International Migration Flows Research Articles

Application of decision tree model for prediction of immigration policy in different countries of the world

In the past few decades, the ever-increasing dynamics of international migration flows can be observed. At this stage, the governments of major countries in the world are striving to balance the needs of their citizens and the support of immigrants. The paper analyzes factors that affect the immigration policies of various countries and determines the role of ecological factors (such as environmental conditions). The objective of the study is to predict the immigration policies of different countries of the world based on the analysis of the influencing factors, including environmental performance. The research method is based on the use of the RapidMiner software package to build two decision tree models and a static index database of more than 150 countries around the world. The results show that in most cases, the immigration policies of various countries will focus on maintaining the current level of immigration and increasing the number of skilled workers. At the same time, one of the key decision-making factors will be the country’s current immigration level, environmental performance, GDP per capita, and the Education index. One of the main conclusions is that the country’s environmental indicators have begun to become one of the priority values that determine the state immigration policy. This can be explained by the rising global community interest in the challenges of climate change.

Pull factors for migration: The impact of migrant integration policies

AbstractThis paper investigates the impact of migrant integration policies set by destination countries on migration from 202 origins to 27 destinations during the period 2010–2018. Employing a structural gravity methodology which features international and domestic (i.e., intra‐national) migration flows, it shows that migrant integration policies, on average, positively affect cross‐border migration relative to domestic migration. Moving from the 25th percentile to the median of the variable summarizing migrant integration policies increases cross‐border relative to domestic migration by one third. Such impact is largely driven by policies on family reunion and permanent residence.

The Life Satisfaction of Immigrants in Canada: Does Time Since Arrival Matter more than Income?

The subjective life satisfaction of individuals reveals valuable information about the overall well-being of a society. Furthermore, large international migration flows have led to the importance of studying the life satisfaction of immigrants within host countries, including Canada. This study uses secondary data from the 2013 Canadian General Social Survey, Cycle 27, to assess the life satisfaction of immigrants in Canada compared to Canadian-born individuals, and to determine the overall impact of immigrants’ year of arrival. Using bivariate and multivariate statistical models, the results reveal that the life satisfaction of immigrants does not significantly differ from the Canadian-born population, and that year of arrival has no significant effect. Income, however, seems to be a more important determinant of immigrants’ life satisfaction in Canada.

Trends in Internal Migration in The Republic of Belarus

The article presents the main trends of internal irrevocable migration in the Republic of Belarus. The normative legal acts regulating the studied problems are considered, in particular, information is provided on the approval of the project “Village of the Future”; a development plan for regions lagging behind in socio-economic development; measures to promote the development of entrepreneurial activity in rural areas. The assessment of the existing internal migration flows in the Republic of Belarus over the past twenty years has been carried out by studying and analyzing official statistical data posted on the website of the National Statistical Committee of the Republic of Belarus. The intensity coefficient of intra-republican migration is calculated, which allows determining the dynamics of the migration movement, regardless of changes in the population. In order to identify the position of a particular region and the city of Minsk relative to the country as a whole, calculations of the migration attractiveness index were carried out. The population movements between territorial units and in the directions (“city – city”, “city – village”, “village – city”, “village – village”) are analyzed. It is concluded that in the study period, migration flows from city to city prevail, and the outflow of population from village to city continues, but since 2016, the intensity of urban growth at the expense of the rural population has decreased, which is a new trend. Migration relations between the regions of the Republic of Belarus have been studied and analyzed, illustrations have been developed that clearly reflect the population flows within the country. Based on the analysis, the conclusion is formulated that internal migration in the Republic of Belarus has a centripetal character, since the main share of migration flows falls on the metropolitan-central region. It is revealed that this direction of internal migration flows correlates with the index of migration attractiveness (hereinafter-IMP). It is established that the population growth of the city of Minsk and the Minsk region occurs at the expense of all regions (Brest, Vitebsk, Gomel, Grodno,Mogilev); in turn, the city of Minsk is also replenished at the expense of the population that originally arrived in the Minsk region. The author has recorded another trend – the migration increase to the capital has decreased over the past five years. Based on the results of the study, the author came to the conclusion that further work is needed to expand and consolidate the set of measures aimed at improving the socio-economic living conditions in the regions and rural areas.

