Expanded Polystyrene (EPS) used in External Thermal Insulation Composite Systems (ETICS) is mainly disposed of in waste incineration plants. However, alternative recycling options need to be identified as capacities for this waste treatment are limited and the amount of EPS-based ETICS waste is expected to increase. Herein, it is necessary to quantify the future waste masses with regard to regional distribution as EPS-based ETICS waste is generated decentrally. Furthermore, consistent information on alternative treatment options for EPS-based ETICS waste is lacking.First, we estimate the amount of upcoming EPS waste from ETICS in Germany with a high spatial resolution. Second, we evaluate state-of-the-art waste management options regarding economic, legal and environmental aspects. We find that waste masses will increase from 3 to 33 kt (2020-2040) with large spatial deviations. We conclude that solvent-based recycling seems promising, but more sophisticated analyses are required, i.e. planning of the future waste treatment infrastructures.
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