Non-survival Group Research Articles

Correlation of Hemoglobin, Albumin, Lymphocyte, and Platelets (HALP) Score With Outcome of Acute Ischemic Stroke.

Acute ischemic stroke (AIS) stands as a primary cause of both mortality and enduring disability. Given its significant impact on public health, efforts are ongoing to improve prognostic instruments and treatment approaches for this illness. In recent years, attention has been drawn towards the exploration of novel indicators of hemoglobin, albumin, lymphocyte, and platelets (HALP) that measure systemic inflammation and nutritional status. This study aims to investigate the relationship between the HALP score and the outcome of an acute ischemic stroke. This prospective observational study was conducted at a tertiary care hospital, with approval from the Institutional Ethical Committee. A total of 100 AIS patients were enrolled in the study, and their demographic details were collected. Within 24 hours of stroke onset, laboratory tests were performed, including measurements of albumin, hemoglobin, lymphocytes, and platelet count. The HALP scores of these patients were recorded. The severity of AIS was assessed using the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) upon admission. This study comprised 100 patients, with 66% and 44% being male and female, respectively, with a standard deviation of age 63. Following 28 days of in-hospital care and a 90-day outpatient follow-up, 16 patients were categorized as the non-survival group. The results showed a significant difference in hemoglobin values in the admitted groups (p = 0.04). Lymphocyte counts were higher in survivors compared to non-survivors with non-significant (p = 0.105). Furthermore, the HALP score of survivors is (a median of 34.0) and for non-survivors is (a median of 24.0), which showed a significant difference with a p-value of 0.022 and is statistically significant. Conclusion: Lower HALP score is associated with increased mortality in stroke patients. The HALP score emerges as a potentially valuable predictor of mortality in critically ill patients. This underscores the importance of considering the HALP score in prognostic assessments and treatment decisions for individuals affected by stroke.

Evaluating Lactate and D-Dimer as Mortality Predictors of Paediatric Multiple Organ Dysfunction Syndrome: A Prospective Study in a Low-Middle Income Country.

Multiple Organ Dysfunction Syndrome (MODS) is a complex medical condition characterised by dysfunction across multiple organs. With limited information available on mortality prediction in the paediatric population, particularly in low-middle income countries, this study evaluates the mortality predicting capabilities of lactate, D-dimer, and their combination. This prospective study involved paediatric patients admitted to the paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) of the largest central children's hospital in the Mekong Delta region, Vietnam, from 2019 to 2021. The discriminative ability and calibration of both individual and combined tests were assessed using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. Among the patients studied, 63.1% did not survive. Lactate and D-dimer concentrations were significantly higher in the non-survivor group (P < 0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) values for lactate, D-dimer and the combined lactate-D-dimer test were 0.742, 0.775 and 0.804, respectively, with the combination showing the highest AUC value, though without statistical significance. Specific thresholds for lactate, D-dimer and the combination yielded sensitivities of 75.5%, 71.7%, and 66.0%, respectively. All three tests showed no statistically significant differences between observed and predicted mortality in the Hosmer-Lemeshow test (all P-values > 0.05). Lactate and D-dimer levels showed a significant association with mortality, along with good discrimination and calibration abilities. These results highlight the utility of lactate and D-dimer as effective predictors in paediatric MODS, particularly in resource-limited settings, and their role in improving patient outcomes.

Demographic, clinical profile and short-term outcome of neonates referred for mechanical ventilation: experience in a referral neonatal intensive care centre in Southern Nigeria

Background: The use of mechanical ventilation (MV) in NICU is not widespread in Nigeria. Although a life-saving tool in neonates, MV is associated with potentially high morbidity and mortality rate. There are various factors which impact the outcome of MV in neonates. The aim of this study is to assess outcome, demographics and clinical profile of babies who received MV in the region. Methods: This was a retrospective study, involving 20 infants, who were all referred from other Health care centres. Results: The overall survival rate of ventilated babies in this study was 30.0%; however, relative survival rate compared to non-survival group was 53.8%. Although, the mean weight and mean gestational age (GA) of those who survived were higher than that in those who did not survive, this difference was not statistically significant. However, a significantly higher proportion (87.3%) of those who were ventilated for 1-3 days survived, compared to those ventilated for less than 24 hours or more than 3 days. Conclusions: The survival of neonates referred for MV in our study was comparable to that seen in other developing countries. Duration of MV (DMV) was the only significant factor affecting the outcome of MV in our study.

