Timing Of Events Research Articles

Ohio River basin snow ablation and the role of rain‐on‐snow

AbstractSnow cover ablation within the Ohio River Basin (ORB) plays an important role in regional hydroclimatology, while also representing a potential hazard during large and rapid events. Rain‐on‐snow ablation is a particular challenge, where runoff rates are typically enhanced due to the dual inputs of snowmelt and liquid precipitation. Here, we present a 40‐year climatology of snow ablation events frequency, intensity, and timing for the ORB using a 4‐km gridded snow‐water‐equivalent dataset, focusing on the relative proportion of events caused by rain‐on‐snow and changes over time. Spatial patterns of snow ablation frequency and intensity mirror that of seasonal snowfall totals, with higher (lower) values in the northern and eastern (southern) portions of the basin. Rain‐on‐snow events represent approximately 40% of all ablation events within the basin and result in approximately 24%–25% more snow‐water‐equivalent loss than non‐rain‐on‐snow events, plus an additional 3–12 mm of liquid precipitation per event on average. Peak frequency of ablation and rain‐on‐snow events occurs in late winter and early spring, similar to that of the surrounding region. Over time, the frequency of ablation and rain‐on‐snow events has decreased in the northern and eastern portions of the basin, in some cases by as much as 30%. Trends in event magnitudes were more isolated but decreased across portions of central IN, northern KY, eastern OH and northern WV. Additionally, the magnitude of precipitation during rain‐on‐snow events has increased across the region, extending from northern KY into western PA by over 100% in many cases. Broadly, we find tendencies towards fewer events with less snow loss but more liquid precipitation that suggest complicated impacts to the hydroclimatology warranting further investigation.

Seismic Swell Effect Correction Using GVF-Based Guideline

Swells in marine seismic data disrupt the continuity of the reflection events and make interpretation difficult. The swell effect removal process consists of sea-bottom detection and correction, which removes the swell effect by shifting the detected sea-bottom signal to the known or estimated seafloor location. The quality of correction depends on the accuracy of the sea-bottom detection. Since general sea-bottom signal detection techniques have been applied directly after pre-processing, many mispick scenarios exist due to the characteristics of the data, and additional processes are needed. This study proposes a method for accurately detecting sea-bottom reflection signals using the guideline. The errors are caused by mistaking other reflection events as sea-bottom signals. The guideline can improve detection accuracy by providing rough event times of sea-bottom reflection. The guideline was extracted from the gradient vector flow (GVF) technique, a segmentation method in image processing. In the GVF data, the seafloor signals are smoothed, and the energy is focused on the sea bottom. The threshold method detected sea-bottom signals in the range after the guideline. The detected signals were shifted to estimated seafloor locations to attenuate the swell effect. The GVF-based guideline (GVF-GL) method was applied to field data acquired by the airgun and chirp sources with different frequencies. The sea-bottom location was successfully detected, and the continuity of the sea-bottom and subsurface signals in the section was improved.

An event-based distributed least square linear equation solver employing network flow

In this article, we study a distributed, second-order, event-triggered network flow for solving linear algebraic equations described by the form z=Hy in the sense of least squares. An undirected graph is utilized to describe the distributed computation network. In the network, each node broadcasts its dynamic states to its neighbors in an asynchronous fashion, and updates the flow at the isolated event times. We construct a specific trigger function to determine the event times, in which an exponential decay function is introduced as a comparison term. We show that if the linear algebraic equation has a unique least squares solution, all nodes states converge to this unique solution exponentially fast, when the applied network is connected and the decay rate of the comparison term satisfies certain bounds determined jointly by the topology and the linear equations information. We obtain a strictly positive lower bound on the time interval between consecutive events for time t∈[0,∞), and therefore the event-triggered system does not exhibit Zeno behavior. We provide numerical examples to verify the effectiveness of the proposed event-based network flow. In addition, we illustrate the importance of the strictly positive inter-event time interval, in comparison with the case that the inter-event time interval may converge to zero when time t goes to infinity.

