Water Security Research Articles

Remote sensing to quantify potential aquifer recharge as a complementary tool for groundwater monitoring

Groundwater resources are vital for water security but face threats from overexploitation, contamination, and climate change. This study focuses on the Guarani (GAS) and Bauru (BAS) Aquifer Systems recharge in western São Paulo, Brazil. We enhanced the scalability of the Potential Recharge (PR) method and assessed recharge using Groundwater Storage (GWS) data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE). Our findings indicate that while the remote sensing-based PR method aligns with existing literature, it tends to overestimate recharge. Conversely, the GWS method provides more conservative and reliable estimates. Integrating remote sensing-based methods is a crucial tool for improving recharge estimation and supporting groundwater resource management.

Investigating the transforming hydrosocial dynamics in urbanizing Gurgaon, India

AbstractAs a terrain for neoliberal capitalism, Gurgaon, a city peripheral to New Delhi, has urbanized tremendously to become part of an urban agglomeration. Along with its unprecedented urban growth, the semiarid, water‐stressed region is undergoing a fundamental reconfiguration of its ecologies, visible in its disconnected hydrological network, fragmented landscape, and reappropriated forests and agricultural land. This article reflects on the evolving interaction between water and society and the growing water insecurities within this “emerging” urban system by interrogating the region's rapidly transforming hydrosocial system. It highlights the transition from community‐managed traditional water system to a centralized, extractive, and techno‐centric approach and addresses the challenges and differential vulnerabilities created by this transformation.

Ukraine’s water security under pressure: Climate change and wartime

Ukraine’s water resources depend on external water flow and are unevenly distributed across the country. Water security in Ukraine is threatened by climate-related risks, including droughts and floods, resulting in substantial economic losses. But the greatest risks to water security are posed by military operations. Russia’s occupation of the southeastern part of the territory of Ukraine and the annexation of Crimea in 2014, along with the start of a full-scale military invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, further worsened the state of Ukraine’s water resources. The destruction of the Kakhovka reservoir deprived Ukraine of 10% of its water resources, which were used to support the agricultural and industrial South of Ukraine. It has caused a loss of access to quality drinking water for 6 million people in Ukraine and more that 13 million people have a limited access to water for satisfying sanitary and hygienic needs. The continuation of the war will have multiple negative sustainability implications not only in Ukraine but also on a global scale, hampering the achievement of clean water and sanitation, conservation and sustainable use of water resources and energy, and food security.

Southern Bug River: water security and climate changes perspectives for post-war city of Mykolaiv, Ukraine

This article focuses on water security in Mykolaiv, a city of 0.5 million inhabitants in southern Ukraine, in the situation of scarcity of usable water resources caused by climate change and military operations. This problem arose after the Dnipro-Mykolaiv water pipeline was destroyed in April 2022 as a result of military operations and the supply of drinking water to the city was cut off. To ensure that the city’s population has constant access to sufficient water of acceptable quality, a search for alternative water sources and a climate risk assessment were carried out for the new municipal water supply system from the Southern Bug River. The possible change in flow and its intra-annual distribution under the influence of climate change was modeled using the WaterGAP2 hydrological model and climate projections under the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-P8.5 scenarios. It was found that under the SSP1-2.6 scenario, the reduction in river flow will be insignificant (up to a maximum of 14% in the far future) and there will be no restrictions on the city’s water supply from this section of the river in the near (2021-2050) and far (2051-2080) period. The maximum water withdrawal for municipal water supply and the minimum environmental flow will reach their maximum value only in August (56% of the projected flow), which is not critical. Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, in the long-term perspective of 2051-2080, the largest decrease in runoff will occur from May to October, and the water withdrawal will increase to 40-79% of the projected flow. The use of the research results not only in water management, but also in municipal administration, and their dissemination in territorial communities will contribute to the successful adaptation of socio-economic and environmental processes in the region and can bring successful benefits not only to the economy, but also to communities.

