Trend Of Social Development Research Articles

Оценка риска загрязнения окружающей среды: обзор и систематизация методологических подходов и методического обеспечения

Modern trends in social development transform environmental pollution risk into a fundamental category without which economic activity is impossible. In essence, the environmental risk indicator is on a par with such important economic categories as profit, cost, profitability, gross domestic or regional product, etc. At the same time, let us pay attention to a variety of approaches existing in the world practice for assessing environmental risks and their components (contamination likelihood and environmental harm) together with multifaceted specifics of economic entities activities. All these require a systemic consideration of methodological principles and methodological support, identifying the problems and areas in improving the applied calculation tools. The purpose of the study is to review the world experience in terms of methodology and methodological support of environmental risk assessment. The research methods incorporate environmental and economic analysis, content analysis, information modeling. The key findings of the study highlight the shortcomings and contradictions in understanding and assessing environmental risk, develop a broad systemological classification of the types and characteristics of environmental risks methodology, streamline and methodological support of these risks and show the directions to improve the assessment approaches. The scope of application encompasses environmental audit and expertise, eco-insurance, as well as regulatory documents of ministries (RF Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment, RF Ministry of Health, the Moscow Region Ministry of Ecology and Nature Management) and departments (Rostekhnadzor, Rosprirodnadzor, Rospotrebnadzor, Rosvodresursy, Rosleskhoz, Rosnedra, etc.), scientific and educational publications on environmental risk assessment.

Analysis of New Era Social Welfare Policy Transformation Path

It is in the nature of social policy for social welfare services to adapt to the social demands that arise as a result of changes in social structure. Meanwhile, it is a distinguishing feature of social welfare that special attention is paid to specific social groups, particularly vulnerable and difficult communities. The economic, political, and social factors of a society influence the direction of social service policy objectives, which is also influenced by the broader trend of social development, particularly global modernization and the transformation of local social structures. As a result, sorting out and analyzing the external environment and circumstances of the development of social services is both theoretical and practical.

ЕКОНОМЕТРИЧНІ ПІДХОДИ ДО ПРОГНОЗУВАННЯ ФІНАНСОВОГО ЗАБЕЗПЕЧЕННЯ СОЦІАЛЬНО-ЕКОНОМІЧНОГО РОЗВИТКУ РЕГІОНУ

In the given article it is noted that the level of forecasting of processes of social development is determined by the efficiency of planning and management of economy and other spheres. Social and economic forecasting of basic trends of social development allows use of special calculation and logic methods, giving the opportunity to determine parameters of functioning of separate elements of productive forces in their interrelation and interdependence. At the current stage of regional development of the state, the forecasting of the management of social-economic processes in the region is urgent, and the need for their improvement in order to obtain effective tools for determining the main guidelines and directions of regional policy. Predictions that include scientific justification should be central to the planned decisions of state authorities and the implementation of social-economic policies in the region, to determine the main directions of its future development, place and role in the national economy. The process of forming a modern system of forecasting regional development in Ukraine took place under conditions of a large-scale state transformation and reorganization. The change in the political regime and reform of the Ukrainian economy, which began in the 1990s, led to the inversion of the role of the territory in the system of public administration. Regions that previously had very limited rights in the agricultural sector, received the right to make political, economic, social, cultural and other decisions on their own. Economic forecasting is necessary for determining ways of society development and economic resources which provide its achievement, for revealing most likely and economically efficient variants of long-term, medium term and current plans, grounding main directions of economic and technical politics, forecasting the consequences of the made decisions and measures taken at present. Application of econometric models in economics gives the opportunity to distinguish and formally describe the most significant, the most essential relations of economic variables and objects, as well as to get new knowledge about the object in the inductive way. In such model, in the simplified form, by many assumptions, the main dependence between economic indicators is determined.

