Abstract

BackgroundWhether muscle mass and muscle quality affect the prognosis of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between erector spinae muscle mass and muscle quality on the 30-day prognosis of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia. MethodsTwo hundred fifty-eight patients who were diagnosed with aspiration pneumonia and admitted to Sanuki Municipal Hospital for pulmonary rehabilitation intervention were included. The cross-sectional area (ESMCSA/BSA) and CT values (ESMCT) of the erector spinae muscles at the 12th thoracic vertebra were measured on chest CT images to represent muscle mass and quality, respectively. The primary outcome was defined as 30-day survival. ResultsTwenty-six patients died within 30 days after hospitalization. The ESMCSA/BSA ratio was significantly greater in the survival group than in the nonsurvival group (p = 0.001). The cutoff values for 30-day survival were calculated as follows: the ESMCSA/BSA was 11.046 cm2/m2 in male patients and 9.600 cm2/m2 in female patients; the ESMCT was 26.85 HU in male patients and 8.00 HU in female patients. A higher ESMCSA/BSA significantly improved 30-day survival, while ESMCT did not show a significant difference. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that the ESMCSA/BSA was independently associated with 30-day short-term prognosis (hazard ratio 0.34, p = 0.034). ConclusionThe short-term prognosis of elderly patients with aspiration pneumonia may be more strongly influenced by muscle mass than by the muscle quality of the erector spinae muscles.

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