Land Use Cover Change Research Articles

The Impact of land use change on peatland degradation: A case Nathong and Saming Village, Champhone district, Champasack Province, Lao PDR

The major impact on land use change and peatland degradation was directly from human activities and inappropriate management. Changing of land use and land cover (LULC) influence directly on peat land drained and degraded. Nathong and Saming Village, Champhone district, Champasack Province, Lao PDR is one of proposed peatland area and rapid LULC changes from 2016 due to a social-economic growth. Therefore, the assessment of land use change is required for sustainable peatland management. The main objectives of this study were to assess LULC and its change between 2011 to 2016 and 2016 to 2021. In this study, remote sensing data has been used for LULC classification using random forest classifier in Google Earth Engine (GEE). Then, the post-comparison change detection algorithm was applied for detected LULC changes. The result revealed that mixed deciduous area was continually decrees 523.44 ha and 607.05 ha from 2011 to 2016 and 2016 to 2021. Additionally, cassava and dry dipterocarp were increase from 138.24 ha in 2011 to 2016 to 386.1 ha in 2016 to 2021 and 93.15 ha in 2011 to 2016 to 156.42 ha in 2016 to 2021 respectively. Additionally, the derived overall accuracy and Kappa hat coefficients of the land use and land cover map in 2011,2016 and 2021 were higher than 85%. The average producer’s accuracy and user’s accuracy for all land use and land cover types were also more than 83%. The derived information of land use and land cover data of this study can be used as information to support decision-makers and land use planners for to awareness and sustainable peatland management.

Land Use and Land Cover Change Detection Using Remote Sensing in the Kal River Basin, Raigad District, Maharashtra, India

Land use and land cover (LULC) are distinct yet interrelated concepts that describe the characteristics and utilization of land. Land cover refers to the physical surface, such as vegetation, water bodies, or man-made features, while land use denotes the purpose of land utilization. Changes in LULC significantly impact water resources, making it a critical component in water resource studies. This study aims to detect changes in LULC over a five-year period (2017–2021) in the Kal River basin, a sub-basin of the Savitri River in Maharashtra, India. Sentinel-2 satellite imagery with a 10 m resolution was used, and the supervised classification method, specifically Maximum Likelihood Classification (MLC), was applied to classify LULC into six categories: cropland, bare ground, built-up areas, trees, rangeland, and water bodies. The results show that in 2017, the areas under cropland, tree cover, bare ground, built-up areas, and water bodies were 35.20 km², 187.61 km², 0.133 km², 7.77 km², and 1.89 km² respectively. By 2021, cropland, tree cover and bare ground decreased by 3.82%, 4.85%, and 0.01% respectively while water bodies, rangeland, and built-up areas increased by 0.02%, 8.34%, and 0.32% respectively. The overall accuracy of LULC classification was 77% for 2017 and 91% for 2021 with validation using the Kappa coefficient indicating good to excellent accuracy. This study highlights the importance of monitoring LULC changes for understanding the impacts of human activities and climate on watershed development and water resource management. Such analysis provides valuable insights for decision-makers to plan for sustainable development, land conservation and environmental management, ensuring balanced growth while protecting natural resources in the Kal River basin.

Research Progress in Spatiotemporal Dynamic Simulation of LUCC

Land Use and Land Cover Change (LUCC) represents the interaction between human societies and the natural environment. Studies of LUCC simulation allow for the analysis of Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) patterns in a given region. Moreover, these studies enable the simulation of complex future LUCC scenarios by integrating multiple factors. Such studies can provide effective means for optimizing and making decisions about the future patterns of a region. This review conducted a literature search on geographic models and simulations in the Web of Science database. From the literature, we summarized the basic steps of spatiotemporal dynamic simulation of LUCC. The focus was on the current major models, analyzing their characteristics and limitations, and discussing their expanded applications in land use. This review reveals that current research still faces challenges such as data uncertainty, necessitating the advancement of more diverse data and new technologies. Future research can enhance the precision and applicability of studies by improving models and methods, integrating big data and multi-scale data, and employing multi-model coupling and various algorithmic experiments for comparison. This would support the advancement of land use spatiotemporal dynamic simulation research to higher levels.

