Receiver Operating Characteristic Area Under The Curve Research Articles

Flood susceptibility mapping leveraging open-source remote-sensing data and machine learning approaches in Nam Ngum River Basin (NNRB), Lao PDR

Frequent floods caused by monsoons and rainstorms have significantly affected the resilience of human and natural ecosystems in the Nam Ngum River Basin, Lao PDR. A cost-efficient framework integrating advanced remote sensing and machine learning techniques is proposed to address this issue by enhancing flood susceptibility understanding and informed decision-making. This study utilizes remote sensing geo-datasets and machine learning algorithms (Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, Artificial Neural Networks, and Long Short-Term Memory) to generate comprehensive flood susceptibility maps. The results highlight Random Forest’s superior performance, achieving the highest train and test Area Under the Curve of Receiver Operating Characteristic (AUROC) (1.00 and 0.993), accuracy (0.957), F1-score (0.962), and kappa value (0.914), with the lowest mean squared error (0.207) and Root Mean Squared Error (0.043). Vulnerability is particularly pronounced in low-elevation and low-slope southern downstream areas (Central part of Lao PDR). The results reveal that 36%–53% of the basin’s total area is highly susceptible to flooding, emphasizing the dire need for coordinated floodplain management strategies. This research uses freely accessible remote sensing data, addresses data scarcity in flood studies, and provides valuable insights for disaster risk management and sustainable planning in Lao PDR.

Detection of focal to bilateral tonic-clonic seizures using a connected shirt.

This study was undertaken to develop and evaluate a machine learning-based algorithm for the detection of focal to bilateral tonic-clonic seizures (FBTCS) using a novel multimodal connected shirt. We prospectively recruited patients with epilepsy admitted to our epilepsy monitoring unit and asked them to wear the connected shirt while under simultaneous video-electroencephalographic monitoring. Electrocardiographic (ECG) and accelerometric (ACC) signals recorded with the connected shirt were used for the development of the seizure detection algorithm. First, we used a sliding window to extract linear and nonlinear features from both ECG and ACC signals. Then, we trained an extreme gradient boosting algorithm (XGBoost) to detect FBTCS according to seizure onset and offset annotated by three board-certified epileptologists. Finally, we applied a postprocessing step to regularize the classification output. A patientwise nested cross-validation was implemented to evaluate the performances in terms of sensitivity, false alarm rate (FAR), time in false warning (TiW), detection latency, and receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC). We recorded 66 FBTCS from 42 patients who wore the connected shirt for a total of 8067 continuous hours. The XGBoost algorithm reached a sensitivity of 84.8% (56/66 seizures), with a median FAR of .55/24 h and a median TiW of 10 s/alarm. ROC-AUC was .90 (95% confidence interval = .88-.91). Median detection latency from the time of progression to the bilateral tonic-clonic phase was 25.5 s. The novel connected shirt allowed accurate detection of FBTCS with a low false alarm rate in a hospital setting. Prospective studies in a residential setting with a real-time and online seizure detection algorithm are required to validate the performance and usability of this device.

#328 Non-invasive assessment of urinary exfoliated proximal tubule cells using multispectral autofluorescence imaging features for early detection of CKD

