Larisa A. Ismagilova - Professor, Head of Department of Business Economics, Ufa State Aviation Technical UniversityAddress: 12, Karl Marx Street, Ufa, 450000, Russian FederationE-mail: Ismagilova_ugatu@mail.ruMarina V. Frants - Associate Professor, Department of Business Economics, Ufa State Aviation Technical UniversityAddress: 12, Karl Marx Street, Ufa, 450000, Russian FederationE-mail: tan-Marina@mail.ruMurat B. Kulmukhametov - Doctoral Student, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Ufa Scientific Center of Russian Academy of SciencesAddress: 71, October Prospect, Ufa, 450000, Russian FederationE-mail: murat.kulmuhametov@gmail.com The article deals with the problem of an enterprise’s human resource management. An enterprise’s human resources are described as a dynamic object of management with a great number of parameters specifying various aspects of its condition. The traditional techniques of human resources analysis are based, firstly, on retrospective analysis of data, and secondly, they take different aspects isolated from each other. The proposed managerial decisions are assessed from the point of view of their impact on separate parameters, but their synergetic effect is not assessed. These drawbacks may be eliminated through application of dynamic modelling including cognitive and flow modeling. Cognitive modeling identifies mechanisms responsible for system reaction on managerial and disturbing influences. A cognitive map of the problem of human resources management was made which includes lots of feedback loops, both reinforcing and balancing. This means, the control object is characterized by nonlinear dynamics and counterintuitive behavior. These features make it difficult to predict object reaction on managerial and disturbing influences. Within the overall issue of human resources management, this work reviews its particular aspect - the analysis of company’s nonproduction losses due to temporary disability of employees. The temporary disability of an employee is understood as his/her temporary inability to perform job duties because of health condition of either himself/herself or his/her family members. The temporary disability is considered to be partially controlled by the enterprise. A flow model is elaborated for assessing a company’s nonproduction losses caused by temporary disability of its employees, which can be used to optimize human resources management costs of an enterprise from the perspective of the cost-benefit ratio.
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