, jointly retrieving the mass parameters of the three ice hydrometeors from submillimeter brightness temperatures is very challenging. In this paper, we propose a multiple species of ice hydrometeor parameters retrieval algorithm based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) that can jointly retrieve the total content and vertical profiles of ice, snow, and graupel particles from submillimeter brightness temperatures. The training dataset is generated by a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model and a submillimeter wave radiative transfer (RT) model. In this study, an end to end ICI simulation experiment involving forward modeling of the brightness temperature and retrieval of ice cloud parameters was conducted to verify the effectiveness of the proposed CNN retrieval algorithm. Compared with the classical Unet, the average relative errors of the improved RCNN–ResUnet are reduced by 11%, 25%, and 18% in GWP, IWP, and SWP retrieval, respectively. Compared with Bayesian Monte Carlo integration algorithm, the average relative error of the total content retrieved by RCNN–ResUnet is reduced by 71%. Compared with BP neural network algorithm, the average relative error of the vertical profiles retrieved by RCNN–ResUnet is reduced by 69%. In addition, this algorithm was applied to actual Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) 183 GHz observed brightness temperatures to retrieve graupel particle parameters with a relative error in the total content of less than 25% and a relative error in the profile of less than 35%. The results show that the proposed CNN algorithm can be applied to future space borne submillimeter wave radiometers to jointly retrieve mass parameters of ice, snow, and graupel.

Effects of Pollen on Hydrometeors and Precipitation in a Convective System

AbstractAnemophilous (wind‐driven) pollen is one type of primary biological aerosol particle, which can rupture under high humidity conditions and form smaller sub‐pollen particles (SPPs). Both pollen and SPPs can reach the upper troposphere under convective conditions, acting as cloud condensation nuclei (CCN) and ice nucleating particles (INPs), thus influencing cloud formation and precipitation. However, the impacts of these biological aerosols on cold cloud formation and local climate remain unclear as there are large uncertainties on their emission flux and ice nucleating abilities. Here, we incorporate pollen emission and rupture processes in the Weather Research and Forecasting Model with Chemistry (WRF‐Chem) simulations and update the Morrison microphysics scheme within WRF‐Chem using aerosol‐aware INP parameterizations to account for pollen in addition to other anthropogenic and biogenic aerosol. INP parameterizations for pollen and SPP are derived from laboratory experiments. When including pollen rupture rates as observed in a series of chamber studies, SPP concentrations increase, leading to an increase of cloud ice and water by up to 50% and potentially extending the duration of the convective system. Among all simulated hydrometeors, graupel and raindrops exhibit the largest enhancements from the inclusion of SPPs, with intensifying precipitation at the backside of the convective system and a greater spatial extent. Sensitivity simulations indicate that SPPs have a greater effect on cloud microphysical processes than whole pollen grains, and further observational evidence is needed to constrain these processes.

A Review of Remote Sensing of Atmospheric Profiles and Cloud Properties by Ground-Based Microwave Radiometers in Central China

Thermodynamic and liquid water profiles can be retrieved by a ground-based microwave radiometer (MWR) in nearly all weather conditions, which is useful for detecting mesoscale phenomena. This paper reviews the advances in remote sensing of atmospheric profiles and cloud properties by MWR in central China. Comparative studies indicate that MWR retrieval accuracy is different under various skies, especially those that decay under precipitation. The off-zenith method is proven to be capable of reducing the impact of precipitation and snow on MWR retrieval accuracy. Application studies demonstrate that MWR retrievals are helpful for early warning of rainstorms, hailstorms, and thunderstorms. Moreover, MWR retrievals provide a way to study cloud properties. The temporal variations of cloud occurrence frequency (COF) and liquid water path (LWP) are different for low, middle, and high clouds, and the vertical distribution of COF is also different in autumn and other seasons. Note that MWR can infer valid retrievals over the eastern Tibetan Plateau due to the weak precipitation over there. Also, cloud properties over the eastern Tibetan Plateau present differences from those over central China, and this is related to the different characteristics of atmospheric water vapor between these two regions. To bring more benefits for mechanism study and early warning of severe weather and numerical weather prediction, the decayed accuracy of MWR zenith retrievals under precipitation should be resolved. And combining MWR with other instruments is necessary for MWR application in detecting multi-layer clouds and ice clouds.