Abstract Background and Aims Early detection of CKD is important to allow for timely intervention which may reduce adverse clinical outcomes and cost of renal replacement therapies. Histopathological diagnosis of CKD remains the gold standard, but routine kidney biopsy is costly and associated with risks such as pain and bleeding. There is a need to develop accurate non-invasive methods for early diagnosis and prognostication of CKD. Kidney cell exfoliation into urine is an active process, which may generate significant information regarding an individual's kidney status. In particular, proximal tubule cells (PTCs) make up majority of the kidney mass and represents the hallmark of CKD in reflecting the degree of tubulointerstitial fibrosis and atrophy. Multispectral assessment of native cell autofluorescence has been specifically shown to be sensitive to metabolic changes and oxidative stress, which are key factors involved in kidney function decline. Hence, we evaluated whether multispectral autofluorescence signals in urinary exfoliated PTCs reflect kidney function as determined by eGFR. Method Individuals aged 18 or above were included and informed consent was obtained from all participants involved in this study. Spot urine samples were collected and stored at -80°C. On assessment, exfoliated PTCs were extracted from thawed urine using a validated specific immunomagnetic separation method based on anti-CD13 and anti-SGLT2 antibodies. Multispectral autofluorescence imaging was performed using a custom-made autofluorescence microscopy system (standard Olympus iX83™ fluorescence microscope and multispectral excitation lamp from Quantitative™, AU). Images were captured by a Nüvü™ EMCCD camera HNü 1024 cooled to -65°C in our laboratory to reduce sensor-induced noise. For the 34 image channels taken per sample, image acquisition times of up to 5 seconds per channel, with multiple averaging (3 times) was applied to optimize image quality. Image analysis was conducted through a workflow encompassing data preprocessing, data normalization and outlier handling, followed by basic model training and evaluation. An entropy-based image feature selection methodology was initially completed by hand, with results subsequently compared to that generated from the AutoGluon machine-learning framework [1]. The models developed from this process were assessed using ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) curves and AUC (Area Under the Curve) values. Two discriminative studies were performed – an overall study between exfoliated PTCs of individuals eGFR≥60 and eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 and a subgroup study between that of individuals eGFR≥90 and eGFR 60-90 ml/min/1.73 m2. Results 40 individuals were included in our study. 20 individuals had eGFR≥60 and 20 had eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2. Multispectral assessment of cell autofluorescence features differentiated between exfoliated PTCs of these 2 groups with AUC value of 0.97 (95% CI 0.94-1.00) (Fig. 1), model accuracy being 82%. Subgroup analysis included 20 individuals of which 10 had eGFR≥90 and 10 had eGFR 60-90 ml/min/1.73 m2. Multispectral assessment of cell autofluorescence features differentiated between exfoliated PTCs of these 2 groups with AUC value of 0.99 (95% CI 0.99-1.00) (Fig. 2), model accuracy being 85%. Conclusion An excellent degree of differentiation between urinary PTCs derived from those with normal or high eGFR and mild degrees of CKD is now reliably demonstrated, complementing conclusions from our group's original small pilot study which evaluated between urinary PTCs from CKD and non-CKD cohorts [2]. Further studies are required to determine whether our novel method can be used to non-invasively predict individuals at risk of progressive kidney disease and to monitor whether intervention is effective.

Early adverse physiological event detection using commercial wearables: challenges and opportunities

Data from commercial off-the-shelf (COTS) wearables leveraged with machine learning algorithms provide an unprecedented potential for the early detection of adverse physiological events. However, several challenges inhibit this potential, including (1) heterogeneity among and within participants that make scaling detection algorithms to a general population less precise, (2) confounders that lead to incorrect assumptions regarding a participant’s healthy state, (3) noise in the data at the sensor level that limits the sensitivity of detection algorithms, and (4) imprecision in self-reported labels that misrepresent the true data values associated with a given physiological event. The goal of this study was two-fold: (1) to characterize the performance of such algorithms in the presence of these challenges and provide insights to researchers on limitations and opportunities, and (2) to subsequently devise algorithms to address each challenge and offer insights on future opportunities for advancement. Our proposed algorithms include techniques that build on determining suitable baselines for each participant to capture important physiological changes and label correction techniques as it pertains to participant-reported identifiers. Our work is validated on potentially one of the largest datasets available, obtained with 8000+ participants and 1.3+ million hours of wearable data captured from Oura smart rings. Leveraging this extensive dataset, we achieve pre-symptomatic detection of COVID-19 with a performance receiver operator characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) of 0.725 without correction techniques, 0.739 with baseline correction, 0.740 with baseline correction and label correction on the training set, and 0.777 with baseline correction and label correction on both the training and the test set. Using the same respective paradigms, we achieve ROC AUCs of 0.919, 0.938, 0.943 and 0.994 for the detection of self-reported fever, and 0.574, 0.611, 0.601, and 0.635 for detection of self-reported shortness of breath. These techniques offer improvements across almost all metrics and events, including PR AUC, sensitivity at 75% specificity, and precision at 75% recall. The ring allows continuous monitoring for detection of event onset, and we further demonstrate an improvement in the early detection of COVID-19 from an average of 3.5 days to an average of 4.1 days before a reported positive test result.

