Ice Thickness Research Articles

Experimental modal testing of growing thin ice

Current practices for assessing the thickness of growing ice include drilling and coring. This is inherently risky and motivates the use of a stand-off method. Laser Doppler vibrometry is a potential technique, however, the interpretation of vibrometer signals must be informed by a physical understanding of ice subjected to mechanical vibrations. The vibrational response of growing, thin ice is largely unknown. For thick ice, adequate predictions for the vibrational response assumes ice behaves as an elastic plate. It is hypothesized that thin ice responds in a fashion somewhere between an elastic membrane and an elastic plate. A modal test of thin ice growing within an insulated plastic basin was conducted over the course of two tests. The resulting dataset spans a range of ice thicknesses from 8 to 45 mm. Examination of Bode and Nyquist plots showed that the two lowest observable ice resonances, as measured at the center of the ice sheet, exhibit a dependence on ice thickness distinctly different from a fixed elastic plate loaded by a half-space of water. Preliminary finite-element analysis calculations indicates that the basin wall compliance is a significant factor in modifying the ice resonance versus thickness relationship.

Некоторые оценки тяжелых ледовых условий (сжатий) в Печорском море по данным наблюдений и моделирования (моделирование и анализ)

The work continues the study focused on the analysis of the severe ice conditions’ formation in the Pechora Sea during navigation in 2003 and 2018 (published in vol.12, no.4, 2022). Using a numerical model, the authors reproduce the dynamics and some elements of the morphometry of the ice cover during the indicated ice seasons. Thus, they reveal that the significant ice pressure (100—150 kPa and more) is caused by the strong on-shore wind, while the ice pressure related to the tidal phenomena have the predominant value at the weak winds. The tidal ice pressure occurs permanently and regularly, and varies mainly within the range of 10—50 kPa. The contribution of ice hummocks to the total ice volume becomes significant when strong ice pressure happens at the background of high ice thickness (close to the seasonal maximum, i.e. more than 60—70 cm). With small ice thicknesses, even strong ice pressure, as a rule, does not lead to a significant increase in the equivalent thickness of hummocks.

Passive sea ice thickness inference using cryophones.

Mechanical properties of Arctic sea ice can be inferred by observations of in-ice propagation of compressional, shear, and flexural waves. During the 1980s, impulsive signals were generated by a lead ball or sledgehammer dropped onto the sea ice, and the inference required observation of wave speeds. During ICEX20 and ARCEX23, passive cryophone observations were made of naturally occurring compressional wave resonances. Average first-year ice thicknesses during ICEX20 and ARCEX23 were inferred to be 1.3 and 1.6 m, respectively; these are consistent with independent observations and indicate the potential for remote, autonomous monitoring of sea ice thickness.

Retrieval of Antarctic sea ice freeboard and thickness from HY-2B satellite altimeter data

Retrieval of Antarctic sea ice freeboard and thickness from HY-2B satellite altimeter data

Model Mean State Sea Ice Thickness Reflects Dynamic Effect Biases: A Process Based Evaluation

AbstractGlobal climate models account for sea ice thickness by summing thermodynamic processes that affect thickness through phase change and dynamic processes that affect thicknesses through relative motion. Comparison of these individual processes with observations is essential for model interpretation and development. We utilized observational estimates of basal thermodynamic growth, overall thickness changes and their residual difference (including dynamics) to evaluate these processes in the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Community Earth System Model 2 (CESM2) submission to the World Climate Research Program (WCRP) Ocean Model Comparison Project Phase 2 (OMIP2) and Pan‐Arctic Ice–Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS). Both models exhibit a similar pattern of higher basal thermodynamic growth and lower residual effects and wintertime thickness in the central Arctic than observational estimates for 2010–2018, and vice versa in the peripheral seas. Correcting residual effect biases would ameliorate the biases in both mean thickness and basal thermodynamic growth.

СЕЗОННЫЕ И МЕЖГОДОВЫЕ ИЗМЕНЕНИЯ ВОЗРАСТНОЙ СТРУКТУРЫ ЛЕДЯНОГО ПОКРОВА ГРЕНЛАНДСКОГО МОРЯ В ЗИМНИЙ ПЕРИОД

Seasonal and interannual changes in the Greenland Sea ice age composition during winter months for seven standard age categories are analyzed. To estimate the amount of the ice of different age categories, the digital archive of the region’s ice charts for the period 1997-2022 produced by the Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute is used. Statistical insignificance of linear trends has been revealed for the main age categories of the Greenland Sea ice. A comparison of the obtained estimates of the variability in the amount of the ice of different age categories and earlier studies shows that the quantitative changes in the Greenland Sea ice age composition started before 1997. The data on the ice age composition over a 25-year observation period alone are insufficient to draw an unambiguous conclusion about a decrease in the Greenland Sea ice thickness.

