Social Development Strategy Research Articles

Formation and development of the idea of freedom as a principle of law

It is indicated that the extraordinary importance of the researched issue is also confirmed by the content of the Association Agreement between Ukraine, on the one hand, and the European Union, the European Atomic Energy Community and their member states, on the other hand, which enshrines the importance of joint management of freedom of movement (migration flows) between territories and a comprehensive dialogue on all issues in the field of migration, in particular illegal migration, legal migration, illegal transportation of persons across the state border and human trafficking, as well as the inclusion of problematic issues in the field of migration in the national strategies of economic and social development of the regions where migrants come from. The special importance of the problems of freedom of movement within the framework of migration control is also reflected in national legislation by the fact that, in accordance with the provisions of the Constitution of Ukraine, the principles of regulation of demographic and migration processes, as well as the procedure for the formation and functioning of free and other special zones with economic or a migration regime different from the general one.
 The authors note that the formation and development of the ideas of freedom as a principle of law is a constant process that reflects the challenges of different eras. The modern world requires not only the maintenance of these ideas, but also their active improvement in accordance with the new realities and progress of society. Ensuring freedom remains the main task for human rights defenders, legislators and citizens. Paying attention to new challenges, such as global problems, technological progress, socio-cultural transformations, allows improving existing concepts of freedom and adapting them to new conditions.
 Joint efforts, effective international cooperation and mutual respect for human rights are key elements for the development of ideas of freedom. The global community should actively work on creating inclusive and effective human rights protection mechanisms at all levels.
 In the light of the new challenges facing humanity, the preservation and development of the ideas of freedom become not only the task of legislators, but also a matter of public consciousness and the active participation of every member of society. Only a joint effort and a constant willingness to improve our understanding of freedom can ensure the permanence of this important principle of law in the present and future world.

Influence of the structure of an interzonal-type territorial settlement system on the development of the Angara-Yenisei macroregion

The study focuses on the Angara-Yenisei macroregion, which includes four constituent territories of the Russian Federation, i.e., Krasnoyarsk Krai, Irkutsk Oblast, the Republic of Khakassia, and the Republic of Tyva. These territories are located in the zone of the Arctic latitude; areas of the Far North; areas equated to the areas of the Far North; the Southern zone, which includes the main band of population settlement. The macroregion under study is characterized by an interzonal structure of human settlement. The aim was to justify the selection of the entire macroregion and its settlement systems as an object of study. An analysis of the Angara-Yenisei macroregion based on the principle of integrity identified the need to study both its morphological and functional structural characteristics. Hierarchical clustering revealed the presence of three types of systemic zonal formations. The first type is agglomerations, which are the most dynamic elements in the structure of the territorial settlement system. The second type is represented by urban formations with cities at their core, acting as system centers and forming a supporting framework of macroregion settlement. The third type is heterogeneous, including both single-industry towns and industrial centers that are rapidly losing their population. The obtained range of quantitative assessment parameters can be used when elaborating macroregional social and economic development strategies, as well as for spatial modeling based on framework, cluster, and functional models.

The shaping of social and symbolic capital during the transition to farming in the Western Mediterranean: Archaeological network analyses of pottery decorations and personal ornaments.

Storing information and circulating it between individuals and groups is a critical behaviour that signals a tipping point in our evolutionary history. Such practices enabled the preservation and consolidation of knowledge over extended periods, facilitating the accumulation of cultural innovations across generations. In this study, we used Social Network Analysis methods to explore how knowledge circulated during the transition to agriculture in the Western Mediterranean region. Previous studies have shown that specific elements of the material culture reveal distinct patterns of cultural interaction among early farming communities. Here, we investigated if two archaeological proxies, personal ornaments and pottery decorations, both with an exclusively symbolic function, reveal different network structures, and if the different degree of connexions acted equally on the transmission of styles, symbols, and network changes over time. Our results relied on cultural data recorded from 77 archaeological occupations covering Italy, France, and Spain, spanning over 1,500 years (ca. 7950~6450 cal BP). By utilizing a chronological dataset comprising 114 radiocarbon dates, we revealed that pottery decorative techniques networks exhibited stronger connexions over space and time, with nodes organized in clear cluster, when compared to personal ornaments networks. The findings highlight the regionalization and fragmentation of cultural networks during the Early Neolithic, and that the transmission of cultural traits within each category of artefact operated through varying cultural and social mechanisms. Pottery expressed a dynamic regional identity, continuously shaped by geographical and chronological proximity, while bead-type associations contributed to enduring identities shared across vast geographical scales. These networks shed light on the multifaceted shaping of social and symbolic capital among the Mediterranean's early farmers, emphasizing the strength and quality of social ties that existed between communities and the level of reciprocity and cooperation required to foster these diverse social, economic, and cultural development strategies.