The ethnic composition and population dynamics of local communities in Australia

AbstractSuperdiversity has become a popular concept to describe the cumulative impact of successive waves of migration in high immigration nations. How superdiversity impacts on local communities is less well understood. In this study, detailed ethnicity data are collected and harmonised for local communities from the Australian 2006, 2011 and 2016 Censuses. Local communities are organised into categories using an existing typology. The ethnic, economic and demographic diversity of communities are assessed, and their subsequent population dynamics are analysed. The results indicate that most minority populations in Australia live in highly mixed or majority dominated communities rather than in segmented clusters. Recent immigrants disproportionately arrive in already diverse communities, which, in addition to internal migration flows, are helping to substantially alter the ethnic composition of the local population. Important information is therefore revealed on the patterns and dynamics of local communities that are helping to shift and reproduce their populations.

International youth migration: features, tendencies, regulation prospects


 
 
 The article examines the global and regional issues of international youth migration. The obtained results are most interesting for those regions where the population is shrinking and aging with a rising need to involve youth for educational services and local labor markets, or vice versa, for those losing youth due to their emigration. It is emphasized that youth create an economically active social group, which volume and quality significantly affect the country’s development. During the global migration trends identification, the authors identified the international youth migration flows’ differences and features. The paper notes that the global trends in the international youth migration development include: increase in volume and percentage of youth in the overall number of migrants and the local population; growth of youth migrants in more developed regions and high-income countries; the dominance of migratory centers for youth in Oceania, North America, and Europe; formation of powerful centers of migration of intellectual young labor resources in the UAE, Canada, the USA, Australia, and New Zealand. The available formational policy in youth migration regulation, on the example of India, China, Taiwan, Japan, USA, and Western Europe, is studied. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on international migration flows is considered, including changes in international migration in 2020. Based on the UN data analysis on age groups of migrants within geographical regions, it was determined that the prerequisite for such a structure of migration centers is a high level of migratory attractiveness. Such migration-center structure is also explained by the significant level of cross-regional migration, as in the localized regions, their factors of «attraction-repulsion» are formed. It is stressed out that increas- ing military and political instability has led to the uphill of forced youth migrants. The paper proposes the flow optimization directions of international youth migration by formulating the link between migration policy and elements of other integration policies on migrant youth (employment policy, social, educational, information and security policies).
 
 

Network Analysis of Internal Migration in Austria

Human migration, and urbanization as its direct consequence, are among the crucial topics in regional and national governance. People’s migration and mobility flows make a network structure, with large cities acting as hubs and smaller settlements as spokes. The essential method by which these phenomena can be analyzed comprehensively is network analysis. With this study, we first contribute to capacity building regarding the analysis of internal (national) migration data by providing a set of network indicators, models, and visualizations tested and argued for in terms of applicability and interpretability for analyzing migration. Second, we contribute to the understanding of the shape and scale of the phenomenon of internal migration, particularly toward urbanization and mobility flows between human settlements (i.e., cities, towns, and villages). Third, we demonstrate the utility of our approach on the example of internal migration flows in Austria on the settlement level and provide a longitudinal analysis for the period from 2002 to 2018. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time that the key traits of a network of internal migration are identified for a European country, which, when accompanied by additional country analyses, has the potential to reveal the migration patterns in the region and beyond.

Güneydoğu Asya’nın sefalet mahalleleri: Manila örneği, Filipinler

Manila is a former colonial capital where people live together by working in informal trading businesses within a quite unfavourable ambience. Manila, which is the focus of the country's political, economic, and cultural life, has recently grown spatially and demographically, especially with new migrations from different parts of the country. The lands in Manila, which were once vacant, are today largely filled with different urban areas. At the beginning they were slums which were used for housing and informal commerce. These areas, classified as unfavourable and unhealthy for human settlement, emerged with the support of certain political and economic forces using administrative gaps. The government of the Philippines is also incapable of dealing with uncontrollable urban problems. This paper focuses on slums in Manila, which are in one of the main metropolises of Southeast Asia. Its purpose is therefore to reveal the occurrence of slum districts and the dynamics that were effective in their recent demolition. During the study, an ethnographic method which was predominantly based on observation was used. Primary data collection tools used for the purposes of this study were participant observation, ethnographic interviews and documents. In the light of the data obtained from this research study, the fact that there is a significant relationship between migration from the countryside to Manila and internal migration flows resulting from urban transformation projects and the rapid demographic and spatial growth of Manila was revealed. It also revealed that the demand of the society for luxurious residential areas, shopping malls, entertainment venues, hotels, and business centres has increased since the 2000s and this situation caused the removal of slums in Manila as part of "urban transformation projects”.