Satellite-based Spectral Indices for Extracting Village Water Bodies in Ludhiana District of Punjab, India

Ensuring water security is the foremost priority of every nation, and water bodies are the most precious life-sustaining resources on the earth. Availability of reliable and updated information of water bodies including knowledge about their locations is necessary for the sustainable planning and management of water resources at a regional scale. Remote sensing technique has revolutionized extraction of village water bodies as it provides fine spatial resolution, gives rapid and precise results and covers large areas, and hence, it has been widely used in the recent studies. In this study, three remote sensing-based spectral indices, i.e., normalized difference water index (NDWI), modified normalized difference water index (MNDWI), and normalized difference pond index (NDPI) were employed to demarcate the area of ponds in each village of Ludhiana district in Punjab. Accuracy of the spectral indices was evaluated by comparing the area of the ponds delineated by the indices with that of digitized manually. The results indicated that NDWI, MNDWI and NDPI could identify 370, 1263 and 1410 number of village ponds, respectively. On the other hand, a total of 1513 village ponds could be demarcated through manual digitization. Thus, the efficiency of NDWI in identification of correct number of village ponds was 24.5%, while the efficiency of MNDWI and NDPI was 83.5% and 93.2%, respectively. Furthermore, NDPI demonstrated an efficiency of 60-65% in demarcating the area of village ponds.

Integrated assessment of water security in D-8 countries

In terms of evaluating the water security situation of communities, it is necessary to use appropriate indicators. To do this, composite indicators are especially useful for policy-making on water resources, aiming to enhance water security, implementation, and monitoring of policy actions. The composite indicators of water security at the national level reflect the country's status in terms of water resource sustainability, human well-being, and water environment. In this study, the composite indicators of water security for D-8 countries were investigated in various dimensions using the data envelopment analysis model. Moreover, the status of selected countries was examined with regard to indicators related to the dimension of water security sustainability. The results provided by the proposed model showed that Malaysia, Bangladesh, Indonesia, Nigeria, and Turkey have better positions regarding the sustainability dimension compared to other countries. The water exploitation intensity in these countries was less than 40 %. Furthermore, the level of water availability in Malaysia, Bangladesh, and Indonesia was higher than 7000 cubic meters per person. It is worth noting that Low exploitation intensity and high availability of water in a country increased its water security in terms of sustainability dimension. The low water availability and very high water exploitation in Iran, Pakistan, and Egypt exacerbate their insecurity in the sustainability dimension. Due to the importance of the sustainability dimension in determining the water security status of countries, it is recommended to take this dimension into account.

Hydrogeophysical mapping of paleochannels for water security in Bhawanigarh Block, District Sangrur, Punjab, India

Paleochannels, ancient buried riverbeds, offer significant potential for groundwater management and contribute to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly those focused on clean water (SDG 6) and sustainable ecosystems (SDG 15). These channels, formed when rivers change course due to natural processes or human activities, become filled with loose, permeable sediments like sand and gravel, making them natural reservoirs capable of storing large volumes of groundwater. This characteristic makes paleochannels invaluable for enhancing water security in arid and semi-arid regions.The present study, conducted in the Bhawanigarh block of Sangrur District, Punjab, focuses on mapping paleochannels for Managed Aquifer Recharge (MAR) using Electrical Resistivity Survey techniques. A total of 37 Vertical Electrical Soundings (VES) were performed with a Computerized Resistivity Meter, and the findings were validated using well-logging, exploration data, historical aerial photographs, and satellite imagery. Identifying and mapping these paleochannels enable targeted groundwater recharge efforts, enhancing the sustainable management of water resources.By strategically utilizing paleochannels for artificial recharge, excess surface water can be directed into these hidden reservoirs, effectively replenishing groundwater supplies. This approach supports agricultural and drinking water needs and strengthens resilience against climate change impacts, aligning with SDG 13 (Climate Action). Moreover, the careful management of these ancient channels promotes the sustainable use of natural resources, contributing to the overall goals of environmental sustainability and water security outlined in the SDGs.