Impact of Land Use/Cover Change on Soil Erosion and Future Simulations in Hainan Island, China

Soil erosion (SE) is a critical threat to the sustainable development of ecosystem stability, agricultural productivity, and human society in the context of global environmental and climate change. Particularly in tropical island regions, due to the expansion of human activities and land use/cover changes (LUCCs), the risk of SE has been exacerbated. Combining the RUSLE with machine learning methods, SE spatial patterns, their driving forces and the mechanisms of how LUCCs affect SE, were illustrated. Additionally, the potential impacts of future LUCCs on SE were simulated by using the PLUS model. The main results are as follows: (1) Due to LUCCs, the average soil erosion modulus (SEM) decreased significantly from 108.09 t/(km2·a) in 2000 to 106.75 t/(km2·a) in 2020, a reduction of 1.34 t/(km2·a), mainly due to the transformation of cropland to forest and urban land. (2) The dominant factor affecting the spatial pattern of SE is the LS factor (with relative contributions of 43.9% and 45.17%), followed by land use/cover (LUC) (the relative contribution is 28.46% and 34.89%) in 2000 and 2020, respectively. (3) Three kinds of future scenarios simulation results indicate that the average SEM will decrease by 2.40 t/(km2·a) under the natural development scenario and by 1.86 t/(km2·a) under the ecological protection scenario by 2060. However, under the cropland protection scenario, there is a slight increase in SEM, with an increase of 0.08 t/(km2·a). Sloping cropland erosion control remains a primary issue for Hainan Island in the future.

Evaluating territorial management of integrated development region (RIDE-DF) and its effect on land use land cover transformation

ABSTRACT In Brazil, the decentralized federative structure of the State, consisting of four autonomous political levels – Union, states, Federal District, and municipalities – alongside its vast territory, necessitates innovative strategies for territorial management. The Integrated Development Region (RIDE) was regulated in 1985, establishing a standardized region composed of municipalities spanning multiple states, prioritizing coordinating federal actions with regional policies. This study aims to assess the impact of Federal District RIDE on land use and land cover changes (LULC) within its territory. As a data source, we utilized MapBiomas collection data for the region. This collection employs multi-temporal (1985–2022) Landsat satellite imagery classifications, ensuring accurate and current information. Additionally, socioeconomic indicators were incorporated to comprehend changes during and post-RIDE-DF implementation. Insights from this study may support decision-making processes concerning land management, urban planning, and conservation endeavors within the region.

Climate change driven by LUCC reduced NPP in the Yellow River Basin, China

Anthropogenic activities and the resulting climate change affect the type, structure, and function of ecosystems. Understanding vegetation dynamics related to anthropogenic activities and climate change is critical to address the terrestrial carbon cycle in the context of global warming. The objective of this study is to quantify the effects of human-induced land use and land cover change (LUCC) and LUCC-induced climate change on terrestrial net primary productivity (NPP) in the Yellow River Basin (YRB) during 2000–2020 using Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and Integrated Biosphere Simulator (IBIS) model through different experimental scenarios. Results indicated that LUCC can cause an increase in NPP of 1.2 ± 0.67 gC m−2 yr−1 in YRB. The increased precipitation and decreased temperature due to LUCC showed weak negative effect on annual mean NPP in YRB (−0.2 ± 0.74 gC m−2 yr−1). The coupling of LUCC and LUCC-induced climate change increased annual mean NPP approximately 0.6 ± 0.86 gC m−2 yr−1. The impacts of LUCC and LUCC-induced climate change and their coupling effects on NPP were greatest in spring, increasing NPP by 5.1 ± 0.51, 3.4 ± 0.41, and 6.1 ± 0.79 gC m−2 yr−1, respectively. These findings provide important guidance for the sustainable and adaptive management of terrestrial ecosystems in river basin in the context of global change.

