The online monitoring and prediction of tool wear are important to maintain the stability of machining processes. In most cases, the tool wear condition can be evaluated by signals such as force, sound, vibration, and temperature, which are often processed via Fourier-transform based methods, typically, the short-time Fourier transform (STFT). However, the fixed-width window function in STFT has many limitations. In this paper, a novel tool wear monitoring method based on variational mode decomposition (VMD) and Hilbert–Huang transformation (HHT) were developed to monitor the wear of carbide tools in machining stainless steel. In this method, the intrinsic mode function (IMF) was used as the fitness function, and the (K alpha) parameter sets for VMD were optimized by the gray wolf optimization (GWO). The results show that the characteristic frequency in the GWO-VMD-HHT method is more significant with no aliasing compared with the EMD-HHT method, and an obvious characteristic frequency shift phenomenon is present. By utilizing the energy value of IMF3 as the feature to classify the wear state of the cutting tool, the increase of energy reached 85.48% when 260–315 milling passes were in severe wear state. GWO, which can accurately find the best parameters for VMD, not only solves the problem that the Entropy Function is not suitable for force signals, but also provides reference for the selection of parameters of VMD.
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