The Carbon Footprint of the Vascular Surgery Operating Room

ObjectiveClimate change is the single greatest threat to global human health, contributing to changes in disease patterns, water and food insecurity, vulnerability in shelter and human settlements, climatic volatility, and population growth and migration. Healthcare generates between 8 - 10% of all greenhouse gas emissions. Surgical care accounts for a significant proportion due to equipment and drug use, sterility requirements, and life support systems. There are currently minimal data describing this carbon consumption. The purpose of this study was to determine the carbon utilization of common vascular interventions and to identify variables associated with increased carbon utilization. MethodsWe conducted an observational study of all elective and urgent vascular surgery procedures performed at our institution in a two-month period in 2023. All waste generated was weighed and cataloged per hospital waste practices. Additional characteristics of the procedures were also collected. Carbon utilization was determined by applying DEFRA greenhouse gas life-cycle conversion factors to the mean waste produced. These factors take into account greenhouse gas emissions generated in the initial production and eventual disposal. Variables associated with increased carbon production were evaluated by linear regression models with log-transformed outcomes. Results59 procedures were included. Complex endovascular aortic procedures were the most carbon intensive (69.35kg CO2), equivalent to driving a medium-sized vehicle 369 kilometers. Dialysis access procedures (11.5kg CO2) and minor amputations (10.6kg CO2) were the least carbon intensive. Open surgical bypasses (28.4kg CO2) and cerebrovascular procedures (20.3kg CO2) produced a moderate amount of carbon. Endovascular interventions were 50% more carbon intensive than open interventions (95% CI: 28%, 77%; p <0.01). Aortic interventions were 63% more carbon intensive than non-aortic interventions (95% CI: 28%, 109%; p<0.01). In both models, there was nearly a half percent increase in carbon generated for each minute of additional operating time (p<0.01). Blood loss was not consistently associated with carbon utilization. ConclusionsClimate change is a major threat to human health. The environmental impact of day-to-day surgery is rarely considered but clearly significant. Larger procedures are associated with increased carbon utilization, particularly if they are endovascular or aortic. The duration of the case is also associated with increased utilization. Further work should be done to identify additional variables and opportunities for carbon reduction.

Geomorphological and Sedimentological Rationale for Staged Sand Dam Construction

ABSTRACTStream sediment transport results from a convolution of climate, weather, geology, topography, biology, and human influence. In addition to providing water and food security for rural dryland communities, sand dams—small weirs designed to trap only the coarse fractions of transported sediments in seasonal and ephemeral streams—highlight many complexities of geomorphological dynamics. Sand dams store water in interstitial riverbed pores and the size of deposited sediment particles largely determines the recoverability of stored water: Fine materials limit transmission and provide lower volumetric yield. In this study, we seek to identify a practical method for evaluating the theoretical effect of staged sand dam crest construction on key sediment‐trapping processes for a proposed dam site. We argue that the Rouse number provides a useful criterion for identifying regimes where the target material grades are trapped. These ideas were tested using sediment data collected in Kenya and US Army Corps of Engineers River Analysis System numerical simulations to evaluate the sensitivity of sedimentation processes to crest height. We show that constructing sand dams in stages results in more targeted trapping of coarse material. Sedimentation is shown to be more sensitive to variation in crest height than the flood hydrograph, especially when a dam's crest height is small. By introducing a method to assess the necessity and inform design of staged crest construction based on local flow dynamics, this study offers a framework for optimising sand dam performance in data‐scarce environments. This approach provides a means to balance construction costs with expected benefits, enhancing the sustainability and functionality of sand dams in arid and semi‐arid regions.

Nanobubble-enabled foam fractionation to remove algogenic odorous micropollutants

Due to climate change and environmental pollution, natural lakes and reservoir water suffer increasingly serious algal blooms and associated water quality problems due to the presence of algal or algogenic organic matter (AOM) such as algal odour and toxins. Effective removal of these micropollutants, especially in the event of algal blooms, is critical to aesthetic values of water bodies, drinking water security and human health. The study investigated the removal efficiency of two common odorous compounds, trans-1,10-dimethyl-trans-9-decalol (geosmin) and 2-Methylisoborneol (2-MIB), using foam fractionation enabled by air nanobubbles with addition of two common cationic and anionic surfactants, sodium dodecyl sulfate (SDS) and cetyltrimethylammonium bromide (CTAB), to enhance foaming ability and stability. The results showed that the cationic surfactant (i.e., CTAB), a low pH, and high ionic strength significantly promoted the removal of geosmin and 2-MIB. For example, the removal tests using the synthetic water determined that the conditions of pH = 7, [CTAB] = 20 mg·L−1 and IS = 10 mM as NaCl resulted in both the highest geosmin removal rate of 91.81% and highest 2-MIB removal rate of 85.0%. The removal of two odorous compounds in real lake water was evaluated, which yielded removal rates of 83.2% for geosmin and 48.1% for 2-MIB, highlighting the minor inhibition from water matrixes on the removal performances. Compared to microbubbles, nanobubbles enabled greater surface areas of foam and higher removal efficiencies. The study provided new insights into the use of foam fractionation with air nanobubbles to enhance the removal of odorous compounds from impaired water and mitigate the negative environmental and health impacts of harmful algal blooms (HABs).