Evolution Process and Land Use/Land Cover Response of Urban–Rural Space in Wuhan under Polycentric Structure

Polycentric development facilitates urban–rural spatial reshaping and land use/land cover (LULC) protection. Previous studies have predominantly focused on urban areas, with spatial delineation methods biased towards the macro-level, lacking a holistic perspective that situates them within the urban–rural spatial framework. This study proposes a spatial delineation framework that is applicable to the polycentric structure, taking into account the social, economic, and natural characteristics of urbanization. It employs semivariance analysis and spatial continuous wavelet transform (SCWT) to analyze the effects of polycentric development on the urban–rural space of Wuhan from 2012 to 2021 and applies a land use transition matrix, landscape indices, and bivariate spatial autocorrelation to quantify the responses and differences of LULC within urban–rural space. The results indicate that 600m×600m is the best scale for exhibiting the multidimensional characterization of urbanization. The polycentric structure alleviates the compact development of the central city, and it drives rapid expansion at the urban–rural fringe, exacerbating the spatial heterogeneity in LULC change pattern, spatial configuration, and urbanization response within urban–rural spaces. The overall effects of urbanization on LULC are relatively weak along the urban–rural gradient, experiencing a transition from positive to negative and back to positive. This study employs a novel spatial delineation framework to depict the polycentric transformation of metropolitan areas and provides valuable insights for regional planning and ecological conservation in the urban–rural fringe.

Spatially explicit simulation and forecasting of urban growth using weights of evidence based cellular automata model in a millennium city of India

The present study focuses on quantifying and simulating the future urban growth based on the land use/land cover (LULC) data created from the Landsat images of the year 1999, 2011, and 2022. These LULC maps help in analysing the expansion of urban areas over the years and forecast their potential growth in the future. The spatio-temporal processes of urban growth are quantified, and future patterns are simulated and forecasted using Weights of Evidence based Cellular Automata model built in Dinamica EGO (Environment for Geoprocessing Objects) platform. The process of urban growth was manifested through prominent contributing factors of infill expansion namely, distance to built-up areas, distance to main roads, population density, and public services etc. The model's performance was evaluated using Kappa statistics and the percentage of correct prediction (PCP) based two-way comparison method. For this purpose, the simulated map was first compared with the observed information of year 2022 using Kappa indices followed by the PCP value (90.40%) exhibiting high predictive ability of the model. These findings corroborate that the model can forecast the future urban growth scenarios effectively with reasonable accuracy. Based on the outcomes, the forecasting of future urban growth scenarios for years 2033 and 2044 was accomplished. Analysis of the LULC changes displays that urban land use will experience the highest increase. Growth in the study area is predicted to increase by 23.5% and 26.7% in year 2033 and 2044 respectively where new urban settlements can appear. The results demonstrated that an integrated geospatial model provides essential information about the pattern, simulation, and prediction of urban growth associated with various driving variables.

Assessing sediment dynamics and retention services in the vulnerable mountain ecosystem of the Indian Himalayas.