Can We Improve Mortality Prediction in Patients with Sepsis in the Emergency Department?

Background and Objectives: Sepsis represents a global health challenge and requires advanced diagnostic and prognostic approaches due to its elevated rate of morbidity and fatality. Our study aimed to assess the value of a novel set of six biomarkers combined with severity scores in predicting 28 day mortality among patients presenting with sepsis in the Emergency Department (ED). Materials and Methods: This single-center, observational, prospective cohort included sixty-seven consecutive patients with septic shock and sepsis enrolled from November 2020 to December 2022, categorized into survival and non-survival groups based on outcomes. The following were assessed: procalcitonin (PCT), soluble Triggering Receptor Expressed on Myeloid Cells-1 (sTREM-1), the soluble form of the urokinase plasminogen activator receptor (suPAR), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), and azurocidin 1 (AZU1), alongside clinical scores such as the Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA), Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS), the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II), the Simplified Acute Physiology Score II and III (SAPS II/III), the National Early Warning Score (NEWS), Mortality in Emergency Department Sepsis (MEDS), the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS). The ability of each biomarker and clinical score and their combinations to predict 28 day mortality were evaluated. Results: The overall mortality was 49.25%. Mechanical ventilation was associated with a higher mortality rate. The levels of IL-6 were significantly higher in the non-survival group and had higher AUC values compared to the other biomarkers. The GCS, SOFA, APACHEII, and SAPS II/III showed superior predictive ability. Combining IL-6 with suPAR, AZU1, and clinical scores SOFA, APACHE II, and SAPS II enhanced prediction accuracy compared with individual biomarkers. Conclusion: In our study, IL-6 and SAPS II/III were the most accurate predictors of 28 day mortality for sepsis patients in the ED.

Quantitative proteomic analysis and replacement therapy identifies haptoglobin as a therapeutic target in a murine model of SLE-associated diffuse alveolar hemorrhage.

Diffuse alveolar hemorrhage (DAH) is a catastrophic clinical syndrome and one of the manifestations of pulmonary involvement in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), which is characterized by hemoptysis, diffuse pulmonary infiltrates, and respiratory failure. However, the treatment options for DAH remain limited, and DAH-related studies are needed to explore more effective therapeutic directions for better disease management and improved prognosis. This study utilized the pristane-induced DAH murine model to mimic the pathological process of DAH in patients with SLE. Proteomic analysis was conducted to detect differentially expressed proteins (DEPs) in the plasma of surviving and non-surviving mice, followed by an analysis of biological functions and pathways. The most significant DEP was then confirmed in the plasma of SLE patients with or without DAH and DAH murine model with or without fatal outcomes. Finally, the therapeutic value of haptoglobin (Hp) replacement was validated in a DAH murine model through lung histopathology, RT-qPCR, and survival analysis. This study identified 178 DEPs, with 118 upregulated and 60 downregulated DEPs in the non-survival group. Within a set of notable Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathways, complement and coagulation cascades emerged as the most prominent pathway associated with the process of DAH. Later, the most significant DEP, haptoglobin (Hp), was confirmed to exhibit a significant decrease in the plasma of individuals with SLE-DAH and DAH murine model with poor outcomes by the ELISA test. Finally, compared with the control group, the severity of DAH in the Hp treatment group was alleviated significantly, as manifested by the decreased levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines (IL-6 and TNF-α), increased levels of anti-inflammatory cytokines (IL-10 and TGF-β), and decreased mortality. A reduction in plasma Hp levels was observed in SLE-DAH, and the replacement therapy with Hp could alleviate pulmonary hemorrhage and reduce mortality in DAH mice. This study identified Hp as a potential biomarker for its clinical diagnosis and a direction for treatment.

