Trade In Agricultural Products Research Articles

Food Safety in Foreign Trade of Agricultural and Food Products: Evaluation of Risk Analysis Stages and Process

Foods have become open to physical, chemical, and biological degradation due to their structural properties. The concept of food safety includes measures that can be taken against these types of may occur hazards and risks. Risk analysis is a planned approach created to identify risks to food safety and to reduce likely occur risks in terms of human health. The processes take a long time of storage, transportation, and distribution of products in international agriculture and food trade make them more vulnerable to physical, chemical, and biological risks. Food control systems applied in foreign trade of agricultural and food products are carried out based on risk analysis. In this study, the place and importance of risk analysis in foreign trade of agricultural and food products have been mentioned, and it has been tried to reveal the worldwide legislation regulations, practices, and development related to risk analysis.

Measuring the Comparative and Competitive Advantage of Iraqi Dates Production Using the Policy Analysis Matrix

Purpose: This study came to analyze the impact of government intervention in the production of this important crop and to determine the extent of its global competition and whether it has a comparative advantage in its production or not. Theoretical framework: Dates are the most prominent representative of Iraq's foreign trade of commodities and agricultural products, which requires attention to that identity of Iraqi agriculture abroad. Interest in producing dates and improving their performance at the local and international levels is a necessity to revive the national economy and the agricultural economy alike. Design/Methodology/Approach: The research aimed to measure the impact of agricultural government intervention in the production and export of Iraqi dates through the study of the Policy Analysis Matrix (PAM) and protection coefficients, and some macro policies related to the subject of the study. Findings: The key finding of this research was the results of the policy analysis matrix for one acre of dates both showed that the selling prices of dates at the local level are lower than their prices at the global level, and this is what prompts farmers to export dates. It appeared through the commodity system has the ability to compete locally, but at lower levels than what is achieved at the level of social prices. Research, practical and social implications: This study contributes to analysis the impact of government intervention in the production of IRAQI DATES crop and to determine the extent of its global competition. Originality/Value: The study recommends that the state should support the producers of dates and provides them with the necessary production requirements such as fertilizers, pesticides, fuel and others, and encourage the cultivation of high-quality and abundantly produced varieties and the introduction of modern technologies in this field. This maintains price stability.

OMMODITY MARKETS OF THE CIS AND EAEU AND THEIR IMPACT ON FOOD SECURITY IN RUSSIA

In the article, the author analyses historical and political factors, including the role of the country’s leaders and the legal basis for the creation of the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) in the post-Soviet space and, later in time, the formation of an integration association of a different format - the EAEU. The author also considers the differences in the organisational and legal architecture of building associations, their international legal status, the competence of governing bodies, the ways of development of each of them, and the competitive opportunities between them. In addition, in the article, the author compares the customs legislation of the CIS and the EAEU in terms of regulating trade relations of a duty-preferential nature between their member states based on the corresponding free trade regimes in the CIS and the EAEU. Moreover, the author evaluates the statistical and calculated indicators (value and physical) of the results of mutual trade in food and agricultural products within the commodity markets operating in the CIS and the EAEU, their correlation with similar indicators of international trade of the CIS countries and the EAEU with third countries, the impact and significance mutual trade of the CIS countries and the EAEU with the Russian Federation on the food security of Russia.