Risk assessment of ice-class-based navigation in Arctic: a case study in the Vilkitsky Strait

Over the past four decades, the decrease in Arctic sea ice has driven significant growth in vessel traffic through the Arctic passages. A precise and quantitative sea ice risk assessment would be the cornerstone of route planning for Arctic ships. Taking the chokepoint of Arctic Northeast Passage, the Vilkitsky Strait, as an example, the temporal and spatial characteristics of ice conditions in the strait were analyzed based on simulated ice thickness and observed sea ice concentration data from 2012 to 2021. Additionally, navigation risk in the strait was assessed based on the Polar Operational Limit Assessment Risk Indexing System (POLARIS). The results showed that the strait experienced 100% sea ice coverage from December to May, peaking in thickness of nearly 2 m in May, receding starting in June, and presenting ice-free passages by August and September. A significant interannual variability is evident in the timing of sea ice melting and freezing. Moreover, the average navigability of the strait was 365 days for vessels with an ice class of PC3, 72 days for PC6 and fewer than 64 days for those below B1. Remarkably, in 2013, 2014, and 2021, vessels below PC5 had less than 30 navigable days in the strait.

An improved algorithm for retrieving thin sea ice thickness in the Arctic Ocean from SMOS and SMAP L-band radiometer data

An improved algorithm for retrieving thin sea ice thickness in the Arctic Ocean from SMOS and SMAP L-band radiometer data

ПАРАМЕТРИЗАЦИЯ ТЕПЛО- И ВЛАГООБМЕНА В РЕГИОНАЛЬНОЙ ТЕРМОДИНАМИЧЕСКОЙ МОДЕЛИ МОРСКОГО ЛЬДА

The prevailing types of the atmospheric stratification over the snow-ice cover at the top of Taganrog Bay for eleven winter seasons of 2007/2008-2017/2018 have been determined using the numerical experiments on reproducing the seasonal variations in the sea ice thickness. Series of calculations both with the constant transfer coefficients and with the coefficients obtained taking into account the surface stratification of the atmosphere have been carried out. The model results of both series have been compared with each other and with in situ measurements.

An experimental investigation on the ice-breaking phenomenon induced by the spark-generated bubble near a vertical plate

The present work experimentally studied the coupled interaction between the fracture of an ice plate floating on the water surface, induced by the pulsation of a high-pressure bubble, and the associated deformation of a vertically submerged aluminum plate. The dynamic behaviors of bubbles and fractured ice were concurrently recorded using two high-speed cameras, and the plastic deformation of the aluminum plate was measured by an ultra-depth three-dimensional microscope. The results indicated that the jet direction of the collapsed bubble is heavily influenced by the position to generate the bubble due to the competing Bjerknes forces caused by various boundaries. There is also a significant discrepancy in the phenomena of bubble collapse near thin vs thick ice plates, attributed to the sudden alteration in boundary conditions caused by ice fracturing. Three distinct ice-breaking mechanisms, namely, the hogging moment, jet impact, and the secondary shock wave, were identified based on the types of loads, leading to the initial ice fractures. In general, it was observed that the efficiency of ice breaking improved with a decrease in the bubble–ice distance (γf) and an increase in the bubble–plate distance (γm). It was found that the contacting jet from an upwardly collapsed bubble is the most effective in breaking the thickest ice plates for γm>1.9. While the shock wave from a bubble collapsing near solid wall corners could fracture thick ice plates, the aluminum plate risked damage from jet impacts when γm was less than 0.6.