Artificial intelligence enabled predictive planning for sewage treatment based on improved DNN and LSTM

Predictive planning is essential for sewage treatment, which ensures water security. In the context of Industry 4.0, new sensor technologies are generating large amounts of heterogeneous data from multiple sources in increasingly complex sewage treatment processes. This complexity renders traditional methods inadequate for the accurate and timely prognostication of data essential for predictive planning. To solve the challenge, this study proposes an architecture of artificial intelligence-enabled predictive planning to reduce cost and increase efficiency for sewage treatment. Within this architecture, a combination of a sparsely connected deep neural network model based on combined correlation analysis and an improved long short-term memory model based on periodicity is used to predict critical data for sewage treatment. Then, the proposed architecture is applied by using production data from the high-density pool unit of a sewage treatment plant. Results reveal that the accuracy of the data in predictive planning is 92.7 % compared with the actual data. Establishing this architecture for predictive planning provides a practical basis for the digital transformation of sewage treatment plants to automate processes, improve decision-making, reduce costs and increase operational efficiency.

Insights from electrical resistivity tomography on the hydrogeological interaction between sand dams and the weathered basement aquifer

Sand dams, composed of recent alluvial aquifers behind concrete dam walls, are a water management technique in drylands. However, their level of hydraulic connectivity with their surrounding weathered basement aquifer is debated. This study aims to constrain this hydrogeological uncertainty in order to better understand their ability to meet water needs and improve dryland water security. The study is the first to use 2D geophysics (Electrical Resistivity Tomography) to provide evidence of seepage from sand dams at three mature and three newly built sites. A generally greater hydraulic connectivity was found between sand dams and their surrounding aquifer than has been assumed in some previous studies, with sites providing at least some local recharge rather than existing as isolated storage structures. This improved understanding is beneficial for both site selection and the performance of sand dams and can help ensure that maximum benefits are derived from the construction of a sand dam depending on its intended purpose.

A method for estimating maximum safe installable power for groundwater extraction with application to Africa

New groundwater development is a likely way to meet growing global water demand but needs careful management. To help inform the sustainable development of groundwater resources, a novel method based on the maximum safe installable power for water pumping systems and the maximum safe remaining installable power (considering current abstraction) is developed. The proposed model couples energy, technology and hydrogeological parameters, and is then developed to compute the maximum power that can be safely installed per km2 without exceeding a maximum annual pumpable volume, calculated through available recharge and storage. The model is applied to estimate the maximum safe installable power across Africa with a 0.2-degree resolution, using available energy and hydrogeological data. Constrained by recharge (considering that 25 % of the annual recharge is available for utilization), the maximum safe installable power ranges between 0 and 9960 W/km2 across Africa with regions such as the Congo Basin (~340 W/km2), and western Africa between the Ivory Coast and Nigeria (~230 W/km2) identified as having high potential for sustainable pumping system development. Constrained by storage (considering that 0.1 % of storage can be withdrawn per year), it ranges between 0 and 13,425 W/km2 highlighting the ability to harness storage for pumping system development in the large aquifers of Northern Sahara (~8720 W/km2). When considering limitations posed by both groundwater recharge and aquifer storage (considering that 25 % of the annual recharge and 0.1 % of storage can be withdrawn per year), along with current groundwater withdrawal, 93 % of the maximum safe installable power remains still installable on average across Africa. Nevertheless, 2 % of the locations are estimated to be already experiencing overexploitation, particularly in Sudan, northern Africa, and northeastern South Africa. These findings provide a novel and adaptable way to examine water security, which can assist institutions in targeting investments to meet water demand sustainably.

