Land Use And Land Cover Patterns Research Articles

Drivers of mangrove area change and suppression in Brazil from 2000 to 2020.

Mangrove area loss is increasing globally, and drivers of loss differ depending not only on natural conditions but also on national and regional policies. Some countries with the most mangrove area, for instance, Brazil, lack broad systematic quantification of specific drivers of mangrove land-use and land-cover (LULC) change dynamics. We investigated the direct conversion (i.e., replacement) of mangrove forests due to changes in 21 types of LULC across Brazil from 2000 to 2020 based on annual LULC maps developed by the MapBiomas project. We quantified the area changes at national, regional, and state scales. We also determined and quantified mangrove forest conversion for each of the 21 LULC types with a pixel comparison analysis and identified temporal trends with a time-series analysis. The total conversion of mangrove area (3429km2) was offset by a gain that was twice as large (6776km2). Forest formations and water bodies, which may be interpreted as natural or indirect anthropogenic changes, were associated with most of the areas where mangrove cover was lost. Land-use modifications, mainly creation of pastures, accounted for 4% of direct mangrove conversions. We found that changes in LULC categories and patterns of gain and loss of mangrove areas differed among Brazilian states and regions. Based on other research, they also differ between Brazil and other countries. Thus, integrated mangrove forest conservation and management efforts that transcend political boundaries are essential to effectively address negative impacts on mangrove forests. We provide an interactive map to allow qualitative assessments of mangrove conversion drivers by different stakeholders, such as managers, policymakers, and nongovernmental organizations.

The Implications of Plantation Forest-Driven Land Use/Land Cover Changes for Ecosystem Service Values in the Northwestern Highlands of Ethiopia

In the northwestern Highlands of Ethiopia, a region characterized by diverse ecosystems, significant land use and land cover (LULC) changes have occurred due to a combination of environmental fragility and human pressures. The implications of these changes for ecosystem service values remain underexplored. This study quantifies the impact of LULC changes, with an emphasis on the expansion of plantation forests, on ecosystem service values in monetary terms to promote sustainable land management practices. Using Landsat images and the Random Forest algorithm in R, LULC patterns from 1985 to 2020 were analyzed, with the ecosystem service values estimated using locally adapted coefficients. The Random Forest classification demonstrated a high accuracy, with values of 0.97, 0.98, 0.96, and 0.97 for the LULC maps of 1985, 2000, 2015, and 2020, respectively. Croplands consistently dominated the landscape, accounting for 53.66% of the area in 1985, peaking at 67.35% in 2000, and then declining to 52.86% by 2020. Grasslands, initially the second-largest category, significantly decreased, while wetlands diminished from 14.38% in 1985 to 1.87% by 2020. Conversely, plantation forests, particularly Acacia decurrens, expanded from 0.4% of the area in 2000 to 28.13% by 2020, becoming the second-largest land cover type. The total ecosystem service value in the district declined from USD 219.52 million in 1985 to USD 39.23 million in 2020, primarily due to wetland degradation. However, plantation forests contributed USD 17.37 million in 2020, highlighting their significant role in restoring ecosystem services, particularly in erosion control, soil formation, nutrient recycling, climate regulation, and habitat provision. This study underscores the need for sustainable land management practices, including wetland restoration and sustainable plantation forestry, to enhance ecosystem services and ensure long-term ecological and economic sustainability.

Scale-specific effects of urban landscape pattern on the COVID-19 epidemic in Hangzhou, China