Formation and persistence of glaciovolcanic voids explored with analytical and numerical models

Abstract One fifth of Earth's volcanoes are covered by snow or ice and many have active geothermal systems that interact with the overlying ice. These glaciovolcanic interactions can melt voids into glaciers, and are subject to controls exerted by ice dynamics and geothermal heat output. Glaciovolcanic voids have been observed to form prior to volcanic eruptions, which raised concerns when such features were discovered within Job Glacier on Qw̓elqw̓elústen (Mount Meager Volcanic Complex), British Columbia, Canada. In this study we model the formation, evolution, and steady-state morphology of glaciovolcanic voids using analytical and numerical models. Analytical steady-state void geometries show cave height limited to one quarter of the ice thickness, while numerical model results suggest the void height h scales with ice thickness H and geothermal heat flux $\dot {Q}$ as $h/H = a H^b \dot {Q}^c$ , with exponents b = −n/2 and c = 1/2 where n is the creep exponent. Applying this scaling to the glaciovolcanic voids within Job Glacier suggests the potential for total geothermal heat flux in excess of 10 MW. Our results show that relative changes in ice thickness are more influential in glaciovolcanic void formation and evolution than relative changes in geothermal heat flux.

Forward modelling of synthetic-aperture radar (SAR) backscatter during lake ice melt conditions using the Snow Microwave Radiative Transfer (SMRT) model

Abstract. Monitoring of lake ice is important to maintain transportation routes, but in recent decades the number of in situ observations have declined. Remote sensing has worked to fill this gap in observations, with active microwave sensors, particularly synthetic-aperture radar (SAR), being a crucial technology. However, the impact of wet conditions on radar and how interactions change under these conditions have been largely ignored. It is important to understand these interactions as warming conditions are likely to lead to an increase in the occurrence of slush layers. This study works to address this gap using the Snow Microwave Radiative Transfer (SMRT) model to conduct forward-modelling experiments of backscatter for Lake Oulujärvi in Finland. Experiments were conducted under dry conditions, under moderate wet conditions, and under saturated conditions. These experiments reflected field observations during the 2020–2021 ice season. Results of the dry-snow experiments support the dominance of surface scattering from the ice–water interface. However, conditions where layers of wet snow are introduced show that the primary scattering interface changes depending on the location of the wet layer. The addition of a saturated layer at the ice surface results in the highest backscatter values due to the larger dielectric contrast created between the overlying dry snow and the slush layer. Improving the representation of these conditions in SMRT can also aid in more accurate retrievals of lake ice properties such as roughness, which is key for inversion modelling of other properties such as ice thickness.

Temperature and salinity in the Bohai Sea landfast ice: Observations and modelling

Temperature and salinity are essential thermodynamic properties of sea ice. A 40-day long field campaign was carried out in winter 2020/2021 in the northern Bohai Sea in the landfast sea ice to investigate the seasonal sea ice temperature and salinity evolution. Ice thickness was measured routinely. A thermistor string was used to measure the ice temperature. Ice samples were collected for salinity by coring (Sco) and crumbing (Scr) methods. The mean vertical values of Sco and Scr were 4.8–5.8 psu and 8.3–13.8 psu, respectively. In cold ice, Sco and Scr were very close to each other. When ice temperature increased to −5 °C, Sco and Scr tended to differ from each other, and the difference was at largest at ice bottom. The brine volume fraction (BVF) ranged between 0.03 and 0.21 for Sco and 0.03 and 0.32 for Scr. The growth of ice reached a maximum of 3.7 cm/day in very cold conditions, while the average growth rate was 0.8 cm/day comparable to other seasonally ice-covered seas. A numerical sea ice thermodynamic model was applied to simulate the ice thickness with particular attention to the effect of Sco and Scr on the ice mass balance. The modeled overall ice growth rate was 0.7 cm/day and agreed well with the observations but during cold periods the simulation was biased down (1.1 cm/day); a possible reason is underestimation of the thermal conductivity in the model. The modeled ice thickness differed by 3 cm when using Sco and Scr as the input salinity profiles indicating that salinity has a minor impact on sea ice mass balance during mid-winter.

Talus rock glaciers in the Cairngorm Mountains

ABSTRACT Although several relict talus rock glaciers (TRGs) of Lateglacial age have been identified in the British Isles, all have been refuted by some authors and their absence attributed to the lack of permafrost. The evidence provided by palaeoclimatic reconstructions and periglacial features, however, implies that Lateglacial permafrost was present throughout Scotland during the Loch Lomond Stade (LLS; ∼12.9–11.7 ka). Across much of the Scottish Highlands, the absence of Lateglacial TRGs is attributable to occupation of potential sites by glaciers during the LLS. In the Cairngorms, however, where limited snowfall at that time left some corries glacier-free, there is convincing evidence for TRG formation. Three examples illustrating different degrees of TRG development are described; all occur at high-level (>840 m) sites that remained glacier-free during the LLS, and all lack plausible alternative explanations. The apparent scarcity of relict TRGs even in the Cairngorms may reflect the development of ‘cold’ permafrost and/or a lengthy time lag between permafrost development and the accumulation of a sufficient volume and thickness of ground ice to permit permafrost creep and deformation of an overlying mantle of bouldery debris. In consequence, relict TRGs may occur only at favourable high-level sites where permafrost developed earliest.