Sediment loss and export pose significant global environmental issues, profoundly affecting water quality, soil fertility, and ecosystem stability, particularly in vulnerable mountain ecosystems like the Indian Himalayas. The present study used remote sensing data and the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) sediment delivery ratio (SDR) model to analyze spatial-temporal variations in soil loss (SL), sediment export (SE), and sediment retention (SR) capabilities in the South Shimla watershed, Himachal Pradesh, India, from 1993 to 2023. The findings showed significant changes in land use and land cover (LULC): evergreen forest and scrub land decreased sharply by 11.53% and 36.43%, respectively, while agricultural areas and built-up areas increased notably by 71.16% and 215.76%, respectively. Despite a decline of 19.18% in SL and 24.43% in SE, sediment loss and export varied across the study area, highlighting the heterogeneous nature of sediment dynamics. The overall retention capacity increased by 2.59%, with scrub forests playing a critical role in SR, while built-up areas showed the lowest retention. Northern and central sub-watersheds (SWs) experienced a significant decrease in retention capacity (from - 1.92 to - 11.6%), whereas those in the southern and eastern regions saw an increase in SR (from 3.69 to 28.24%). These results underscore the complex interactions between LULC changes, sediment dynamics, and retention services, highlighting the importance of preserving natural ecosystems and informing policy for landscape-based conservation and development planning in the vulnerable Himalayan region.

Panzara River Watershed Prioritization Based on Geomorphometric and LULC Change Analysis using Geo-Spatial Techniques

Human activities can significantly influence the quality of water flowing from a watershed, either positively or negatively. As water moves through the system, these impacts accumulate, with all land-based activities having the potential to affect the water quality and quantity experienced by downstream stakeholders. Similarly, the actions of upstream landowners impact the water that flows across others' properties. Geospatial techniques like remote sensing and geographic information systems (GIS) are invaluable tools for analysing drainage patterns within a watershed and the associated changes in land use and cover. This study focuses on the Panzara river basin, a principal tributary of the larger Tapi river basin, situated in central India between the westward-flowing Godavari and Narmada river systems, which both ultimately discharge into the Arabian Sea. The study area spans latitudes from 20°42'0" N to 21°18'0" N and longitudes from 74°06'0" E to 75°00'0" E, covering a geographical area of 2,986.05 square kilometers with a perimeter of 570.51 kilometers. The watershed delineation was carried out using Shuttle Radar Terrain Mapper (SRTM) data with a 30-meter resolution. For land use and land cover (LULC) analysis, Landsat 5 TM C2L1 and Landsat 8 OLI/TIRS C2L1 datasets, both with 30-meter resolution, were utilized. The present study conducts a morphometric analysis and assesses LULC changes within the Panzara river basin between 2000 and 2021. Morphometric parameters such as linear parameters [Drainage density (Dd), Stream frequency (Fs), Mean bifurcation ratio (Rbm), Drainage texture ratio (Dt), Length of overland flow (Lo)] and areal parameters [Elongation ratio (Re), Circulatory ratio (Cr), Form factor (Rf), Compactness coefficient (Cc)] were used to prioritize sub-watersheds. Furthermore, the study classifies the observed LULC changes between satellite imagery datasets from 2000 and 2021, quantifying the percentage changes in the respective LULC classes across the sub-watersheds over the two decades. The overall accuracy of the LULC classification was 81.82% for 2000 and 88.88% for 2021, with Kappa coefficients of 0.772 and 0.85, respectively. In terms of prioritizing sub-watersheds, common sub- watersheds such as SW-1, SW-10, and SW-15 were classified under moderate priority, while SW-5, SW-8, and SW-14 were classified under the lowest priority. The results of this study, particularly the prioritization of sub-watersheds, can be instrumental for hydraulic engineers in planning and managing water resources in the Panzara river basin.

Predicting Prayagraj's Urbanization Trajectory using CA-ANN Modelling: Population Pressures and Land Use Dynamics

Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) dynamics provide a crucial role in the monitoring, planning, and management of resources. They also offer valuable information for developing strategies to balance conservation efforts, resolve conflicts between different land uses, and address pressures from growth. The present study focuses on the assessment of LULC dynamics, their forecasting, and their changes for Prayagraj city (including its surroundings) of India. Using long-term spatiotemporal Landsat datasets (1988–2018), we have explored the interlinkages between the change dynamics and human population pressure to explore the impact of agriculture and urbanization on the city landscape. Future growth prediction is carried out by incorporating Cellular Automaton (CA) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. Six exploratory layers (viz., roads, educational institutes, railway transition, slope, river, and restricted area) are used in the learning process to determine LULC change (1997–2008) simulation. The validation of real and predicted LULC is carried out for 2018, where the correctness percentage and kappa value are found to be 90.29% and 0.87, respectively. Then, the ANN- Multilayer perceptron (MLP) and CA model are applied to predict LULC–2028 using the same trained transition probabilities. Results show that Built-land has grown highly by 10.03%, whereas Agriculture land and Forest land have significantly decreased by 13.43% and 3.03%, respectively, from 1988 to 2018. The predicted LULC of 2028 reveals that Built-land will keep growing by 2.83% during 2018–2028 at the cost of Agriculture land and Forest land, especially in northern, south–western and southern region, including city's inner sphere. United Nations' human population projection reveals that the city is expected to reach a population of 1.625 million by 2028. This indicates that tremendous pressure will be placed on land resources, particularly on agricultural, barren, and forested areas. To address this alarming scenario, it is imperative to delineate future development areas, ensuring better urban planning for the environmental sustainability and economic prosperity of Prayagraj city.

Shoreline and land use–land cover changes along the 2004-tsunami-affected South Andaman coast: understanding changing hazard susceptibility

Abstract. The 2004 tsunami affected the South Andaman coast, causing it to experience dynamic changes in the coastal geomorphology and making the region vulnerable. We focus on pre-and post-tsunami shoreline and land use–land cover changes from 2004, 2005, and 2022 to analyze the dynamic change in hazard. We used General Bathymetric Chart of the Ocean (GEBCO) data to calculate run-up [m], arrival times [min], and inundation [m] at a few locations using three tsunamigenic earthquake source parameters, namely the 2004 Sumatra, 1941 North Andaman, and 1881 Car Nicobar earthquakes. The Digital Shoreline Analysis System is used for the shoreline change estimates. Landsat data are used to calculate shoreline and land use–land cover (LULC) change in five classes, namely built-up areas, forests, inundation areas, croplands, and water bodies during the above period. We examine the correlation between the LULC changes and the dynamic change in shoreline due to population flux, infrastructural growth, and gross state domestic product growth. The Indian industry estimates the Andaman and Nicobar Islands losses exceeded INR 10 billion during 2004, which would today see a 5-fold increase in economic loss due to a doubling of built-up area, a 3-fold increase in tourist inflow, and population density growth. The unsustainable decline in the forest cover, mangroves, and cropland would affect sustainability during a disaster despite coastal safety measures.

Evolution and Analysis of Water Yield under the Change of Land Use and Climate Change Based on the PLUS-InVEST Model: A Case Study of the Yellow River Basin in Henan Province

Understanding the interrelationships between land use, climate change, and regional water yield is critical for effective water resource management and ecosystem protection. However, comprehensive insights into how water yield evolves under different land use scenarios and climate change remain elusive. This study employs the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) models, Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS) model, and Geodetector within a unified framework to evaluate the dynamics of land use, water yield, and their relationships with various factors (meteorological, social, economic, etc.). To forecast the land use/cover change (LUCC) pattern of the Yellow River Basin by 2030, three scenarios were considered: economic development priority (Scenario 1), ecological development priority (Scenario 2), and cropland development priority (Scenario 3). Climate change scenarios were constructed using CMIP6 data, representing low-stress (SSP119), medium-stress (SSP245), and high-stress (SSP585) conditions. The results show the following: (1) from 2000 to 2020, cropland was predominant in the Yellow River Basin, Henan Province, with significant land conversion to impervious land (construction land) and forest land; (2) water yield changes during this period were primarily influenced by meteorological factors, with land use changes having negligible impact; (3) by 2030, the water yield of Scenario 1 is highest among different land use scenarios, marginally surpassing Scenario 2 by 1.60 × 108 m3; (4) climate scenarios reveal significant disparities, with SSP126 yielding 54.95 × 108 m3 higher water yield than SSP245, driven predominantly by precipitation; (5) Geodetector analysis identifies precipitation as the most influential single factor, with significant interactions among meteorological and socio-economic factors. These findings offer valuable insights for policymakers and researchers in formulating land use and water resource management strategies.