Evaluation of Serial Procalcitonin Levels for the Optimization of Antibiotic Use in Non-Critically Ill COVID-19 Patients.

Procalcitonin (PCT) has been used as a biomarker to guide antibiotic therapy in various patient populations. However, its role in optimizing antibiotic use in COVID-19 patients has not been well studied to date. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the use of serial PCT monitoring as an antimicrobial stewardship tool for COVID-19 patients. This retrospective study included 240 COVID-19 patients who were admitted to a tertiary medical institution in Saudi Arabia between January 2020 and February 2022. Patients who received empiric antibiotic therapy for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) and had serial procalcitonin levels were included. The patients were divided into two groups: the normal procalcitonin arm (PCT level < 0.5 ng/mL) and the elevated PCT arm (PCT level > 0.5 ng/mL). The primary and secondary outcomes were the effect of PCT monitoring on the duration of antibiotic exposure and the length of hospital stay, respectively. To measure the accuracy of PCT, the receiver-operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC) was determined. Among the included patients, 142 were in the normal procalcitonin arm (median PCT, 0.12 ng/mL), and 78 were in the elevated PCT arm (median PCT, 4.04 ng/mL). The baseline characteristics were similar between the two arms, except for the higher prevalence of kidney disease in the elevated PCT arm. There was no statistically significant difference in the duration of antibiotic exposure between the normal and elevated PCT arms (median duration: 7 days in both arms). However, the length of hospital stay was significantly shorter in the normal PCT arm (median stay, 9 days) than in the elevated PCT arm (median stay, 13 days; p = 0.028). The ROC-AUC value was 0.54 (95% CI: 0.503-0.595). Serial PCT monitoring did not lead to a reduction in the duration of antibiotic exposure in COVID-19 patients. However, it was associated with a shorter hospital stay. These findings suggest that PCT monitoring may be useful for optimizing antibiotic use and improving outcomes in COVID-19 patients. While PCT-guided algorithms have the potential to enable antibiotic stewardship, their role in the context of COVID-19 treatment requires further investigation.

The utility of qSOFA in assessing outcomes of patients with acute heart failure in a level II hospital: a single-center retrospective analysis

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements None. Introduction High all-cause mortality is associated with acute heart failure (AHF) hospitalization, both when the condition first develops and when it worsens. Although there are several risk models for patients with chronic heart failure (CHF), it is unknown whether these scoring systems may be applied to patients with ADHF to predict their chance of developing the condition. Purpose Acute Heart failure (AHF) patients benefit from accurate risk assessment. Those stratified with worse prognosis may benefit more from continuous and close monitoring, with subsequent prompt intervention in case of deterioration. Currently, there is a lack of a universally accepted risk score that can accurately predict outcomes in acute heart failure (AHF). Undeniably, sepsis and AHF share several clinical features. These similarities encourage the sepsis-to-AHF translation of SOFA and qSOFA scores. We compared different scoring systems used in sepsis and assessed their predictive accuracy. Methodology This retrospective study included all patients with acute heart failure admitted in a private teaching hospital between January 2014 and January 2023. This study included newly admitted adult patients with new-onset AHF or acute on chronic heart failure. Baseline qSOFA, SIRS, and SOFA values were determined. Receiver Operating Characteristics - Area under the Curve (ROC-AUC) analysis assessed these scores' ability to predict mortality, whereas chi-square and Fischer's exact test assessed secondary outcome risk. Results 545 patients were included in the study. The majority were males with a mean age of 65 years. Most patients in the study required oxygen support, were classified as NOHRIA A, and with NYHA Functional Class II. Renal and respiratory failures were prominent upon arrival. About 11% met ≥2 points in qSOFA. Therein, systolic BP of &amp;lt;100 mmHg was the most frequent criterion met. The primary endpoint, that is in-hospital mortality, occurred in 9.52% of patients. A positive qSOFA, defined as a score of 2 or more, was consistent in the majority of those meeting the primary endpoint (Chi2 = 264.698, p&amp;lt;0.001). The ROC analysis of qSOFA (AUC 0.949, 95% CI 0.924–0.974, accuracy of 73%), SOFA (AUC 0.935, 95% CI 0.887–0.983, accuracy of 72%), and SIRS criteria (AUC 0.939, 95% CI 0.917–0.961, accuracy of 72%) show no fundamental differences regarding the prediction of the primary endpoint. Patients with positive qSOFA criteria were more frequently affected by organ failure (OR 5.386, p &amp;lt;0.001), needed more vasopressors (OR 4.921, p &amp;lt; 0.001), notably with an ejection fraction &amp;lt;40% (OR 3.363, p &amp;lt;0.001), and required mechanical ventilator support more often (OR 3.794, p&amp;lt;0.001). Conclusion In conclusion, qSOFA used in Acute Heart Failure is a valuable tool in the early detection of in-hospital mortality and detection of worse outcomes, hence should be considered when making therapeutic strategies and decisions.AUC for Primary OutcomesSecondary Outcomes