Assessment of atmospheric circulation impacts on the Caspian Sea level and ice regime

The research aimed to assess the influence of atmospheric processes in the Northern Hemi-sphere’s Atlantic-European Sector on the Caspian Sea level based on the data for the days with Wangenheim-Girs atmospheric general circulation forms. The inputs covered the time period from 1900 to 2022. The information on the sea level, precipitation and ice events were harvested from 22 observation points in Kazakhstan and Russia. The statistical and comparative analysis as well as the climate change assessment within the framework of the study pointed to a stable correlation between the sea level and atmospheric circulation; re-vealed certain patterns reflected in precipitation distribution and frequency of moisture defi-cient and excessive years. The research also identified that the climatic changes have al-tered the sea’s ice regime, with the maximum ice thickness decreasing by 13-28 cm depend-ing on a specific water area. In addition to ice thickness variation, the recent decades show an increased frequency of moderate and mild winters, and the shift of the main glaciation dates, i.e. a stable ice cover forming later, the date of fixed maximum ice thickness observed in mid-February, the date of complete ice clearing observed in early-mid March, and the freezing period being shorter.

A low-cost and open-source approach for supraglacial debris thickness mapping using UAV-based infrared thermography

Abstract. Debris-covered glaciers exist in many mountain ranges and play an important role in the regional water cycle. However, modelling the surface mass balance, runoff contribution and future evolution of debris-covered glaciers is fraught with uncertainty as accurate observations on small-scale variations in debris thickness and sub-debris ice melt rates are only available for a few locations worldwide. Here we describe a customised low-cost unoccupied aerial vehicle (UAV) for high-resolution thermal imaging of mountain glaciers and present a complete open-source pipeline that facilitates the generation of accurate surface temperature and debris thickness maps from radiometric images. First, a radiometric orthophoto is computed from individual radiometric UAV images using structure-from-motion and multi-view-stereo techniques. User-specific calibration and correction procedures can then be applied to the radiometric orthophoto to account for atmospheric and environmental influences that affect the radiometric measurement. The thermal orthophoto reveals distinct spatial variations in surface temperature across the surveyed debris-covered area. Finally, a high-resolution debris thickness map is derived from the corrected thermal orthophoto using an empirical or inverse surface energy balance model that relates surface temperature to debris thickness and is calibrated against in situ measurements. Our results from a small-scale experiment on the Kanderfirn (also known as Kander Neve) in the Swiss Alps show that the surface temperature and thickness of a relatively thin debris layer (ca. 0–15 cm) can be mapped with high accuracy using an empirical or physical model. On snow and ice surfaces, the mean deviation of the mapped surface temperature from the melting point (∼ 0 ∘C) was 0.6 ± 2.0 ∘C. The root-mean-square error of the modelled debris thickness was 1.3 cm. Through the detailed mapping, typical small-scale debris features and debris thickness patterns become visible, which are not spatially resolved by the thermal infrared sensors of current-generation satellites. The presented approach paves the way for comprehensive high-resolution supraglacial debris thickness mapping and opens up new opportunities for more accurate monitoring and modelling of debris-covered glaciers.