TDK részvétel motivációi a Debreceni Egyetem Tehetséggondozó Programjában résztvevő hallgatók körében

Recognition and support of outstanding students are among the most important tasks of higher education, as they can thereby be motivated to pursue a career in academia. In our study, we examined the willingness of members of the Talent Management Program (DETEP) at the University of Debrecen to participate and present at scientific student conferences. Our research was based on a questionnaire survey. The sample consisted of respondents who had previously participated in local TDK conferences (n=128). Based on our results, we can conclude that students who have participated three or more times in TDK events are considering a future career in academia. Respondents who have participated only once mainly participate for the purpose of the competition According to the results between achieving the ranking and the experience of participating in the TDK, participation is experienced as a positive experience if they manage to achieve a ranking at the local conference. Additionally, achieving a ranking also affects the feeling of gaining an advantage during studies and faculty recognition among the respondents.

Radial Variations in Solar Type III Radio Bursts

Type III radio bursts are generated by electron beams accelerated at reconnection sites in the corona. This study, utilizing data from the Parker Solar Probe’s first 17 encounters, closely examines these bursts down to 13 solar radii. A focal point of our analysis is the near-radial alignment (within 5°) of the Parker Solar Probe, STEREO-A, and Wind spacecraft relative to the Sun. This alignment, facilitating simultaneous observations of 52 and 27 bursts by STEREO-A and Wind respectively, allows for a detailed differentiation of radial and longitudinal burst variations. Our observations reveal no significant radial variations in electron beam speeds, radio fluxes, or exponential decay times for events below 50 solar radii. In contrast, closer to the Sun we noted a decrease in beam speeds and radio fluxes. This suggests potential effects of radio beaming or alterations in radio source sizes in this region. Importantly, our results underscore the necessity of considering spacecraft distance in multispacecraft observations for accurate radio burst analysis. A critical threshold of 50 solar radii emerges, beyond which beaming effects and changes in beam speeds and radio fluxes become significant. Furthermore, the consistent decay times across varying radial distances point toward a stable trend extending from 13 solar radii into the inner heliosphere. Our statistical results provide valuable insights into the propagation mechanisms of type III radio bursts, particularly highlighting the role of scattering near the radio source when the frequency aligns with the local electron plasma frequency.

A User - Friendly Signal-Processing App For Harmonics

Harmonics, especially the 3^rd,5^th, and 7^th components, are significant disturbances in power systems, occurring simultaneously and at varying time intervals. Measurements of these components depend on factors such as fundamental frequency deviation, event duration, amplitude values, and noise levels. Accurate detection and measurement are crucial for effective harmonic mitigation and preventive strategies. This study introduces a harmonic signal analysis application utilizing methods like FFT, STFT, CWT, EMD, and HHT, with individual user interfaces for in-phase and time-variant harmonic signals. The application provides results for amplitude, frequency, event time intervals, and noise effects simultaneously. Test results at a 60 dB signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) reveal that FFT achieves precise frequency and amplitude results due to its high resolution, whereas other methods offering time-frequency domain results exhibit lower resolution. EMD, in particular, demonstrates high errors in frequency and amplitude responses, reducing four frequency components to three. HHT, utilizing EMD results, yields higher accuracy with minimal errors compared to other methods. This application, combined with test results, facilitates signal synthesis and comparative analysis in time and time-frequency domains.

Spatio-temporal characterization of drought variability in data-scarce regions using global precipitation data: a case study in Cauto river basin, Cuba.

