Against the backdrop of climate change and the impact of human activities, the regional and global risks of drought disasters are increasing. It is imperative to undertake thorough assessments of drought risks and delve into the underlying factors influencing them. This is essential for devising effective disaster risk management strategies and fostering sustainable development within the region. However, the spatial macroscopic nature of statistical data and the incomplete evaluation framework pose great challenges to finely quantify regional drought risks. In addressing these issues, with robust data support from the PCR-GLOBWB model and introducing more comprehensive evaluation indicators, we have developed a comprehensive drought risk assessment system covering the subsystems of drought hazard, vulnerability, and exposure. A comprehensive evaluation of drought risk in the Yangtze River Basin was conducted, and identifying the primary influencing factors. The results indicate that, (1) Areas with moderate or high drought hazard account for 58% of the Yangtze River Basin, while drought vulnerability exhibits a noticeable increasing trend towards the west, and regions with high drought exposure primarily concentrated in the midstream and downstream; (2) Areas with moderate or high drought risk are mainly distributed in the source area and central regions of the upstream of the basin, as well as in the densely populated and widely distributed farmland areas of the midstream and downstream. From upstream to downstream, the proportion of areas at high drought risk is 31.2%, 15% and 19.1%, respectively. (3) The hazard and vulnerability of drought are the main factors leading to high drought risk in the upstream, while higher drought vulnerability and exposure together contribute to drought risk in the midstream and downstream. Different sub-basins should develop tailored measures based on the specific factors contributing to drought risks to effectively mitigate and withstand these challenges.
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