With advancements in genetics and technology, wheat yields have continuously increased, but grain quality has remained stagnant or even decreased in recent decades. The effects of temperature on the future grain quality of winter wheat in China are unknown. This study used an improved WheatGrow model, along with two future temperature scenarios, to quantify the regional impacts of temperature increases on grain protein in China and aimed to find effective strategies to adapt to the impact of temperature increases on quality. Compared with those in the baseline period, the protein concentration of wheat grains in the main winter wheat production region of China increased by 0.27% and 0.41% under the 1.5 ℃ and 2.0 ℃ temperature increase scenarios, respectively. However, the grain protein concentrations in the Sichuan Basin of Medium and Weak Gluten Wheat Subregion (Ⅴ) decreased. The temperature rise was estimated to increase the proportion of strong gluten-type wheat but reduce the proportion of medium gluten-type wheat, with the proportion of weak gluten-type wheat changing slightly. Advanced planting date was projected to increase the grain protein concentration in the Northern Strong Gluten Wheat Subregion (Ⅰ), the Northern of Huang-Huai Strong and Medium Gluten Wheat Subregion (Ⅱ), the Southern of Huang-Huai Medium Gluten Wheat Subregion (Ⅲ) and the Yangzi River of Medium and Weak Gluten Wheat Subregion (Ⅳ), whereas a delayed planting date reduced the protein concentration in subregions Ⅰ, Ⅱ, and Ⅲ. In addition, the grain protein concentration was not significantly affected in the higher high-temperature threshold varieties in the southern winter wheat production region under the global warming scenarios. However, if more strong gluten-type wheat is required in the northern China in the future, varieties with lower high-temperature thresholds can be selected without considering wheat yields. Moreover, increasing the nitrogen fertilizer application rate could further increase the wheat protein concentration under future warming scenarios, and the protein concentration of wheat was more sensitive to the nitrogen fertilizer application rate in the northern winter wheat production region than in the southern region. These findings are crucial for improving grain quality across different wheat production regions of China in the future.