Predictive ability of the REMS and HOTEL scoring systems for mortality in geriatric patients with pulmonary embolism

BackgroundPulmonary embolism (PE) is an important cause of mortality and morbidity in the geriatric population. We aimed to compare the ability of the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI), rapid emergency medicine score (REMS), and hypotension, oxygen saturation, low temperature, electrocardiogram change, and loss of independence (HOTEL) to predict prognosis and intensive care requirement in geriatric patient with PE.ResultsThe median age of 132 patients was 77 (71–82) years. PESI was higher in the non-survivor group [132 (113–172)] (P =0.001). The median REMS was 8 (7–10), and it was higher in the non-survivor group [10 (7.5–12.0)] (p = 0.005). The median HOTEL score was 1 (0–2) in the whole cohort and 2 (1–3) in the non-survivor group, indicating significant difference compared to the survivor group (P = 0.001). The area under the curve (AUC) values of HOTEL, REMS, and PESI were determined as 0.72, 0.65, and 0.71, respectively. For the prediction of intensive care requirement, the AUC values of HOTEL, REMS, and PESI were 0.76, 0.75, and 0.76, respectively, with no significant difference in pairwise comparisons (PESI vs. REMS: p = 0.520, HOTEL vs. PESI: P = 0.526, REMS vs. HOTEL: P = 0.669, overall test: P = 0.96, DeLong’s test). The risk ratios of HOTEL and PESI were parallel to each other [5.31 (95% confidence interval (CI): 2.53–11.13) and 5.34 (95% CI: 2.36–12.08), respectively].ConclusionHOTEL and REMS were as successful as PESI in predicting short-term mortality and intensive care requirement in geriatric patients with PE. These scores are also more practical since they have fewer parameters than PESI.

Relationship between D-dimer levels and survival in a sample of Iraqi patients with COVID-19

Coronavirus disease 2019 was discovered in December 2019, Wuhan, China. It was transmitted globally producing the COVID-19 pandemic. Coagulopathy is one of the most common complications characterized by an increased D-dimer level. Objective: The aim of this study were to assessment the relationship between the levels of D-dimer and other biomarkers with survival in a sample of Iraqi patients with COVID-19. Methods: A cross section study included 103 patients affected by COVID-19, diagnosed by PCR and chest CT scan, (18 to 70 years old), and admitted at the isolation centers of the Khalis General Hospital and the Shifa Center in Baquba Teaching Hospital Diyala\ Iraq between November 2020 to end January 2021. The patients were divided into two groups: Group 1:(63) survivors patients, Group 2: (40) non survivors patients. Results: The patients divided into groups: 61.2% survivors patients ,38.8% non-survivors adult COVID-19 patients. The results include several biomarkers, each biomarker (mean± SE) was calculated in survivors and non-survivors patients. Serum ferritin, plasma D-dimer showed statistical significant increasing in non-survivors group (1777.8 ± 126.02, 3985.42 ± 1224.95) than survivors patients group (1182.7 ± 142.45, 1857.50 ± 291.21) with p-value ≥ 0.05.

Impact of the quantity and quality of erector spinae muscles on the short-term prognosis of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia in Japan

BackgroundWhether muscle mass and muscle quality affect the prognosis of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between erector spinae muscle mass and muscle quality on the 30-day prognosis of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia. MethodsTwo hundred fifty-eight patients who were diagnosed with aspiration pneumonia and admitted to Sanuki Municipal Hospital for pulmonary rehabilitation intervention were included. The cross-sectional area (ESMCSA/BSA) and CT values (ESMCT) of the erector spinae muscles at the 12th thoracic vertebra were measured on chest CT images to represent muscle mass and quality, respectively. The primary outcome was defined as 30-day survival. ResultsTwenty-six patients died within 30 days after hospitalization. The ESMCSA/BSA ratio was significantly greater in the survival group than in the nonsurvival group (p = 0.001). The cutoff values for 30-day survival were calculated as follows: the ESMCSA/BSA was 11.046 cm2/m2 in male patients and 9.600 cm2/m2 in female patients; the ESMCT was 26.85 HU in male patients and 8.00 HU in female patients. A higher ESMCSA/BSA significantly improved 30-day survival, while ESMCT did not show a significant difference. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that the ESMCSA/BSA was independently associated with 30-day short-term prognosis (hazard ratio 0.34, p = 0.034). ConclusionThe short-term prognosis of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia may be more strongly influenced by muscle mass than by the muscle quality of the erector spinae muscles.

