Foresight Technology Research Articles

The post-non-classical university’s identity: an axiological aspect

Introduction. The relevance of the university’s role reconsideration is a consequence of the classical university foundations “ruinization” in the contemporary functioning conditions, characterized as highly dynamic, fluid and complex. The identity of the post-non-classical university is not perceived as something integral or self-evident, it is represented the essence of multifaceted identity, lying in the opposition of the idea of university modeling to the destructive postmodern conditions in which the contemporary university transforms. The aim of the study is to conceptualize the post-non-classical university’s image in its axiological foundations Research methods. To reach the aim of the study, the authors applied a methodology comprising philosophically and culturologically determined methods of qualitative analysis to explore issues in the relevant knowledge domains and the direct praxeological aspect of visible manifestations of the modern university’s identity. In their argumentation, the authors rely on philosophical and cultural comparative analysis, use the techniques of systemic functional and axiological approaches, the method of conceptualizing the university’s image. Research results. The article considers the transition from the classical to the non-classical and post-non-classical model of the university. The reflexive (convergent) consciousness is regarded as an essential condition the identity of contemporary university constructing crisis overcoming, and the glocalization argued as the strategy of the university as a sociocultural institute. The post-non-classical university multifaceted identity integrates cultural, behavioral and representational aspects, remaining in its globalized structure the regional particularities. The graduate, possessing the possibility of self-image constructing to achieve integrity and additivity, becomes the axiological foundation of the post-non-classical identity. Conclusion. The study has shown that the contemporary university independently determines the reflexive modernization of the axiological foundations of self-identity. It does not react to external circumstances and challenges, but rather absorbs external conditions and circumstances, and actively transforms and pragmatically uses them for its own advancement. The post-non-classical identity of the university, on the one hand, is a product of postmodernity. On the other hand, its contemporary reflexive modeling overcomes the deconstructing and ruining foundations of postmodernity, and can be considered as a foresight technology

Применение форсайт-технологии в профориентационной работе с воспитанниками довузовских образовательных организаций Министерства обороны Российской Федерации

<p style="text-align: justify;"><span lang="EN-US">The article presents the results of a case study on the use of innovative tools when conducting career guidance work with students of pre-university educational organizations of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation. The specifics of these organizations leave their mark on the forms and methods of career guidance work with students and require the search and implementation of new, effective forms of work. The study involved 161 students in grades 10-11 of the Moscow Suvorov Military School, 50% of whom were additionally given a cycle of classes throughout the year based on the foresight session method. To assess the impact of foresight technology on the quality of career guidance work, the questionnaires «Military Professional Motivation» (B.V. Ovchinnikov, A.F. Borovikov) and «Readiness for Military Professional Activity», developed at the Moscow Suvorov Military School, were used. The results obtained confirmed the effectiveness of using foresight technology in working with students to develop military-professional motivation.</span></p>

The learning process on utilization foresight technology of patent information: Sorghum plant from bioethanol

The learning process through forecasting patent information based on technology can provide the direction in which technology is needed, especially supporting developments into the future. Technology mapping through patent information in the market becomes leverage development of products. Foresight technology in a patent is a tool to predict advanced technology that brings a competitive product to the market needs. This paper discusses patent information that becomes useful for developing technology through emerging market segmentation through a portfolio, innovation, and emerging market based on the WIPO database. This paper used a qualitative method with descriptive analysis and study literature using Innography software to see related information utilization of bioethanol from sorghum plants. This paper aims to obtain information technology from the patent analysis in bioethanol from sorghum plants to develop foresight products. The results show 310 patents registered in WIPO fields from 2006 – 2021 with dominant IP Class dominate from sectors C and A, also economic value range held by the Republic of Korea. Foresight technology through patent analysis provides information for industry and stakeholders who need the impact of the implementation of the latest technology and the appropriate level of competition in the commercialization of bioethanol products from sorghum plants.