Superdiversity: New paths for social sciences in the upcoming future

Contemporary society has been characterized by its social complexity, which was boosted thanks to international migration flows, among other factors. This phenomenon brought us ‘superdiversity’ as a concept, which has been very well received by many social scientists, as well as criticized by others due to its similarities with previous notions such as diversity, multiculturalism, interculturalism or even intersectionality. However, this concept, with all the semantic breadth and defining ramifications that characterize it, has opened an interpretive door, and made possible an analytical framework that differs from the rest. As a result, we find superdiversity as a guiding research concept throughout all social sciences areas assuming a whole variety of approaches, without necessarily considering international migrations as a background variable. This monograph reflects this reality and is presented as a hybridization of more orthodox positions with other more flexible and interpretive ones.

Population Aging and Migration

International migration flows largely reflect demographic patterns and economic opportunities. Migration flows increase in expected income and other pull factors in potential destinations, and in push factors in the origin, like high unemployment, low wages, and high population growth. Migration flows decrease in the geographic and cultural distance between the potential origin and destination, and in other migration costs. To the extent that migrants are employed, immigration can alleviate challenges arising from population aging. For origin countries, the effects of migration may go either way, depending on whether increased incentives to invest in education are sufficient to compensate the loss of skilled workers. Throughout the 20th century, Northern America and Australia and New Zealand attracted highest immigration flows. Latin America was consistently a continent of emigration. Europe went through a major reversal from a continent of emigration until 1950s to a continent of immigration. In the 21st century, crucial questions for demographic and migration research are how fertility rate and emigration rate are going to develop in Africa. Even modest increases in emigration from Africa would generate major increases in immigration pressure in the rest of the world, mostly in Europe. Other major questions on the future research agenda are the effects of the climate change and rapid improvements in information technology.

El Contexto Escolar y la Salud Mental de Adolescentes Migrantes y no Migrantes en la Ciudad de Barcelona

The continuous international migration flow invites us to reinvent ourselves to create inclusive societies at intercultural level. Coexistence, as a model based on the mutual integration of locals and migrants, is still a challenge to face in Europe and Spain. This study aims to identify which mental health and resilience variables influence school integration used as a proxy for psychosocial well-being by comparing a sample of migrant and local adolescents. Through a quantitative methodology, school factors, disruptive behaviors, and resilience were measured in 132 students aged between 12 and 18 years old. The results reveal that although mental health scores are similar in both groups, mental health and contextual resilience are more critical for the migrant adolescent population than for the local one. Clearly identifying the relationships between school related factors and mental health offers the possibility of designing effective interventions within the educational context.

THE WELL‐BEING OF NATIONS: ESTIMATING WELFARE FROM INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION

AbstractThe limitations of GDP as a measure of welfare are well known. We propose a new method of estimating the well‐being of nations. Using gross bilateral international migration flows and a discrete choice model in which everyone in the world chooses a country in which to live, we estimate each country's overall quality of life. Our estimates, by relying on revealed preference, complement previous estimates of well‐being that consider only income or a small number of factors, or rely on structural assumptions about how these factors contribute to well‐being.

Social Cohesion and Transforming Cities: The Housing Experience of Displaced People in Turkey

Karma nitelikli uluslararası göç ile hareket eden kişilerin kentsel alanlarda yaşamayı tercih etmesi, barınma deneyimleri açısından kentlerde farklı sorunların ortaya çıkmasına neden olmaktadır. 2011 yılından itibaren yoğun bir şekilde Suriye’den zorunlu göçle Türkiye’ye gelen kişilerin kentlerdeki varlığı, bu kişilerin barınma deneyimlerinin Türkiye özelinde incelenmesi gerekliliğini belirginleştirmiştir. Özellikle bu deneyimlerinin toplumsal bütünleşme ve sosyal uyum süreçlerine etkisine ilişkin çalışma ve uygulamaların bilimsel olarak değerlendirilmesinin önemi giderek artmıştır. Bu öneme karşın, Türkiye’de bu konuya ilişkin çalışmaların sayısı oldukça azdır. Bu çalışma, Türkiye’ye zorunlu göçle gelenlerin barınma deneyimleri ile toplumsal bütünleşme ve sosyal uyum süreçleri arasındaki ilişkiyi inceleyerek, bilimsel çalışmalardaki söz konusu eksikliği gidermeyi amaçlamaktadır. Bu amaçla, ilgili ulusal ve uluslararası yazın incelenerek birey merkezli bakış açısıyla konutun, toplumsal bütünleşme ve sosyal uyum bağlamında anlamı ve etkisi, özgün bir biçimde fiziksel, sosyo-psikolojik ve mekânsal boyut olmak üzere üç boyutla sınıflandırılmıştır. Türkiye’deki zorunlu göçle gelenlerin barınma deneyimini anlayabilmek ve açıklayabilmek için mekânsal ve sosyopsikolojik boyutlara ilişkin çalışmaların artması gerektiği tespit edilmiştir.