Quantitative prediction of water quality in Dongjiang Lake watershed based on LUCC

Land Use/ Cover Change (LUCC) plays a crucial role in influencing hydrological processes, nutrient cycling, and sediment transport in watersheds, ultimately impacting water quality on both spatial and temporal scales. Accurately predicting changes in watershed water quality is beneficial for the sustainable management of water resources. Current models often lack the ability to effectively predict water quality changes in a dynamic spatio-temporal context, particularly in complex watershed environments. The overall purpose of the study is to establish a comprehensive and dynamic modeling framework that links LUCC with water quality, allowing for accurate predictions of future water quality under varying land use scenarios. The model, which uses water quality as the dependent variable and LUCC as the independent variable, was developed to quantitatively predict changes in watershed water quality. To achieve this, annual multi-period remote sensing images from Landsat-5, Landsat-8 or Sentinel-2 satellites spanning from 1992 to 2022 were analyzed. Random Forest (achieving a Kappa coefficient of 0.9468) were employed to classify land use within the watershed. Based on classification results, a Cellular Automata-Markov chain model (CA-Markov) was constructed to simulate and predict the spatio-temporal patterns of land use, incorporating driving factors such as proximity to water systems, roads, elevation, and slope. Validation of the model using LUCC data from 2020 yielded a high prediction accuracy with a Kappa coefficient of 0.9505. The CA-Markov model was further utilized to project LUCC under three different scenarios—natural development, ecological protection, and arable land protection—between 2023 and 2033. Based on these projections, the coupled water quality and LUCC model was employed to predict water quality changes in the watershed over the same period. Key findings indicate that water quality is likely to improve under ecological protection scenario, while deterioration is expected under natural development scenario and cropland protection scenario due to urban expansion, agricultural practices, and water diversion for irrigation. This study provides a robust framework for watershed management, offering scientific guidance for source management and water purification efforts, thereby contributing significantly to the sustainable development of water resources.

Natural Water Sources and Small-Scale Non-Artisanal Andesite Mining: Scenario Analysis of Post-Mining Land Interventions Using System Dynamics

Small-scale open-pit, non-artisanal mining of low-value ores is an understudied practice despite its widespread occurrence and potential impact on freshwater resources due to mining-induced land-use/cover changes (LUCCs). This research investigates the long-term impacts of andesite mining in Pasuruan, Indonesia, on the Umbulan Spring’s water discharge within its watershed. System Dynamics (SD) modeling captures the systemic and systematic impact of mining-induced LUCCs on discharge volumes and groundwater recharge. Agricultural and reservoir-based land reclamation scenarios then reveal post-mining temporal dynamics. The no-mining scenario sees the spring’s discharge consistently decrease until an inflection point in 2032. With mining expansion, reductions accelerate by ~1.44 million tons over two decades, or 65.31 thousand tons annually. LUCCs also decrease groundwater recharge by ~2.48 million tons via increased surface runoff. Proposed post-mining land interventions over reclaimed mining areas influence water volumes differently. Reservoirs on reclaimed land lead to ~822.14 million extra tons of discharge, 2.75 times higher than the agricultural scenario. Moreover, reservoirs can restore original recharge levels by 2039, while agriculture only reduces the mining impact by 28.64% on average. These findings reveal that small-scale non-artisanal andesite mining can disrupt regional hydrology despite modest operating scales. Thus, evidence-based guidelines are needed for permitting such mines based on environmental risk and site water budgets. Policy options include discharge or aquifer recharge caps tailored to small-scale andesite mines. The varied outputs of rehabilitation scenarios also highlight evaluating combined land and water management interventions. With agriculture alone proving insufficient, optimized mixes of revegetation and water harvesting require further exploration.