Land use carbon emissions estimation and carbon emissions control strategy effect scenario simulation in Zhejiang province

Carbon emission control is an important aspect of regional sustainable development. However, there are few studies on predicting the impact of different socio-economic development strategies on carbon emissions under the premise of established government policy objectives, and then evaluating the degree of achievement of policy objectives. In order to research the effect of social and economic development strategies on carbon emissions, remote sensing land use data of Zhejiang Province from 2000 to 2020 were utilized in this paper to quantify carbon emissions, combined with Kaya identity and LMDI decomposition method, and multi-scenario carbon emissions simulation and prediction were carried out under the STIRPAT model framework. The results demonstrate that land use carbon emissions increased by four times in the last 20 years, and increased rapidly between 2000 and 2010, and became stable in recent years. Economic growth is the primary motivator; According to the existing economic development model, carbon emissions will peak and turn around in 2030; If appropriate economic transformation measures are taken to increase the proportion of low-carbon economic components, it is possible to achieve the development model of scenario 2 and scenario 3, and carbon emissions will reach the peak 2–5 years earlier. In general, this study offers a significant conclusion for the investigation of the connection between social and economic growth strategies and carbon emissions, and it can serve as a guide for the formation of government policy.

Современное состояние и тенденции развития человеческого капитала АПК и сельских территорий России

One of the priority directions for the development of the modern agrarian economy is the formation and development of human capital in agriculture and rural areas in the context of the strategy of social, economic, and spatial development of the Russian Federation. The purpose of the study is to analyze the current state, trends, problems, and ways of human capital development in the agro-industrial complex and rural areas of Russia. Methods of synthesis, analysis, systematization, logical and comparative analysis using information review, and statistical data processing were used as general scientific methods during the research. The paper reveals the essence and structure of human capital in the agro-industrial complex and rural areas, characterizes the indicators of its main components, analyzes their dynamics from 2017 to 2022, and identifies trends for further development. The analysis of the state of human capital in the agroindustrial complex and rural areas of Russia allowed us to identify both positive and negative trends in its development. Positive trends include an increase in wages in agriculture, some improvement in the structure of the rural population, active participation of farmers in educational programs, an increase in the share of the rural population with higher education, a decrease in the number of employed people who do not have basic general education, and the digitalization of the agro-industrial complex. Among the negative trends are the growth of the natural decline of the rural population, the aging of the population of rural areas, the lack of an attractive image of rural areas, and the low activity of agricultural managers in the creation and development of a personal brand. In conclusion, it is noted that, despite the presence of negative factors, there are real grounds and conditions for the development and improvement of quantitative and qualitative components of human capital in agriculture and rural areas.

Legislative and regulatory frameworks of social, pedagogical and psychological rehabilitation of children who suffered as a result of military actions with the use of motor activity means

