To ascertain if the results of a Preimplantation Genetic Diagnosis (PGD) cycle are predictive for the next. This is important for those patients that fail to conceive in the first cycle due to high rates of chromosomally abnormal embryos. Retrospective study. 152 patients from our database of 2500 cycles from 71 IVF centers were selected following these criteria: a) patients with have two or more cycles in less than two years, more than two years past between the first and second cycle could increase the proportion of abnormal embryos due to age; b) patients which do not involve polar body biopsy considering that post-zygotic abnormalities will not be observed; c) patients which do not involve PGD for single gene defects because the number of repeated cycles was too low for a meaningful analysis; d) patients with more than four embryos analyzed in their cycles, because small cohorts of embryos are difficult to compare. PGD was performed for numerical abnormalities or for translocations following protocols previously published by our center. For numerical abnormalities the PGD procedure consisted of the FISH analysis of eight chromosome pairs (XY, 13, 15, 16, 18, 21, 22 plus either 1, 7, 14 or 17). Abnormalities detectable with this system are monosomies, trisomies, polyploidy, haploidy, chaotic embryos and a fraction of mosaic embryos. For PGD of translocations, usually one or two telomeric probes for the chromosomes involved in the translocation were analyzed with two or one centromeric probes for the same chromosomes, respectively.We defined that the results of a PGD cycle are predictable of the next if there was a difference of 0–20% points in the rate of normal embryos from one cycle to the next. For example, if in one cycle a patient had 30% normal embryos and in the next it had 30% to 50% normal embryos, we would consider for that the PGD results for the first cycle were “predictable” of the second cycle. The results are reported in Table 1 according to the PGD indication. In addition to Table 1, it was found that when all embryos were abnormal in the first cycle, the chance of finding at least one normal one in the second cycle was 95% for PGD of aneuploidy and 66% for PGD of translocations. The results of a PGD cycle of translocation are 90% predictable for the next. This is valuable data for patients with this condition to decide if they want to attempt a new PGD cycle. We have reported in the past that if 70% or more embryos are abnormal for the translocation, it is really difficult to conceive since in addition there is a baseline of 50% abnormalities for other chromosomes. Thus a patient with 70% or more abnormalities in the first cycle may decide to go to oocyte or sperm donation. Instead, cycles of PGD of aneuploidy show less predictability. Most probably translocation cycles are more predictable because they are genetic in origin, while numerical may have more environmental factors affecting the rate of chromosome abnormalities in these patients.
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