Diuretic response after neonatal cardiac surgery: a report from the NEPHRON collaborative.

Multicenter early diuretic response (DR) analysis of single furosemide dosing following neonatal cardiac surgery is lacking to inform whether early DR predicts adverse clinical outcomes. We performed a retrospective cohort study utilizing data from the NEPHRON registry. Random forest machine learning generated receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve (ROC-AUC) and odds ratios for mechanical ventilation (MV) and respiratory support (RS). Prolonged MV and RS were defined using ≥ 90th percentile of observed/expected ratios. Secondary outcomes were prolonged CICU and hospital length of stay (LOS) and kidney failure (stage III acute kidney injury (AKI), peritoneal dialysis, and/or continuous kidney replacement therapy on postoperative day three) assessed using covariate-adjusted ROC-AUC curves. A total of 782 children were included. Cumulative urine output (UOP) metrics were lower in prolonged MV and RS patients, but DR poorly predicted prolonged MV (highest AUC 0.611, OR 0.98, sensitivity 0.67, specificity 0.53, p = 0.006, 95% OR CI 0.96-0.99 for cumulative 6-h UOP) and RS (highest AUC 0.674, OR 0.94, sensitivity 0.75, specificity 0.54, p < 0.001, 95% CI 0.91-0.97 UOP between 3 and 6h). Secondary outcome results were similar. DR had fair discrimination for kidney failure (AUC 0.703, OR 0.94, sensitivity 0.63, specificity 0.71, 95% OR CI 0.91-0.98, p < 0.001, cumulative 6-h UOP). Early DR poorly discriminated patients with prolonged MV, RS, and LOS in this cohort, though it may identify severe postoperative AKI phenotype. Future work is warranted to determine if early DR or late postoperative DR later, in combination with other AKI metrics, may identify a higher-risk phenotype.

Machine learning for predicting elective fertility preservation outcomes

This retrospective study applied machine-learning models to predict treatment outcomes of women undergoing elective fertility preservation. Two-hundred-fifty women who underwent elective fertility preservation at a tertiary center, 2019–2022 were included. Primary outcome was the number of metaphase II oocytes retrieved. Outcome class was based on oocyte count (OC): Low (≤ 8), Medium (9–15) or High (≥ 16). Machine-learning models and statistical regression were used to predict outcome class, first based on pre-treatment parameters, and then using post-treatment data from ovulation-triggering day. OC was 136 Low, 80 Medium, and 34 High. Random Forest Classifier (RFC) was the most accurate model (pre-treatment receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) was 77%, and post-treatment ROC AUC was 87%), followed by XGBoost Classifier (pre-treatment ROC AUC 74%, post-treatment ROC AUC 86%). The most important pre-treatment parameters for RFC were basal FSH (22.6%), basal LH (19.1%), AFC (18.2%), and basal estradiol (15.6%). Post-treatment parameters were estradiol levels on trigger-day (17.7%), basal FSH (11%), basal LH (9%), and AFC (8%). Machine-learning models trained with clinical data appear to predict fertility preservation treatment outcomes with relatively high accuracy.