Global contributions of milk to nutrient supplies and greenhouse gas emissions

Globally, ruminant production systems used to synthesize meat and milk differ tremendously in terms of their efficiency, productivity, and environmental impacts. Regardless of this variability, milk has been repeatedly identified as an essential source of nutrients for humans. The objective of this work was to characterize global contributions of fluid milk to human food and nutrient supplies, greenhouse gas emissions, and water withdrawal. Data were leveraged from the United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization to estimate global supplies of agricultural products. Trade of agricultural products and waste of those products, along with use of human food for livestock feed were accounted for before estimating human nutrient supplies. The contributions of milk to human-edible nutrient supplies were then enumerated in terms of their proportion of total nutrients supplied by the agricultural system and in terms of the human population's requirement for that nutrient. We identified that fluid milk provides over 10% of consumable supplies of vitamin B12, vitamin A, riboflavin, and calcium available for humans globally. In terms of human nutrient requirements, milk provides sufficient vitamin B12 to meet the needs of over 60% of the global population, riboflavin to satisfy 50% of the population, and calcium and phosphorus for over 35% of the population. Compared with other foods, milk ranked among the highest in terms of nutrient-to-calorie ratio for numerous amino acids, phosphorus, calcium, and riboflavin. Conditional dependencies were identified between greenhouse gas emissions and ruminant milk and meat, but not between water withdrawal and milk production. When evaluating the trade-offs in nutrient use versus nutrient provision for producing milk or producing all ruminant products, the production of ruminants worldwide was associated with both net increases and net decreases of several key nutrients. Continued work focusing on strategies to reduce the environmental impact of milk production will improve the utility of milk for feeding the growing global population.

Perubahan Produksi dan Perdagangan Negara-negara Produsen Lada Terbesar di Dunia dan Implikasinya bagi Indonesia

The production and trade of agricultural products in global markets will undergo changes due to shifts in demand and production patterns. Although demand for pepper is likely to remain strong, pepper production is prone to fluctuations due to various factors, particularly natural ones. This study aims to predict future changes in the production and trade of the world's largest pepper-producing countries and identify macro-level improvements needed to enhance the pepper production and trade system in Indonesia. Using time-series analysis (i.e., double exponential smoothing) with FAOSTAT data from 1961-2020, this study predicts that the competitive landscape among pepper-producing countries is likely to change over the next 15 years. Some producing countries may overtake others in terms of pepper production and trade. Consequently, Indonesia needs to respond to these changes by implementing various sectoral-level improvements, such as investing in sustainable development, improving infrastructure, and addressing political factors, in addition to improving farmer-level practices.

Global transfer of salinization on irrigated land: Complex network and endogenous structure

Increasing globalization intensifies land redistribution via global supply chains. Interregional trade not only transfers embodied land but also displaces the negative environmental impact of land degradation from one region to another. This study sheds light on land degradation transfer by focusing on salinization directly whereas previous studies have extensively assessed the land resource embodied in trade. To analyze the relationships among economies under interwoven embodied flows, this study integrates complex network analysis and input-output method to observe the endogenous structure of the transfer system. By focusing on irrigated land with higher crop yields than dryland farming, we make policy recommendations on food safety and proper irrigation. The results of the quantitative analysis show that the total amount of saline and sodic irrigated land embodied in global final demand are 260978.23 and 424291.05 square kilometers respectively. Salt-affected area of irrigated land is imported by not only developed countries but also large developing countries such as Mainland China and India. Exports of embodied salt-affected land in Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Turkmenistan are pressing issues, accounting for nearly 60% of total exports from net exporters worldwide. It is also demonstrated that embodied transfer network has a basic community structure of three groups due to regional preference in agricultural products trade.

The Evolving Status of Agricultural Products in the Global Value Chain since China and Kyrgyzstan Established Diplomatic Relations

Central Asia borders China and was the first stop of China’s opening to the west. Studying the evolving status of agricultural products in the global value chain since China and Kyrgyzstan established diplomatic relations in 1992 can facilitate China’s “Belt and Road” initiative and strengthen agricultural cooperation. Based on FAOSTAT and UN Comtrade data, this paper classifies agricultural products into three categories: primary agricultural products, rough-processed agricultural products, and deep-processed industrial products. An indicator system was constructed for measuring the status of agricultural products in the global value chain. Using the results of the NET trade index, this paper analyzed the evolving status of Chinese and Kyrgyzstani agricultural products in the global value from 1995 to 2020. The results showed that the status of Chinese and Kyrgyzstani primary agricultural products has continued to decline, with Kyrgyzstan slightly better than China. The status of Chinese rough-processed agricultural products was slowly declining, while Kyrgyzstan’s status dropped sharply by 2020. China has a solid foundation in deep-processed agricultural products, while Kyrgyzstan’s status was relatively low. Suggestions for future cooperation between China and Kyrgyzstan are discussed, such as strengthening agricultural technology exchanges and cooperation, expanding trade in high-quality agricultural products, etc.