Drought is considered the most severe water-related disaster in the Cauto river basin, which is the longest river and the main agricultural producer in Cuba. Better understanding of drought characteristics is crucial to drought management. Given the sparsity of ground-based precipitation observations in the Cauto, this study aims at using gridded global precipitation to analyze the spatio-temporal variations of drought in this river basin. Firstly, the monthly Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station data (CHIRPS) was calibrated with the gauged precipitation using the Thiessen polygon-based method and linear least squares regression equations. Then, the gridded standardized precipitation index (SPI) with time scales of 3, 6, 9months and drought characteristics, namely, drought frequency, duration and intensity were calculated using the calibrated CHIRPS. Finally, the spatio-temporal analysis was performed to investigate the variations of drought in the Cauto river basin in time and space. The obtained results show that the calibrated CHIRPS is highly consistent with the gauged observations and is capable of determining the magnitude, time, and spatial extent of drought events in the Cauto river basin. The trend analysis by the Mann-Kendall test reveals that although the trend is not statistically significant, the SPI tends to decrease with time in the dry season, which indicates the more severe drought. The spatial analysis indicates that the lower altitude area of the Cauto river basin is suffered from longer drought duration and higher drought intensity than the upper one. This study expresses the importance of open global precipitation data sources in monitoring and quantifying drought characteristics in data-scarce regions.

Time Reparametrization and Event Location for Discontinuous Differential Algebraic Equations

In this paper, we consider numerical methods for the event location of differential algebraic equations. The event corresponds to cross a discontinuity surface, beyond which another differential algebraic equation holds. The methods are based on a particular change of the independent variable time, called time reparametrization or time transformation, reducing the equation to another equation where the event time is known in advance. From a numerical point of view, these methods never cross the discontinuity surface and reach it in a fixed number of steps. The methods works also for differential algebraic equations of index higher than one.

Genome-wide investigation of exogenous female hormones, genetic variation, and venous thromboembolism risk

BackgroundIncreased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a life-threatening side effect for users of oral contraceptives (OCs) or hormone therapy (HT). ObjectivesTo investigate the potential for genetic predisposition to VTE in OC or HT users, we conducted a gene-by-environment case-only meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies (GWAS). MethodsUse or nonuse of OCs (7 studies) or HT (8 studies) at the time of the VTE event was determined by pharmacy records or self-report. A synergy index (SI) was modeled for each variant in each study and submultiplicative/supramultiplicative gene-by-environment interactions were estimated. The SI parameters were first meta-analyzed across OC and HT studies and subsequently meta-analyzed to obtain an overall estimate. The primary analysis was agnostic GWAS and interrogated all imputed genotypes using a P value threshold of <5.0 × 10−8; secondary analyses were candidate-based. ResultsThe VTE case-only OC meta-analysis included 2895 OC users and 6607 nonusers; the case-only HT meta-analysis included 2434 HT users and 12 793 nonusers. In primary GWAS meta-analyses, no variant reached genome-wide significance, but the smallest P value approached statistical significance: rs9386463 (P = 5.03 × 10−8). We tested associations for 138 candidate variants and identified 2 that exceeded statistical significance (0.05/138 = 3.62 × 10−4): F5 rs6025 (P = 1.87 × 10−5; SI, 1.29; previously observed) and F11 rs2036914 (P = 2.0 × 10−4; SI, 0.91; new observation). ConclusionThe candidate variant approach to identify submultiplictive/supramultiplicative associations between genetic variation and OC and HT use identified a new association with common genetic variation in F11, while the agnostic interrogations did not yield new discoveries.

U-Pb calcite ages date oblique rifting of the Arctic–North Atlantic gateway

Abstract Miocene breakup of Svalbard from Greenland formed a deep oceanic gateway that enabled circulation between the Arctic and Atlantic Oceans, significantly changing the global climate. However, the timing of events remains unclear. An excellent opportunity to constrain this timing is found onshore western Svalbard, where the Sarsbukta fault forms the eastern margin of the Eocene–Oligocene Forlandsundet basin. Here, we present new results from U-Pb dating of calcite precipitated in fault-related veins to constrain the timing of Sarsbukta fault deformation and the evolution of the basin. Our oldest calcite age is Permo-Triassic, suggesting long-lived deformation along the fault. A cluster of ages between 41 and 33 Ma overlaps with fossil-based depositional ages from parts of the Forlandsundet basin. These data indicate that onshore transtension partly pre-dated the well-established Chron 13 (magnetic polarity time scale; 35.5–33.7 Ma) reorganization of spreading ridges in the North Atlantic. Our youngest age of 13 Ma indicates that faulting persisted long after the preserved basin fill was deposited. If seafloor spreading marked the end of extension of continental crust, Molloy Ridge spreading during Chron 5 (19.6–9.8 Ma) may have initiated after 13 Ma.

