Images Of The Future Research Articles

Hope in the Age of Dystopia: The Ghost in the Machine in Øyvind Rimbereid's Solaris korrigert

Hope in the Age of Dystopia: The Ghost in the Machine in Øyvind Rimbereid's <i>Solaris korrigert</i>

Civil activity of generations in modern Russian society

The article presents the results of a sociological study of the manifestations of social activity of representatives of various age groups (young, mature, old age) of citizens of the Russian Federation. The relevance of the study is caused by the need to assess the scale and specifics of intergenerational contradictions and gaps in modern Russian society. These contradictions are due to disproportions in the demographic structure of the population and the financial situation of generations. Intergenerational gaps are manifested primarily in differences in value systems, vision of the image of the future, mastery of digital skills, as well as in the practices of forms of activity and motivations for civil participation.&#x0D; The study is based on the theory of generations. The network approach was chosen as the methodological basis. The method of collecting empirical data was an online survey of Russian citizens aged 15 years and older (N = 1600), the formation of a sample population was subject to representation by age, gender and area of residence. The study compared the civil activity of generations by the level of social interaction, readiness for joint actions and the intensity of civil actions. There were revealed differences in the problem field and motives for civil participation of generations. The study shows the preferred forms of civic engagement of generations in offline and online spaces. The revealed ratio of forms of civil activity is compared with the data of the survey of the social and political activity of Russians VCIOM-Sputnik. The vision by different age groups of key ways for the development of civil engagement is also indicated.&#x0D; The article partly explains generational gaps by age differences in the choice of informational channels and the level of digital skills. If previouly in offline civil engagement, a higher level of participation corresponded to an increase in the age of citizens, then in the digital environment, the younger generation shows a greater readiness for civil action. Based on the analysis, the author comes to the conclusion about the low potential of civil engagement, that is due to the frustration of Russians' social relations during periods of socialisation of generations. The author believes that there is a weak social interaction and a high level of disunity between citizens in Russian society. The younger generation, despite the high declared civil activity, unlike the older generations, is not disposed to make significant efforts in social activity and shows a penchant for collectivist forms of participation. With a weak potential for activity, the development of Russian civil society can be facilitated by the assistance of state institutions that harmonise relations between generations.

Images of the future for a circular economy: The case of Finland

A transition from a linear to a circular economy (CE) is one of the key solutions to the sustainability crisis. A CE requires new mental models and insights, especially of a desirable future towards which to move. A CE aims at making better use of resources and jointly considers economic, environmental and social sustainability aspects in the long run. The objective of this study is to develop alternative images of the future for CE in Finland in 2050. The study was performed using qualitative research methods and covers extensive data from 61 interviews with experts. We analysed the data using qualitative content analysis. Four alternative images of the future were generated: A circular success story, A circle of disaster, Local circles, and Structural, regulated circularity. This study contributes to the CE literature by using a futures studies approach and describing alternative futures for a CE through images of the future. By creating alternative futures, one can better reflect on and discuss future possibilities. Our images of the future provide insights to achieve a CE both in Finland and globally.

Methods of group dynamics as the instrument of the stuff potential development in libraries

The purpose of the article is to present the first results of application of group dynamics methods in the Irkutsk regional library network as a tool for developing libraries personnel potential. In September 2021, a group of specialists of the Irkutsk Regional State Library – representatives of the administration, the scientificmethodological department, the department of cultural programs and the user service department – united into a core group, which started working on methods of group dynamics. The group identified a range of problems of libraries in the Irkutsk region, set goals and tasks for the development of the regional library and the library network of the Irkutsk region, formulated the mission of its activities, created the image of the future of the regional library network, and developed a roadmap for achieving this image of the future. The group expects to work for three years. Having mastered the methods of group dynamics in the ontological school version of “T-System” company and developed shared goals, values and rules, the group members define their functional areas and then form the «group of groups»: specialists from the Irkutsk Regional State Library or from the network of regional libraries and together continue the transformation of the library network. The first results of the group work have been obtained: methods of group dynamics allows to settle to solve complex collective tasks, to create projects of higher quality and degree of elaboration, to hold high-quality operational meetings with a large number of discussed issues. The work on implementing methods of group dynamics into the library network of the Irkutsk region as the instrument of developing the library stuff potential will be continued.