ContextUnderstanding the scale-specific effects of different landscape variables on the COVID-19 epidemics is critical for developing the precise and effective prevention and control strategies within urban areas.ObjectiveBased on the landscape epidemiology framework, we analyzed the scale-specific effects of urban landscape pattern on COVID-19 epidemics in Hangzhou, China.MethodsWe collected COVID-19 cases in Hangzhou from 2020‒2022 and combined the datasets of land use and land cover (LULC) and social gathering point (SGP) to quantify the urban landscape pattern. Optimal general linear model with stepwise regression was applied to explore the dominant landscape factors driving the COVID-19 transmission in the city. Furthermore, multi-scale geographically weighted regression illustrated the spatial heterogeneity and scale specificity of these landscape variables’ effects to COVID-19 epidemic.ResultsEight landscape variables of LULC and SGP patterns were identified which explained 68.5% of the variance in spatial risk of COVID-19. Different optimal bandwidths across these variables in MGWR indicated their scale-specific effects. LSI of green space enhanced the spatial risk across the entire region. The effects of landscape contagion, the number of water bodies, LSI of cropland and built-up areas, and the density of commercial houses were detected to vary between urban and suburban areas. The effects of LSI of water bodies and the density of shopping malls were found to vary among different districts.ConclusionsIn this study, we firstly discriminated the scale-specific effects of different landscape variables on the COVID-19 epidemic in the urban region. These findings can help to optimize the differentiated zoning prevention and control strategies for COVID-19 in cities and guide policy-making and urban planning at a multi-scale hierarchical perspective to improve public health and urban sustainability.

Accuracy Assessment of Land Use Land Cover Classification Using Machine Learning Classifiers in Google Earth Engine; A Case Study of Jammu District

Abstract. LULC (Land Use and Land Cover) involves classifying and describing different land types and their usage. Using satellite imagery for LULC mapping is increasing in remote sensing. This study focuses on Jammu district in India, situated between mountain ranges from north and south make it eco-sensitive zone. Expanding of human activity and loss of natural resources make it vulnerable if mismanaged. Study of LULC is important because of it and this study deals with efficiency and accuracy of various machine learning classifiers for LULC. This study uses machine learning classifiers - Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Gradient Boosted Trees (GTB), and Classification and Regression Trees (CART) - for the task, leveraging Google Earth Engine (GEE). Sentinel-2 satellite data from January 1 to March 31, 2023, with specific spectral bands (B4, B3, B2 & B8, B4, B3), were used for image preprocessing. Six classes: built-up, water, agricultural land, fallow land, forest, and barren land, each with 100 sample points, were used for classification. After training, the classifiers' accuracy was evaluated using Overall Accuracy and Kappa Coefficient. The results showed RF as the top performer with an overall accuracy of 99.36% and a Kappa coefficient of 99.11%, followed by SVM, GTB, and CART. This highlights the effectiveness of machine learning classifiers, especially RF and SVM, in accurately mapping LULC patterns in Jammu district, suggesting RF's potential as a reliable tool for remote sensing-based LULC mapping.

Comparison of various models for multi-scenario simulation of land use/land cover to predict ecosystem service value: A case study of Harbin-Changchun Urban Agglomeration, China

Understanding the intricate changes in land use and land cover (LULC) transformations, as well as accurately quantifying the ecosystem services value (ESV), holds paramount importance in achieving sustainable development goals. However, previous studies have notably neglected conducting empirical evaluations across various LULC prediction models under identical conditions within the same geographical region. Additionally, the majority of relevant studies primarily concentrate on local scales. In this study, we used CA-Markov, Future Land Use Simulation (FLUS) and Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) models to simulate the dynamics of LULC, respectively. Subsequently, we successfully projected the future LULC patterns and corresponding ESV within the Harbin-Changchun Urban Agglomeration (HCUA), China. During the period spanning from 2000 to 2020, a persistent reduction of 2067 km2 in farmland was witnessed within the HCUA, while an accompanying expansion of 4081 km2 in built-up land occurred concurrently. The ESV in HCUA experienced a fluctuating trend. There was an initial decline of 7.443 × 109 yuan during the first decade, which was subsequently followed by an increase of 4.615 × 109 yuan during the latter decade. PLUS, FLUS, and CA-Markov models can all simulate the LULC of HCUA, but in decreasing order of accuracy and ease of use, with OA values of 0.8987, 0.8944 and 0.8651, and Kappa values of 0.8217, 0.8150 and 0.7860, respectively. The PLUS model was chosen to predict the future LULC. Then four development scenarios were set. Our optimization results indicate that it is advisable to restrict the area of built-up land within 17000 km2 in 2030. Moreover, under the economic and ecological balance (EEB) scenario, both ESV and economic benefits are projected to increase compared to the business as usual (BAU) scenario. This study offers valuable insights and serves as a significant reference for future research endeavors focused on optimizing land use.