Global characteristics of cloud macro-physical properties from active satellite remote sensing

Based on the products of joint CloudSat and CALIPSO observations from 2006 to 2017, this study investigates the global cloud macro-physical characteristics, including the spatial differences in cloud height, cloud thickness, cloud type, and cloud phase, along with the spatial-temporal variations and the land-sea discrepancy of the cloud vertical structure variables according to the study areas. The results show that the cloud frequency is higher over oceans than over land globally, but the opposite is true for cloud systems with more than two layers. Seasonal variability of global-average total cloud fraction is small, but large among different latitudinal bands. The global spatial distributions of cloud top height (CTH) and cloud base height (CBH) are similar, showing larger cloud heights over the land than over the ocean. The low clouds are mostly located in the central subtropical region, with CTH among 2.5–7.5 km, While the high clouds are mainly distributed in the equatorial region with CTH about 10–15 km. Meanwhile, the regional and seasonal variability of cloud geometric thickness (CGT) in all study areas are small, and the average thickness of higher clouds is slightly larger than that of lower clouds. By categorizing the clouds into eight types, it was found that the frequency of cirrus (Ci) and stratocumulus (Sc) is higher, followed by altocumulus (Ac), altostratus (As), nimbostratus (Ns) and cumulus (Cu), and the frequency of stratus (St) and deep convective clouds (DC) is the lowest. In addition, the occurrence frequency of clouds in phases was ranked from high to low as ice clouds, liquid clouds and mixed-phase clouds. Ice clouds are concentrated in the tropics and mid-latitudes, and located almost symmetrically around the equator during Mar-Apr-May (MAM) and Sep-Oct-Nov (SON). Liquid clouds are mainly distributed around 30°S and 30°N with large seasonal variability, and their frequency is higher over the ocean than over the land. Mixed-phase clouds are concentrated in the middle and high latitudes, with much less occurring in the equatorial regions.

Numerical Study on the Precipitation Concentration over the Western Coast of Sumatra Island

Abstract Large amounts of tropical precipitation have been observed as significantly concentrated over the western coast of Sumatra Island. In the present study, we used a cloud-resolving model to perform 14-day numerical simulations and reproduce the distinctive precipitation distributions over western Sumatra Island and adjacent areas. The control experiment, in which the warmer sea surface temperature (SST) near the coast was incorporated and the terminal velocity and effective radius of ice clouds were parameterized to be temperature dependent, adequately reproduced the precipitation concentration as well as the diurnal cycles of precipitation. We then used the column-integrated frozen moist static energy budget equation, which is virtually equivalent to the column-integrated moisture budget equation under the weak temperature gradient assumption, to formulate sensitivity experiments focusing on the effects of coastal SST and upper-level ice clouds. Analysis of the time-averaged fields revealed that the column-integrated moisture and precipitation in the coast were significantly reduced when a cooler coastal SST or larger ice cloud particle size was assumed. Based on the comparison of the sensitivity experiments and in situ observations, we speculate that ice clouds, which are exported from inland convection that is strictly regulated by solar radiation, promote the accumulation of moisture in the coastal region by mitigating radiative cooling. Together with the moisture and heat supplied by the warm ocean surface, they contribute to the large amounts of precipitation here.

A Machine Learning Parameterization of Clouds in a Coarse‐Resolution Climate Model for Unbiased Radiation

AbstractCoarse‐grid weather and climate models rely particularly on parameterizations of cloud fields, and coarse‐grained cloud fields from a fine‐grid reference model are a natural target for a machine‐learned parameterization. We machine‐learn the coarsened‐fine cloud properties as a function of coarse‐grid model state in each grid cell of NOAA's FV3GFS global atmosphere model with 200 km grid spacing, trained using a 3 km fine‐grid reference simulation with a modified version of FV3GFS. The ML outputs are coarsened‐fine fractional cloud cover and liquid and ice cloud condensate mixing ratios, and the inputs are coarse model temperature, pressure, relative humidity, and ice cloud condensate. The predicted fields are skillful and unbiased, but somewhat under‐dispersed, resulting in too many partially cloudy model columns. When the predicted fields are applied diagnostically (offline) in FV3GFS's radiation scheme, they lead to small biases in global‐mean top‐of‐atmosphere (TOA) and surface radiative fluxes. An unbiased global‐mean TOA net radiative flux is obtained by setting to zero any predicted cloud with grid‐cell mean cloud fraction less than a threshold of 6.5%; this does not significantly degrade the ML prediction of cloud properties. The diagnostic, ML‐derived radiative fluxes are far more accurate than those obtained with the existing cloud parameterization in the nudged coarse‐grid model, as they leverage the accuracy of the fine‐grid reference simulation's cloud properties.