Prognostic competence as a criterion for the mental health of primary schoolchildren with psychological development disorders

IntroductionYounger schoolchildren with psychological development disorders have low cognitive activity, insufficient development of basic school skills, and a low level of educational motivation. In accordance with the requirements of the educational program for students with psychological development disorders, it is important to develop the ability to predict the results of their actions.ObjectivesThe study of predictive competence in primary schoolchildren with psychological development disorders.MethodsThe study involved 60 children aged 8-10 years with a psychological development disorder. To study predictive competence, the methodology “The ability to predict in situations of potential or real violation of social norms” was used.ResultsThe study revealed a low level of the cognitive and speech-communicative spheres of prognostic competence development in primary schoolchildren with psychological development disorders, as well as a deficit in prediction in the field of learning, which includes educational cooperation and educational communication of the child. Generalized statements, a passive position in future situations and pessimistic attitudes prevailed in the predictions of schoolchildren when constructing an image of the future. For schoolchildren with psychological development disorders, the prognosis is presented by monosyllabic answers, with the observable poverty of speech utterances.ConclusionsThe features of prognostic competence revealed in the study make it possible to develop individual programs for the development of the prognostic abilities of schoolchildren with psychological development disorders. This paper has been supported by the Kazan Federal University Strategic Academic Leadership Program.DisclosureNo significant relationships.

Prognostic competence as a criterion for the mental health of primary schoolchildren with psychological development disorders

IntroductionYounger schoolchildren with psychological development disorders have low cognitive activity, insufficient development of basic school skills, and a low level of educational motivation. In accordance with the requirements of the educational program for students it is important to develop the ability to predict the results of their actions and deeds.ObjectivesThe study of predictive competence in primary schoolchildren with psychological development disorders.MethodsThe study involved 60 children aged 8-10 years with a psychological development disorder. To study predictive competence, the methodology “The ability to predict in situations of potential or real violation of social norms” was used.ResultsThe study revealed a low level of the cognitive and speech-communicative spheres of prognostic competence development in primary schoolchildren with psychological development disorders, as well as a deficit in prediction in the field of learning, which includes educational cooperation and educational communication of the child. Generalized statements, a passive position in future situations and pessimistic attitudes prevailed in the predictions of schoolchildren when constructing an image of the future. For schoolchildren the prognosis is presented by monosyllabic answers, with the observable poverty of speech utterances.ConclusionsThe features of prognostic competence revealed in the study make it possible to develop individual programs for the development of the prognostic abilities of schoolchildren with psychological development disorders, to teach how to predict the development of events in educational activities, to recognize the emotions of the participants in the events. This paper has been supported by the Kazan Federal University Strategic Academic Leadership Program.DisclosureNo significant relationships.

Векторы развития электоральных установок российской молодежи: результаты когнитивной инструментальной диагностики

The article presents the results of an applied study of the electoral attitudes of Russian youth using a new methodology for the social sciences, based on the principles of cognitive instrumental diagnostics. Resulting in the experiment, which includes the implementation of sand play modeling and the method of metaphorical associative cards, key guidelines for youth in the context of the development of the political and party system were identified according to a game scenario. Based on the results of the experiment, the authors conclude that there are strong paternalistic trends in the development of youth electoral attitudes and orientation towards the social functions of the state. At the same time, there are a number of contradictions that reinforce the uncertainty in the process of forming the single image of the future of Russian youth.

Theoretical and methodological approaches to the study of the image of the future

Theoretical and methodological approaches to the study of the image of the future

Palestine +100: Stories from a century after the Nakba Edited by BasmaGhalayini. Manchester, U.K: Comma Press, 2019.

Palestine +100: Stories from a century after the Nakba Edited by BasmaGhalayini. Manchester, U.K: Comma Press, 2019.

Where East Meets West: On Some Locations of America

The paper offers a reading of the westward movement of the American frontier as a passage to an imaginary land in which the actual topographical displacement is accompanied by various, sometimes contradictory, images of the future. The settlers envisioned various Americas, the visions coming from their own experiences as well as from the stereotypically European projection of America as a paradise and as an object of possession. Such, sometimes contradictory, visions are noticeable in attempts at conceptualizing the frontier and its significance not only (explicitly) by Turner, but also less directly by such writers and thinkers as Thoreau, Whitman, or Bourne. Their Americas are in fact imaginary constructs reworking the encounter of East and West, frequently mixing not only discovery with invention, but also relocating, like Whitman in “Passage to India,” two of the cardinal directions of the world and thus, as it were, “transnationalizing” America.