Spatiotemporal analysis of land use and land cover changes, LST and NDVI in Thatta district, Sindh, Pakistan

The purpose of this work is to determine land-use and land-cover (LULC) patterns, land surface temperature (LST), and normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) changes in Thatta district using Landsat data from 1991 to 2021 and evaluate the relationship between LST and NDVI. The research process employed the selection of the study area, data acquisition, preprocessing, and classification of remotely sensed images for the estimation of the land use land cover change (LULC), vegetation index (NDVI), and evaluation of LST using thermal bands in the Landsat dataset. The study revealed the area under built-up structures has increased from 1991 to 2021. Although the vegetation cover showed an increase, the bare soil showed a decreasing pattern, indicating a constant change in the LULC patterns in the region. The confusion matrix method for accuracy valuation of LULC data of 2021 revealed an overall accuracy of 88.24%, with a Kappa coefficient of 84.22%, while the Artificial Neural Network Multilayer Perceptron (ANN-MLP) model had a Kappa validation of 0.95 for 2021. The highest maximum temperature is observed for 2021, indicating a positive relationship between LST and built-up structures, while regression analysis found a negative correlation between LST and NDVI. This study provides a valuable monitoring framework to help resource managers develop strategies to manage land resources.

Spatiotemporal Variation and Prediction of Carbon Storage in Terrestrial Ecosystems at Multiple Development Stages in Beijing City Based on the Plus and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs Models

Terrestrial ecosystems play a critical role in the global carbon cycle, and their carbon sequestration capacity is vital for mitigating the impacts of climate change. Changes in land use and land cover (LULC) dynamics significantly alter this capacity. This study scrutinizes the LULC evolution within the Beijing metropolitan region from 1992 to 2022, evaluating its implications for ecosystem carbon storage. It also employs the Patch-Generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model to simulate LULC patterns under four scenarios for 2035: an Uncontrolled Scenario (UCS), a Natural Evolution Scenario (NES), a Strict Control Scenario (SCS), and a Reforestation and Wetland Expansion Scenario (RWES). The InVEST model is concurrently used to assess and forecast ecosystem carbon storage under each scenario. Key insights from the study are as follows: (1) from 1992 to 2022, Beijing’s LULC exhibited a phased developmental trajectory, marked by an expansion of urban and forested areas at the expense of agricultural land; (2) concurrently, the region’s ecosystem carbon storage displayed a fluctuating trend, peaking initially before declining, with higher storage in the northwest and lower in the central urban zones; (3) by 2035, ecosystem carbon storage is projected to decrease by 1.41 Megatons under the UCS, decrease by 0.097 Megatons under the NES, increase by 1.70 Megatons under the SCS, and increase by 11.97 Megatons under the RWES; and (4) the study underscores the efficacy of policies curtailing construction land expansion in Beijing, advocating for sustained urban growth constraints and intensified afforestation initiatives. This research reveals significant changes in urban land use types and the mechanisms propelling these shifts, offering a scientific basis for comprehending LULC transformations in Beijing and their ramifications for ecosystem carbon storage. It further provides policymakers with substantial insights for the development of strategic environmental and urban planning initiatives.

Assessing Urbanization Dynamics Through Land Use/Land Cover Change Detection in Zunheboto Sadar, Nagaland, India