ESTABLISHMENT OF TRANSPORT LOGISTICS HUB

The transport and logistics hub section of the Uzbek Foresight Technology Programme and the study compiled in accordance with the relevant legal document of the government summarizes the main purpose, tasks, and results of the research conducted on the future analysis of transport.It describes the characteristics and methodology of the Uzbek Foresight Technology Programme, based on scenario building, professional workshops, and a large-scale Delphi survey, and evaluates in detail the specific research methods and results of the Transport and Logistics hub panel. The research outputs so far are panel guidelines, panel images, and Delphi statements on transport and logistics. Further tasks include creating a scenario based on the panel images, holding professional meetings to discuss future development paths, and writing a panel report summarizing the results and making recommendations for transport policy.

Integration of Effectiveness and Efficiency Indicators of State Support for Projects and Programmes for the Development of Higher Education in Russia

To achieve the set goal, the study employs expert-analytical methods of retrospective, deterministic, and factor analysis, as well as the tools of foresight technology, allowing the assessment of the impact of the system of factors on the effectiveness indicators of state financial support for universities. The key result of the study is a conceptual model for assessing the effectiveness and efficiency of state support for university development projects and programs, which is based on foresight methodology and establishes the interrelation between the system of factors and the indicators of efficiency and effectiveness of state funding for Russian universities. The proposed model not only offers a quality expert-analytical foundation for important financial decisions on state support for university development programs and academic excellence projects, but also encourages educational organizations to develop strategic development programs and roadmaps for their effective implementation.

Обучение предпринимательству с использованием технологии форсайт-сессии

The article substantiates the development of a program for conducting a foresight session as part of entrepreneurship education. Based on the identification of entrepreneurship learning technologies, a description of the foresight session technology is given. The article describes the methodology for using the foresight session technology in the field of entrepreneurial education. Particular attention is paid to the rationale for using the foresight session technology within the presented ecosystem of entrepreneurial education. Based on the study of the possibilities of using foresight technology within the ecosystem of entrepreneurial education, a description is given of the case of advanced training of teachers specializing in teaching entrepreneurship, which serves as the basis for introducing such technologies into the practice of educational organizations. The article focuses on increasing the level of professional competence of students as a result of the use of foresight session technology in the educational process.

Interaction of subjects of the educational Process with the help of a Foresight Project

The article explores the possibilities of foresight technology as a pedagogical tool for predicting the future, competence in the structure of educational experience and assumes that it can be used to create new means of supporting learning technologies and their promotion in the educational process. This is one of the interactive forms of training for specialists of the preschool education system, which allows you to spread innovative pedagogical experience in working with preschool children in relevant areas. The purpose of the work is to study the foresight project method for the possibility of its application by participants of the educational process in preschool educational organizations, since preschool age is the initial stage of a child's awareness of their capabilities, laying the foundations of professional self-determination in the future, acquiring skills in the correlation of society's demands and their own abilities. In the course of the research, a questionnaire was created in five main areas to assess the implementation by heads of children's educational organizations of the use of the foresight project method in their teaching activities. The distinctive features of foresight design, the main problems and relevance of the application of this method by educational organizations are highlighted. Based on the data obtained, methodological recommendations for the use of the foresight project technology in the work on the interaction of subjects of the educational process have been developed. It is proved that the competent application of the foresight method in working with pupils of preschool educational organizations in combination with other modern technologies improves the education process, introduces preschoolers to the world of professions and helps to get the first skills of work.

THEORY AND PRACTICE OF THE APPLICATION OF FORESIGHT TECHNOLOGY IN THE SYSTEM OF LANGUAGE EDUCATION

The article is devoted to the description of the theory and practice of using foresight technology in teaching foreign languages in the educational process of universities, which contributes to the development of predictive competencies, the development of critical and logical thinking, and the improvement of all types of students' speech activity. The history of the emergence and development of Foresight technology, its difference from traditional teaching methods is considered, the definitions of Foresight technology proposed by specialists and scientists are analyzed. Examples of the use of Foresight technology methods in teaching foreign languages, such as "Delphi" and "SWOT-analysis" are given.