Construction of Risk Prediction Model of Type 2 Diabetic Kidney Disease Based on Deep Learning.

This study aimed to develop a diabetic kidney disease (DKD) prediction model using long short term memory (LSTM) neural network and evaluate its performance using accuracy, precision, recall, and area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The study identified DKD risk factors through literature review and physician focus group, and collected 7 years of data from 6,040 type 2 diabetes mellitus patients based on the risk factors. Pytorch was used to build the LSTM neural network, with 70% of the data used for training and the other 30% for testing. Three models were established to examine the impact of glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and pulse pressure (PP) variabilities on the model's performance. The developed model achieved an accuracy of 83% and an AUC of 0.83. When the risk factor of HbA1c variability, SBP variability, or PP variability was removed one by one, the accuracy of each model was significantly lower than that of the optimal model, with an accuracy of 78% (P<0.001), 79% (P<0.001), and 81% (P<0.001), respectively. The AUC of ROC was also significantly lower for each model, with values of 0.72 (P<0.001), 0.75 (P<0.001), and 0.77 (P<0.05). The developed DKD risk predictive model using LSTM neural networks demonstrated high accuracy and AUC value. When HbA1c, SBP, and PP variabilities were added to the model as featured characteristics, the model's performance was greatly improved.

A Machine Learning Application for Medical Image Analysis Using Deep Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Transfer Learning Models for Pneumonia Detection

Pneumonia is still a major problem in world health, causing a lot of illness and death, particularly among the most susceptible people. For care and therapy to be successful, a prompt and precise diagnosis is essential. Recent years have seen encouraging outcomes in medical image processing tasks when using deep learning methods, including Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). Using deep convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and transfer learning models, we provide a machine learning application for detecting pneumonia in medical photographs.Our suggested system makes use of convolutional neural network (CNN) designs that have already been trained using massive natural picture datasets, including VGG, ResNet, and DenseNet. We hope that by training these algorithms on a collection of chest X-ray pictures, we may modify their characteristics to better diagnose pneumonia. Furthermore, we investigate data augmentation methods to improve the models' generalizability, especially in cases when there is a lack of labelled data.Standard measures including precision, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC) are used to assess the performance of the created models on a heterogeneous dataset of chest X-ray images.

A hybrid approach for optimizing software defect prediction using a grey wolf optimization and multilayer perceptron

PurposeSoftware defect prediction (SDP) is a critical aspect of software quality assurance, aiming to identify and manage potential defects in software systems. In this paper, we have proposed a novel hybrid approach that combines Grey Wolf Optimization with Feature Selection (GWOFS) and multilayer perceptron (MLP) for SDP. The GWOFS-MLP hybrid model is designed to optimize feature selection, ultimately enhancing the accuracy and efficiency of SDP. Grey Wolf Optimization, inspired by the social hierarchy and hunting behavior of grey wolves, is employed to select a subset of relevant features from an extensive pool of potential predictors. This study investigates the key challenges that traditional SDP approaches encounter and proposes promising solutions to overcome time complexity and the curse of the dimensionality reduction problem.Design/methodology/approachThe integration of GWOFS and MLP results in a robust hybrid model that can adapt to diverse software datasets. This feature selection process harnesses the cooperative hunting behavior of wolves, allowing for the exploration of critical feature combinations. The selected features are then fed into an MLP, a powerful artificial neural network (ANN) known for its capability to learn intricate patterns within software metrics. MLP serves as the predictive engine, utilizing the curated feature set to model and classify software defects accurately.FindingsThe performance evaluation of the GWOFS-MLP hybrid model on a real-world software defect dataset demonstrates its effectiveness. The model achieves a remarkable training accuracy of 97.69% and a testing accuracy of 97.99%. Additionally, the receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (ROC-AUC) score of 0.89 highlights the model’s ability to discriminate between defective and defect-free software components.Originality/valueExperimental implementations using machine learning-based techniques with feature reduction are conducted to validate the proposed solutions. The goal is to enhance SDP’s accuracy, relevance and efficiency, ultimately improving software quality assurance processes. The confusion matrix further illustrates the model’s performance, with only a small number of false positives and false negatives.