Effects of vertical grid spacing on the climate simulated in the ICON-Sapphire global storm-resolving model

Abstract. Global storm-resolving models (GSRMs) use strongly refined horizontal grids compared with the climate models typically used in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) but employ comparable vertical grid spacings. Here, we study how changes in the vertical grid spacing and adjustments to the integration time step affect the basic climate quantities simulated by the ICON-Sapphire atmospheric GSRM. Simulations are performed over a 45 d period for five different vertical grids with between 55 and 540 vertical layers and maximum tropospheric vertical grid spacings of between 800 and 50 m, respectively. The effects of changes in the vertical grid spacing are compared with the effects of reducing the horizontal grid spacing from 5 to 2.5 km. For most of the quantities considered, halving the vertical grid spacing has a smaller effect than halving the horizontal grid spacing, but it is not negligible. Each halving of the vertical grid spacing, along with the necessary reductions in time step length, increases cloud liquid water by about 7 %, compared with an approximate 16 % decrease for halving the horizontal grid spacing. The effect is due to both the vertical grid refinement and the time step reduction. There is no tendency toward convergence in the range of grid spacings tested here. The cloud ice amount also increases with a refinement in the vertical grid, but it is hardly affected by the time step length and does show a tendency to converge. While the effect on shortwave radiation is globally dominated by the altered reflection due to the change in the cloud liquid water content, the effect on longwave radiation is more difficult to interpret because changes in the cloud ice concentration and cloud fraction are anticorrelated in some regions. The simulations show that using a maximum tropospheric vertical grid spacing larger than 400 m would increase the truncation error strongly. Computing time investments in a further vertical grid refinement can affect the truncation errors of GSRMs similarly to comparable investments in horizontal refinement, because halving the vertical grid spacing is generally cheaper than halving the horizontal grid spacing. However, convergence of boundary layer cloud properties cannot be expected, even for the smallest maximum tropospheric grid spacing of 50 m used in this study.

Observed Relationships between Sea Surface Temperature, Vertical Wind Shear, Tropical Organized Deep Convection, and Radiative Effects

Abstract Organized deep convective activity has been routinely monitored by satellite precipitation radar from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) and Global Precipitation Mission (GPM). Organized deep convective activity is found to increase not only with sea surface temperature (SST) above 27°C, but also with low-level wind shear. Precipitation shows a similar increasing relationship with both SST and low-level wind shear, except for the highest low-level wind shear. These observations suggest that the threshold for organized deep convection and precipitation in the tropics should consider not only SST, but also vertical wind shear. The longwave cloud radiative feedback, measured as the tropospheric longwave cloud radiative heating per amount of precipitation, is found to generally increase with stronger organized deep convective activity as SST and low-level wind shear increase. Organized deep convective activity, the longwave cloud radiative feedback, and cirrus ice cloud cover per amount of precipitation also appear to be controlled more strongly by SST than by the deviation of SST from its tropical mean. This study hints at the importance of non-thermodynamic factors such as vertical wind shear for impacting tropical convective structure, cloud properties, and associated radiative energy budget of the tropics. Significance Statement This study uses tropical satellite observations to demonstrate that vertical wind shear affects the relationship between sea surface temperature and tropical organized deep convection and precipitation. Shear also affects associated cloud properties and how clouds affect the flow of radiation in the atmosphere. Although how vertical wind shear affects convective organization has long been studied in the mesoscale community, the study attempts to apply mesoscale theory to explain the large-scale mean organization of tropical deep convection, cloud properties, and radiative feedbacks. The study also provides a quantitative observational baseline of how vertical wind shear modifies cloud radiative effects and convective organization, which can be compared to numerical simulations.