Providing a systematic overview of the environment is crucial for identifying environmental changes and understanding human-related factors and feedback in research on land use and land cover (LULC) changes and the incorporation of LULC data facilitates pinpointing particular areas undergoing changes, discerning the character of these changes, and gaining insights into the evolving nature of the land. Utilizing Remote Sensing & Geographic Information System (GIS) and methodologies, this study aims to examine variation LULC patterns between 2014 and 2023 in Zunheboto Sadar, the highest populated region in the Zunheboto district of Nagaland with area covering about 123 Km2 and altitude encompassing from 642 m to 1989 m above mean sea level. Landsat-8 OLI data was employed to produce a map depicting LULC in the study region. The application of Supervised classification method, specifically the Maximum Likelihood Classifier (MLC), were utilised in producing LULC maps. Through this comprehensive analysis, the research aims to identify specific areas undergoing alterations, discern the nature and extent of these changes, and explore the underlying causes and human responses. Eight classes were delineated namely Jhum cultivation, Moderately Dense Forest, Open Forest, Settlements, Shrub, Terrace Cultivation, Very Dense Forest, and Water Bodies. In the year 2023, Jhum cultivation has decreased by 68.36%, Very Dense Forest by 16.96%, Water Bodies by 6.53%, Shrub by 52.36%, and Terrace Cultivation by 32.83%. Conversely, there is an increase in Moderately Dense Forest by 21.39%, Open Forest by 111.25%, and Settlements by 38.41%. The Kappa accuracy assessment technique was chosen for evaluating the accuracy of the categorized map. The categorized map of 2023 exhibits an Overall Classification Accuracy of 86.50%, coupled with a Kappa Coefficient of 0.84, indicating an almost perfect classification. Similarly, for 2014, the Overall Classification Accuracy stands at 78.50%, with a Kappa Coefficient of 0.75, also falling into the Substantial classification category.

Patterns of change, driving forces and future simulation of LULC in the Fuxian Lake Basin based on the IM-RF-Markov-PLUS framework

Studying land use and land cover (LULC) patterns, identifying driving forces, and simulating future scenarios are vital for grasping the complex connection between human actions and the environment. This helps in shaping sustainable land management strategies and preparing for the impacts of climate change. However, there is a necessity for a comprehensive system modeling framework that can accurately capture spatial and temporal changes in LULC, analyze driving mechanisms, and provide an integrated analysis of future simulations. In this paper, a comprehensive IM-RF-Markov-PLUS analysis framework is developed, focusing on the Fuxian Lake Basin (FLB) as a study area. The study aims to achieve accurate prediction of LULC by combining the microscopic LULC change trend and the contribution of macroscopic driving forces. The results show that: (1) The IM-RF-Markov-PLUS framework can explore the change patterns and driving mechanisms of LULC in the FLB, and accurately predict the LULC in the FLB. Compared with the PLUS model, its accuracy is improved by 2 %. (2) IM analysis reveals that LULC transformation in the FLB is both general and specific. Although the area of grassland, buildings, roads and structures converted to desert and bare land is minimal, it shows relatively tendentious and specific change characteristics. (3) Different land types are significantly affected by driving factors, with the expansion of LULCs is constrained by major factors. The distance to the lake has the most significant impact on the distribution of garden land, while the primary road has the greatest impact on the distribution of forestland. (4) Under different scenarios, the spatial heterogeneity of LULC patterns is obvious. In 2035, under baseline and economic development scenarios, cultivated land will decrease, while other LULC types will increase. Under the cultivated land protection scenario, cultivated land is protected, with an increase of 5.85 %. Under the ecological protection scenario, there is an increase in ecological land. The largest increase is in forestland, which increases by a total of 3.46 %. The ecological protection scenario presents a viable approach for ensuring the sustainable development of the FLB. The results of this paper may serve as a reliable foundation for implementing LULC strategies in the FLB and offer guidance for crafting sustainable development regulations at the regional level.

Synergistic approach for land use and land cover dynamics prediction in Uttarakhand using cellular automata and Artificial neural network