Fully automated CT imaging biomarkers for opportunistic prediction of future hip fractures.

Assess automated CT imaging biomarkers in patients who went on to hip fracture, compared with controls. In this retrospective case-control study, 6926 total patients underwent initial abdominal CT over a 20-year interval at one institution. A total of 1308 patients (mean age at initial CT, 70.5 ± 12.0 years; 64.4% female) went on to hip fracture (mean time to fracture, 5.2 years); 5618 were controls (mean age 70.3 ± 12.0 years; 61.2% female; mean follow-up interval 7.6 years). Validated fully automated quantitative CT algorithms for trabecular bone attenuation (at L1), skeletal muscle attenuation (at L3), and subcutaneous adipose tissue area (SAT) (at L3) were applied to all scans. Hazard ratios (HRs) comparing highest to lowest risk quartiles and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis including area under the curve (AUC) were derived. Hip fracture HRs (95% CI) were 3.18 (2.69-3.76) for low trabecular bone HU, 1.50 (1.28-1.75) for low muscle HU, and 2.18 (1.86-2.56) for low SAT. 10-year ROC AUC values for predicting hip fracture were 0.702, 0.603, and 0.603 for these CT-based biomarkers, respectively. Multivariate combinations of these biomarkers further improved predictive value; the 10-year ROC AUC combining bone/muscle/SAT was 0.733, while combining muscle/SAT was 0.686. Opportunistic use of automated CT bone, muscle, and fat measures can identify patients at higher risk for future hip fracture, regardless of the indication for CT imaging. CT data can be leveraged opportunistically for further patient evaluation, with early intervention as needed. These novel AI tools analyse CT data to determine a patient's future hip fracture risk.

Integrated flood risk assessment in Hunza-Nagar, Pakistan: unifying big climate data analytics and multi-criteria decision-making with GIS

Floods are a widespread natural disaster with substantial economic implications and far-reaching consequences. In Northern Pakistan, the Hunza-Nagar valley faces vulnerability to floods, posing significant challenges to its sustainable development. This study aimed to evaluate flood risk in the region by employing a GIS-based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA) approach and big climate data records. By using a comprehensive flood risk assessment model, a flood hazard map was developed by considering nine influential factors: rainfall, regional temperature variation, distance to the river, elevation, slope, Normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), Topographic wetness index (TWI), land use/land cover (LULC), curvature, and soil type. The analytical hierarchy process (AHP) analysis assigned weights to each factor and integrated with geospatial data using a GIS to generate flood risk maps, classifying hazard levels into five categories. The study assigned higher importance to rainfall, distance to the river, elevation, and slope compared to NDVI, TWI, LULC, curvature, and soil type. The weighted overlay flood risk map obtained from the reclassified maps of nine influencing factors identified 6% of the total area as very high, 36% as high, 41% as moderate, 16% as low, and 1% as very low flood risk. The accuracy of the flood risk model was demonstrated through the Receiver Operating Characteristics-Area Under the Curve (ROC-AUC) analysis, yielding a commendable prediction accuracy of 0.773. This MCDA approach offers an efficient and direct means of flood risk modeling, utilizing fundamental GIS data. The model serves as a valuable tool for decision-makers, enhancing flood risk awareness and providing vital insights for disaster management authorities in the Hunza-Nagar Valley. As future developments unfold, this study remains an indispensable resource for disaster preparedness and management in the Hunza-Nagar Valley region.

Prediction of diabetes progress based on machine learning approach

Uropathy is a serious chronic disease whose prevalence is increasing at an alarming rate. Early detection and prediction of diabetes in women is important because of the increased risk of diabetes-related complications during pregnancy. This study introduces machine learning models to assess the likelihood of diabetes in women. The importance of studying characteristics and improving prediction accuracy to understand the nuances of categorization. Specifically, for data preprocessing, experiments are conducted to solve the problem of missing values and outliers by replacing the zero values of certain features with the median values of the corresponding features. This step reduces the impact of less reliable data on model performance. As recognition models, Gaussian Naive Bayes (GNB), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Random Forest (RF) are built. Performance analysis is performed along with a careful exploration of the hyperparameter space. Scores for Receiver Operating Characteristic - Area Under the Curve (ROC-AUC) are used to compare various models. Different features affect the classification to different degrees. The experimental findings indicate that the modified random forest model demonstrates superior prediction accuracy and robustness. These findings can assist physicians in predicting a patient's risk of developing diabetes earlier.