The goal of our research is to analyze the existing regulatory framework of social, pedagogical and psychological rehabilitation of children who suffered as a result of military actions using motor activity means. Research methods: theoretical analysis of scientific and methodological literature and regulatory documents, content analysis, synthesis and generalization. Research findings. The paper analyzes the international legal acts that are the basis for the protection of children in conditions of martial law or armed conflict. Several programs and organizations of the UN, which work in providing support to children who suffered as a result of military actions, including the use of motor activity means for their social, pedagogical and psychological rehabilitation, have been revealed. The areas of activity of the Red Cross as a humanitarian organization, which guide the efforts to alleviate the suffering of children and their families in conflict situations, are characterized. The legislative and regulatory legal frameworks of social, pedagogical and psychological rehabilitation of children who suffered as a result of military actions using motor activity means in Ukraine are determined. Conclusions. Hence, the regulatory principles of social, pedagogical and psychological rehabilitation of children who suffered as a result of military actions, with an emphasis on the use of motor activity, highlight the following categories: constitutional and legislative guarantees, health laws, education laws, documents on the rights of the child, provisions on social services, development strategies and programs, laws on assistance to victims, ethical standards, international documents, state rehabilitation programs.

Faculty Members and Students` View Points about Barriers to Research in Islamic Azad University, Najaf Abad Branch

Introduction: Universities are the most important place for producing science So, organizing academic research is one of the most important effective strategies for social development. The purpose of this study was to identify intra -academic barriers to research from the perspective of faculty members and students of the Islamic Azad University of Najaf Abad Branch. Methods: This descriptive, cross-sectional study was conducted on 51 faculty members and 311 students of Islamic Azad university of Najaf Abad Branch in 2021. For gathering data a researcher-made questionnaire includes 26 questions in five areas; The student's ability to implement the research plans, the systematic barriers, the access to facilities, the cooperation of research centers, and the access to research and statistical consultants was used. The validity of the questionnaire was evaluated through the opinions of experts and confirmed by officials, and its reliability was calculated by Cronbach's alpha test of 90%. Data were analyzed by independent T-tests, analysis of variance, and Pearson correlation using SPSS. Results: The results showed that research obstacles from the perspective of students and faculty members were: The student's inability to implement the research plans, the systematic barriers, lack of access to facilities, Non cooperation of centers, and lack of access to research and statistical consultants. There is no significant difference between the views of students and faculty members in any of the five areas. Girls had a significantly higher score in the field of student's inability to implement the research plans than boys (P=0.008, t=4.506). Students who had a history of publishing articles had a higher score in the area of lack of access to facilities (P=0.045, t=5.740). Conclusion: According to the results of this study, research activities are affected by numerous obstacles from the perspective of the faculty members and students. The empowerment of human resources, providing facilities, as well as designing appropriate information and communication systems can be effective in resolving barriers to research.

О понятии и правовых средствах обеспечения устойчивого развития городов

Introduction. The concept of sustainable development continues to receive more and more support every year, both at the international and domestic levels. The main reason for its popularity is that this concept has become a qualitatively new strategy for social development, designed to balance the environmental, economic and social interests of a citizen, business, society and the state in the interests of both present and future generations. Theoretical analysis. The movement towards sustainable development of cities within the framework of the overall strategy for achieving the SDGs is ensured by the activities of public authorities and the public to best solve the social, economic and environmental problems of settlements, improve the comfort of life of citizens through the rational use of urban resources, effective urban planning, not exceeding the assimilation potential of urban ecosystems, for the benefit of present and future generations. Results. At the moment, there is no definition of sustainable urban development in the Russian law, and therefore, there is no mechanism for implementing the tasks set in SDG No. 11, including the lack of a system of indicators in the country (social, economic, environmental and others) to assess the degree of achievement of the SDGs. Today we see only separate doctrinal and normative indicators of sustainable development of cities, reflecting only some aspects of the transition of cities to sustainable development (in terms of comfortable housing, etc.). In the scientific doctrine, the relationship between the concept of sustainable urban development and other (related) concepts of interaction between nature and society, including the concept of an eco-city and a “smart” city, is also extremely poorly studied. In this regard, the legal solution to this problem can be the development of the Concept of the transition of the Russian Federation to sustainable development, which includes a clear plan of legislative work, one of the sections of which should include measures to ensure the sustainable development of cities, as well as a number of stages of movement towards this goal and a system of indicators for evaluating these processes.