Alterations in Land use and Land cover (LULC) stand out as a key catalyst for shifts in global climate patterns, environmental conditions, and ecological dynamics. In order to further enhance our comprehension of the effects of variability and climate shifts on the environment, Remote sensing and GIS analytical approaches have been thoroughly explored and are reflected in an imperative vision. Thus, the objective of this study is to model Uttarakhand’s LULC pattern for 2032 and analyse changes in Uttarakhand's LULC trend between 1992 and 2022. LULC change mapping was conducted utilizing a semi-automated hybrid classification approach for high level of accuracy which integrates both Maximum likelihood and Object based image analysis classification techniques on Landsat datasets. The machine learning techniques of Cellular automata and Artificial neural networks (CA-ANN) within MOLUSCE plugin of QGIS have been applied to model future LULC patterns. The accuracy assessment results showed that the overall accuracy of LULC for the years 1992, 2002, 2012, and 2022 was 96.94 %, 97.77 %, 98.61 % and 98.87 % respectively, and the overall kappa statistics coefficient was 0.92, 0.95, 0.94 and 0.95 respectively. The simulated and projected LULC map for 2022 implies a substantially high level of accuracy, with an overall Kappa coefficient value of 0.77 % and 85.39 % of overall correctness. Then, LULC changes for the year 2032 are predicted using CA-ANN. The observed alterations between 1992 and 2032 are significant, characterized by an augmentation in built-up areas, open land, and water bodies, alongside a decline in snow-covered regions, vegetation cover. Whereas, a slight increase is seen in Forested areas. Planners and policy makers aiming to accomplish a more sustainable future and efficient management of the environment will find the changes in LULC over a prolonged period of time to be a useful asset for optimal land use planning.

Change analyses and prediction of land use and land cover changes in Bernam River Basin, Malaysia

Land use and land cover (LULC) change is a dynamic process which is significantly influenced by anthropogenic activities. Analysing historical LULC trends and predicting future dynamics is critical to provide insights for decision-makers and planners aiming for sustainable land management and development. This study focuses on the Bernam River Basin (BRB). It employs an integrated approach that combines the Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), the Cellular Automata (CA)-Markov algorithm, remote sensing, and Geographical Information System (GIS) techniques. Using multi-temporal 10m resolution Sentinel-2 Landsat imagery from 2010, 2020, and 2022, the study classified LULC into seven categories: water, forest, wetlands, agriculture, urban, barren, and rangeland areas. Change analysis from 2010 to 2020 was conducted, with 2022 validating predicted LULC transitions. The MLP model, trained on land change driver variables, facilitated the generation of transition potentials for simulating future LULC changes. A spatially explicit CA-Markov model implemented LULC change projections for 2022, 2025, 2050, and 2075, based on the transition potentials. The analysis reveals an annual increase of 0.24% in water, 0.61% in forest, and 2.11% in urban areas, while wetlands (2.69%), agriculture (2.47%), barren (3.51%), and rangeland (4.58%) experienced declines. The CA-Markov approach accurately predicted LULC transitions for 2022, validated through an error matrix with an overall accuracy of 91.56% based on 450 sampling points. Predictions for 2025–2075 indicate rising trends in water (1.76%), wetlands (29.18%), agriculture (60.08%), urban (96.53%), barren (0.59%), and rangeland areas (3.57%). Forests are expected to decrease by 12% (261.52 km2). The study identified agriculture and urban expansion as the primary drivers of LULC changes in the river basin. These findings provide critical information for regional authorities to formulate evidence-based policies and management strategies, ensuring the environmental sustainability of BRB. Furthermore, these predicted LULC patterns can be integrated into complementary models, such as the Soil and Water Assessment Tool, to assess the impacts of LULC changes on water resources.

Knowing the lay of the land: changes to land use and cover and landscape pattern in village tank cascade systems of Sri Lanka