Hemodynamic Response to Exercise Training in Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction Patients.

Supervised exercise training decreases total and cardiac mortality and increases quality of life of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) patients. However, response to training is variable from one patient to another and factors responsible for a positive response to training remain unclear. The aims of the study were to compare cardiac hemodynamic changes after an exercise training program in responders (R) versus non-responders (NR) HFrEF patients, and to compare different discriminators used to assess response to training. Seventy-six HFrEF patients (86% males, 57 ± 12 years) completed an exercise training program for 4 weeks. Patients underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) on a cycle ergometer before and after training. Cardiac hemodynamics were measured by impedance cardiography during CPET. The R and NR groups were classified using the median change in peak oxygen uptake (V̇O2peak). There were statistically significant differences in V̇O2peak (+35% vs. -1%, P < 0.0001) and in peaks of ventilation (+30% vs. +2%, P < 0.0001), cardiac output (COpeak) (+25% vs. +4%, P < 0.01), systolic blood pressure (+12% vs. +2%, P < 0.05), diastolic blood pressure (+9% vs. +4%, P < 0.05) and heart rate (+8% vs. +1%, P < 0.01) between R and NR after the training program. V̇O2peak was the best discriminator between R and NR (receiver operating characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) = 0.83, P < 0.0001), followed by COpeak (ROC AUC = 0.77, P < 0.0001). V̇O2peak is the best discriminator between HFrEF R and NR patients after the training program. Responders showed improvements in peak hemodynamic parameters. These results pave the way for other studies to determine how the individualization of exercise training programs and peak hemodynamic parameters potentially linked to a better positive response status.

Detecting anomalies in security cameras with 3D-convolutional neural network and convolutional long short-term memory

&lt;p&gt;This paper presents a novel deep learning-based approach for anomaly detection in surveillance films. A deep network that has been trained to recognize objects and human activity in movies forms the foundation of the suggested approach. In order to detect anomalies in surveillance films, the proposed method combines the strengths of 3D-convolutional neural network (3DCNN) and convolutional long short-term memory (ConvLSTM). From the video frames, the 3DCNN is utilized to extract spatiotemporal features,while ConvLSTM is employed to record temporal relationships between frames. The technique was evaluated on five large-scale datasets from the actual world (UCFCrime, XDViolence, UBIFights, CCTVFights, UCF101) that had both indoor and outdoor video clips as well as synthetic datasets with a range of object shapes, sizes, and behaviors. The results further demonstrate that combining 3DCNN with ConvLSTM can increase precision and reduce false positives, achieving a high accuracy and area under the receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve (ROC-AUC) in both indoor and outdoor scenarios when compared to cuttingedge techniques mentioned in the comparison.&lt;/p&gt;

Predictive value and potential association of PET/CT radiomics on lymph node metastasis of cervical cancer

Objective: Due to the information-rich nature of positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) images, the authors hope to explore radiomics features that could distinguish metastatic lymph nodes (LNs) from hypermetabolic benign LNs, in addition to conventional indicators. Methods: PET/CT images of 106 patients with early-stage cervical cancer from 2019 to 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. The tumor lesions and LN regions of PET/CT images were outlined with SeeIt, and then radiomics features were extracted. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was used to select features. The final selected radiomics features of LNs were used as predictors to construct a machine learning model to predict LN metastasis. Results: The authors determined two morphological coefficient characteristics of cervical lesions (shape – major axis length and shape – mesh volume), one first order characteristics of LNs (first order – 10 percentile) and two gray-level co-occurrence matrix (GLCM) characteristics of LNs (GLCM – id and GLCM – inverse variance) were closely related to LN metastasis. Finally, a neural network was constructed based on the radiomic features of the LNs. The area under the curve of receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC) of the model was 0.983 in the training set and 0.860 in the test set. Conclusion: The authors constructed and demonstrated a neural network based on radiomics features of PET/CT to evaluate the risk of single LN metastasis in early-stage cervical cancer.