The relative contribution of acoustic signals versus movement cues in group coordination and collective decision-making.

To benefit from group living, individuals need to maintain cohesion and coordinate their activities. Effective communication thus becomes critical, facilitating rapid coordination of behaviours and reducing consensus costs when group members have differing needs and information. In many bird and mammal species, collective decisions rely on acoustic signals in some contexts but on movement cues in others. Yet, to date, there is no clear conceptual framework that predicts when decisions should evolve to be based on acoustic signals versus movement cues. Here, we first review how acoustic signals and movement cues are used for coordinating activities. We then outline how information masking, discrimination ability (Weber's Law) and encoding limitations, as well as trade-offs between these, can identify which types of collective behaviours likely rely on acoustic signals or movement cues. Specifically, our framework proposes that behaviours involving the timing of events or expression of specific actions should rely more on acoustic signals, whereas decisions involving complex choices with multiple options (e.g. direction and destination) should generally use movement cues because sounds are more vulnerable to information masking and Weber's Law effects. We then discuss potential future avenues of enquiry, including multimodal communication and collective decision-making by mixed-species animal groups. This article is part of the theme issue 'The power of sound: unravelling how acoustic communication shapes group dynamic'.

Exploring home fall events among infants and toddlers using social media information: an infodemiology study in China

BackgroundPractical interventions of fall prevention are challenging for infants and toddlers. This study aimed to explore specific details of falls that occurred at home for kids 0–3 years old using...

Dynamics and timing of diversification events of ciliated eukaryotes from a large phylogenomic perspective

Ciliophora, an exceptionally diverse lineage of unicellular eukaryotes, exhibits a remarkable range of species richness across classes in the ciliate Tree of Life. In this study, we have acquired transcriptome and genome data from 40 representative species in seven ciliate classes. Utilizing 247 genes and 105 taxa, we devised a comprehensive phylogenomic tree for Ciliophora, encompassing over 60 % of orders and constituting the most extensive dataset of ciliate species to date. We established a robust phylogenetic framework that encompasses ambiguous taxa and the major classes within the phylum. Our findings support the monophyly of each of two subphyla (Postciliodesmatophora and Intramacronucleata), along with three subclades (Protocruzia, CONTHREEP, and SAPML) nested within Intramacronucleata, and elucidate evolutionary positions among the major classes within the phylum. Drawing on the robust ciliate Tree of Life and three constraints, we estimated the radiation of Ciliophora around 1175 Ma during the middle of the Proterozoic Eon, and most of the ciliate classes diverged from their sister lineage during the latter half of this period. Additionally, based on the time-calibrated tree and species richness pattern, we investigated net diversification rates of Ciliophora and its classes. The global net diversification rate for Ciliophora was estimated at 0.004979 species/Ma. Heterogeneity in net diversification rates was evident at the class level, with faster rates observed in Oligohymenophorea and Spirotrichea than other classes within the subclades CONTHREEP and SAPML, respectively. Notably, our analysis suggests that variations in net diversification rates, rather than clade ages, appear to contribute to the differences in species richness in Ciliophora at the class level.

Dev-ResNet: automated developmental event detection using deep learning.

Delineating developmental events is central to experimental research using early life stages, permitting widespread identification of changes in event timing between species and environments. Yet, identifying developmental events is incredibly challenging, limiting the scale, reproducibility and throughput of using early life stages in experimental biology. We introduce Dev-ResNet, a small and efficient 3D convolutional neural network capable of detecting developmental events characterised by both spatial and temporal features, such as the onset of cardiac function and radula activity. We demonstrate the efficacy of Dev-ResNet using 10 diverse functional events throughout the embryonic development of the great pond snail, Lymnaea stagnalis. Dev-ResNet was highly effective in detecting the onset of all events, including the identification of thermally induced decoupling of event timings. Dev-ResNet has broad applicability given the ubiquity of bioimaging in developmental biology, and the transferability of deep learning, and so we provide comprehensive scripts and documentation for applying Dev-ResNet to different biological systems.