Social-ecological systems (SESs) possess a great diversity of land use and land cover (LULC) types with unique assemblages of biodiversity and ecosystem services. However, LULC changes due to landscape fragmentation are emerging as major threats to the system productivity of SESs around the world. This study examined changes to LULC extent and landscape patterns in the Village Tank Cascade Systems (VTCSs) of Sri Lanka using satellite imagery and GIS techniques between 1994 and 2021. Multispectral Landsat images (5 TM and 8 OLI/TIRS) obtained from Google Earth Engine were classified using machine learning algorithms. Overall accuracies obtained were 85.9% (1994) and 88.6% (2021). The LULC change matrix and spatial pattern metrics were used to examine LULC and landscape pattern change dynamics over the VTCS landscapes. LULC change matrix results revealed that forest, which is the dominant LULC class covering 73.7% of the total land area was reduced by 206,725 ha due to transformation into agricultural (70.43%) and scrub (24.33%) lands between 1994 and 2021. Over this time landscape pattern of the VTCS has gradually changed from forest to agricultural land-dominated landscape, with forest and agricultural land types showing a significant negative correlation (p < 0.001; R2 > 0.868), particularly in the southeastern region. Landscape patterns were analysed based on eight spatial metrics calculated at both the landscape and class levels using FRAGSTATS spatial pattern analysis software. At the landscape level, the structure became more dispersed and complex in shape. Heterogeneity was noted to have gradually increased with weakening connectivity, whereas the fragmentation process had gradually accelerated. At the class level, the dominance of forest patches decreased, fragmentation and isolation increased, and connectivity and shape complexity reduced leading to the loss of fragmented forest habitats. The number of patches within the agricultural class increased and became more aggregated and complex in shape. Landscape performance indicators show that VTCSs have experienced a gradual loss of environmental sustainability. Assessment of LULC along with fragmentation can help to monitor the spatial pattern impacts that determine ecological integrity. Thus, the study provides scientific guidance for ecological restoration in degraded VTCSs to effectively improve ecological productivity.

Remote sensing insights for sustainable development: Water quality and landscape dynamics in Mirik Lake, Darjeeling District, West Bengal, India

The study employs remote sensing and GIS techniques to assess the water quality dynamics of Mirik Lake, located in the Darjeeling Himalayas, West Bengal, India. To analyse the impact of land use and land cover (LULC) changes on the water quality of Mirik Lake from 1993 to 2023. Landsat imagery spanning from 1993 to 2023 was used to detect significant alterations in LULC patterns. Remote sensing and GIS techniques were utilised to analyse the data, focusing on changes in LULC and their implications for water quality. The results indicate a steady increase in total phosphorus (TP), total nitrogen (TN), and Biological Oxygen Demand (BOD) levels, attributed to anthropogenic activities such as urbanisation and tourism development. LULC change analysis highlights the expanding built-up areas and agricultural lands surrounding the lake, contributing to nutrient loading and organic pollution. The spatial distribution of pollution categories underscores the influence of tourist infrastructure on water quality degradation. Integrated watershed management and sustainable development strategies are recommended to mitigate anthropogenic impacts and preserve the ecological integrity of Mirik Lake.

Sentinel-2 Perspective: Land Use and Land Cover Dynamics in East and West Karbi Anglong

This study delves into the dynamics of land use and land cover (LULC) in East and West Karbi Anglong using Sentinel-2 satellite imagery. In response to escalating environmental changes, remote sensing technologies, particularly Sentinel-2, offer crucial insights for sustainable land management. Through an analysis of LULC patterns, the study aims to inform evidence-based decisions for environmental conservation and resource management in the region. The present study highlights the utility of remote sensing in LULC assessments and acknowledges the necessity for customized approaches in regions with distinctive features such as Karbi Anglong. Methodologically, temporally stratified Sentinel-2 datasets were utilized, with meticulous pre-processing and accuracy assessments ensuring reliability. Results indicate notable shifts in LULC classes, including urban expansion and vegetation decline. Despite limitations, such as potential inaccuracies in data processing, the study emphasizes the importance of monitoring environmental changes and advocating for sustainable land management strategies.

Modeling future land use and land cover under different scenarios using patch-generating land use simulation model. A case study of Ndola district