Local, regional, and global adaptations to a compound pandemic-weather stress event

Global food security can be threatened by short-term extreme events that negatively impact food production, food purchasing power, and agricultural economic activity. At the same time, environmental pollutants like greenhouse gases (GHGs) can be reduced due to the same short-term extreme stressors. Stress events include pandemics like COVID-19 and widespread droughts like those experienced in 2015. Here we consider the question: what if COVID-19 had co-occurred with a 2015-like drought year? Using a coupled biophysical-economic modeling framework, we evaluate how this compound stress would alter both agricultural sector GHG emissions and change the number of undernourished people worldwide. We further consider three interdependent adaptation options: local water use for crop production, regional shifts in cropland area, and global trade of agricultural products. We find that GHG emissions decline due to reduced economic activity in the agricultural sector, but this is paired with large increases in undernourished populations in developing nations. Local and regional adaptations that make use of natural resources enable global-scale reductions in impacted populations via increased global trade.

Can agricultural trade improve total factor productivity? Empirical evidence from G20 countries

Improving agricultural total factor productivity is essential to achieving the high-quality and sustainable development of agriculture. As major global agricultural producers, the G20 countries play an important role in agricultural product trade and development. As such, it is well-positioned to play a positive role in improving agricultural total factor productivity. This paper uses the DEA-Malmquist index method to measure agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) in G20 countries from 2010 to 2019, and analyzes the impact of agricultural trade on TFP using the two-way fixed effects model. It finds that (1) the main source of agricultural TFP growth in G20 countries is technical progress, while the effect of technical efficiency on agricultural TFP is not obvious. (2) Agricultural trade can significantly improve agricultural TFP growth in G20 countries, and the effect is more obvious in developed countries. From the perspective of trade flow, the positive effect of export trade on agricultural TFP is stronger. (3) The institutional environment strengthens the improvement effect of agricultural trade on agricultural TFP. Thus, this study not only provides valuable insight into the relationship between agricultural trade and agricultural productivity, but also offers a strong argument in favor of the formulation of relevant policies to improve agricultural productivity and promote a more sustainable agricultural sector.

External supply risk of agricultural products trade along the Belt and Road under the background of COVID-19.

Agricultural product trade along the Belt and Road (B&R) is an important part of the international food security system, the vulnerabilities of which have been highlighted by the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Based on the complex network analysis, this study analyzes the characteristics of agricultural products trade network along the B&R. It also combines the effects of COVID-19 with the import trade volume of agricultural products in countries along the B&R to build a risk supply model of agricultural products. The results show that: (1) In 2021, the spatial correlation structure of agricultural products trade along the B&R became increasingly sparse, and the network connectivity and density also decreased. (2) The network showed obvious scale-free distribution characteristics and obvious heterogeneity. Five communities emerged under the influence of the core node countries, but the formation of community in 2021 had obvious geopolitical characteristics. (3) Under the influence of the COVID-19 epidemic, the number of countries with medium-risk and high-risk level along the route facing external dependence risk (REDI), import concentration risk (RHHI) and COVID-19 epidemic risk (RRICI) increased in 2021, and the number of countries with extremely low-risk level decreased. (4) The dominant risk type of external supply of agricultural products along the route changed from compound risk type in 2019 to epidemic risk in 2021. Hence, the results can be expected to prevent external risk impact from reducing excessive concentration of agricultural products trade and excessive dependence on the external market.