ИНСТРУМЕНТЫ ФОРМИРОВАНИЯ МЯГКИХ НАВЫКОВ В ИНОЯЗЫЧНОМ ОБРАЗОВАНИИ

The article is devoted to the problem of the formation of soft skills in the process of teaching a foreign language. Modern workers are characterized by greater autonomy in decision-making, as well as fewer repetitive tasks and the need to work with people at all levels of labor organization. Such changes require an additional new set of skills for the members of the organization. As a result of the alignment of the traditional organizational hierarchy, employees at all levels must now possess “soft” skills. Today, the problem of the formation of soft skills remains relevant due to the insufficient study of this issue in the pedagogical literature. Soft skills are not a pedagogical problem, but belong to the sphere of interests of psychology. Therefore, the search for methods and technologies for the formation of these skills is still relevant. Soft skills are an important part of the professionalism of a specialist of any profile. The concept of “soft skills” has a broad interpretation, however, both European and Russian researchers of this problem identify a number of common features for all definitions, namely: communication, critical thinking, problem-solving ability, creative thinking, ability to cooperate, time management, ability to work in a team, leadership. Soft skills are a set of supra-professional skills and personality qualities that are in demand in the labor market for the effective implementation of professional competencies.The author of the article describes the ways of their formation: direct and indirect. Analyzing his own pedagogical experience, the author offers two tools for the formation of soft skills in the process of teaching a foreign language. A trend session is an effective way of organizing group work aimed at developing such important skills as the ability to communicate, work in a team, and the ability to organize effective cooperation. Foresight technology is aimed at developing the skills of foreseeing the development of the situation, planning and organizing cooperation.

Methodology for using forsight technology in training future ecologists in Uzbekistan

Foresight is one of the most modern technologies of environmental forecasting, and it is a relatively new technology in the conditions of Uzbekistan. In developed countries, eco-foresight is widely used in predicting the consequences of environmental problems and crises, but the theory, practice, and methodology of its use in the educational process have not been fully developed. Foresight studies and projects implemented by the authors in the international education system were analyzed. In the process of training future ecologists, the methodology of using foresight technology in the teaching of specialized subjects has been developed. According to this methodology, the use of the forosite in training sessions is divided into 3 blocks: preparation for training, organization of lectures and practical exercises using the foresite technology, and blocks of independent education. The development of “Eco-foresight competence” in future managers is based on the implementation of training sessions using foresight methods, the author's definition of foresight competence and competence is given

Analysis of foresight competency development model components in future ecologists

The article describes the role of foresight technology in environmental forecasting in the creation of future development strategies, and the analysis of some ecological scientific projects and programs implemented on the basis of foresight. The main components of the model of eco-foresight competence development in future ecologists are based and its evaluation criteria are defined. The results of the experimental tests carried out to determine the level of development of eco-foresight competence are presented, and foresight is used in the competitive and rapidly changing economic conditions of enterprises and companies in the production of clean ecological products and in predicting the future impact of technological processes on the environment, in drawing up long-term strategic plans or road maps, it is based on the fact that it is a highly effective method of ensuring their execution and control.

Интеграция технологии форсайт в образовательный процесс организации общего образования

Интеграция технологии форсайт в образовательный процесс организации общего образования

Using Foresight Technology to Limit the Spread of Sexually Transmitted Infections in the Population

Introduction. Over the past decade there has been a steady increase in the incidence of sexually transmitted infections (STIs), which are one of the main causes of reproductive health problems in the world. In the Russian Federation, as in the rest of the world, this problem is relevant, especially among pregnant women. In addition, the problem of detecting, registering, and recording the prevalence of STIs, as well as involving contact persons in the examination remains a problem in Russia. The purpose of this work was to analyze the possibility of using foresight technology to reduce morbidity and monitor the prevalence of sexually transmitted infections in the population, including by evaluating the available literature. Materials and methods. A retrospective study of medical records of syphilis and gonorrhea morbidity in the Sverdlovsk region over a ten-year period was carried out. Intensity rates of gonorrhea, syphilis and other infections per 100 thousand people were calculated. Student's test was used to compare incidence rates. Results. In order to implement foresight-technology we determined the basic indicators of morbidity indicator: gender, age and social data, belonging to "risk groups", motivational and behavioral features of different groups in the population. The incidence of syphilis and gonorrhea in the Sverdlovsk region over a 10-year period decreased by more than 50% (p < 0.05), the incidence rate of syphilis in the group of pregnant women in 2019 is five times higher than in the entire population of the Sverdlovsk region (p < 0.05). The actual discrepancy between the trend for 2019 and the registered actual incidence in the same year was 1.7-3 times. Discussion. Based on the discrepancy between the actually registered incidence of syphilis and gonococcal infection with the calculated trend for them, the main groups of problems in the organization of the activities of medical institutions were identified. Conclusions. The use of elements of foresight technology to limit the spread of STIs by organizing medical and preventive measures to minimize and prevent infection with these infections, both in specific populations and in the general population, allows for the effectiveness of this work in the practice of the dermatovenerologist.