Social Entrepreneurship Development Strategy

This study aimed to analyze the strategy of developing social entrepreneurship with the Social Impact Canvas method on Sahawood. This study used a qualitative method with a case study approach. Data collection method was done by using observation and interviews with four informants who were directly involved in the Sahawood business process. The Social Impact Canvas provides an overview of business development strategies contained in the components of anchor purpose; value prepositions; stakeholders; stakeholders relationship; channel; key activities; key resources; key partners; revenue streams; magnitude; costs; differentiation. The findings in this study indicate that the social value of Sahawood creates a strong brand story and becomes a strength in attracting consumers. As a social entrepreneurship, Sahawood was able to become a place for former addicts to change for the better and control the beneficiaries from using drugs again and committing criminal acts. Social Impact Canvas is not only describing business implementation but also highlighting social values and business uniqueness in social entrepreneurship. This study has implications for the development of Sahawood’s future business strategy.

Social Development Strategies of English as Second Language Learners for International Management

Purpose: The goal of the current study is to investigate how English as a second language or English as a foreign language learners use teaching methodologies and to pinpoint any potential risk factors. Theoretical framework: This research investigates whether elements like English language competency, academic success, learner environment, enthusiasm, psychology, etc. may be linked to the usage of study techniques by students who do not speak English as their first language. Methods: The learning strategies that employ the language learners either outside/inside of the language classroom would be crucial for making easiness in language learning, and entertainment as well as more operative. This study indicates that most learners are from low academically deprived backgrounds and have low proficiency in English despite fairly high academic ability. The learners show higher scores for instrumental motivation compared to integrative motivation. Results and conclusions: The findings suggest that the learners display a greater use of indirect strategies compared to direct strategies and suitable efficient as well as social strategies. Finding implications: The findings show an interesting correlation with learning factors, such as a moderate positive correlation of proficiency in English with memory strategies, cognitive strategies, and metacognitive strategies as well as the fairly high correlation among clusters of learning strategies. Uniqueness/value: The learner’s proficiency in English showed moderate positive correlation with three types of learning strategies: memory, cognitive and metacognitive.

Research on the High-quality Development Path of community governance Driven by Big Data in Shandong Province

As an important part of Shandong's social development strategy, community governance was an important symbol to measure the level of economic development of a province. Promoting the development and expansion of community governance had become an important goal and key driving force for the transformation of the driving force of Shandong's economic development. With the transformation of data into a valuable resource, the concept of digitalization came into being and had been applied to many fields. The value of big data would had a revolutionary impact on the development of modern service industry, which also put forward higher requirements for community governance. With the development of digital city and smart city in our province, community governance in our province had also initially embarked on the fast lane of intelligent development, and the application of data in community governance had been widely played.

EKC hypothesis testing and environmental impacts of transportation infrastructure investments in China, Turkey, India, and Japan.

A key strategy for social development and sustainable urban expansion is building sustainable and affordable transport systems. In this study, we aim to test the validity of the environmental Kuznets curve (EKC) hypothesis and reveal the impact of infrastructure investment in transportation systems in China, Turkey, India, and Japan over the period 1995-2020 on environmental degradation. According to dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) method analysis, per capita GDP and per capita GDP3 have a significant positive impact on per capita CO2 emission, while per capita GDP2 has a significant adverse impact on per capita CO2 emission. These results confirm the validity of the N-shaped EKC assumption, while inconsistent with the results of the FMOLS technique, showing that per capita GDP is significantly positive, while per capita GDP2 and per capita GDP3 have a significant negative impact on per capita carbon emissions. Moreover, as clarified by the fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS) and DOLS methods, road infrastructure investment (RO), aviation infrastructure investment, trade openness, and foreign direct investment (FDI) have significant positive effects, while railway infrastructure investment (RA) has a significant negative effect on per capita carbon emission. Country-level estimates of per capita carbon emission-based DOLS strategies in the model show that only China and Japan have N-shaped EKC hypothesis. Road infrastructure investment, aviation infrastructure investment, and trade openness have significant positive effects, while railway infrastructure investment has a significant negative effect on per capita CO2 emission in selected central and east Asian countries. The latest electrified rail systems are well thought out and less polluting, so the contribution of rail infrastructure investment to the transport mix can support sustainable and safe transport systems at city center and intercity levels and reduce environmental pollution in central and east Asian countries. Moreover, the implementation of the basic environmental settings of trade agreements should be strengthened to condense the growing impact of free trade on environmental pollution.