REGIONAL SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS FUNCTIONING MAIN INDICATORS ASSESSMENT IN THE ASPECT OF TERRITORY DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES ELABORATION

Ukraine’s administrative-territorial structure reform, which is currently in the active phase of implementation, aims to ensure the decentralization of authority and resources in order to provide local governments with more opportunities in ensuring and improving the level of socio-economic development. But the country’s socio-economic development sustainable level is ensured, first of all, due to the evenly and sustainable development of its regions. The presence of significant disparities in regional development causes an increase in internal migration flows between the territories, contributing to the further deepening of existing problems. In this context, it is important to make programs for regional economic systems strategic development, based on comparative analysis, which will identify key issues of the region not only in comparison with the values of the studied indicators in retrospect, but also in the context of indicators of similar territories. The purpose of the study is to carry out a comparative analysis of the main indicators of the Ukraine’s regional socio-economic systems functioning. In the article carried out the comparative analysis of the main indicators of Ukraine’s regional development and identified the main trends and factors of their dynamics. Substantiated the need for comparative analysis of regional development indicators to identify existing reserves for their improvement and possible ways to use them in the strategic aspect, based on the leading experience of regional socio-economic systems.

Migration Between Indian Reserves and Off-Reserve Areas: an Exploratory Analysis Using Census Data Linkage

New data linkages between censuses show that migration flows between Indian reserves and off-reserve areas from 2006 to 2011 and from 2011 to 2016 resulted in negative net migration for Indian reserves, meaning that—overall—more people left Indian reserves than entered them. These results differ from the portrait shown by the retrospective information from the 2011 and 2016 censuses, which indicates positive net migration for Indian reserves. A comparison of the information in the two sources revealed two types of inconsistencies that contributed to the observed differences: (1) inconsistencies in migrant status, and (2) inconsistencies in the origin location of migrants, i.e., the retrospective information about a migrant’s place of residence 5 years earlier does not match the place where the migrant was enumerated in the previous census. Results from this paper suggest that there are limitations to using retrospective information on the place of residence 5 years prior to a census to derive estimates of internal migration flows for small geographic areas, such as Indian reserves. New data linkages are a source of information that can be used to validate and improve these estimates, as well as to derive alternative estimates. However, data linkages also have limitations and require careful preparation before use, particularly when it comes to calculating weights to accurately account for unlinked records.

Global dynamics of international migration systems across South\u2013South, North\u2013North, and North\u2013South flows, 1990\u20132015

Evidence from 184 countries over the span of 25 years is gathered and analyzed to understand North–North, South–South, and North–South international migration flows. Conceptually, the analysis borrows from network theory and Migration Systems Theory (MST) to develop a model to characterize the structure and evolution of international migration flows. Methodologically, the Stochastic Actor-oriented Model of network dynamics is used to jointly model the three types of flows under analysis. Results show that endogenous network effects at the monadic, dyadic, and triadic levels of analysis are relevant to understand the emergence and evolution of migration flows. The findings also show that a core set of non-network covariates, suggested by MST as key drivers of migration flows, does not always explain migration dynamics in the systems under analysis in a consistent fashion; thus, suggesting the existence of important levels of heterogeneity inherent to these three types of flows. Finally, evidence related to the role of political instability and countries’ care deficits is also discussed as part of the analysis. Overall, the results highlight the importance of analyzing flows across the globe beyond typically studied migratory corridors (e.g., North–South flows) or regions (e.g., Europe).

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the regional structure of international migration flows