Accurate predictions of changes in Land-use and Land-cover (LULC) are crucial in climate modeling, providing valuable insights into the possible effects of land-use alterations on Earth’s intricate system. This study focuses on forecasting and examining future LULC changes in the Ndola district from 2022 to 2042, considering three scenarios: Traditional mode (TM), Ecological protection (EP), and Economic Development (ED). TM reflects past land use changes, EP prioritizes environmental conservation, and ED emphasizes economic growth and urbanization. Using the patch-generating land use simulation (PLUS) model, we achieved precise predictions of LULC changes in Ndola district. The model, which combines LEAS rule-extraction with a CA model using CARS, addresses limitations of previous models like CLUE-S, CA-Markov, and FLUS by accurately simulating scattered LULC patterns and the mutual attraction and evolution of open space and urban land under different policies. Using LULC data from the livingatlas platform for the base period (2017–2022), the model demonstrated a Kappa coefficient of 78% and a FoM value of 0.34. Key findings indicate significant trends, such as reductions in forest and agricultural lands in the TM and ED scenarios, with rangeland expanding consistently across all scenarios, particularly in the ED scenario. The decline in agricultural and forest lands raises concerns about household food security, habitat fragmentation, biodiversity loss, and diminished ecosystem services. Urban sprawl onto other land uses could further strain urban infrastructure and public services. Future research should incorporate uncertainty analysis methods such as fuzzy logic or Bayesian methodologies to quantify and differentiate uncertainties related to modeling simulations.

Predicting land cover driven ecosystem service value using artificial neural network model

Understanding the synergies and trade-offs of major cities' ecosystem services is vital to mitigating regional ecological and environmental risks and enhancing human well-being in this era of rapid urbanization and global climate change. This study aimed to assess and predict the land use- and land cover (LULC)-driven ecosystem service value (ESV) dynamics in Arkansas’s capital city, Little Rock. Historical LULC data were derived by applying support vector machine learning algorithms to Landsat satellite imagery. The benefit transfer method was utilized to identify nine types of ecosystem services and their corresponding economic values. A cellular automata artificial neural network model was used to simulate future potential LULC and ESV patterns. Vegetation accounted for more than 94% of total ESV over the past two decades. However, a 38.40% expansion of built-up areas resulted in a 45.28% decrease in vegetated areas, which reduced total ESV from $3619.73 × 106 to $2563.81 × 106 during 2003–2023. By 2033, the city’s urban area will expand to 72.75% of the total area and will witness further declines of 30.35 km2 in vegetation, 19.30 km2 in barren soil, and 1.69 km2 in waterbody areas. Consequently, the ESVs of these natural landscapes will decline by $708.58 × 106, $44.87 × 106, and $15.69 × 106, respectively. Provisioning services will be most affected, followed by supporting, regulating, and cultural services. The study findings provide reference information to policymakers and the local government for use in adopting sustainable land management policies, thereby promoting the ecological value of Little Rock.

Change in Bhutan’s Land Use and Land Cover from 1930 - 2020

The land is a fundamental component of Bhutan's geographical makeup, characterized by natural features and human activities. Bhutan's land can be divided into land use and land cover (LULC), where human activities contribute to land use, and natural elements define land cover. This paper analyzes Bhutan's LULC patterns, emphasizing the evolving trends in major LULC types, strengths and challenges of sustainable land use management, and envisioning its future trajectory. In recent years, Bhutan's land-use pattern has displayed a predominant forest cover, encompassing a significant portion of the total land area. Similarly, the built-up area in Bhutan is gradually increasing, reflecting the country's ongoing urbanization and development activities. A long-term analysis reveals dynamic shifts in agricultural land in Bhutan. While there has been a historical expansion of agricultural areas, recent trends may suggest a potential slowdown or decline, influenced by factors such as urban growth and changing economic landscapes. Like community forestry practices in Bhutan, successful conservation efforts may also influence land-use changes. In the eastern Himalayas, Bhutan faces challenges related to snow/glacial cover impacted by climate change. Increasing temperatures in the region contribute to alterations in snow/glacial patterns, necessitating a focus on environmental conservation and sustainable practices to preserve these vital resources. The land tenure system and land use policies in Bhutan have evolved and been shaped by socioeconomic and political dynamics. Bhutan needs to adapt and formulate effective policies to address contemporary challenges and promote sustainable LULC management. Implementing specific LULC zones, as outlined in Bhutan's land use policies, is crucial for ensuring sustainable land management practices.