IT-индустрия как фактор развития креативной экономики Республики Крым

The creative economy is built on the IT industry, science, innovation, the Internet as a new technological infrastructure for the economy, knowledge, and intellectual activity. In the Russian Federation, creative industries are rapidly developing. Our country has accumulated vast experience in the innovative transformation of territorial entities, taking into account the existing cultural resource. This direction is followed not only by the regions of post-industrial development but also by other federal entities of the Russian Federation, including the Republic of Crimea. The creative industries are shaped not only by basic activities that form their core but by related activities that have a huge impact on them or are directly dependent on creative industries. One of the key objectives of the Strategy for Social and Economic Development of the Region Until 2030, as part of the creation of a new cultural space, is the formation of creative industry cluster. Currently, in the Republic of Crimea, IT industry products became less accessible due to the sanctions imposed not only against the Russian Federation but also against the region. Another problem hindering the development of the information technology market is insufficient information for population about the possibility of obtaining digital services, what determines the specific features of consumer behavior in the IT technologies environment. Attempts to introduce and spread new digital technologies are not always successful. For example, digital literacy of the population, provision of ICT organizations, creative environment also determine the existing differences. The development of the IT industry in the Republic of Crimea will help level the negative effects of the economic crisis both at the federal and regional levels, creating a multiplier effect on a number of dependent industries.

The role and place of land management in the strategy of social and economic development of the Russian Federation aimed at low greenhouse gas emissions

Recently, a lot of work has been done at the federal level to launch and implement the adopted strategy for the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation with a low level of greenhouse gas emissions (hereinafter referred to as “Strategy 2050”). Today we can state that the necessary regulatory and legal framework has been created. The next step is to analyze and, possibly, revise the role and place of the established scientific and technical disciplines for the implementation of the strategy. The article analyzes this role in relation to one of the oldest scientific and technical disciplines – land management. The historical stages of the formation of the discipline and its place at the present stage in urban planning are considered in this paper. Using specific examples, the article shows that strict adherence to the principles of urban planning is not always able to ensure the sustainable development of territories in accordance with the Strategy 2050. Hence, the importance of land management based on new principles taking into account ESG factors is increasing. Such a new direction is designated by the authors as a “carbon land management”. The article gives the suggestions for the theoretical and practical implementation of this new scientific and technical direction.

Comment on “Transforming Malaysia's Higher Education: Policies and Progress”

