G400 The newly trained paediatric workforce: trends from 2011 to 2015

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Aims To identify trends in individuals who were awarded their Certificate of Completion of Training (CCT) or Certificate of Eligibility for Specialist Registration (CESR) in paediatrics, from 2011 to 2015. To help quantify problems in the modern paediatric workforce, such as attrition from training and meeting service demand. Furthermore, to identify career issues and interventions to improve the experience of transition. Methods Comparison of data from four surveys of individuals who received their paediatric CCT or CESR in 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015. The full list of certificate holders for each cohort year was obtained from the RCPCH’s training team’s database. This study looks at a range of measures including: time to completion of training, movement from training region and participation status. Results Using complete cohort data from the RCPCH’s database, the average number of years from first medical degree graduation to completion of training has risen from 10.8 in 2011 to 11.9 2015. A regression analysis shows this trend is significant (R2=0.031, p The average response rate to the survey over the five years studied was 63.6%, ranging from 57.1% to 72.5%. Over the five years studied, the average number of respondents who moved out of their training region to find a substantive post was 31.7%, with no significant difference between 2011 and 2015. The proportion of new CCT/CESR holders working less than full time ranged from 16.5% to 23.2% over the five years tested (mean=19.7%). Conclusion These findings demonstrate that there is not an oversupply of newly trained paediatricians, nor is there any risk of this. Responses to the surveys show there is a ‘buyer’s market’ for newly trained paediatricians: for example, a low proportion of newly trained paediatricians need to move from their training region to find a substantive post. Furthermore, individuals are taking longer to achieve certification, when measuring from medical school graduation, which has implications for working planning.