The Solution to the Russian Dilemma of WTO Membership in the Context of Agricultural Trade

The subject of this study is the legal and organizational issues of Russia's participation in the World Trade Organization (WTO). The analysis is conducted in the context of trade in agricultural products. The purpose of this article is to create an argumentative point supporting the view that Russia should continue being a member of the WTO. The methodology of the research is represented by general scientific methods, special scientific methods and methods of argumentation. The analysis considers the legal possibility of termination of membership in the WTO, the main misconceptions of supporters for withdrawal, the alleged consequences of withdrawal, as well as recommendations for further participation in the Organization. The issues examined in this study are of current interest in view of the increasing pressure of the supporters for withdrawal from the WTO in the context of the global economic and geopolitical challenges Russia is facing. Scientific novelty of the article is in the complex argumentation of the overall positive effect of Russia's participation in the WTO for international trade in agricultural products. The conclusions of the study underline the impossibility of Russia’s suspension or expulsion from the Organization, as well as the need for Russia to continue its membership and to build trade relations with foreign partners under the WTO rules.

The Impacts of Trade Facilitation Provisions on Fresh Agricultural Products Trade between China and the BRI Countries

Trade facilitation is essential to lowering overall trade costs and increasing economic returns on both the multilateral and regional levels. Trade facilitation is also an integral part of trade agreements and has become an important component of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). This paper adopts a time-varying stochastic frontier gravity model and a trade inefficiency model and assigns values to different trade facilitation provisions to construct relevant indicators to assess the impacts of the trade facilitation provisions of the World Trade Organization Trade Facilitation Agreement (WTO TFA) and regional trade agreements (RTAs) on trade efficiency between China and BRI countries, as well as on the current conditions and challenges of fresh agricultural product trade between China and countries of the BRI, using data from 2011 to 2020. The results show that the size of domestic markets and population positively affect agricultural trade between China and BRI countries, while geographical distance has a negative impact on their scale of trade. Moreover, this study finds that the obligations set out in trade facilitation provisions of RTAs play an important role in improving trade efficiency, and among these trade facilitation obligations improving the legal provisions of “information transparency”, “customs cooperation” and “advance ruling” can significantly improve trade efficiency, however, some measures relating to “formalities” could potentially constitute barriers to trade. This study innovatively carried out an analysis of the impact of trade facilitation provisions on agricultural trade flows and efficiency from the perspectives of international trade law and economics and provides new policy recommendations for BRI countries to support agricultural trade.

The COVID-19 pandemic and trade in agricultural products.

In this study, we develop a structural gravity model to analyse the effects of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic on international trade in food and agriculture. Using detailed data on trade flows, we estimate the trade impacts of the pandemic for major sectors in food and agriculture. Supply-side impacts on trade caused by reductions in labour tend to be largest in labour-intensive sectors such as meat processing and processed fruit and vegetables. The supply-side export effects are dwarfed by the demand-side import effects, as the recessionary impact of the pandemic drives significant decreases in imports, largely in processed goods and labour-intensive commodities.

МЕЖДУНАРОДНАЯ ТОРГОВЛЯ СЕЛЬСКОХОЗЯЙСТВЕННОЙ ПРОДУКЦИЕЙ КИТАЯ НА ФОНЕ ГЛОБАЛЬНОЙ НЕСТАБИЛЬНОСТИ

The problems and prospects of development of international trade in agricultural products of China at the present stage in the conditions of global instability are revealed. Today, countries have to face sudden crises. Military conflicts, sanctions wars caused by anthropogenic factors, or natural disasters or epidemics caused by natural factors are possible. The article reflects the current conditions for the development of China's international food trade, formed as a result of the aggravation of the geopolitical situation in the world, the incompleteness of the processes associated with the COVID 19 epidemic, the existence of threats to break the country's established integration ties with Western partners. The dynamics of the international trade turnover of agricultural products of China for 2021-2022 has been revealed. The geographical structure and size of both exports and imports of agricultural products from China by continent are analyzed. A SWOT analysis of China's foreign economic relations was carried out, external threats and opportunities for the development of international trade in Chinese agricultural products were identified, as well as an assessment of global threats, the main of which is macroeconomic instability. Shortcomings in the development of international trade in Chinese agricultural products are highlighted, including a relatively low level of self-sufficiency in some important agricultural products of the Chinese population (soybeans, sugar and dairy products); the high cost of agricultural production in China and the relatively low quality of agricultural products, the narrowness of the range of export products. The ways of further development of international trade in agricultural products of China are revealed. The solution to this problem is possible on the basis of digitalization of international food trade, improvement of China's transport and logistics infrastructure, which provides more opportunities for expanding agricultural trade and cooperation between China and countries along the Silk Road. At the present stage, in the context of the escalation of tough economic sanctions by Western countries against the Russian economy, the development of the Sino-Russian bilateral food trade is of particular relevance.