Determining Perioperative Mortality in Patients with Ruptured Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm: Insights from a Retrospective Cohort Study

Objective: Analyzing factors determining perioperative mortality in patients with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) undergoing open surgical repair (OSR) and endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR).Materials and Methods: Inclusion of 147 consecutive rAAA patients who underwent OSR (n=37) or EVAR (n=110) between 2000 and 2017. Assessment of patients' demographic data, intraoperative details, and perioperative complications. Investigation of comparative outcomes between OSR and EVAR. Employing logistic regression analysis to identify factors associated with perioperative mortality.Results: Perioperative mortality rate of 19.04% (28/147), with 8.1% (3/37) for OSR and 22.7% (25/110) for EVAR (p=0.139). Higher prevalence of unfit patients in the non-survived group (82.1% vs. 47.9%, p=0.002). Non-survived group had significantly higher preoperative serum creatinine levels (1.8 ± 1.74 vs. 1.4 ± 5.89, p=0.011). Intraoperatively, non-survived group had higher rates of aortic balloon usage and cardiac arrest (64.3% vs. 22.7% and 28.6% vs. 3.4%, p &lt; 0.001). Multivariable analysis identified age &gt; 80 years old, unfit patient status, aortic balloon usage, postoperative myocardial infarction, postoperative congestive heart failure, and abdominal compartment syndrome as independent predictors of 30-day mortality.Conclusions: No significant difference in perioperative mortality between OSR and EVAR in rAAA patients. Independent predictors of 30-day mortality include age &gt; 80 years old, unfit patient status, aortic balloon usage, postoperative myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, and abdominal compartment syndrome. Valuable insights for clinicians in predicting outcomes and improving patient care in rAAA cases.

Application of the Unbalanced Ensemble Algorithm for Prognostic Prediction Outcomes of All-Cause Mortality in Coronary Heart Disease Patients Comorbid with Hypertension.

This study sought to develop an unbalanced-ensemble model that could accurately predict death outcomes of patients with comorbid coronary heart disease (CHD) and hypertension and evaluate the factors contributing to death. Medical records of 1058 patients with coronary heart disease combined with hypertension and excluding those acute coronary syndrome were collected. Patients were followed-up at the first, third, sixth, and twelfth months after discharge to record death events. Follow-up ended two years after discharge. Patients were divided into survival and nonsurvival groups. According to medical records, gender, smoking, drinking, COPD, cerebral stroke, diabetes, hyperhomocysteinemia, heart failure and renal insufficiency of the two groups were sorted and compared and other influencing factors of the two groups, feature selection was carried out to construct models. Owing to data unbalance, we developed four unbalanced-ensemble prediction models based on Balanced Random Forest (BRF), EasyEnsemble, RUSBoost, SMOTEBoost and the two base classification algorithms based on AdaBoost and Logistic. Each model was optimised using hyperparameters based on GridSearchCV and evaluated using area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, recall, Brier score, and geometric mean (G-mean). Additionally, to understand the influence of variables on model performance, we constructed a SHapley Additive explanation (SHAP) model based on the optimal model. There were significant differences in age, heart rate, COPD, cerebral stroke, heart failure and renal insufficiency in the nonsurvival group compared with the survival group. Among all models, BRF yielded the highest AUC (0.810; 95% CI, 0.778-0.839), sensitivity (0.990; 95% CI, 0.981-1.000), recall (0.990; 95% CI, 0.981-1.000), and G-mean (0.806; 95% CI, 0.778-0.827), and the lowest Brier score (0.181; 95% CI, 0.178-0.185). Therefore, we identified BRF as the optimal model. Furthermore, red blood cell count (RBC), body mass index (BMI), and lactate dehydrogenase were found to be important mortality-associated risk factors. BRF combined with advanced machine learning methods and SHAP is highly effective and accurately predicts mortality in patients with CHD comorbid with hypertension. This model has the potential to assist clinicians in modifying treatment strategies to improve patient outcomes.