Geo-environmental monitoring of coastal and land resources for Coatzacoalcos coastal region

Coatzacoalcos is one of the notable Mexico coastal areas regarding location, activities, and resources. The purpose of the current study is to use geographic techniques to assess the spatial and temporal changes in Land Use/Cover (LULC), Land Surface Temperature (LST), and Shoreline as a result of anthropogenic and natural factors. Four calibrated multi-temporal Landsat images, dated 1993, 2003, 2013, and 2023, were combined and processed to accomplish this goal. The six primary LULC classes forest, built-up land, mining, water bodies, and agriculture were mapped using RF Machine learning algorithms. The last period (2003–2023) shows the highest rate of built-up land expansion, while the years 1993–2013 show the lowest rate of agricultural land reduction. Forest cover in the southeast decreased steadily from 339.25, 308.49, 287.43, and 211.83 km2 in 1993, 2003, 2013, and 2023. There is a slight difference in mean LST between built-up areas that recorded 26, 29, 32, and 33 °C in 1993, 2003, 2013, and 2023, respectively. The following is an order of LULC from lowest to highest LST during 2023 water body 12 °C, Forest 19 °C, Agriculture Land 22 °C, Mining 26 °C, Barren Land 34 °C and Built-up Land 33 °C. In Zone B near Coatzacoalcos showed particularly high accretion as a result of building artificial structures. Maximum rates of accretion and erosion were recorded at 2.0 m/year and −9.63 m/year, respectively. Fortunately, Zone C has minimal urban development and is home to forests and agricultural areas, so the potential negative effects are reduced. This study aids in understanding spatial and temporal LULC changes, LST variations, and shoreline dynamics, crucial for the sustainable management of Coatzacoalcos coastal resources in Mexico.

Climate and land use/land cover changes increasing habitat overlap among endangered crested ibis and sympatric egret/heron species

Climate and land use/land cover (LULC) changes have far-reaching effects on various biological processes in wildlife, particularly interspecific interactions. Unfortunately, interspecific interactions are often overlooked when assessing the impacts of environmental changes on endangered species. In this study, we examined niche similarities and habitat overlaps between wild Crested Ibis and sympatric Egret and Heron species (EHs) in Shaanxi, China, using Ecological niche models (ENMs). We aimed to forecast potential alterations in habitat overlaps due to climate and LULC changes. The results showed that although EHs possess a broader niche breadth compared to the Crested Ibis, they still share certain niche similarities, as indicated by Schoener’s D and Hellinger’s I values exceeding 0.5, respectively. Notably, despite varying degrees of habitat reduction, the shared habitat area of all six species expands with the changes in climate and LULC. We suggest that with the climate and LULC changes, the habitats of sympatric EHs are likely to suffer varying degrees of destruction, forcing them to seek refuge and migrate to the remaining wild Ibis habitat. This is primarily due to the effective conservation efforts in the Crested Ibis habitat in Yangxian County and neighboring areas. Consequently, due to the niche similarity, they will share and compete for limited habitat resources, including food and space. Therefore, we recommend that conservation efforts extend beyond protecting the Crested Ibis habitat. It is crucial to control human activities that contribute to LULC changes to safeguard the habitats of both Crested Ibis and other sympatric birds.