Анализ повесток дня СМИ и молодежных групп политических партий в социальных сетях

Currently, the general tone among young people is set by the generation of millennials, who, due to objective conditions of formation, historical events (the ubiquity of the Internet, the dominance of social networks, socialization in new socio-political realities) differ from previous generations, who, in particular, have not yet parted ways with the Soviet heritage. This generation has a different way of life and a different worldview and, accordingly, a much different vision of the image of the future of the country. What future will the younger generation choose? What are their value orientations? What does the youth agenda look like? What are their aspirations? These issues are revealed in the analysis of the activity of users of VKontakte network from the perspective of the agendas broadcast by the Novosti Agency and youth organizations of the main political parties.

Young adults face the future of the United States: Perceptions of its promise, perils, and possibilities

There are a variety of current challenges that will shape our future, such as climate change impacts, socio-economic disparities, the role of technology in society, and changing population dynamics. As ideas about the future influence actions taken today, it is important to study what possible futures young adults anticipate and how they believe those futures could be realized. In 2019, using an in-person paper survey, we asked students (N = 193; ages 18–26) to describe their best, most-likely, and worst possible futures for the United States in either the year 2050 or 2100. Participants were also asked questions to explore what would need to happen to achieve these futures and the actors who have influence in shaping the future. Here we explore their description of these future scenarios and pathways. Our participants’ images of the future are heavily infused with concepts related to environmental sustainability, technology, and social dynamics. Further, participants frequently expressed the belief that governance, technological developments, and individuals were key factors that will determine the contours of the future. The images of the future collected by our work can help to engage productively with young adults in addressing today’s pressing challenges.

Digital Fears Experienced by Young People in the Age of Technoscience

With the advance of technoscience, digital technologies have started to reshape the traditional array of social fears experienced by younger generations by triggering the appearance of new, digital fears. In this article, we undertake a sociological analysis to investigate the concept of digital fears both theoretically and empirically. Our survey conducted among Russian young people aged 18–30 in 2020 (N = 1050, Sverdlovsk region, Russian Federation) showed that fear is a distinctive characteristic of the social well-being of this generation. Moreover, fear tends to become more pronounced both quantitatively (i.e., the frequency of emergence) and qualitatively (i.e. the emergence of new types). The identified digital fears of young people allowed us to draw their typology. Depending on the specifics of digital threat, the following types were distinguished: those associated with impact and control, crime and security, communication and activity, technology and innovation, and social inequality. We show that the expanding range of social fears leads to the formation of catastrophic thinking in young people, thereby affecting the level of social well-being and distorting the image of the future.

Young people\u2019s technological images of the future: implications for science and technology education

Modern technology has had and continues to have various impacts on societies and human life in general. While technology in some ways defines the ‘digital age’ of today, discourses of ‘technological progress’ may dominate discussions of tomorrow. Conceptions of technology and futures seem to be intertwined, as technology has been predicted by experts to lead us anywhere between utopia and extinction within as little as a century. Understandably, hopes and fears regarding technology may also dominate images of the future for our current generation of young people. Meanwhile, global trends in science and technology education have increasingly emphasised goals such as agency, anticipation and active citizenship. As one’s agency is connected to one’s future perceptions, young people’s views of technological change are highly relevant to these educational goals. However, students’ images of technological futures have not yet been used to inform the development of science and technology education. We set out to address this issue by investigating 58 secondary school students’ essays describing a typical day in 2035 or 2040, focusing on technological surroundings. Qualitative content analysis showed that students’ images of the future feature technological changes ranging from improved everyday devices to large-scale technologisation. A variety of effects was attributed to technology, relating to convenience, environment, employment, privacy, general societal progress and more. Technology was discussed both in positive and negative terms, as imagined technological futures were problematised to differing extents. We conclude by discussing the potential implications of the results for the development of future-oriented science and technology education.