Modern approaches to prevention of non-communicable diseases in the state program of healthcare development of the Republic of Kazakhstan

Problems of prevention of noncommunicable diseases are relevant for many countries of the world. This is due to the fact that the burden of noncommunicable diseases is growing from year to year, creating new challenges to the health systems of various countries. To address these problems, various programs are being implemented, both defining General prevention strategies across the country, and programs to combat individual risk factors. The article presents an analysis of programs aimed at fighting cancer, implemented in various countries. The essence analysis of the program showed that the main tasks, key priorities and directions of the state program for health development of the Republic of Kazakhstan “Salamatty Kazakhstan” (Healthy Kazakhstan) for 2011–2015 were formed and implemented taking into account the trends of economic, social and demographic development of the country. The usefulness of this complex intersectoral organizational technology for strengthening public health at the national level is shown, and evidence of the effectiveness of the program is provided.

Bibliometric analysis of human–wildlife conflict: From conflict to coexistence

Human–wildlife conflict (HWC) is a significant challenge for biodiversity conservation and sustainable development. Effective mitigation of HWC requires a multidisciplinary, holistic, and comprehensive approach. In the past two decades, scientific research has focused on HWC. It can be expected that in the next few years, the number of HWC literature will continue to increase. In this study, the VOSviewer version 1.6.16, and Bibliometrix packages in R were used to conduct a quantitative review of the HWC literature and investigate its social network and development trends. The results show that 2197 publications about HWC have been published in 320 journals from 128 countries in 2003–2021. The United States is the largest producer with 893. Among all journals, Biological Conservation ranked first in terms of total link strength, number of links, documents, and citations. The analysis of keywords, development trends, and development themes shows that the research on HWC mainly includes three aspects: the conflict between humans and carnivores, conflict between humans and herbivores, and protection of the human dimension. The main focus of the research has shifted from the conflict itself to the coexistence of humans and wild animals through the integration of natural and economic factors. It is expected that HWC research will play a key role in generating the interdisciplinary scientific knowledge needed to promote biodiversity conservation and sustainable development.

Financial Behavior of the Russian Population: Regional Differences

The introductory part of the article specifies the aim and objectives of the study, reflecting some of the important outcomes of the interregional differentiation in the financial behavior of the population of individual Russian territories (in more detail – regions of the Far Eastern Federal District, FEFD).The main section of the article identifies interregional differences in the financial behavior of the population of the considered regions of the country, including the FEFD territories, based on statistical methodology and using official statistics. The authors conducted a comparative interregional analysis of the structure of consumer spending, average per capita deposits, and public debt on loans granted by credit institutions for the period 2018–2020. Specific statistics show that the FEFD regions are experiencing a negative trend of accelerating the debt of the population to credit institutions.The article concludes with outcomes of an interregional comparative analysis of the considered characteristics, reflecting the emerging negative trends in the financial behavior of the population, showing that parts of the eastern part of the country lag markedly behind the general trend in social and economic development.

Garbage classification system based on improved ShuffleNet v2

Garbage classification technology is not only an important basis for the harmless treatment of waste and resource recovery, but also the inevitable trend of social development. The current garbage classification methods rely on manual classification in the garbage collection stage, and it is difficult to achieve satisfying results in consistency, stability, and sanitary conditions. For this reason, this study designs and develops a garbage classification system based on deep learning that can recognize and recycle domestic garbage. Focusing on the problems of low accuracy and poor real-time performance, a lightweight garbage classification model GCNet (Garbage Classification Network) is proposed. GCNet contains three improvements on ShuffleNet v2, including the design of parallel mixed attention mechanism (PMAM), the use of new activation functions, and transfer learning. The experimental results show that the average accuracy of GCNet on the self-built dataset is 97.9%, the amount of model parameters is only 1.3M, the single inference time on Raspberry Pi 4B is about 105ms, and the classification system needs only 0.88 seconds to complete the classification and collection of a single object. The method proposed in this paper is an effective attempt at machine vision in garbage classification and resource recovery. With the improvement of technology, it will effectively promote academic exploration and engineering application in the field of resources and environment.

Indoor and outdoor positioning system for Beidou fusion 5G

Recently, my country’s Beidou-3 satellite system has successfully networked, and the application of the Beidou-3 satellite system will become the trend of social development in the future. In the complex environment of multi-path interference in the indoor diplomatic area, the Beidou system will often be interfered by various errors in the calculation, which leads to the limitation of the positioning accuracy of the Beidou system. This paper proposes that 5G fusion Beidou for indoor and outdoor positioning can effectively solve the problems of interference affecting accuracy in the indoor and foreign circles, and make the positioning accuracy reach the sub-meter level.