Розвиток міжнародних торговельних відносин аграрного сектору економіки України в контексті євроінтеграції

The article examines modern trends in the development of international trade relations in the agricultural sector of the Ukrainian economy as one of the determining factors in the context of European integration. Peculiarities of Ukraine's participation in agricultural export-import operations are analyzed. It was emphasized that Ukraine is currently at the initial stage of entering the world agricultural markets, domestic food exports are dominated by raw materials or products with little added value, and the export of ready-made food products has not acquired significant volumes. It was determined that due to the agrarian sector of the economy, the food supply of the state, the national market and export potential are formed. It was noted that Ukraine's adherence to the principles and rules of conduct in international trade and other economic relations determined by international unions and organizations contributes to the development of foreign economic trade activities. There has been indicated the need to implement a number of measures to adapt the market environment, build regulatory mechanisms on harmonized institutional bases, for mutually beneficial integration of Ukraine and the EU. It has been studied that with the beginning of the Free Trade Zone with the European Union functioning, Ukraine ensures the approximation of the domestic agricultural sector to the market conditions of management, carries out adaptation to the Common Agrarian Policy of the EU. It has been proven that the dynamics of foreign trade in agricultural products of Ukraine with EU countries indicates a rapid and mutually beneficial strengthening of economic ties, reciprocal attractiveness of trade in food products. Studies show that the agricultural sector of Ukraine has demonstrated positive dynamics in the development of international trade in agricultural and food products in recent years. Emphasis is placed on creating more favorable conditions for the activation of foreign economic trade relations, which should become a strategic priority of the state.

Análise econométrica do comércio de produtos agrícolas China-CEDEAO

ABSTRACT: Agriculture trade remains the economic fulcrum of most African countries as the continent continues to host the largest percent of arable land. This research analyzed the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and China’s agricultural products trade determinants based on 19 years (2000-2018) panel dataset of West African countries aggregate agricultural products exports ($) and macroeconomic variables; GDP, population, arable land, language investment, and trade association(WTO)) as predictors. The PPML estimation method was employed due to its prediction accuracy, the size of the data, and potential hetroskadacity issues. With a 78.5% prediction power, the model explained the variation in ECOWAS-China agricultural trade (Exports). GDPj, lnPOPj, lnPOPi, and lnARLj, LndLj, ConfInsj, and WTOij were positive and statistically significant determinants of trade as hypothesized by existing trade literature. In addition, the China’s population (lnPOPj) had a value of 0.5877, which is significant at the 5% level, indicating that a 1% increase in the Chinese population significantly increases trade in agricultural products with ECOWAS states. The coefficient of distance (Dij) is -4.4573 statistically significant at the 1% level, indicating that distance between partners impedes trade flow. There are unidentified barriers that delay the progress of trade in agricultural products between ECOWAS and China. Based on the above findings, Investments in ECOWAS arable lands demand urgent attention if significant progress in exports is expected, additionally, governments of both partners should assist Agricultural research and development to identify and rectify stifling trade barriers. Furthermore, as trade between ECOWAS and China has not yet reached its full peak, studies on export determinants of individual Agro-commodities and potentials are needed to enrich literature.

Financial supply chain management on agricultural product trade: Simulation from Thailand to China

This study aims to explore the application of financial supply chain management on agricultural product trade, and an example simulation case that Thai durian exports to China. After collection of variables and relationships in previous literature, a model of durian trade supply chain with material flow and cash flow has been created. As a result of the simulation, we found that cash flows of downstream participants are strongly higher than the upstream, which is partly proving that the downstream participants have more opportunities to invest upstream for intervention. Besides, we suggest government agencies, business sector, and financial institutions should strengthen communication and cooperation to maintain stability of current Thai durian trade supply chain, meanwhile, remain on high alertness to postharvest, delivery delays and durian demand to prevent the impact of supply chain disruption on cash flow.