Investment in education is right as regarded one of the most important strategies for social and economic development in the long term. Historically, the private and social returns to schooling are higher at the primary and secondary levels compared to the tertiary level. However, as countries become more developed and wealthier, the returns to tertiary education could exceed that of primary education (Psacharopoulos and Patrinos, 2018). As Malaysia heads towards graduating from middle-income status, human capital development is a key policy the country's Twelfth Malaysia Plan 2021–2025 (12MP, see Malaysia, 2021). For tertiary education, the goal is to improve the quality of universities. In this regard, Tham and Chong (2023) provide a timely assessment of the quality and policy challenges to improve the quality of higher education in Malaysia. A key policy challenge highlighted by Tham and Chong is how to measure the quality of higher education. As they rightly point out, the official performance indicators used such as use of selective international university rankings are clearly problematic given that the paradox of high rankings juxtaposed with under-employment of university graduates. Furthermore, they also opine that the implementation of quality assurance and accreditation systems have not ensured the quality of teaching in universities. In reflecting the challenges facing higher education in Malaysia, it is worth examining some of the key institutional and political factors as well as constraints that have shaped the trajectory of the sector in Malaysia. These include the impacts of affirmative action policies (the New Economic Policy [NEP], and its successor variants) in both student intake and faculty hiring in public universities. Ethnic (Bumiputra vs. non-Bumiputra and regional [Peninsular vs. Sabah and Sarawak]) dimensions continue to be emphasized in the 12MP. In addition, the effects of the use of Bahasa Malaysia (Malay language) as the medium of instruction at all levels of education continue to be debated. In the past, this language requirement in teaching had also limited opportunities for hiring foreign academics. The liberalization of higher education in the 1980s was partly undertaken in response to such policies. Furthermore, the subsequent internationalization of higher education created more space for the role of market forces which mitigate some of these policies. Although the emergence and development of private higher education have invigorated higher education in Malaysia, it has created a dualistic system that raises issues related in inequality. The issues of quality and inequality are intertwined. More studies are needed on the quality gap between public and private higher education in Malaysia and the extent to which it has exacerbated inequality. This has also implications of social cohesion. Needless to say, the quality of higher education in Malaysia greatly depends on the quality of primary and secondary students. The performance of Malaysian students (15 years old) in the Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) tests indicate that their performance is lower than expected given its income level (World Bank, 2019). Any assessment of the quality of higher education outputs will need to consider the quality of the student intake (ex-ante). Thus, the transformation of higher education will require reforms of primary and secondary education as a necessary pre-condition. Finally, any assessment of the quality of higher education needs to consider whether universities are producing graduates and research that meet industry needs. The phenomenon of unemployment and underemployment amongst domestic graduates suggests this is a serious problem. In upgrading the pool of skilled workers in Malaysia, the Malaysian government should also re-examine the potential benefit of facilitating the absorption of skilled foreign students educated in Malaysian universities. This would be part of a required re-orientation of the country's labor policies which are currently in favor of importing relatively low-skilled workers. Such policies also need to address the long-term structural changes in the Malaysian economy in terms of the rise of services, the relative decline of the manufacturing sector, global value chain participation, and the digital transformation. These and other issues need to be addressed for another reason—tackling the brain drain problem that involves the emigration of skilled Malaysian workers to more developed economies such as Singapore, Australia, Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

The study of motion of the snow and swamp-going vehicle with the traction electric drive, based on the Emrax 228 electric motor

BACKGROUND: Ensuring transport accessibility of arctic zones of the RF, according to the strategy of social and economic development of the Russian Federation until 2030, is an important and relevant objective.
 AIMS: The article contains the results of the study of motion of the 6WD snow and swamp-going vehicle with traction electric drive, developed at the Wheeled vehicles department of Bauman MSTU as part of development of snow-going vehicles line-up for the sake of improvement of transport accessibility for people living in arctic zone of the RF.
 METHODS: On the basis of the RM 650-2 6X4 all-terrain vehicle, the state-of-the-art electric snow- and swamp-going vehicle with a light-weight welded frame, an electric power unit, a lithium battery as a power-supply source and electromechanical transmission was designed. The vehicle equipped with systems of control, cooling and lighting as well as sensors and measuring complexes. Studies were carried out with various vehicle operation modes (on direct gear with current limit, without current limit and on low gear). Soil road and prepared cross-country terrain were used as a profiled track.
 RESULTS: The time-domain diagrams of traction electric drive operation and the vehicle dynamic characteristics were obtained as the study results.
 CONCLUSIONS: The obtained values and characteristics point at high level of vehicle power equipment and at prospects of designs, used in the snow-and swamp-going vehicle. The study results can be used for modernization of existing vehicles and for development of high-technology machinery, based on electric power unit.

Instagram social media development strategy for promotional facilities and local wisdom potential in ecotourism-based coffee villages in Mekarbuana Village Karawang

Utilization and use of social media, especially Instagram as something common thing _ used many people for share things in nature positive . Sangabuana Karawang coffee village is one of the areas that save beauty nature , so therefore as aim tourism , whose potential no only for visitors local , however can also be developed for traveler foreign . Adapan aim study this is for reviewing the development strategy for Coffee - Based Villages Ecotourism in Mekarbuana Village , Karawang. As well as reviewing the strategy matrix SWOT analysis ( Strength , Weakness, Opportunity and Threat). Then followed by local coffee village managers . 1) How how to copywriting 2) when perfect time _ in promotion on social media 3) how method make market. Method used that is approach characteristic persuasive educative with lectures , discussions . Expected results form understanding and skills startgi in use social media for promotion development of the Sangabuana coffee village .