«Белая свитка и алый кушак...» (&lt;1915&gt;) Сергея Есенина: о поэтике вещи в народном костюме

Sergey Yesenin could get the idea of a thing as an object of science from the lectures of professors of the Moscow City People’s University named after A.L. Shanyavsky while studying at the historical and philosophical department in 1913-1915. At that time, the term “thing” was used in law and philosophy, which was reflected in explanatory dictionaries and encyclopedias. Yesenin attended lectures mainly on literature, and in his subsequent work the word “thing” appears regularly, but only in journalism and letters. The term “thing” was widely used in criticism in the first quarter of the 20th century, and Yesenin’s friends recalled the poet’s use of this word in conversations. The purpose of this article is to analyze the items of the “clothing code” from an artistic and philosophical position in Yesenin’s poem “The White Zipun and the Scarlet Sash...”, understanding them as “things”. Conclusion. The zipun and the sash are folk festive clothing, with its regional names, they have a long tradition of reflecting them in fiction, and in Yesenin they emphasize the event time and the emotional experiences of the hero.

A Methodology to Evaluate the Real-Time Stability of Submarine Slopes under Rapid Sedimentation

Rapid sedimentation is widely recognized as a crucial factor in initiating the instability of submarine slopes. Once the slope fails, the subsequent landslide poses a significant threat to the safety of underwater infrastructures and potentially leads to severe damage to seabed pipelines, offshore foundations, and oil and gas exploitation wells. However, there is currently a lack of numerical methods to effectively assess the real-time stability of submarine slopes under rapid sedimentation. This study firstly employs a calibrated finite element (FE) model-change approach to reproduce the rapid sedimentation processes and proposes a concise method to calculate the safety factors for the real-time stability of sedimenting submarine slopes. Further, a parametric analysis is carried out to evaluate the effect of varying sedimentation rates on slope stability, and the critical sedimentation rate is numerically solved. Moreover, the effect of seismic events with different occurring times on the stability of rapidly sedimenting slopes is investigated in depth, and the most critical seismic loading pattern among various acceleration combinations is achieved. The results indicate that the presence of weak layers during sedimentation is a critical factor contributing to slope instability. The introduced rate of decrease in the safety factor proves valuable in assessing slope safety over a specific period. As the occurrence time of seismic events is delayed, the seismic resistance of the slope decreases, increasing the likelihood of shallower sliding surfaces. The findings offer insights into the mechanisms by which rapid sedimentation influences the stability of submarine slopes and provide valuable insights for predicting the potential instability of rapidly sedimenting slopes under specific seismic activity levels.

Working with nutritionists

Veterinarians and nutritionists both are advisors to help feed­lots develop protocols, execute and monitor protocols, train of personnel, and identify new technologies. Nutritionists are responsible for supplement and ration formulation, feed addi­tive recommendations, growth promotants management, bunk management, overseeing quality control, and monitoring pro­tocol adherence. Veterinarians are responsible for arrival pro­tocols, treatment protocols, training crews on case definitions of sick animals, and monitoring morbidity and mortality. Nu­tritionists are judged on ADG, F:G, cost of gain, and metabolic disorders/mortality rates. Veterinarians are judged on pull rate and death loss outcomes, as well as costs of pharmaceutical us­age. There are many opportunities for nutritionists and veteri­narians to collaborate. It is important for each party to under­stand the general recommendations the other has in place, and where things could be tweaked to optimize efficiencies to help feedlot crew teams to execute these protocols. When challeng­ing one another, it is important to stay professional. It is also important that many of the disagreements could be alleviated with understanding why current protocols are in place, and to determine if there are opportunities to adjust the timing of events to compromise what makes most sense to the animal and the operation. As technology continues to improve through mon­itoring tools, data collection, new products and research, oppor­tunities for collaboration between professionals will continue to exist. Clear expectations and communication from all 3 parties (feedlot, veterinarian and nutritionist) are required for success.