Prenatal Diagnosis, Course and Outcome of Patients with Truncus Arteriosus Communis.

Background: The objective of our study was to assess the prenatal course, associated anomalies and postnatal outcome and the predictive value of various prenatal parameters for survival in prenatally diagnosed cases of truncus arteriosus communis (TAC). Methods: We evaluated cases from four centers between 2008 and 2021. Results: In 37/47 cases (78.7%), classification into a Van Praagh sbtype was possible, most had TAC type A1 (18/37 = 48.6%). In 33/47 (70.2%) with available valve details on common trunk valve, most presented with tricuspid valves (13/33 = 39.4%). In the overall sample, 14/47 (29.8%) had relevant insufficiency, and 8/47 (17%) had stenosis. In total, 37/47 (78.7%) underwent karyotyping, with 15/37 (40.5%) showing abnormal results, mainly 22q11.2 microdeletion (9/37 = 24.3%). Overall, 17/47 (36.2%) had additional extracardiac anomalies (17/47 = 36.2%). Additional intracardiac anomalies were present in 30/47 (63.8%), or 32/47 (68.1%) if coronary anomalies were included. Four (8.5%) had major defects. Two (4.3%) intrauterine deaths occurred, in 10 (21.3%) cases, the parents opted for termination, predominantly in non-isolated cases (8/10 = 80.0%). A total of 35/47 (74.5%) were born alive at 39 (35-41) weeks. Three (8.6%) pre-surgical deaths occurred in non-isolated cases. In 32/35 (91.4%), correction surgery was performed. The postoperative survival rate was 84.4% (27/32) over a median follow-up of 51.5 months. Initial intervention was performed 16 (1-71) days postpartum, and 22/32 (68.8%) required re-intervention. Regarding prenatal outcome-predicting parameters, no significant differences were identified between the survivor and non-survivor groups. Conclusions: There exist limited outcome data for TAC. To our knowledge, this is the largest multicenter, prenatal cohort with an intention-to-treat survival rate of almost 85%.

Lipidomic analyses reveal potential biomarkers for predicting death and heart failure after acute myocardial infarction

BackgroundAcute myocardial infarction (AMI) and postmyocardial infarction heart failure (pMIHF) have high mortality rates worldwide. This study aimed to explore lipidomic profiles and identify potential biomarkers for the prediction of death and heart failure (HF) after AMI.MethodsAll serum samples were collected at Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, and their clinical characteristics and lipidomic profiles were analyzed in different groups. LC-MS/MS was used for lipidomic analyses, and underlying biomarkers were screened by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.ResultsLipidomic analyses of the survival and nonsurvival groups revealed that the decrease of the content of SM (d18:1/22:0), PE (P-20:1/18:0), PC (18:2), LPE (18:2), PE (P-20:0/18:0), LPC (18:0) and PC (20:0/20:3) while increase of the content of PG (18:1/18:1) could increase the risk of death after AMI. In parallel, the lipidomic analysis of the HF and non-HF groups revealed that the decrease of the content of PC (20:3/20:4), LPC (20:3), LPC (18:0), LPC (18:2), LPC (20:0), LPC (18:3), LPE (16:1) and PC (18:2/20:3) could increase the risk of HF after AMI.ConclusionSeveral lipids could be potential biomarkers for the prediction of death and HF after AMI.

Risk Factors and Mortality Outcomes in Elderly Patients With Bloodstream Infections: A Retrospective Analysis.