Представления молодежи о будущем России: провинциальное измерение

The article is devoted to the analysis of the image of political future of Russia, which is present in the mass consciousness of Russian youth and motivates its political participation. The materials for the analysis were obtained by means of a questionnaire. The main trends that are spread among respondents while constructing the image of the future of Russia indicate that the problem of the future, both their own and their country’s, is relevant for modern youth. The key tendency is characterized by the belief that the democratic process in modern Russia has not exhausted its development potential and democratic politics has a future. Respondents have very different ideas about what the future will be like. Nevertheless, the dominant belief is that it will be associated with the correction of those shortcomings of the current Russian democratic policy that arose in the post-Soviet period due to the discrepancy between the declared liberal norms of political communications of the state with its citizens and the current practices of managing economic and political processes in the country.

Digital didactics: systemic foundations and the image of the future

The article is devoted to the system justification of the e-learning process. The language of cybernetics is used to describe a purposeful process. Using the language of cybernetics allows you to identify all the components of the educational process management system. In the classical case, this is a teacher who has a management goal and achieves this goal. With the advent of computer technology, the process control system becomes more complicated – information and communication technologies are included in it. Based on the cybernetic model of learning as a purposeful process, the evolution of the interaction process in education from classical education in the form of "man-man", then to the form of "man-computer-man" and then to the form of "man-learning environment" is considered. At the same time, the evolution of the didactic content of the educational process is considered. The main conclusions of this study are: the conclusion that there is a fundamental contradiction between the finite possibilities of computer influence as part of the educational process management system and the infinite set of behavioral reactions of the learner. It is shown how this contradiction is resolved at the system level by, on the one hand, simplifying the e-course itself, but at the same time increasing the diversity of the number of courses. It is shown that at this level the development of e-learning and the content of digital didactics can be characterized as "student–teacher - learning algorithm". Further, a forecast is made that an increase in the variety of e-courses will lead to the creation of a personal learning environment, the purpose of which will be marketing: to satisfy the client's training needs as much as possible. It is concluded that digital didactics will be built on the principles of gamification.

Cognitive and Emotional Components of the Image of an Ideal Parliament in the Minds of Russian Citizens

The article discusses to the study of the image of an ideal parliament that has developed in the political consciousness of Russian citizens and includes cognitive, emotional, and dynamic elements. The normative images of political leaders and institutions of power are fundamental for citizens’ choice of an ideological platform for political participation and, ultimately, affect their actual behaviour at the present time. Constructing an image of the future, of which the studied phenomena of mass consciousness are a part, is the most important task of state policy at the present stage in the face of challenges in the domestic political environment, geopolitical risks, and crises. A purposeful, consolidated information policy is required to form a clear image of the future crystallising consistent historical, cultural, political, and ideological constants that have a strong connection with the past and reliance on the present. The revealed contradictions and informational gaps make it possible to give specific recommendations to the state authorities that ensure the retransmission of political and cultural meanings to Russian society.

PSYCHOLOGICAL FEATURES OF THE IMAGE OF THE FUTURE OF MODERN YOUTH IN THE DISCOURSE OF LIVING SELF-REALIZATION

In the context of socio-psychological problems of the person’s way of life, the image of the future of modern young people is revealed. The solution to this problem involves the anticipation and understanding of the youth of their own prospects in the personal and social dimensions of self-realization. The content, structural and dynamic characteristics of the image of the future in modern youth in the context of social changes are characterized. The concept of “image of the future” can act as a separate psychological category in the context of research on the temporal perspective of an individual. The image of the future is a structural element of the psychological time of a person, which is a generalized visualization of the model of its own future, is the result of the anticipation of the future by it (its close, medium and longterm perspective). Its main functions are anticipation of the future, construction of the future; conceptualizing the time perspective of one’s own life; regulation of activities and their hierarchy is axiochronological. The image of the future directly affects the processes of goal-setting and is associated with such entities as dreams, goals and life programs and personal plans. The specificity of the image of the future at a young age lies in the fact that: • the reflexive level of personality and regular planning of events allow to describe in enough detail their imaginary future, as well as effectively operate with a time perspective; • the speed of time is not sufficiently understood: the time margin for the implementation of all desires and plans seems great; • the problem of the image of the future in adolescence is its emotional coloring. The lack of realization of one’s potential, self-doubt leads to doubts and negative emotional color of the image of the future (fear of the future, pessimism, etc.). In the context of the life journey of experiencing the future as a problem, individuals need first and foremost for development: a person should always have some degree of doubt about the possibility of realizing significant events in the future. We believe that this experience performs an active-adaptive function. However, if the experience of the future as a problem goes beyond the norm, then the young men need help, since a high degree of experience of the future as a problem negatively affects the life self-determination of young people. These issues require the use of psycho-consultation and psycho-correction efforts in order to optimize the confident perception by modern young people of their future and their successful self-realization.

