Five-year Cumulative Incidence Research Articles

Impact of Clinical and Endoscopic Features on the Development of Metachronous Colorectal Advanced Serrated Lesions

High-risk adenomas predict metachronous advanced adenomatous neoplasia. Limited data exist on predictors of metachronous advanced serrated lesions (mASLs). We analyzed clinical and endoscopic predictors of mASLs. In this retrospective cohort study, adults with >1 outpatient colonoscopy between 2008 and 2019 at a tertiary center were included. Serrated lesions (SLs) included sessile SLs (SSLs), traditional serrated adenomas (TSAs), and hyperplastic polyps (HPs). Patient and endoscopic characteristics were obtained using electronic medical records. Five-year cumulative incidence of mASL (HP ≥10 mm, SSL ≥10 mm or with dysplasia, any TSA) and factors associated with mASL were evaluated using Kaplan-Meier estimates and Cox proportional hazards models. A total of 4990 patients were included and 45.4% were women. Mean age was 60.9 ± 9.2 years and median follow-up time was 3.7 years. Female sex and active smoking were associated with mASL. Endoscopically, any SSL and TSA were associated with mASL. The 5-year cumulative incidence for mASL was 26% (95% confidence interval [CI], 18%-32%) for SSL ≥10 mm, 17% (95% CI, 3.5%-29%) for HP ≥10 mm, 21% (95% CI, 0%-42%) for 3-4 SSLs <10 mm, 18% (95% CI, 0%-38%) for TSA, and 27% (95% CI, 3.6%-45%) for SSL with low-grade dysplasia. Baseline synchronous nonadvanced SL and nonadvanced adenoma were not associated with mASL. Our data support current recommendations for a 3-year surveillance interval in patients with baseline SSL ≥10 mm, SSL with dysplasia, and TSA. A 3-year interval may be more appropriate than 3-5 years for patients with baseline HP ≥10 mm or 3-4 SSLs <10 mm. Patients with synchronous nonadvanced SLs and adenomas do not appear to be at increased risk of mASL.

REducing INFectiOns thRough Cardiac device Envelope: insight from real world data. The REINFORCE project.

Infections resulting from cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) implantation are severely impacting on patients' and on health care systems. The use of TYRXTM absorbable antibiotic-eluting envelope has proven to decrease major CIED infections within 12 months of CIED surgery. The aim is to evaluate the impact of the envelope use on infection-related clinical events in a real-world contemporary patient population. Data on patients undergoing CIED surgery were collected prospectively by participating centers of the One Hospital ClinicalService project. Patients were divided into two groups according to whether TYRXTM absorbable antibiotic-eluting envelope was used or not. Out of 1819 patients, 872 (47.9%) were implanted with an absorbable antibiotic-eluting envelope and included in the Envelope group and 947 (52.1%) patients who did not receive an envelope were included in the Control group. Compared to control, patients in the Envelope group had higher thrombo-embolic or hemorrhagic risk, higher BMI, lower LVEF and more comorbidities. During a mean follow-up of 1.4 years, the incidence of infection-related events was significantly higher in the control compared to the Envelope group (2.4% vs. 0.8%, P = 0.007). The five-year cumulative incidence of infection-related events was 8.1% in the control and 2.1% in the Envelope group (HR: 0.34, 95%CI: 0.14-0.80, P = 0.010). In our analysis, the use of an absorbable antibiotic-eluting envelope in the general CIED population was associated with a lower risk of systemic and pocket infection.

The Judicious Use of Stereotactic Ablative Radiotherapy in the Primary Management of Localized Renal Cell Carcinoma.

Localized renal cell carcinoma is primarily managed surgically, but this disease commonly presents in highly comorbid patients who are poor operative candidates. Less invasive techniques, such as cryoablation and radiofrequency ablation, are effective, but require percutaneous or laparoscopic access, while generally being limited to cT1a tumors without proximity to the renal pelvis or ureter. Active surveillance is another management option for small renal masses, but many patients desire treatment or are poor candidates for active surveillance. For poor surgical candidates, a growing body of evidence supports stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR) as a safe and effective non-invasive treatment modality. For example, a recent multi-institution individual patient data meta-analysis of 190 patients managed with SABR estimated a 5.5% five-year cumulative incidence of local failure with one patient experiencing grade 4 toxicity, and no other grade ≥3 toxic events. Here, we discuss the recent developments in SABR for the management of localized renal cell carcinoma, highlighting key concepts of appropriate patient selection, treatment design, treatment delivery, and response assessment.