ПОТЕНЦИАЛ ПРОТЕСТНОГО ГОЛОСОВАНИЯ В РОССИЙСКОМ ОБЩЕСТВЕ

The article analyzes the phenomenon of protest voting – a negative form of electoral behavior, which demonstrates dissatisfaction with government policies and performance. The available data show the stable growth of negative trends in socio-economic development and subjective perception of the state of affairs in the country (since 2018), which is the basis for changes in electoral behavior. The 2018 governors’ elections showed several successful examples of rational protest voting. The persistence of negative trends in social development is a fundamental prerequisite for the expansion of electoral protest, which can take various forms.

Research on the Construction and Service Mode Innovation of Open Mobile Knowledge Base in Higher Vocational Colleges

This article focuses on the construction of open mobile knowledge base (OMKB) in higher vocational colleges (HVCs), and adopts the methodologies of documental analysis, questionnaires, surveys and case studies to analyze OMKB in HVCs in China. Then, through the analysis of domestic and foreign data, it can be seen that the current storage volume of knowledge base of scientific research results in Chinese universities is far below the level of western developed countries. Conducting the construction of OMKB in HVCs can better comply with the trend of social development, meet the knowledge needs of the public, and form the complementarity between different institutions. However, in reality, there are still some problems and deficiencies in the OMKB service mode of HVCs, which emphasize information collection rather than knowledge application, paper literature rather than electronic data, on-campus service rather than social service, and existing knowledge rather than creative consciousness. Therefore, on the basis of full investigation and analysis, this paper proposes that the optimization path of the OMKB service mode in China›s HVCs is: exploring the joint mode of cooperation between universities and society, and operation and management, improving the system platform and funding sources, and making good storage and sharing of resources. The innovation of the OMKB service mode of HVCs in China can achieve the following: carrying out innovation and improvement, laying social foundation, promoting innovation of resource evaluation system, protecting the innovation of intellectual property mode, co-construction of the HVCs’ alliance knowledge base system innovation, technological innovation, - applying the advanced technology of CRIS, helping China’s HVCs’ knowledge base construction transformation and upgrading.

Socio-engineering arrangement of the village — the basis of rural development

The article analyzes the number, employment and dynamics of monetary income of the population of the Orenburg region for a long-term period. The production of social and engineering arrangement of rural territories of the region for a number of years is analyzed in detail. Negative destructive changes and trends in employment and social development of rural areas are revealed. The directions of improvement and dynamic development of agricultural production, rural areas, and employment of the rural population are proposed.

Synthesis of Arts in Soviet Architecture: stages of development, main directions, causes of their occurrence

The history of the Soviet Union, its socio-economic, socio-political and socio-cultural life is unique in comparison with other countries. The USSR was created on the model of social development, expressed by European and Russian Utopian socialists and was grounded in the classics of Marxism-Leninism. So, the system of government, economic conditions and cultural activities of a society built on the hegemony of the proletariat was a long-running social experiment that conditioned the life of the Soviet people and influenced other countries as well. The experiment of a country with total state property envisaged that the party leadership assumed responsibility for defining all spheres of political life - both internal and interstate relations - and inevitably formed unified programs of cultural activity and social development, managed them, and financed and tightly controlled their implementation. The Soviet people, the so-called "working masses", were forced to live and act under uniform rules. Depending on the planning of the political, economic and social life of the party leadership throughout the existence of the USSR, the country went through several stages, which differed in the directions of forming an architectural and urban planning environment that had to meet the tasks of state and ideological character. Familiarizing yourself with this unique experience and finding the reasons for its formation is important for understanding the trends of social development in the twentieth century.