A Case of Multidisciplinary Approach to Post-Radiotherapy Dilative Cardiomyopathy Undergoing Elective Cesarean Delivery: Anesthetic and Intensive Care Management

Cardiovascular diseases are the most common non-obstetric cause of maternal death. These cases became more common thanks to the improvement in cardiovascular therapies. A multidisciplinary team is necessary to manage these pregnancies. A 32 years old women at the 25th week of gestation for acute heart failure in pre-existing left ventricular dysfunction induced by radio-chemotherapy admitted to the Coronary Unit of IRCCS Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli for worsening of dyspneic symptoms and anuria not responding to diuretic therapy. At the echocardiogram: ejection fraction 30%, enlarged left atrium, systolic pulmonary arterial pressure 38 mmHg, bilateral pleural effusion, bilateral diffused pulmonary B lines. A multidisciplinary team composed by cardiologists, gynecologists, anesthesiologists, cardiac surgeons, neonatologists and bioethicists decided for an elective cesarean delivery at the 27th week of gestation in the hybrid cardio-thoracic operating theater. Anesthesia was provided by combined spinal-epidural technique under invasive continuous hemodynamic monitoring with the Edwards Lifesciences HemoSphere with Hypotension Prediction Index (HPI) and ForeSight technology (Edwards Lifesciences, Irvine, USA) through catheterization of the left radial artery. The femoral arteries were left available for extracorporeal circulation. Continuous norepinephrine infusion was started once liquor was collected in the spinal needle at a 0.1 mcg/kg/minute through a central line and was continued until the end of surgery. Fluid management consisted of a total of 200 ml of crystalloids. HPI values never reached alarm values (maximum value =10). The patient was discharged home on the 5th day after delivery with good hemodynamic compensation. The baby was intubated at birth and then gradually weaned from mechanical ventilation, then discharged.

Functions of a professional brand-building foresight technology in modelling the competitiveness of university graduates in the labour market

Introduction. The emergence of social, political and economic processes in the modern world leads to the development of innovative educational technologies, among which the researchers’ attention is drawn to a professional brand-building foresight technology. The professional brand-building foresight technology is a system of principles, methods and techniques for expert analysis of current achievements of students, young professionals and anyone who seeks self-improvement. Moreover, this training technology includes the development of programmes to optimise the professional and personal self-development of an individual in terms of his/her possible career growth.The aim of the current research was to justify the professional brand-building foresight technology developed by the authors, and to check the effectiveness of its application in the formation of brand-building and foresight competencies in a future specialist in the educational process of higher education.Methodology and research methods. The theoretical and methodological strategy in the study is a competency-based approach, which contributes to the formation of brand-building and foresight competencies. The conceptual provisions of the foresight approach, implemented in a complex of brand-forming tools of a single foresight trajectory in order to model and design a professional brand in relation to the strategic goals of a future specialist, became a practice-oriented research tactic. The authors used the following general scientific and specific scientific methods: questionnaire survey based on random systematic (mechanical) sampling, in-depth interview, expert survey, document analysis, self-assessment of readiness for personal brand-building.Results. The authors presented the professional brand-building foresight technology, the essence of which lies in the design of a professional brand and future career path. Its structure includes four programmes: self-marketing, personal branding, brand-building case and a road map to success. As a result of training, brand-building and foresight competencies are developed. The approbation experiment demonstrated that without special brand-building and foresight training of students, these competencies are formed spontaneously. Based on the results of the conducted surveys, the authors analysed the level of formation of brand-building and foresight competencies and the interest in the technology of personal brand-building as a factor of career self-development. A survey of university graduates revealed the dependence of employment on special teaching methods and the professional brand-building foresight technology. The interviews held with Russian and Latvian teachers determined the effectiveness of this technology. The study of the employers’ opinions showed the reasons that hinder the successful employment of young specialists. In addition, the authors revealed a lack of knowledge and a non-systematic limited nature of teaching these competencies in universities.Scientific novelty lies in the replenishment of interdisciplinary (at the intersection of pedagogy, brand building, forecasting, professional studies) scientific knowledge about foresight methodology. The emphasis is on the innovativeness of the professional brand-building foresight technology, which contributes to the competitiveness of university graduates and increases their chances of professional success.Practical significance. The results of the research can be useful for developing ideas about brand-building and foresight competencies development, personal brand-building, professional brand-building foresighting. The research materials can be employed by students and teachers of higher education institutions, heads of educational systems in the organisation of the educational process, as well as by various specialists and practitioners.