Background The objective of our investigation was to evaluate the mortality rate and predictor factors that are associated with bloodstream infections (BSIs) in elderly patients who are admitted to the internal medicine ward. Materials and methods A retrospective cross-sectional analysis was conducted at a 550-bed tertiary care hospital in Peshawar, Pakistan, from January 2021 to June 2022. The study involved elderly inpatients aged 65 and older with positive culture results detected within two days of admission. Data collection involved demographic and patient-related risk variables, BSI-related risk factors, and environmental risk factors, with statistical analysis performed using the StatisticalPackage for the Social Sciences (IBM SPSS Statistics forWindows,IBMCorp., Version 26.0, Armonk,NY). Results Of the total study sample (n=186), 103 (55.4%) survived while 83 (44.6%) did not. The non-survivor group had a higher median Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score (6 vs. 2, p<0.0001) and Charlson Comorbidity Index (5 ± 2 vs. 3 ± 2, p<0.0001), with more frequent immunosuppression (25.3% vs. 8.7%, p=0.001). Additionally, gram-positive bacteria were more common in non-survivors (42% vs. 10%, p<0.0001), while gram-negative bacteria were more prevalent in survivors (73% vs. 36%, p=0.002). Conclusions Our research validates that BSIin older adults is a serious condition that is linked to a substantial death rate during hospitalization. The biggest determinant of death in older patients with BSIis the severity of clinical symptoms evaluated by the SOFAscore upon admission. It is imperative to acknowledge that respiratory-inducedBSIsare the most fatal, and patients who are hospitalized and admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) are at an elevated risk.

Anticoagulation Can Be Held in Traumatically Injured Patients on Veno-Venous Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Support.

Traumatic injury is associated with several pulmonary complications, including pulmonary contusion, transfusion-related acute lung injury (TRALI), and the development of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). There is a lack of literature on these patients supported with veno-venous extracorporeal oxygenation (VV ECMO). Understanding the safety of using VV ECMO to support trauma patients and the ability to hold anticoagulation is important to broaden utilization. This is a single-center retrospective cohort study of adult trauma patients cannulated for VV ECMO during their initial admission over an 8 year period (2014-2021). We hypothesize that anticoagulation can be held in trauma patients on VV ECMO without increasing mortality or prothrombotic complications. We also describe the coagulopathy of traumatically injured patients on VV ECMO. Withholding anticoagulation was not associated with mortality in our study population, and there were no significant differences in bleeding or clotting complications between patients who did and did not receive systemic anticoagulation. Patients in the nonsurvivor group had increased coagulopathy both pre- and post-cannulation. Our study suggests anticoagulation can be safely withheld in traumatically injured VV ECMO patients without increasing mortality, complication rates, or transfusion requirements. Future, multicenter prospective studies with larger sample sizes are required to confirm our results.

The importance of SII and FIB-4 scores in predicting mortality in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis patients

IntroductionQuick and simple parameters are needed to predict mortality in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). In this way, risky patients will have the opportunity to receive early and effective treatment. In this study, we examined whether the Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and systemic immune inflammation index (SII) are associated with mortality in IPF patients. Materials and methodsThe study was designed retrospectively. 100 patients diagnosed with IPF were included in the study. Variables between living patients and deceased patients were examined. ResultsOut of a total of 100 patients, 67 were divided into the surviving group and 33 into the non-surviving group. In multivariate analysis, high FIB-4 and SII values were significantly associated with an increased risk of death. ConclusionFIB-4 and SII are parameters that can predict mortality in IPF patients. In this way, IPF patients with high mortality risk will be identified earlier and more effective methods will be used in follow-up and treatment.