Water resource management and policy evaluation in Middle Eastern countries: Achieving sustainable development goal 6

This study explores the challenges and management strategies of water resources in 15 Middle Eastern countries, framed within the context of Sustainable Development Goal 6 (SDG6). This study used 123 water resource policies in Middle Eastern countries as data and employed a pre-trained large language model based on RoBERTa, trained on the SNLI and MNLI datasets, to perform text classification tasks. In combination with the TF-IDF algorithm for keyword extraction, this approach is used to systematically evaluate and compare the water resource policies of these countries. The results reveal that the region faces significant water stress, exacerbated by high population growth, climate variability, and political instability. While countries like Kuwait and the UAE utilize advanced desalination technologies to mitigate water scarcity, policy gaps in sanitation and transboundary cooperation persist. Jordan's innovative partnerships for water resource management highlight the potential of collaborative frameworks to enhance regional water security. The findings suggest that comprehensive water management strategies, including technological innovation and public-private partnerships, are essential for addressing the region's pressing water challenges. This research contributes to understanding the complexities of water governance in arid regions and offers practical implications for policymakers aiming to achieve sustainable water resource management.

The effect of climate change on the variation of low flow rates within mountainous basins: Case study of the Srou basin-Middle Atlas-Morocco (1976-2016)

Abstract The study of hydro-climatic variability over extended periods is crucial for comprehending the effects of climate variability on water resources and the incidence of droughts. In Morocco, drought has historically afflicted the plains, eastern, and southern regions of the country. However, the impact of drought in mountainous areas has often been overlooked. Climate change has exacerbated this situation, as evidenced by significant water deficits experienced by Morocco in 1982 and 2007. These events underscore the vulnerability of regions to drought, especially during periods of low-flow. This study focuses on examining rainfall variability within the Srou River basin, and its impact on fluctuations in low-flow rates in the context of a changing climate. The analysis utilizes the Cumulative Sum method to assess these dynamics. Besides, rainfall data and monthly low-flow rates were analysed and assessed. The obtained results reveal a significant variability in rainfall across the watershed, with a general trend of decline punctuated by occasional brief wet periods. These drought episodes have led to diminished surface and groundwater resources within the area. This research sheds light on the pressing need to address hydro-climatic challenges and underscores the urgency of adaptation measures to safeguard water security in Morocco’s diverse geographical contexts.

Review: Urban Water Security and Safety

“Water security” and “water safety” is defined differently. As the terms are related they may lead to confusion and misinterpretations, depending on the context. Water security generally refers to a lack of resources of an acceptable quality, i.e. water scarcity that may be related either to an excess of water demand or drought impacts (with links to climate change and e.g. salt water intrusion into coastal aquifers). Further, water security is closely related to food security, energy security, health security and ecological security. From a (human) security viewpoint, however, water security may also be understood in the light of possible intentional degradation of the resources, e.g. criminal or terrorist act leading to a deliberate (chemical or biological) contamination of water supply systems. Water safety on the other hand refers to the quality or chemical status of the water resources that has to comply with the defined quality standards for drinking water specifically to protect human health, both from elevated concentrations of contaminants and natural geogenic elements. This review gives a snapshot of various (ground)water safety and security issues written by authors from different sectors and disciplines. Illustrating and clarifying the many societal challenges related to water security and safety in cities.

Structural equations modelling applied to the study of Communities Supported Agriculture (CSAs) located in the Southeastern region of Brazil

Food production is an increasingly relevant issue in the current framework associated with food and water security and future years projections. In addition, the production of organic food has gained significance in recent years, revealing a growing change in the population's consumption habits. The Communities Supported Agriculture (CSAs) play an important role in enabling productive areas for planting crops in agroecological and biodynamic standards. Given this, this study aimed to investigate the relationship between different CSAs variables located in the Southeastern region of Brazil to validate or not the hypotheses created. Thus, the study was designed as a descriptive research and quantitative approach, using an inductive logic survey. In addition, the methodology was set up with the support of the Structural Equation Modeling technique. The study confirmed the hypothesis (H1) that socioeconomic characteristics positively influence CSAs’ performance. The limitations were associated with the method of data collection and the difficulties imposed by the Covid-19 pandemic.

Socio-Economic Implications of Snow Cover Area in the Upper Indus Basin

The Indus River, one of the principal waterways in Asia, specifically the Indian Subcontinent, originates from the Himalayan Region and Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. Understanding snow cover dynamics is one of the most vital components for effective hydrological resource management and assessing the impacts of local, regional, and global climatic variations. Variations in the radiation of snow microstructures and snowpacks have profound socio-economic and environmental consequences, affecting agricultural productivity, reservoir supply for factories, environmental sustainability, governance of land resources, and overall community resilience. Fluctuations in snowmelt patterns can lead to water shortages or surplus, influencing food security and economic stability in a country largely dependent on agriculture. Utilizing Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite data, this study assesses the implications of Snow Cover Area (SCA) on water security and livelihood of agricultural-related sectors. A comparative analysis of snow cover reveals a shifting trend in the accumulation period, with notable anomalies affecting the agricultural output, which affects the household income related to the agricultural sector. This research underscores the necessity of adapting water management strategies to align with evolving snow cover dynamics to mitigate potential socio-economic risks.