Seasonal Prediction of Regional Arctic Sea Ice Using the High‐Resolution Climate Prediction System CMA‐CPSv3

AbstractSea ice is a central part of the Arctic climate system, and its changes have a significant impact on the Earth's climate. Yet, its state, especially in summer, is not fully understood and correctly predicted in dynamical forecast systems. In this study, the seasonal prediction skill of Arctic sea ice is investigated in a high‐resolution dynamical forecast system, the China Meteorological Administration Climate Prediction System (CMA‐CPSv3). A 7‐month‐long retrospective forecast is made every other month from 2001 to 2021. Employing the anomaly correlation coefficient as the metric of the prediction skill, we show that CMA‐CPSv3 can predict regional Arctic sea ice extent and sea ice thickness up to 7 lead months. The Bering Sea exhibits the highest prediction skill among the 14 Arctic subregions. CMA‐CPSv3 outperforms the anomaly persistence forecast in the Bering Sea, Sea of Okhotsk, Laptev Sea, and East Siberian Sea. The sources of the sea ice prediction skill partly come from the good performance of upper ocean temperature in CMA‐CPSv3. This holds true not only for winter sea ice in the Arctic marginal seas but also for summer sea ice in several Arctic central seas. Furthermore, CMA‐CPSv3 exhibits a strong relationship between the variability of sea ice and surface heat fluxes. This underscores the importance of enhancing the representation of air‐sea heat exchanges in dynamical forecast systems to improve the prediction skill of sea ice.

Change trends of mean ice thickness, water level, and surface salinity in the Laptev Sea in winter-spring period under further climate warming conditions

he purpose of the paper is to identify the most likely trends in interannual changes of the ice cover thickness on sections of the Northern Sea Route in the Laptev Sea in the winter-spring months under conditions of further climate warming. A hypothesis that in the modern period such changes can be significantly impacted by melting of submarine permafrost layers located inside the sea shelf, — a process caused by their heat exchange with bottom sea waters, is put forward. To verify the hypothesis, trends in interannual changes in ice thickness are compared with trends in variations in sea level and surface salinity. As factual material, data from the global reanalysis GLORYS12v1 is used. The research methodology is based on the standard methods of mathematical statistics. A correlation between the trends of the above processes has been found. It allows us to confirm the hypothesis put forward. The results obtained indicate that, under the conditions of ongoing climate warming, there remains a high probability that the average thickness of the ice cover will not decrease, and the ice situation in the Laptev Sea in the winter-spring months will not improve significantly. The latter confirms the need and feasibility of further development of the Russian icebreaker fleet

Potential benefits of climate change on navigation in the northern sea route by 2050

Climate change has been inducing a continuous increase in temperatures within the Arctic region, consequently leading to an escalation in the rates of Arctic ice depletion. These changes have profound implications for navigation along the Arctic Northern Sea Route (NSR). However, access to the NSR is constrained to specific temporal intervals when the sea ice thickness reaches a threshold that permits safe passage of ships. This research employs climate change model simulations and the Polar Operational Limit Assessment Risk Indexing System framework to investigate the navigational feasibility of diverse ship types along NSR during the calendar years 2030, 2040, and 2050, under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Different ship categories were analyzed within the context of these two scenarios. Results indicate considerable variation in the navigability of different ship categories across different scenarios and years. In general, polar ships demonstrate a higher navigational potential throughout most of the year, while pleasure crafts are constrained to specific periods. These findings bear significant implications for the future of shipping along the NSR. As Arctic ice continues to melt, NSR is anticipated to become more accessible to ships, albeit with navigational availability remaining contingent on the ship category and seasonal considerations.

Ice‐Ocean Interactions on Ocean Worlds Influence Ice Shell Topography

AbstractThe freezing point of water is negatively dependent on pressure; therefore in any ocean without external forcing it is warmest at the surface and grows colder with depth. Below floating ice on Earth (e.g., ice shelves or sea ice), this pressure dependence combines with gradients in the ice draft to drive an ice redistribution process termed the “ice pump”: submerged ice melts, upwells, and then refreezes at shallower depths. Ice pumping is an exchange process between the ocean and overhead ice that results in unique ice compositions and textures and influences the distribution of sub‐ice habitats on Earth. Here, we scale recent observations from Earth's ice shelves to planetary conditions and find that ice pumping is expected for a wide range of possible sub‐ice shell pressures and salinity at other ocean worlds such as Europa and Enceladus. We show how ice pumping would affect hypothetical basal ice shell topography and ice thickness under varying ocean conditions and demonstrate how remote sensing of the ice shell draft can be used to estimate temperature gradients in the upper ocean ahead of in situ exploration. For example, the approximately 22 km gradient observed in Enceladus' ice shell draft between the south pole and the equator suggests a temperature differential of 0.18 K at the base of the ice shell. These concepts can extend the interpretation of observations from upcoming ocean world missions, and link ice shell topography to ice‐ocean material exchange processes that may prove important to overall ocean world habitability.