Introduction. International migration is a global process that has affected the populations of all countries and continents. Today, there is a new additional barrier for the world economy and for migrants – the COVID-19 pandemic, which has dramatically affected all forms of human mobility. The pandemic is the crisis of today and is the main problem of international migrants in combination with its consequences: threat to human life, global economic decline, declining migration flows, the crisis of medicine; and governments face additional challenges: finding solutions to compensate economic recession. In addition, international migration processes during the COVID-19 crisis are characterized by the following features: weak demand for labor, declining employment; strict travel restrictions; declining income. In addition to migrant-workers, other categories of international migrants, such as refugees and asylum seekers face problems. Wars, cataclysms, natural disasters and other catastrophes happen, but due to the pandemic, the recipient countries have stopped accepting migrants. This situation creates an economic threat to both migrant donor countries and migrant recipient countries and changes the regional structure of migration flows. Methods. The methodological basis of the study is a set of fundamental provisions of crisis theory, international migration theory, the world systems theory of migration, as well as modern concepts of post pandemic development. The solution of the set tasks was carried out by using a set of general scientific research methods: analysis of scientific literature, method of analogy and comparison, theoretical synthesis, classification, methodological generalization, economic and statistical analysis: correlation-regression analysis and the corresponding regression model, cluster analysis; expert assessments and scientific abstraction.The purpose of research – is to analyze the COVID-19 impact assessment on the recipients of international migration flows and define the impact of the pandemic on the regional structure of international migration flows.Results. The research proved that the consequence of the pandemic is a large-scale and radical blow to the global economy. In research defined the Corona Crisis concept in the theory of world crises. In research discover the COVID-19 impact assessment on the recipients of international migration flows. The research result suggests that the volume of international migration flows has a significant impact on the economy of the host country, but other factors influencing the change in GDP should be taken into account, that is fully explained by preventive measures against the COVID-19 pandemic and recipient country. In research defined the impact of the pandemic on the regional structure of international migration flows. Cluster analysis of the world regions classification by the volume of international migrants and the trend of their growth during the pandemic showed such results: clusters are distinguished by common features – the number of international migrants in the region in 2020 and trends of growth/decline of their volumes, which occurred during 2019-2020.Prospects. The results of the research discover the COVID-19 impact assessment on the recipients of international migration flows and define the impact of the pandemic on the regional structure of international migration flows. The prospect of further research is to apply the impact of the pandemic on the regional structure of international migration flows for the development of domestic migration policy.

Spatial mobility in later twentieth-century Britain

ABSTRACT What difference did increasing spatial mobility make to British society between the 1950s and the 1980s? This article represents an historical response to the challenge of the ‘mobilities turn’ in the social sciences. It brings together the study of migration, personal mobility and transport to reflect on the ‘high-speed mobile society’ emerging in parts of Britain by the 1960s. The article analyses the very different forms of mobility evident in the period: flows of international and internal migration, patterns of residential mobility and commuting, the relationship between spatial and social mobility. It charts the changes to urban form stemming from mass automobility and the emergence by the 1970s of immobility as a focus of policy concern, located above all in the ‘inner city’. Integrating an awareness of movement (and, as its obverse, fixity) into contemporary British history, the article suggests, has the potential to throw new light on the categories of class, race and gender and debates about ‘affluence’, individualism and inequality which have characterised recent historiography.

Intercepted journeys: Associations between migration and mobility experiences and depressive symptoms among substance using migrants at the Mexico-Guatemala border

ABSTRACT Substance use and depressive psychiatric symptoms have been associated with migration and mobility. The Mexico-Guatemala border is a key transit point for internal, regional, and international migration flows. However, there is limited knowledge of the role of substance use, migration, and mobility on mental health among migrants at this border. Our paper explores the association of migration and mobility patterns with possible major depressive symptoms among migrants at this key geographic region. We recruited 392 substance-using migrants using modified time-location sampling. Crude and adjusted logistic regression models were developed. We found that 12% of the sample had possible major depressive symptoms. After adjusting for relevant covariates, including gender, income, and perceived homelessness, we found that recent rural-urban and short-term migrants had higher odds of possible major depressive symptoms, whereas international migrants had lower odds. Findings of this paper suggest that although migrants experience hardship and uncertainty, they may respond with complex and nuanced forms of coping and planning.

The Use of Scenario Planning for Exploring the Future of Migration: Insights from an Expert Survey

Scenario planning has been gaining popularity during the last decade as a tool for exploring how international migration flows might change under unknown future circumstances. This approach consists in identifying for an outcome of interest the most impactful yet uncertain drivers of change, to then develop narratives that describe how change in these drivers may impact the outcome of interest. When applied to the problem of international migration, however, scenario planning suffers from limitations that reduce the insights that can be derived from such exercises. In this article, we first highlight these limitations by reviewing existing applications of scenario planning to the problem of migration. Then, we propose a new approach that consists in specifying different pathways of change in a set of six predefined drivers, to then ask experts how each of these pathways might impact both migration flows and the other five drivers. We apply our approach to the case of migration pressure and demand from less developed countries to Europe to the horizon 2050. Results from our expert survey underscore the importance of a wider array of drivers for the future of migration than has so far been considered in previous applications of scenario planning. They further suggest that drivers do not change independently from each other, but that specific changes in some drivers are likely to go hand in hand with specific change in other drivers. Lastly, we find that changes in similar drivers could have different effects in sending and receiving countries. We finish by discussing how enhanced, quantified scenarios of migration between less developed countries and Europe can be formulated based on our results.