Abstract
Urban economic resilience provides a novel perspective on the sustainable development of urban and regional economy. Selecting 37 prefecture-level cities in the Northeast China that also known as the rust belt in China as a regional study sample that has experienced significant economic decline and out-migration in the last 20 years compared to many other regions in China, this study aims to construct an index system using the data collected in 2005, 2010, and 2016. This study evaluates urban economic resilience including five socioeconomic aspects: diversity, capabilities related to revenue and expenditure, innovation environment, trend of development, and openness. We analyze the spatial and temporal evolution characteristics of urban economic resilience, explore the key factors contributing to urban resilience and then provide decision-making suggestions to enhance it. We find the following: (1) urban economic resilience in the Northeast China has gradually increased over time, but spatial heterogeneity of resilience was prominent. Specifically, coastal cities were more economically resilient than inland cities. (2) Urban economic resilience in the Northeast China is significantly contributed by the diversity of an economic system and the trend of development, which contribute to resilience with weights of 0.214 and 0.216, respectively. The dominant factors contributing to urban economic resilience are different among diverse urban economic types and size. (3) To enhance urban economic resilience, comprehensive economic cities need to focus on increasing the diversity of economic structures. Resource-based and old industrial cities should focus on raising the innovation environment. Coastal cities should focus on increasing the diversity of their economic structures and creating positive trends of economic and social development. Agricultural cities should focus on creating positive trends of economic and social development.
Highlights
Cities across the world are facing chronic pressure and acute shock nowadays from many perspectives, such as the ecological, social, economic, and environmental challenges
(2) Urban economic resilience in the Northeast China is significantly contributed by the diversity of an economic system and the trend of development, which contribute to resilience with weights of 0.214 and 0.216, respectively. e dominant factors contributing to urban economic resilience are different among diverse urban economic types and size
Compared with the existing research, the evaluation index system in this paper makes the original research on urban resilience more pertinent. e evaluation index system established in this paper is based on the urban resilience evaluation system and conducts in-depth research on its economic resilience. It divides the economic resilience index system into five subsystems: diversity, capabilities related to revenue and expenditure, innovation environment, trend of development, and openness
Summary
Cities across the world are facing chronic pressure and acute shock nowadays from many perspectives, such as the ecological, social, economic, and environmental challenges. There are four main backgrounds for the rise of resilient cities: first, at the ecological level, climate, geological disasters, and ecological deterioration have led to increasing urban emergencies. Extreme weather such as global warming, frequent ice disasters, and heavy rain seriously threatens the development of cities. Ird, at the social level, the uncertainty of urban development has become a common problem in all countries in the world. At the Complexity planning level, a goal of urban planning is to deal with uncertainty and regulate the healthy development of the city [2]
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