Law of Digital Society: Actual Problems and the Ways of Development

The article discusses the digitalization of law enforcement as the most important trend of post-Russian social development. The author believes that attempts to oppose the transition of postmodern society to digital society are scientifically insolvent for several reasons. First, according to the current consensus, post-contemporary (or post-industrial) society is a stage of sociocultural evolution, when advanced technologies, including information technology, begin to play a leading role, determining the further direction of the development of human civilization. Second, the cultural, social, political, and legal uncertainties of the Postmodern Era are not only not permitted but to some extent are exacerbated by the digitalization of society and law enforcement. Thus, according to the author, the rights of digital society develop tendencies, which, in general, are inherent and natural manifestations of postmodern civilization.
 As shown in the work, the rights of digital society in the current stage of legal communication development are characterized by a generally greater (compared to preceding stages) accuracy of the iconic means, among which include digital media, as well as their further extraction from objects acting as referred signs. As a result, digital design of the law enforcement generates several problems that have not received adequate solutions.
 The most important of those solutions include anonymization of the subjects of legal interactions (primarily states and legal entities, but also physical individuals), as well as the divorce from objects to which these relationships are addressed. These trends generate a crisis of confidence for communication participants, which is a key problem of post-hour law enforcement. In order to overcome such a crisis, the author offers the reconstruction of the rule of law based on human rights and freedoms that protect the fundamental identity and ensure the stability and coherence of legal reality.

Artifact density and population density in settlement pattern research

A common method of estimating population in archaeology is to multiply a settlement area by an occupational density. Empirical studies show that occupational density generally increases with settlement size but estimating occupational density when structural remains are not observable has remained a methodological challenge. Here, we investigate the possibility that occupational density is systematically related to the surface artifact density of archaeological sites. First, we employ settlement scaling theory, a framework tested in a variety of other settings, to derive the expected relationship between artifact density and population density, finding that the rate of per capita pottery consumption is expected to increase in relative terms with settlement population due to an increase in the rate of social interchange involving food. Then, we analyze data from the Chifeng Region of northern China to show that pottery consumption rates, reflected in measured densities of potsherds, do in fact increase with settlement areas in a way that is consistent with this expectation. We use this result to characterize long-term trends in social development in northern China over seven millennia, and to suggest a method that improves the accuracy and precision of demographic reconstructions by incorporating the nonlinear relationship between artifact density and population density in the analysis.

Social Entrepreneurship Development Trends in the Tourism Industry

Global challenges and threats, which inevitably affect the entire world community, naturally enhance the interdependence of states; require their joint actions aimed at solving social and economic problems of the world economy. As a result, the influence on the formation of the national social policy of the Re, both global social risks and global trends in the organization and financing of the social sphere, increases. The analysis of the study consists of a review of the current literature on social tourism, including a descriptive analysis of the literature undertaken to assess the theoretical foundations and connections in order to analyze the contribution of social tourism to the economy. This study identifies avenues for further research in the field of social tourism, which can serve as a basis for a post-image restructuring of the global tourism industry.

Описание методики использования технологии электронного обучения при изучении предмета «Информатика»

The role of both higher and secondary education at the present stage of development of the Republic of Azerbaijan is mainly measured by the tasks set for it, its transition to a democratic and rule-of-law state, to a market economy, the need to overcome the danger of the country lagging behind the world trends of economic and social development. The main goal of the modernization of education is to create a mechanism for the sustainable development of the education system. To achieve this goal, such important tasks as ensuring State guarantees of accessibility and equal opportunities for obtaining a full-fledged education and achieving a new modern quality of preschool, general and vocational education should be solved as a priority, among others. Within the framework of solving these tasks, the concept of modernization of Russian education at the senior level of general education provides for specialized training and the development of distance education. The model of a general education institution with specialized training at the senior level provides for the possibility of various combinations of academic subjects, which will provide a flexible system of specialized training. This system includes the following types of academic subjects: basic general education, specialized and elective. Elective courses are implemented at the expense of the school component of the curriculum and provide “support” for the study of the main profile subjects, as well as serve for intra-profile specialization of training and the construction of individual educational trajectories. Schools are faced with the task of developing elective courses. On the one hand, solving this problem requires highly qualified specialists, which is extremely difficult to provide, especially in rural areas. On the other hand, today schools, including rural ones, get access to high-speed Internet, therefore, we can say that there is a sufficient technical base for the development of distance learning, which will also solve the problems of specialized training.

Deep Integration of Physical Health Education Based on Intelligent Communication Technology.