Prognostic impact of cytokines and chemokines in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid on acute exacerbation of fibrosing interstitial lung disease

Background and objectiveAcute exacerbation of fibrosing interstitial lung disease (AE-FILD) is a serious condition with a high mortality rate. We aimed to comprehensively analyze cytokines in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid and their association with the clinical course of AE-FILD. MethodsWe retrospectively enrolled 60 patients with AE-FILD who underwent bronchoalveolar lavage. We comprehensively measured 44 cytokines and chemokines in the obtained bronchoalveolar lavage fluid using a Luminex analyzer. Patients were grouped into those who died within 90 days (non-survival group) and survived beyond 90 days (survival group) to investigate the association of the levels of cytokines and chemokines with mortality. ResultsThe levels of matrix metalloproteinase 1 (p = 0.003), granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (p = 0.040), interleukin 6 (p = 0.047), interleukin 8 (p = 0.050), monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (p = 0.043), and eotaxin (p = 0.044) were significantly higher in the non-survival group than in the survival group. In the receiver operating characteristic analysis, their areas under the curve were 0.80, 0.68, 0.71, 0.70, 0.70, and 0.72, respectively. Using machine learning with these six cytokines and chemokines, the predictive accuracy for the survival group was 0.94. ConclusionsOur study demonstrated that several cytokines and chemokines in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid could be prognostic predictors in patients with AE-FILD.

Prognostic value of laboratory markers in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

BackgroundAcute pulmonary embolism (APE) is a serious illness. Identifying prognostic factors for APE may help in the management of those patients. This study’s objective was to evaluate the prognostic value of laboratory markers in predicting right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) and 30-day mortality in pulmonary embolism patients.MethodsEighty patients with APE were enrolled and followed up for 30 days. Detailed echocardiography was done to evaluate RVD. All patients were subjected to arterial blood gas analysis, complete blood count (CBC), plasma concentration of C-reactive protein (CRP), serum D-dimer level, and serum troponin I level, and the following ratio were calculated: neutrophil-to-lymphocytic ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocytic ratio (PLR), red cell distribution width (RDW), mean platelet volume (MPV), and alveolar to arterial gradient.ResultsOur results analysis revealed significantly elevated levels of median NLR, PLR, CRP, D-dimer, and troponin in both the RVD and non-survivor groups (P value < 0.001). The blood markers that showed the highest predictive ability for right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) and 30-day mortality, as determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and logistic regression, were A-a O2 gradient, serum troponin, CRP, D-dimer, NLR, and PLR (P value < 0.001).ConclusionEvaluation of different serum markers including NLR, PLR, RDW, CRP, D-dimer, troponin, and A-a O2 gradient is a simple and available marker for predicting right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) and 30-day mortality in patients with APE.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov ID: NCT04237974.

Association between lactate/albumin ratio and prognosis in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy

Background The primary objective was to examine the association between the lactate/albumin ratio (LAR) and the prognosis of patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). Methods Utilizing the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV, v2.0) database, we categorized 703 adult AKI patients undergoing CRRT into survival and non-survival groups based on 28-day mortality. Patients were further grouped by LAR tertiles: low (< 0.692), moderate (0.692-1.641), and high (> 1.641). Restricted cubic splines (RCS), Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression, inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW), and Kaplan-Meier curves were employed. Results In our study, the patients had a mortality rate of 50.07% within 28 days and 62.87% within 360 days. RCS analysis revealed a non-linear correlation between LAR and the risk of mortality at both 28 and 360 days. Cox regression analysis, which was adjusted for nine variables identified by LASSO, confirmed that a high LAR (>1.641) served as an independent predictor of mortality at these specific time points (p < 0.05) in AKI patients who were receiving CRRT. These findings remained consistent even after IPTW adjustment, thereby ensuring a reliable and robust outcome. Kaplan-Meier survival curves exhibited a gradual decline in cumulative survival rates at both 28 and 360 days as the LAR values increased (log-rank test, χ2 = 48.630, p < 0.001; χ2 = 33.530, p < 0.001). Conclusion A high LAR (>1.641) was found to be an autonomous predictor of mortality at both 28 and 360 days in critically ill patients with AKI undergoing CRRT.

Comparative evaluation of imaging methods for prognosis assessment in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: focus on diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging, computed tomography and esophagography.