СОВЕРШЕНСТВОВАНИЕ СТРАТЕГИЧЕСКОГО УПРАВЛЕНИЯ И СОЦИАЛЬНО-ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОГО РАЗВИТИЯ В РОССИИ

The article evaluates the level of strategic management in the content of current strategies for social and economic development of the Ural and Central Federal Districts of the Russian Federation. The study revealed that the provision of the national digitalization program is not fully reflected in regional strategic management documents. According to the authors, the revealed disproportion is one of the reasons for the weak correlation between the level of digitalization of regions and their socio-economic development. The result of the study is a quantitative and qualitative evaluation of the provisions of the national digitalization program in the regional strategic documents. Based on this evaluation, recommendations were developed for reflecting the leading aspects of digital transformation in the core regional strategic document. The research process used methods of content analysis of texts of regional strategies, ratings and comparative analysis. This article will be of interest to regional executive authorities, the scientific community, teachers and students of higher educational institutions.

ПРИНЦИПЫ И АЛГОРИТМЫ СТРАТЕГИЧЕСКОГО ПЛАНИРОВАНИЯ МОДЕЛЬНОЙ СТРАТЕГИИ СОЦИАЛЬНО-ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКОГО РАЗВИТИЯ МУНИЦИПАЛИТЕТОВ ЮГРЫ

Strategic planning is being implemented, and regulatory and legal, methodological documents are being developed in order to provide the balanced and sustainable long-term development of all the territories and economic sectors of the Russian Federation under various challenges and deterrents, and to ensure that these processes are systematic and sustainable in all of the country’s constituent entities and municipalities. A methodological manual (some kind of a Model Strategy for Social and Economic Development of Municipalities) containing general recommendations on the content and order of strategic planning is to be compiled in the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug ‒ Ugra in order to provide a systematic and scientific substantiation of the processes of municipal strategy development and renewal. The subject of the study is the processes of strategic planning of municipalities, and the object of the study is the content, algorithms and methods recommended for establishing strategic plans for the development of municipalities in the Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug ‒ Ugra.

Predictive Assessment of the Potential Electric Vehicle Market and the Effects of Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions in Russia

In recent decades, the global adoption of alternative fuel vehicles, which may contribute to carbon emission reduction due to the use of alternative energy sources has stirred particular interest. Despite a significant body of scientific literature in Russia about electric vehicle adoption, the approaches used in papers lack quantitative estimates of the Russian market's potential. This paper aims to fill this gap as it provides a long-term electric vehicle market forecast in Russia as well as assesses the environmental effects. The following hypotheses are tested: (1) the Bass model is applicable to predict the long-term electric vehicle diffusion process in Russia; (2) the transition to electric cars will have a significant impact on greenhouse gas emission reduction. The Bass model, a widely used tool for predicting the innovation diffusion process, serves as a methodological base for the research. The long-term forecast of the Russian electric car fleet includes several scenarios. The most realistic scenario suggests that the Russian electric vehicle market is estimated to grow, reaching 5.62 million units by 2060. Furthermore, the environmental effects associated with electric vehicle adoption were identified. Two scenarios for changes in the energy generation structure were taken into consideration. The expected carbon emission reduction is estimated to reach 14.08 million tons in CO2-eq. if an accelerated transition to low-carbon energy sources is implemented, the baseline scenario suggests 12.86 million tons in CO2-eq. carbon emission reduction. The estimates of the transport diffusion in Russia as well as of environmental effects associated with this process form the theoretical value of the study. The practical significance of the study suggests developing electric vehicle demand forecasts that might be utilized while implementing measures to achieve goals stated in the Strategy of Social and Economic Development with a Low Level of Greenhouse Gas Emissions until 2050 in the Russian Federation.