In recent years, intelligent medical communication technology has developed rapidly, and the advancement of hardware technology has accelerated the development of software technology. Physical exercise breaks the limits of all aspects of the human body and requires scientific and reliable information. Industrial cameras realize collection and high-resolution image processing functions and use artificial intelligence to create conditions for collecting scientific data. With the powerful driving force of artificial intelligence, it is believed that physical education will develop to a new height. The intellectualization of physical education makes people expect that it will also bring some inevitable problems, but as long as we continue to overcome and improve, we believe that artificial intelligence will better serve physical education and benefit mankind. Artificial intelligence is the current trend of social development. This paper takes physical education as a breakthrough point to discuss the application of artificial intelligence in physical education. This paper uses the grey GM prediction model and questionnaire survey method to build an online education platform and develop an effective education model, which can integrate the country's best educational resources and reduce time and space constraints. Providing a relaxing learning environment for education, one can learn anytime, anywhere. In a typical physical education system, the average self-efficacy score is converted from 20.48 points to 68.37 points, and the average self-score of physical education in the integrated artificial intelligence environment is converted from 30.25 points to 75.54 points. The data show that the quality of education has greatly improved.

An Assessment Approach to Urban Economic Resilience of the Rust Belt in China

Urban economic resilience provides a novel perspective on the sustainable development of urban and regional economy. Selecting 37 prefecture-level cities in the Northeast China that also known as the rust belt in China as a regional study sample that has experienced significant economic decline and out-migration in the last 20 years compared to many other regions in China, this study aims to construct an index system using the data collected in 2005, 2010, and 2016. This study evaluates urban economic resilience including five socioeconomic aspects: diversity, capabilities related to revenue and expenditure, innovation environment, trend of development, and openness. We analyze the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of urban economic resilience, explore the key factors contributing to urban resilience and then provide decision-making suggestions to enhance it. We find the following: (1) urban economic resilience in the Northeast China has gradually increased over time, but spatial heterogeneity of resilience was prominent. Specifically, coastal cities were more economically resilient than inland cities. (2) Urban economic resilience in the Northeast China is significantly contributed by the diversity of an economic system and the trend of development, which contribute to resilience with weights of 0.214 and 0.216, respectively. The dominant factors contributing to urban economic resilience are different among diverse urban economic types and size. (3) To enhance urban economic resilience, comprehensive economic cities need to focus on increasing the diversity of economic structures. Resource-based and old industrial cities should focus on raising the innovation environment. Coastal cities should focus on increasing the diversity of their economic structures and creating positive trends of economic and social development. Agricultural cities should focus on creating positive trends of economic and social development.

In the era of low-carbon economy, how will the new energy automobile industry develop

With people paying more and more attention to energy, low-carbon and environment-friendly lifestyle has become the main direction pursued by modern people. With the continuous improvement of people's quality of life, the demand for automobiles is growing,Combined with people's emphasis on energy conservation, developing new energy automobile industry is the necessary trend of modern economic and social development. At present, the development of China's new energy automobile industry is still in the primary stage, and it will face many problems, such as the related technologies of new energy automobile, which need to be further improved, and there is still a certain lack of capital investment in the new energy automobile industry,All these problems need to be further optimized and adjusted by enterprises and the government according to the actual situation. This article will mainly take this as the topic and discuss the related contents.

Понимание новой антропологической ситуации в контексте коронавирусной пандемии

The unexpected appearance and global spread of the coronavirus infection has significantly changed many aspects of human life, reflected in the state and emerging trends of social, economic, ecological, technological and cultural development. This article reviews the literature on the philosophical understanding of the consequences of the pandemic. Particular attention is paid to the existential issues of lockdown, the massive implantation of information and digital technologies and the strengthening, in this regard, of the role of artificial intelligence and computer modeling in the development of human activity. The pandemic actually created a new situation in which it became difficult to simulate the future. There is a permanent emergency situation, a total violation of the usual rhythm of life, forced isolation, uncertainty taking on a global nature, the comprehensive implementation of digitalization, and even the accelerating creation of a technogenic civilization — with all its benefits and drawbacks; anthropological specificity and the existential sensation of a new reality also feature. The harmonious development of the future will depend on how soberly humanity can assess what is happening and acquire developments in the long term.