Стратегический анализ и оценка экспортного потенциала продукции регионального АПК на основе использования форсайт-технологий

Abstract. The article substantiates that it is advisable to use foresight technologies as an applied tool for solving problems of forming strategic priorities for the development of the agro-industrial complex. The methodological features of the use of foresight technology in forecasting the production volumes of the agro-industrial complex at the regional level are disclosed. The principal task of the development of the Republic of Bashkortostan is to increase the economic growth rate to a level above the global average, which allows ensuring food independence and increasing the competitiveness of exported agricultural products. The study purpose is the practical application of foresight research in the planning of export of agricultural products of the regional complex for a strategic perspective. In the implementation of the study, the following methods were used: comparative analysis, scenario forecasting and strategic planning, and foresight technologies. The scientific novelty of the research is determined by the formation of a set of methodological and practical recommendations on the use of foresight tools in the implementation of the export potential strategic analysis of the regional agro-industrial complex products. The article presents an assessment of the resource potential of agricultural production under an extensive-intensive development scenario of the Republic of Bashkortostan. Results of the research are as follows: the foresight forecasting algorithm of production volumes of the regional agro-industrial complex, taking into account foreign economic activity development, is formed; the TOP-5 agricultural products exported by the Republic of Bashkortostan are highlighted; the results of forecasting indicators of gross grain harvest in the region for the long term and the projected export volumes of agricultural products in the region are presented. Determination of the resource potential for the production of agricultural products will allow creating an innovative model of economic development of federal subjects for effective foreign economic cooperation. It is summarized, that foresight-forecasting conclusions determine the «mainstream» trends of the regional agro-industrial complex functioning.

Strategic European Integration Scenarios of Ukrainian and Polish Research, Education and Innovation Spaces

A comprehensive study was conducted in the direction of research and institutional support and comparison with the nearest neighbour - Poland, to determine the current state and justify strategic scenarios for Ukraine's integration into the research, educational and innovation spaces of the EU as a source of proactive sustainable innovative development. Analysis of the use of foresight technology to determine the possible future, create the desired image of the future and determine strategies to achieve it using methods developed in various research areas revealed that its application makes sense in determining long-term factors, trends and directions of national economies. That is, in foresighting, in contrast to forecasting, the emphasis is made on qualitative rather than quantitative results, which does not provide the expected targeted policy of the state, because it does not give clear, concrete results of actions - quantitative strategic benchmarks, monitoring which would control the process of these areas' development. The disadvantages of foresighting methods that limit its application are identified. Scientific substantiation of strategic scenarios of European integration of Ukrainian and Polish research, education and innovation spaces is based on the concept of sustainable development, which is grounded on applied systems theory, management theory and economic cybernetics and comprises the stages of identifying and strategizing. Identification is carried out taking into account the definition of the safe existence boundaries and simultaneous norming and integrated convolution of indicators and thresholds of education and innovation. Comparison on one scale of integrated indices of education and innovation makes it possible to carry out the goal-setting stage, identify possible strategic development scenarios and build the desired development trajectories, i.e., to implement the principle of strategizing "the future is determined by the trajectory into future." Thus, knowledge of the desired values of integrated indices in each year makes it possible, through their decomposition by the method of adaptive regulation from the management theory, to justify the values of indicators that provide the desired growth trajectory and achieve certain goals of research, educational and innovative spaces of Ukraine and Poland.

