Application of decision tree model for prediction of immigration policy in different countries of the world

Viktoriia Apalkova,Nadiia Tsyganova,Serhii Apalkov,Sergiy Tsyganov,Nataliia Meshko

doi:10.21511/ppm.19(3).2021.42

Abstract

In the past few decades, the ever-increasing dynamics of international migration flows can be observed. At this stage, the governments of major countries in the world are striving to balance the needs of their citizens and the support of immigrants. The paper analyzes factors that affect the immigration policies of various countries and determines the role of ecological factors (such as environmental conditions). The objective of the study is to predict the immigration policies of different countries of the world based on the analysis of the influencing factors, including environmental performance. The research method is based on the use of the RapidMiner software package to build two decision tree models and a static index database of more than 150 countries around the world. The results show that in most cases, the immigration policies of various countries will focus on maintaining the current level of immigration and increasing the number of skilled workers. At the same time, one of the key decision-making factors will be the country’s current immigration level, environmental performance, GDP per capita, and the Education index. One of the main conclusions is that the country’s environmental indicators have begun to become one of the priority values that determine the state immigration policy. This can be explained by the rising global community interest in the challenges of climate change.

Highlights

At the current stage of increased interaction of national economies, the proliferation of globalization and the tendency for management of international migration flows play an increasing role in public policy
The results show that in most cases, the immigration policies of various countries will focus on maintaining the current level of immigration and increasing the number of skilled workers
Immigration policy on highly cases, the critical value belongs to the level of the environmental performance of the country

Summary

INTRODUCTION

At the current stage of increased interaction of national economies, the proliferation of globalization and the tendency for management of international migration flows play an increasing role in public policy. Counted for it meets socially identifia- The main internal conflict is associated with the ble standards This kind of migration may turn fact that attracting immigrants for the development into long-term or permanent migration and af- of local production leads to a load on infrastructure fect the economic performance of the recipient and accelerates the processes of climate change, as country. The growing importance of migration processes remains unclear to this day The reason for this is leads to the study of migration policy by re- the rapid development of the world that includes searchers, primarily economists, from developed strengthening the social approach of the world countries where immigration flows cause many economy, democratization of labor relations, intercontroversial issues (France, Germany, USA, UK, nationalization of labor reproduction requirements, Canada, etc.).

Highlights of relevant recent

METHOD

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CONCLUSION