ГОРОДСКАЯ ИДЕНТИЧНОСТЬ И ОБРАЗ БУДУЩЕГО В ДВУХ ГОРОДАХ: ФАКТОР ПОКОЛЕНИЯ

The article is devoted to the analysis of urban identity and image of the future in four generations of residents of two cities – Moscow and the subpolar monotown of Surgut. It is assumed that the image of the future and urban identity are indicators of the social well-being of representatives of different generations, their expectations, and fears. The study was conducted through an online survey, N=644. Residents of Moscow were 358 people, and residents of Surgut – were 285 people. The samples are divided into subgroups by generations: Baby Boomers, X, Y, and Z. Methods were used: “Scale of Identification with the City” (Lalli M.), the author’s modification of the “Semantic Differential” methodology, which includes 8 scales aimed at studying attitudes towards the future cities, associative technique. The results of the study showed that the Baby Boomer generation of both cities associates their future with the town to the greatest extent, and representatives of generation Z of both cities identify themselves with the city of residence less than other generations and less often than other generations associate their future with it. The high level of urban identity in Moscow, which citizens perceive (according to SD) in positive categories, also includes a positive perception of their future in the city (predictable, bright, hopeful, meaningful, eventful). The overall indicator of urban identity among the residents of Surgut is significantly lower. In the Surgut sample, negatively colored emotional categories are most closely associated with the category that reflects the lifestyle of city dwellers in the future (“Poor events”). However, despite the fundamental differences in living conditions in the two cities under consideration, the elements of the image of an ideal city turn out to be similar. Among Surgut residents, significant (in comparison with the expectations of Muscovites) were wishes related to environmental opportunities for children and youth, as well as requirements for comfort. Socio-psychological explanations are put forward for generational differences in the level of urban identity and the nature of the image of the future of the city, and prospects for further research are outlined.

Концепт "Будущее России" в сознании молодежи в условиях неопределенности (на материале результатов массового опроса)

The article is dedicated to the psychological and linguistic analysis of the implementation of the concept “Future of Russia”. The material is the data of a mass survey of 1780 students of secondary vocational schools. The features of the linguistic verbalization of the concept were identified out on the material of the reactions received to the open question “Russia of the future in 5 years …”. In the study, a modeling method was used, which consists in describing the structure of the concept in the form of cognitive features that differ in frequency and reflect the features of the perception of the concept. The content analysis of the verbal reactions of the respondent was also used; the answers were categorized according to semantic similarity. The study contains an account of the emotional component of the image of the future of Russia. The answers of the subjects to the question “When I think about the future, I feel ...” were analyzed. Correlation analysis, frequency analysis (categories) and contingency analysis (categories) were used to identify the features of the relationship between anxiety and characteristics of the image of the future. The analysis showed that the key representatives of the concept “Future of Russia” are the lexemes future, Russia and its synonyms: country, power, state, empire. The most common word is the word country – the answers mentioned it 180 times. Most of the received replies represent the future of Russia, but do not nominate it. The frequency analysis showed that most of the participants (75%) are optimistic about the future of the country; 48% of the answers about the possible future were abstract and generalized. A positive assessment of the future of the country is most often expressed in the choice of adjectives – definitions for the core representatives of the concept, as well as through the use of complex adjectives, forms of degrees of comparison and comparative constructions, adjectives with the prefix non, etc. Despite the fact that young people are optimistic about the future of the country, the categorical structure of the emotional image of the future showed that the construction of the future is associated with negative experiences of the events taking place in the country. The distribution of the respondents’ answers to an open question (1786 answers) “When I think about the future, I feel ...” is as follows: 41% of the answers are not informative; among the rest, 49.6% experience positive emotions (curiosity, interest, anticipation, joy, happiness, delight, calmness, excitement) and 50.4% negative ones (apathy, sadness, sadness, fear, melancholy, anxiety).