Non-metallic fractions (NMFs), which make up almost three fourths (by weight) of waste printed circuit boards, have become a matter of great concern for e-waste recyclers, because most of them contain hazardous substances with low utilization value. This study used an advanced Sales Obsolescence Model approach to quantify the generation and flows of non-metallic fractions in China, and to examine the potential environmental impacts associated with both the fractions themselves, and their end-of-life processing activities: disposal into landfills or incineration, and recycling via physical or chemical methods. The results show that approximately 201,000 tons (one time standard deviation: 67,000) of scrap non-metallic fractions were expected to be generated in 2015, and that this amount could increase to 279,000 tons by 2020. Both our own analysis and a systematic review of existing studies on the hazardous characterization of printed circuit boards waste, non-metallic fractions, and their recycling and disposal activities, indicate the threat of environmental pollution, from heavy metals, brominated flame retardants and secondary persistent organic pollutants, particularly dioxins.
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