Land-Based Carbon Effects and Human Well-Being Nexus

In light of international climate agreements and the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), there is a growing need to enhance the understanding of the linkages among land use/cover change (LUCC) and its carbon effects (CEs), as well as human well-being (HW). While existing studies have primarily focused on the impacts of LUCC on CEs or ecosystem services, there remains a gap in systematically elucidating the complex relationships among LUCC, CEs, and HW. This paper presents a comprehensive review of the nexus between land-based CEs and HW, examining: (1) the correlation between LUCC and CEs, encompassing methodologies for investigating LUCC CEs; (2) the association between CEs and HW, introducing the concept of “low-carbon human well-being” and evaluation framework; and (3) the proposed framework of “LUCC-CEs-HW,” which delves into the intricate connections among three elements. The study identifies research gaps and outlines potential future directions, including assessments of LUCC CEs and low-carbon HW, exploration of the “LUCC-CEs-HW” nexus, and the development of standardized measurement approaches. Key opportunities for further investigation include establishing a unified evaluation index system and developing scalable methods. This paper elucidates the relationships among LUCC, CEs, and HW, offering insights for future works.

The urban air quality nexus: Assessing the interplay of land cover change and air pollution in emerging South Asian cities

Air quality degradation presents a significant public health challenge, particularly in rapidly urbanizing regions where changes in land use/land cover (LULC) can dramatically influence pollution levels. This study investigates the association between LULC changes and air pollution (AP) in the five fastest-growing cities of Bangladesh from 1998 to 2021. Leveraging satellite data from Landsat and Sentinel-5P, the analysis reveals a substantial increase in urban areas and sparse vegetation, with declines in dense vegetation and water bodies over this period. Urban expansion was most pronounced in Sylhet (22–254%), while Khulna experienced the largest increase in sparse vegetation (2–124%). Dense vegetation loss was highest in Dhaka (20–77%) and water bodies (9–59%) over this period. Concentrations of six major air pollutants (APTs) - aerosol index, CO, HCHO, NO2, O3, and SO2 - were quantified, showing alarmingly high levels in densely populated industrial and commercial zones. Pearson's correlation indicates strong positive associations between APTs and urban land indices (R > 0.8), while negative correlations exist with vegetation indices. Geographically weighted regression modeling identifies city centers with dense urban built-up as pollution hotspots, where APTs exhibited stronger impacts on land cover changes (R2 > 0.8) compared to other land classes. The highest daily emissions were observed for O3 (1031 tons) and CO (356 tons) at Chittagong in 2021. In contrast, areas with substantial green cover displayed weaker pollutant-land cover associations. These findings underscore how unplanned urbanization drives AP by replacing natural land cover with emission sources, providing crucial insights to guide sustainable urban planning strategies integrating pollution mitigation and environmental resilience.

Mega project impact on urban growth and ecosystem service

In an effort to forecast and estimate the value of ecosystem services (ESVs) and land use and land cover changes (LULC), recent global events and research have centered on the evaluation of LULC. This study evaluates the effectiveness of an integrated approach using multi-layer perceptron-Markov chain analysis (MLP-MCA) and remote sensing data for monitoring land use and land cover (LULC) changes. The study area comprises the three Bangladeshi upazilas that the Padma Bridge connects: Shariatpur, Louhajang, and Janjira. The Ecosystem Services Valuation Database (ESVD) was used to evaluate the impacts of changes in land use and land cover (LULC) on Ecosystem Service Values (ESVs). The LULC of the study area was estimated for the years 2000, 2010, and 2020, and the forecast period for urban development was 2030 and 2040. Additionally, the monetary value of ecosystem services was evaluated across the time. As per the LULC change analysis, there is a projected 4.35% growth in the built-up area from 2000 to 2020. After the bridge is constructed, the built-up area is projected to increase by 7% in 2030 and 14% in 2040, according to the forecast. The exponential expansion of developed land has a paradoxical effect on the value of ecosystem services. From 2020 to 2040, it is expected that the ESVs for provision, regulation, culture, and support will experience a reduction of approximately 213.24 million USD/ha. Even if the establishment of a bridge results in economic stability and investment attraction for the nation, unforeseen ecosystem service losses cannot contribute to long-term, sustainable development. This study, by establishing a correlation between urban area expansion and the deterioration of ecosystem services, can serve as a standard and basis for guiding management decisions.