The issue of international migration has moved to the top of the political agenda in recent years. The heated media debates tend to hide the fact that the phenomenon of modern migration is complex and multifaceted; actually, there are few social issues where popular opinion and the research discourse diverge so sharply. While much of the discussion is focused on the immediate social aspects of migration,both from the perspective of migrants and that of their “hosts”, the issue of the possible longterm economic effects of international migration is elaborated to a much lesser extent. Overall a country-specific analysis of migration should consider four questions: • Is there an economic case for migration? What are the requirements for labor and human capital from the perspective of economic growth (demand) and organic demography (supply)? • Are there pools of human capital in territorial and cultural proximity? • What is the history of the cultural diversity in the society? Did it traditionally see itself as mono-ethnic or multi-ethnic? • What is the long-term government strategy towards migration, and how effective is its institutional support? In the second part of the report this we will analyze the case of modern Russia using this framework. We will demonstrate that Russia clearly has • an economic case for attracting a significant volume of new human capital in order to move the country out of a period of prolonged economic stagnation; • a multi-ethnic and multi-cultural history that dates back at least to the 14th century – if not to the foundation of the early proto-Russian states; • an advantageous position in the regional “market” for human capital, despite being strongly challenged by both regional and global competitors At the same time, Russia currently lacks an informed strategic policy on the issue, which results in a dearth of official institutes of integration. The vacuum is filled with informal institutes. These can be effective in the short-term, but they might pose a challenge to the longer-term goal of creating integrated diversity. Given the growing regional and international competition for human capital, these challenges may result in Russia missing a historic window of opportunity to boost its socio-economic development.
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