Diabetic foot disease and the risk of major clinical outcomes

AimsData on the long-term consequences of diabetic foot disease (DFD) are scarce. We examined the association between DFD and major clinical outcomes in patients with diabetes in the general population. MethodsWe conducted a prospective cohort analysis of 1,428 participants with diabetes in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. DFD and four clinical outcomes (nontraumatic lower-extremity amputation, cardiovascular disease, major fall, and death) were captured through 2018 using administrative data. We used Cox regression models to evaluate the association between incident DFD (modeled as a time-varying exposure) and the subsequent risk of clinical outcomes. ResultsDuring over two decades of follow-up (1996–1998 to 2018), the cumulative incidence of DFD was 33.3%. Risk factors for DFD included older age, poor glycemic control, long diabetes duration, and prevalent vascular disease (chronic kidney disease, retinopathy, cardiovascular disease). Following incident DFD, the five-year cumulative incidence of major clinical outcomes was 38.9% for mortality, 25.2% for cardiovascular disease, 14.5% for nontraumatic lower-extremity amputation, and 13.2% for major fall. DFD remained associated with all four clinical outcomes after multivariable adjustment, with hazard ratios ranging from 1.5 (cardiovascular disease) to 34.7 (lower-extremity amputation). ConclusionsDFD is common and confers substantial risk for major morbidity and mortality.

Simple new clinical score to predict hepatocellular carcinoma after sustained viral response with direct-acting antivirals

The time point of the most precise predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development after viral eradication with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy is unclear. In this study we developed a scoring system that can accurately predict the occurrence of HCC using data from the optimal time point. A total of 1683 chronic hepatitis C patients without HCC who achieved sustained virological response (SVR) with DAA therapy were split into a training set (999 patients) and a validation set (684 patients). The most accurate predictive scoring system to estimate HCC incidence was developed using each of the factors at baseline, end of treatment, and SVR at 12 weeks (SVR12). Multivariate analysis identified diabetes, the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, and the α-fetoprotein level as independent factors at SVR12 that contributed to HCC development. A prediction model was constructed with these factors that ranged from 0 to 6 points. No HCC was observed in the low-risk group. Five-year cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 1.9% in the intermediate-risk group and 15.3% in the high-risk group. The prediction model at SVR12 most accurately predicted HCC development compared with other time points. This simple scoring system combining factors at SVR12 can accurately evaluate HCC risk after DAA treatment.

Multimorbidity Among Adolescent and Young Adult Thyroid Cancer Survivors: A Report From the AYA VOICE Study

Background: Thyroid cancer is one of the most common cancers in adolescents and young adults (AYA, 15 to 39), with excellent 5-year survival of 98%. However, treatments for thyroid cancer such as radioactive iodine and thyroid hormone suppression may increase the risk for multiple late effects (LE). We investigated the incidence of severe LE that cluster in AYA thyroid cancer survivors in a large population-based cohort. Methods: We used California Cancer Registry records to identify AYAs diagnosed with first primary thyroid cancer during 2006–2018 linked to statewide hospitalization, ambulatory surgery, and emergency department data. Cohort entry began 2 years from diagnosis. Severe LE included cardiovascular, respiratory, endocrine, renal, and liver diseases, and second cancers. Cumulative incidence of each LE, accounting for the competing risk of death, was calculated. Latent class analysis (LCA) identified clustering of LE overall and in &amp;lt;5 and ≥5-year survivors. The number of LE classes was identified by selecting models with the lowest likelihood-ratio G2 statistic, Akaike's Information Criterion, and Bayesian Information Criterion. Probabilities of each LE are presented in each class. Results: Of 12,224 survivors, 83% were female, 34% were Hispanic, and 62% aged 30–39 years at diagnosis. Mean follow-up time was 7.9 years. Five-year cumulative incidence was highest for endocrine (27.9%, 95% CI 27.0–28.8), respiratory (5.1%, 95% CI 4.6–5.5), and cardiovascular (2.1%, 95% CI 1.8–2.4) diseases. The LCA model identified 3 classes: 78.6% were ‘healthy survivors’ with a low probability of any LE, 19.8% experienced a high probability of endocrine (95%) conditions, and the remaining 1.6% were ‘multimorbidity survivors,’ experiencing a high probability of all LEs, particularly endocrine (94%), cardiovascular (61%), renal (55%), and respiratory (46%) conditions, followed by liver disease (25%) and second cancers (9%). No differences were found in the LCA classes among &amp;lt;5 and ≥5-year survivors. Conclusion: While most survivors of AYA thyroid cancer have few severe LEs, &amp;gt;20% have a high probability of endocrine conditions or multimorbidities. Multidisciplinary survivorship care may be vital to supporting thyroid cancer survivors experiencing multiple LEs.