SOCIOCULTURAL TRADITION AND DIGITAL SOCIETY: TWO STRATEGIC LANDMARKS OF THE CHINESE FORESIGHT TECHNOLOGY

The article analyses the features of the formation and strategic guidelines of the Chinese foresight technology, its potential opportunities, the limits of its use in order to build the desired digital future and determine specific steps to achieve it effectively. To this end, the author considers the archetypal traces of the predictive activity of Ancient China, their interaction with modern predictive practice as an integral part of the design of the alleged digital image of the future. The paper determines theoretical and methodological foundations of modern Chinese foresight technology, initial basic methodological principles and technology of prospective step-by-step application of comprehensive foresight, including the method of scenario design. The article pays special attention to the understanding of modern China foresight projects, possibility of their implementation on the national basis and impact of foresight results on the Chinese model of development and change management at the transition stage to digital society.

Prospects for the development of the library of a creative university

The modernization stages of arts academic library as suggested by the authors are highlighted: preliminary analysis of regulatory documents and the resource base of the scientific library of the Kemerovo State Institute of Culture, planning for collections development with for books and information resources, upgrade of library services, planning for modernization and technological deve-lopment, and designing library zones. The authors offer their recommendations on improvement of library information services within the context of distance educa-tion and modernizing the material and technical support of the library based on foresight technology and a sociological survey of students and the faculty. The students’ and faculty’s demands for advanced services and digital services through social media were revealed. The findings of the study support the idea of optimi-zation and modernization of the range of library services. For the students, the library not only provides information support, but also offers its facilities for communication, individual and team work, and relaxation. Within this context, the procurement cost estimates were prepared. The contest of students’ design pro-jects of library space zoning was organized.

ТРАНСПРОФЕССИОНАЛИЗМ КАК ПРЕДИКТОР ПРЕАДАПТАЦИИ СУБЪЕКТА ДЕЯТЕЛЬНОСТИ К ПРОФЕССИОНАЛЬНОМУ БУДУЩЕМУ

The article analyzes the possibilities of transprofessionalism as a factor in the preadaptation of a personality to an uncertain professional future in a post-industrial society. The logical-semantic model of transprofessionalism and a heuristic model of an agent’s preadaptation to uncertain professional future are presented. The foresight technology system was chosen as a methodology for developing transprofessionalism and predicting the social and professional future. It was focused on the formation of readiness for changes and the preadaptation for unpredictable future. The result of this technology is the convergence of a post-industrial society characteristics and semantic qualities of the professional future. The generalization of the research results allowed the authors to justify the possibility of high school training of transprofessionals with meta-professional skills who are ready to meet the challenges of the digital economy. The purpose of the research was to determine effective technologies for the training of innovative specialists (transprofessionals) on the basis of the developed transprofessional models of pre-adaptation to the professional future. The methodological basis of the study was non-classical psychology and a convergent ap-proach. In the scientific substantiation of transprofessionalism as a predictor of preadaptation to the future, the concept of professional development, the multidimensional, transdiscipli-nary, competence and project approaches, as well as the modeling of the predictable future were used. The article presents the logical-semantic and heuristic models of convergence and transprofessionalism development, as well as foresight technologies for preparing agents for an uncertain professional future. The structure of transprofessionalism is revealed through a meaningful analysis and description of its components’ interaction, which include the trans-fessional orientation, as well as the regulatory, vocational and educational, information and communication, operational and technological components. The intercoordinate space in the proposed model forms the psychological potential of the personality, its resource capabilities. Based on the analysis of trends and challenges of the post-industrial society, it was concluded that it is necessary to introduce into the educational process the technology of problem-oriented learning (PBL) and foresight technologies aimed at developing students' readiness for change, proactive goal-setting and self-design in a variable educational space (high humanitarian technologies, minors, design methods involving digital didactic tools, game technologies, discussions and moderation, etc.). Concerning practical significance, the materials of the article can be used for the preparation of transprofessional specialists who are ready for pre-adaptation of an uncertain social and professional future.