Aging Renewal Point Processes and Exchangeability of Event Times

In this paper, we investigate the impact of latency aging on exchangeable (invariant under permutation of indices) inter-arrival times arising from mixed renewal point processes (statistical mixtures of point processes with renewal inter-arrival times) and explore the implications for reliability and survival analysis. We prove that aging preserves the exchangeability of inter-arrival times. Our data analysis, which includes both surrogate data and a Bayesian approach to high-frequency currency exchange-rate data, shows how aging impacts key survival analysis metrics such as failure survival, renewal, and hazard rate functions.

Chasing and surfing seasonal waves: Avian migration through the US tracks land surface phenology in fall, but not spring.

Climate change is altering the timing of seasonal events for many taxa. There is limited understanding of how northward/southward songbird migration follows or is limited by the latitudinal progression of seasonal transitions. Consistent environmental conditions that migrating birds encounter across latitudes likely represent or correlate with important resources or limiting factors for migration. We tested whether migratory passage-observed via radar-consistently tracked land surface variables and phenophases across latitudes in the US Central Flyway in both spring and fall. The daily temperatures, precipitation and vegetation greenness occurring on 10%, 50% and 90% cumulative passage dates changed substantially with latitude, indicating that most migrants experienced rapidly changing conditions as they headed north or south. Temperature did not limit the progression of migration in either season. Peak spring migration in the southern US occurred nearly 40 days after the spring green wave, the northward progression of vegetation growth, but nearly caught up to green-up at 48° N. Spring migration phenology may have evolved to prioritize earlier arrival for breeding. Across all latitudes, peak fall migration coincided with the same land surface phenophase, an interval of 26 days prior to dormancy onset. Migrants may rely on phenological events in vegetation during fall stopovers. Considering that (a) migratory passage tracked fall land surface phenology across latitudes at a continental scale, (b) previous studies at local scales have demonstrated the importance of fruit during fall migratory stopover and (c) fruiting phenology in North America is occurring later over time while fall migration is advancing, the potential for mismatch between fall fruiting and bird migration phenology urgently needs further investigation.

Quantifying the altitudinal response of water yield capacity to climate change in an alpine basin on the Tibetan Plateau through integrating the WRF-Hydro and Budyko framework

Alpine areas play a substantial role in supplying the world’s water resources. The hydrological cycle in these areas has been experiencing notable alterations owing to climate change. However, the present comprehension of how water yield capacity (WYC) responds to climate change at varying elevations within alpine basins is impeded due to the complex terrain and simplified representation of coupled water-energy processes in traditional hydrological models. Through integrating the Weather Research and Forecasting hydrological modeling system (WRF-Hydro) and Budyko framework, this study quantitatively assessed the influence of climate change on WYC across different elevations in a Tibetan Plateau alpine basin, named Xiying River Basin (XRB). The results indicated the WRF-Hydro adeptly reproduced the streamflow and evapotranspiration (ET) within the XRB. The combination of the WRF-Hydro model allows the Budyko framework, traditionally limited to the watershed scale, to be applicable at the grid scale. We found that the XRB underwent substantial climate change from 1980 to 2015, and there existed an abrupt change in 1997. Climate change caused the WYC reduced by −17.06% during the post-1997 period (1998–2015), compared to the pre-1997 period (1980–1997). Additionally, all elevation bands displayed the WYC reductions, ranging from −3.69% to −24.31%, with diminishing magnitude at higher elevations. This WYC reduction is primarily attributed to an increase of 11.38% in ET. Although ET and precipitation increased with elevation, the former consistently exceeded the latter, resulting in decreasing water deficits and an altitudinal gradient of the WYC reduction. Besides the increasing vapor pressure deficit and decreasing albedo, our findings emphasized the significance of precipitation event timing in influencing WYC. The longer time intervals between precipitation events in the XRB led to more soil moisture loss through ET. These findings shed valuable implications for policymakers, offering guidance for the formulation of sustainable policies for water resource management and ecological conservation.