Role of Rituximab Addition to First-line Chemotherapy Regimens in Nodular Lymphocyte-predominant Hodgkin Lymphoma: A Study by Fondazione Italiana Linfomi.

Nodular lymphocyte-predominant Hodgkin lymphoma (NLPHL) is a rare entity whose neoplastic cells retain a B-cell phenotype with expression of CD20. Radiotherapy is recommended for favorable stage IA disease while for other stages guidelines suggest therapeutic strategies similar to those used for classic HL. The role of rituximab, although quite widespread, is not completely elucidated. We retrospectively analyzed baseline characteristics of 308 consecutive patients with NLPHL diagnosed in 19 Italian centers from 2000 to 2018. With a median follow-up of 8.4 years (interquartile range: 4.5-12.4) for treated patients, median overall survival (OS) was not reached and estimated 5-year OS was 97.8% and 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) was 84.5%. Five-year cumulative incidence of histological transformation was 1.4%, 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.5%-3.8%. After adjusting for lymphocyte count, splenic involvement, bulky disease and B symptoms (fever, drenching night sweats, unintentional loss >10% of body weight within the preceding 6 months), patients with stage II or more showed superior PFS with immunochemotherapy in comparison to chemotherapy alone (hazard ratio = 0.4, 95% CI, 0.2-0.8; P = 0.015). Our data suggest an advantage of the use of rituximab combined with chemotherapy ± radiotherapy in the treatment of stage II-III-IV NLPHL.

Clinical effectiveness of zoster vaccine live in kidney transplant recipients immunized prior to transplantation: a retrospective single-centre cohort study

ObjectivesKidney transplant (KT) recipients have an increased risk of herpes zoster (HZ) and its complications. Although recombinant zoster vaccine is favoured over zoster vaccine live (ZVL), ZVL is also recommended to prevent HZ for KT candidates. We aimed to evaluate the clinical effectiveness of ZVL in KT recipients immunized before transplantation. MethodsAdult patients who received kidney transplantation from January 2014 to December 2018 were enrolled. Patients were observed until HZ occurrence, death, loss of allograft, loss to follow-up, or 5 years after transplantation. The inverse probability of the treatment-weighted Cox proportional hazard model was used to compare the incidence of HZ after transplantation between vaccinated and unvaccinated patients. ResultsA total of 84 vaccinated and 340 unvaccinated patients were included. The median age was higher in the vaccinated group (57 vs. 54 years, p 0.003). Grafts from deceased donors were more frequently transplanted in the unvaccinated group (16.7% vs. 51.8%, p < 0.001). Five-year cumulative HZ incidence was 11.9%, which translated to 26.27 (95% CI, 19.33–34.95) per 1000 person-years. The incidence in the vaccinated and unvaccinated groups was 3.9% and 13.7%, respectively. After adjustment, vaccination showed significant protective effectiveness against HZ (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.18, 95% CI, 0.05–0.60). In addition, all four cases of disseminated zoster occurred in the unvaccinated group. DiscussionOur study, the first on the clinical effectiveness of zoster vaccines for KT recipients, suggests that ZVL before transplantation effectively prevents HZ.

Risk Analysis Stratification of CIN 2+ Development in a Cohort of Women Living with HIV with Negative Pap Smear and HR-HPV Test during a Long-Term Follow-Up.

Women living with Human Immunodeficiency Virus are at higher risk of cervical cancer and precancer compared to women without HIV infection. The aim of the study is to evaluate the risk factors for the development of CIN2+ in a cohort of WLWH with negative colposcopy and cytology during a long follow-up period. We enrolled, in a multicentric retrospective cohort study, WLWH who attended the colposcopic services from 1999 to 2019. Patients with a normal Pap smear, a negative HR-HPV test, and at least one year of follow-up were considered for the anlysis. The five-year cumulative incidence of histologically confirmed HSIL was 8.3% (95% CI = 2.6-13.6) among subjects with a CD4+ cell count of <200 cells/µL at any visit and 2.1% (95% CI = 0.7-3.4, p = 0.001) in women with a CD4+ cell count of persistently >200 cells/µL. In women with persistent HR-HPV infection, the five-year cumulative incidence of CIN 2+ was 6% (95% CI = 1.6-10.2) versus 2% (95% CI = 0.4-3.6, p = 0.012) in women without HPV infection. An HIV viremia of >200 copies/mL, a CD4+ cell count of <200 cells/µL, persistent HR-HPV infection, and smoking ≥10 cigarettes/day were all independent and statistically significant risk factors associated with the development of CIN2+ during follow-up. WLWH with good immune status and negative Pap smear and HR-HPV test have a low risk for CIN2+.