Problems of development of the agricultural sector of Ukraine's economy on the way to European integration

Introduction. The path to European integration is currently a conscious choice of Ukraine. The consequences of a full-scale war have led to the outflow of a significant number of people abroad, a decrease in real incomes, a reorientation of consumers to meet basic needs, and the curtailment of investment programmes by most enterprises, which has resulted in a narrowing of the domestic market. Starting from 24 February 2022, Ukraine's European integration processes gained a new level of relevance and intensity. Ultimately, this resulted in Ukraine being granted the status of a candidate for membership of the European Union on 23 June 2022. Therefore, from now on, in order to speed up the process of Ukraine's accession to the EU, special attention should be paid to the objects to be integrated. In this case, we will consider the main problems of the agricultural sector that stand in the way of prompt approximation of all aspects of policy and legislation to the EU policies, norms and rules. The purpose of the article is to identify the current problems faced by the agrarian sector on the way to effective development of integration processes with a view to joining the European Union. Methodology. The article uses the dialectical method of scientific cognition of processes and phenomena, comparative analysis of the institutional environment in the European Union and Ukraine, and the analytical method for objective assessments of socio-economic processes in the agricultural sector of Ukraine. Results. The article analyses and explores the current problems faced by the agricultural sector in exporting products. The problematic issues that arise on the way to European integration are considered. How does martial law affect the process of European integration in the context of agriculture? Attention is focused on the damage caused to the agricultural sector after the outbreak of a full-scale war. The commodity structure of exports of foreign trade in agricultural products in recent years is analysed. The importance and prospects of further research into the problems that arise on the way to integration into European standards are substantiated. Thus, the practical significance of the study lies in the further development of recommendations on the directions and measures to address the problems identified in the article, which should facilitate the European integration path of the agricultural sector, supporting and developing farms and private peasant households as points of economic growth.

ГОСУДАРСТВЕННЫЕ МОДЕЛИ ПО РЕАЛИЗАЦИИ ЭКСПОРТНОГО ПОТЕНЦИАЛА НАЦИОНАЛЬНОГО СЕЛЬСКОГО ХОЗЯЙСТВА

The configuration of world trade in agricultural products has changed significantly over the past decades. The volume of international trade has increased significantly, technology and information flows have accelerated, transaction costs have decreased, and global production and distribution networks have expanded dynamically to cover an increasing number of countries. In parallel with the dynamic expansion of international food trade, there have been profound changes in the national configurations of the presence of certain countries in foreign markets. These processes gave the author the impulse to analyze strategies for expanding the export advantages of certain states.

Тенденции в развитии торговли сельскохозяйственной продукцией и продовольствием государств-членов ЕАЭС в современных условиях

The article examines the positive trends in the development of the agro-food sector of the economy of the EAEU member states, which take place despite the impact of negative internal and external factors. In 2021, the total volume of mutual trade in agricultural products and food of the EAEU amounted to 11.9 billion US dollars, an increase of 34.8% compared to 2018. Foreign trade turnover increased by 24.7% and reached almost $70 billion. The share of agro-food products in the total trade turnover of the EAEU states is almost continuously increasing. It should be noted that the EAEU countries have been steadily reducing imports of agri-food group goods. The level of intraregional trade in the EAEU in 2021 amounted to 25.5%, which is higher than the same indicator for other integration associations, however, significantly below the level of the European Union (about 70%).The large–scale sanctions imposed against the two countries of the association – Russia and Belarus - have closed the markets of many Western countries and significantly disrupted the established logistics chains. This forced the EAEU states to actively work on finding and establishing trade relations with new partners, in particular with Egypt, India, Israel, Indonesia, the United Arab Emirates; the expediency of concluding an agreement is being studied with Mongolia.