Machine learning to identify chronic cough from administrative claims data

Accurate identification of patient populations is an essential component of clinical research, especially for medical conditions such as chronic cough that are inconsistently defined and diagnosed. We aimed to develop and compare machine learning models to identify chronic cough from medical and pharmacy claims data. In this retrospective observational study, we compared 3 machine learning algorithms based on XG Boost, logistic regression, and neural network approaches using a large claims and electronic health record database. Of the 327,423 patients who met the study criteria, 4,818 had chronic cough based on linked claims–electronic health record data. The XG Boost model showed the best performance, achieving a Receiver-Operator Characteristic Area Under the Curve (ROC-AUC) of 0.916. We selected a cutoff that favors a high positive predictive value (PPV) to minimize false positives, resulting in a sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and negative predictive value of 18.0%, 99.6%, 38.7%, and 98.8%, respectively on the held-out testing set (n = 82,262). Logistic regression and neural network models achieved slightly lower ROC-AUCs of 0.907 and 0.838, respectively. The XG Boost and logistic regression models maintained their robust performance in subgroups of individuals with higher rates of chronic cough. Machine learning algorithms are one way of identifying conditions that are not coded in medical records, and can help identify individuals with chronic cough from claims data with a high degree of classification value.

A deep neural network for MRI spinal inflammation in axial spondyloarthritis.

To develop a deep neural network for the detection of inflammatory spine in short tau inversion recovery (STIR) sequence of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) on patients with axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA). A total 330 patients with axSpA were recruited. STIR MRI of the whole spine and clinical data were obtained. Regions of interests (ROIs) were drawn outlining the active inflammatory lesion consisting of bone marrow edema (BME). Spinal inflammation was defined by the presence of an active inflammatory lesion on the STIR sequence. The 'fake-color' images were constructed. Images from 270 and 60 patients were randomly separated into the training/validation and testing sets, respectively. Deep neural network was developed using attention UNet. The neural network performance was compared to the image interpretation by a radiologist blinded to the ground truth. Active inflammatory lesions were identified in 2891 MR images and were absent in 14,590 MR images. The sensitivity and specificity of the derived deep neural network were 0.80 ± 0.03 and 0.88 ± 0.02, respectively. The Dice coefficient of the true positive lesions was 0.55 ± 0.02. The area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC) curve of the deep neural network was 0.87 ± 0.02. The performance of the developed deep neural network was comparable to the interpretation of a radiologist with similar sensitivity and specificity. The developed deep neural network showed similar sensitivity and specificity to a radiologist with four years of experience. The results indicated that the network can provide a reliable and straightforward way of interpreting spinal MRI. The use of this deep neural network has the potential to expand the use of spinal MRI in managing axSpA.

TBscreen: A passive cough classifier for tuberculosis screening with a controlled dataset.

Recent respiratory disease screening studies suggest promising performance of cough classifiers, but potential biases in model training and dataset quality preclude robust conclusions. To examine tuberculosis (TB) cough diagnostic features, we enrolled subjects with pulmonary TB (N = 149) and controls with other respiratory illnesses (N = 46) in Nairobi. We collected a dataset with 33,000 passive coughs and 1600 forced coughs in a controlled setting with similar demographics. We trained a ResNet18-based cough classifier using images of passive cough scalogram as input and obtained a fivefold cross-validation sensitivity of 0.70 (±0.11 SD). The smartphone-based model had better performance in subjects with higher bacterial load {receiver operating characteristic-area under the curve (ROC-AUC): 0.87 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.87 to 0.88], P < 0.001} or lung cavities [ROC-AUC: 0.89 (95% CI: 0.88 to 0.89), P < 0.001]. Overall, our data suggest that passive cough features distinguish TB from non-TB subjects and are associated with bacterial burden and disease severity.