To identify the most sensitive imaging examination method to evaluate the prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Thirty patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) participated in the study and underwent chemoradiotherapy (CRT). They were divided into two groups based on their survival status: the survival group and non-survival group. The diagnostic tests were utilized to determine the most effective imaging examination method for assessing the prognosis. 1. There were no significant differences in tumor length shown on esophagography or computed tomography (CT) or the maximal esophageal wall thickness shown on CT at the specified time points between the two groups. 2. The tumor length on diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) in the survival group was significantly lower than in the non-survival group at the end of the sixth week of treatment (P=0.001). The area under the ROC curve was 0.840 (P=0.002), and the diagnostic efficiency was moderately accurate. 3. The apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values of the survival group were significantly higher than those in the non-survival group at the end of the fourth week and sixth week of treatment (both P<0.001). Areas under the curve were 0.866 and 0.970, with P values of 0.001 and <0.001 and good diagnostic accuracy. Cox regression analyses indicated the ADC at the end of the sixth week of treatment was an independent risk factor. Compared with esophagography and CT, DW-MRI has certain advantages in predicting the prognosis of ESCC.

The prognostic value of right ventricular outflow tract velocity time integral in patients with pulmonary hypertension.

Right ventricular (RV) failure is one of the leading causes of death in patients with pulmonary hypertension (PH). Conventional echocardiographic parameters are not included in risk stratification and follow-up for prognostic assessment due to PH's diverse nature and the RV's complex geometry. RV outflow tract velocity time integral (RVOT VTI) is a simple, non-invasive estimate of pulmonary flow and an echocardiographic surrogate of RV stroke volume. In this study, we aimed to define the prognostic value of RVOT VTI in PH patients. Sixty-three subjects with idiopathic PAH (IPAH) (n=23), connective tissue disease-associated PAH (CTD-associated PAH) (n=19) and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) (n=21) were retrospectively included. A comprehensive two-dimensional echocardiographic evaluation, including RVOT-VTI measurement, was performed during the follow-up and the New York Heart Association functional class (NYHA FC), 6min walk distance (6MWD) and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels were recorded. The median age of the whole cohort was 63years (52-68), and 47 (74.6%) of the patients were women. The median follow-up period was 20months (11-33), and 20 (31.7%) patients died in this period. BNP values were higher [317 (210-641) vs 161 (47-466), P=0.02], and 6MWD values were lower [197.5±89.5 vs 339±146.3, P<0.0001] in the non-survivor group, and the non-survivor group had a worse NYHA-FC (P=0.02). Among echocardiographic data, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) (15.4±4.8 vs 18.6±4.2, P=0.01) and RVOT VTI (11.9±4.1 vs 17.2±4.3, P<0.0001) values were lower whereas right atrial area (RAA) (26.9±10.1 vs 22.2±7.1, P=0.04) values were higher in the non-survivor group. The area under curve of the RVOT VTI for predicting mortality was 0.82 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.715-0.940, P<0.0001], and the best cut-off value was 14.7cm with a sensitivity of 80% and specificity of 77%. Survival was significantly lower in subjects with RVOT VTI≤14.7cm (log-rank P<0.0001). Survival rates for patients with RVOT VTI≤14.7cm were 70% at 1year, 50% at 2years, %29 at 3years and 21% at 5years. The univariate determinants of all-cause mortality were BNP [hazard ratio (HR) 1.001 (1.001-1.002), P=0.001], 6MWD [HR 0.994 (0.990-0.999), P=0.012] and NYHA-FC III-IV [HR 3.335 (1.103-10.083), P=0.03], TAPSE [HR 0.838 (0.775-0.929), P=0.001], RAA [HR 1.072 (1.013-1.135), P=0.016] and RVOT VTI [HR 0.819 (0.740-0.906), P<0.0001]. RVOT VTI was found to be the only independent determinant of mortality [HR 0.857 (0.766-0.960), P=0.008]. The decreased RVOT VTI predicts mortality in patients with PH and each 1mm decrease in RVOT VTI increases the risk of mortality by 14.3%. This parameter might serve as an additional parameter in the follow-up of these patients especially when 6MWD and NYHA-FC could not be determined.