Novel approach for the LULC change detection using GIS & Google Earth Engine through spatiotemporal analysis to evaluate the urbanization growth of Ahmedabad city

Changes in Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) have a significant impact on both urban and environmental planning, especially in the context of rapidly urbanising areas. The largest city in the state of Gujarat, Ahmedabad, has experienced substantial growth. Utilising the powerful tools of Geographic Information System (GIS) and Google Earth Engine (GEE), this study uses a thorough methodology to track and examine changes in LULC over the last ten years. Modifications in LULC have a significant impact on both urban and environmental planning, especially in light of the fast urbanisation cycle. This study uses a comprehensive approach to monitor and analyze Landsat imagery changes in LULC over the past ten years, leveraging the powerful capabilities of Google Earth Engine and GIS. Important insights into LULC patterns are revealed by analysing Landsat imagery from Ahmedabad from 2013 to 2023. Pre-processing with GIS and GEE, accuracy evaluation, and classification of satellite images are all included in the methodology. With a notable 0.85 Kappa and 89 % accuracy in LULC classification, the resulting LULC classifications cover settlements, vegetation, water bodies, arid land, and other relevant features. Results show that over the previous ten years, Ahmedabad has seen a noteworthy decrease in agricultural lands of 13.74 % and a reduction in barren areas of 4.78 %. Meanwhile, the total LULC patterns have shown a significant expansion of 23.56 %. This study is significant because it highlights how urbanisation reduces vegetation cover. The results will helpful for urban planning strategies that take changing environmental dynamics into account.

Monitoring and predicting land use/land cover dynamics in Djelfa city, Algeria, using Google Earth Engine and a Multi Layer Perceptron Markov Chain model

Understanding the historical and projected changes in land use and land cover (LULC) in Djelfa city is crucial for sustainable land management, considering both natural and human influences. This study employs Landsat images from the Google Earth Engine and the support vector machine (SVM) technique for LULC classification in 1990, 2005, and 2020, achieving over 90% accuracy and kappa coefficients above 88%. The Land Change Modeler (LCM) was used for detecting changes and predicting future LULC patterns, with Markov Chain (MC) and Multi Layer Perceptron (MLP) techniques applied for 2035 projections, showing an average accuracy of 83.96%. Key findings indicate a substantial urban expansion in Djelfa city, from 924.09 hectares in 1990 to 2742.30 hectares in 2020, with a projected increase leading to 1.6% of nonurban areas transitioning to urban by 2035. There has been significant growth in steppe areas, while forested, agricultural, and barren lands have seen annual declines. Projections suggest continued degradation of bare land and a slight reduction in steppe areas by 2035. These insights underscore the need for reinforced policies and measures to enhance land management practices within the region to cater to its evolving landscape and promote sustainable development.

Spatial Green Space Assessment in Suburbia: Implications for Urban Development

Nonthaburi, a suburban province adjacent to the Bangkok Metropolis, has experienced a reduction in green spaces due to urban expansion. This study quantified Nonthaburi’s green space through visual interpretation of land use and land cover (LULC) using THEOS and Sentinel-2. Areas of green space were extracted using remote sensing indices and pixel-based classification based on THEOS. The extracted green area was then integrated with the existing LULC patterns to align with the green space characteristic established by Thailand’s Office of Natural Resource and Environmental Policy and Planning. This includes public services, functional utility, median strips, community economics, fallow, and natural green space. The analysis of green space management and planning utilized the Urban Green Space Index (UGSI), Per Capita Green Space (PCGS), and accessibility to public green space. The results revealed that Nonthaburi comprises a green space area of 465.29 km2 or 73.06%, exhibiting a higher prevalence within its western region while displaying a relatively lower extent in the urban zone adjacent to the Bangkok Metropolis. The per capita green space is 367.71 m2 but decreases to 255.82 m2 when accounting for the latent population, meaning it still meets the World Health Organization (WHO) criteria. Currently, only six parks (single and clusters) meet the criteria for public green space. Additionally, both fallow and median strip green spaces (at road interchanges) need to be considered for their potential use in new public service. Furthermore, very high-resolution imagery from unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) should be used for green space planning by the organization.