The article reveals the content of the concept of "project risks", provides the author's classification and a fairly detailed analysis of methods for studying and anticipating risks in project activities. It is noted that a decisive contribution to the development of project risk management standards is made by such international institutions as the Institute of Project Management and the National Institute of Standards and Technologies, according to the patterns of which the work of the relevant risk management standardization institutes in Russia is based. The authors argue that the existing scientific ideas about risk and the actual practice of design serve as a reason for making not only cautious and obviously feasible, but also daring and even adventurous, i.e. in principle questionable design decisions. It is also necessary to take into account that risks can arise at all stages of project development: initiative, planned, executive, control and final. Accordingly, it is advisable to build the overall risk management process within each of the five main phases of project activity. Using graphical models, the system-process and adaptive approaches to the study of external and internal risks of the project are substantiated. At the same time, special attention is paid to the description of risk scenario matrices (probable hazards) with simplified and more complex algorithms for calculating thresholds for the degree of probability of occurrence and severity of the consequences of risks. It is indicated that the level of professionalism in the field of modern project management is largely determined by the quality of development and the efficiency of using registers of project risks. The latter are considered as automated systems for making design decisions using tabular processors that systematize possible risks and their consequences in the implementation of specific projects.
Read full abstract