Urban Groundwater in the cities of Europe: hidden challenges in a changing climate

In European cities, groundwater remains an issue of significant concern, largely because it is “out of sight and out of mind.” The general public, and even decision-makers, possess only a limited understanding of the state and characteristics of this vital resource. As a consequence, problems related to groundwater quality or changing water tables/piezometric surfaces may persist for years, or even decades, without being adequately addressed-or worse, without being noticed at all before resulting in land subsidence,saltwater intrusion, deep migration of persistent organic contaminants like PFAS (Le monde, 2023) or other irreversible consequences. The urban water cycle is central to ensuring the supply of clean, safe drinking water, effective sanitation, and wellfunctioning drainage systems for millions of residents. The impacts of human activities, such as land use change, excessive water abstraction and mismanagement, and the discharge of wastewater can exert a far greater influence on groundwater systems and hydrogeology than climate change. These activities alter the quantity and quality of both surface and groundwater, raising complex scientific, technical, socio-economic, cultural, and ethical challenges in urban water management. It is important to address the many challenges associated with ensuring water security and safety in cities (Quevauviller et al., 2024), as well as for development of effective climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies for urban areas (IPCC, 2024). Groundwater plays a critical role in the green transition and is an integral component of most climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies (Ingemarsson et al., 2022), and for meeting the increasing demand for freshwater in cities due to accelerating urbanization (United Nations, 2022). Many urbanized areas in Europe already face poor chemical and quantitative status (EEA, 2024; Sentek et al., 2024), and global change including increasing populations and sea level rise pose a tremendous challenge for safe and secure water supply especially in coastal European cities. Open access to digital subsurface data e.g. through the European Geological Data Infrastructure supports societal needs and UN sustainable development goals (Hinsby et al., 2024). This special issue demonstrates some of the important issues that the water supply of European cities are facing in times of increasing competing use of the subsurface (Volckko et al., 2020), projected climate change impacts on the hydrological cycle (Henriksen et al., 2023) and with freshwater now being among the transgressed planetary boundaries (Richardsson et al., 2023). [...]

Evaluation of Water Quality and Scarcity Issues for Sustainable Water Management Strategy in Twin Cities of Rawalpindi/ Islamabad, Pakistan.

Today's water world is pebbledashed with two main trepidations of water security/ scarcity, which need in-depth elaboration. Developing countries are particularly facing the impacts of water contamination and scarcity but lack the required impetus and technical infrastructure, thus necessitating swift actions to evaluate the effects of water security/ scarcity on the environment and water resources. In this study, an effort has been made to assess the water security/ scarcity situation in the twin cities of Rawalpindi/ Islamabad, elucidating the water quality/ quantity parameters in the Rawal Lake reservoir in Pakistan by analysing the contamination. The samples were collected/ tested during spring/ monsoon seasons to analyse temporal/fluvial impacts on water discharge. The results were compared with Pakistan's and WHO's drinking water standards before and after the water treatment. Almost all the testing parameters of the raw water samples from the Rawal Lake reservoir feeding streams exceeded the standard limits or fell close to the upper threshold limits, suggesting that this water was unsuitable for drinking without extensive treatment and an efficient distribution system. The contamination, untreated sewage disposal, non-regulated water utilisation, drawdown and supply/ demand gaps are the grave factors causing the water security/ scarcity in the capital/ twin cities of Islamabad/ Rawalpindi. Pakistan has already entered the water scarcity threshold of 1014 m3/ person/ annum in 2018, reduced from water availability of 5260 m3/ person/ annum in 1950 and will likely reach a drought level by 2050 due to increased population and reduced water resources. The study proposes an organisational implementation model for catchment-level river management to ensure good quality of water, construction of 5-10 small dams, and the provision of water from Terbella Dam suggested as the long-term strategy to prevent water scarcity.