Temporal trends in the incidence of malignancy in heart failure: a nationwide Danish study.

Cancer and heart failure (HF) share risk factors, pathophysiological mechanisms, and possibly genetics. Improved HF survival may increase the risk of cancer due to a competing risk. Whether the incidence of cancer has increased over time in patients with HF as survival has improved is unclear. Therefore, temporal trends of new onset cancer in HF patients between 1997 and 2016 were investigated. Using Danish nationwide registers, 103 711 individuals alive, free of cancer, and aged 30-80 years 1 year after HF diagnosis (index date) were included between 1 January 1997 and 31 December 2016. A five-year incidence rate of cancer for each year after index date was calculated. The median age and proportion of women at the index date decreased with advancing calendar time [1997-2001: 70.3 interquartile range (Q1-Q3 62.5-75.7), 60.9% men; 2012-16: 67.6 (59.2-73.8), 67.5% men]. The five-year incidence rate of cancer was 20.9 and 20.2 per 1,000 person-years in 1997 and 2016, respectively. In a multivariable Cox regression model, the hazard rates between index years 1997 (reference) and 2016 were not significantly different [hazard ratio 1.09 (0.97-1.23)]. The five-year absolute risk of cancer did not change with advancing calendar year, going from 9.0% (1997-2001) to 9.0% (2012-16). Five-year cumulative incidence of survival for HF patients increased with advancing calendar year, going from 55.9% (1997-2001) to 74.3% (2012-2016). Although cancer rates during 1997-2016 have remained stable within 1-6 years after the HF diagnosis, long-term survival following a HF diagnosis has increased significantly.

Intermediate hyperglycaemia, diabetes and blood pressure in rural Bangladesh: five-year post-randomisation follow-up of the DMagic cluster-randomised controlled trial

The DMagic trial showed that participatory learning and action (PLA) community mobilisation delivered through facilitated community groups, and mHealth voice messaging interventions improved diabetes knowledge in Bangladesh and the PLA intervention reduced diabetes occurrence. We assess intervention effects three years after intervention activities stopped. Five years post-randomisation, we conducted a cross-sectional survey among a random sample of adults aged ≥30-years living in the 96 DMagic villages, and a cohort of individuals identified with intermediate hyperglycaemia at the start of the DMagic trial in 2016. Primary outcomes were: 1) the combined prevalence of intermediate hyperglycaemia and diabetes; 2) five-year cumulative incidence of diabetes among the 2016 cohort of individuals with intermediate hyperglycaemia. Secondary outcomes were: weight, BMI, waist and hip circumferences, blood pressure, knowledge and behaviours. Primary analysis compared outcomes at the cluster level between intervention arms relative to control. Data were gathered from 1623 (82%) of the randomly selected adults and 1817 (87%) of the intermediate hyperglycaemia cohort. 2018 improvements in diabetes knowledge in mHealth clusters were no longer observable in 2021. Knowledge remains significantly higher in PLA clusters relative to control but no difference in primary outcomes of intermediate hyperglycaemia and diabetes prevalence (OR (95%CI) 1.23 (0.89, 1.70)) or five-year incidence of diabetes were observed (1.04 (0.78, 1.40)). Hypertension (0.73 (0.54, 0.97)) and hypertension control (2.77 (1.34, 5.75)) were improved in PLA clusters relative to control. PLA intervention effect on intermediate hyperglycaemia and diabetes was not sustained at 3 years after intervention end, but benefits in terms of blood pressure reduction were observed. Medical Research Council UK: MR/M016501/1 (DMagic trial); MR/T023562/1 (DClare study), under the Global Alliance for Chronic Diseases (GACD) Diabetes and Scale-up Programmes, respectively.

Analysis of Local Control Outcomes and Clinical Prognostic Factors in Localized Pelvic Ewing Sarcoma Patients Treated with Radiation Therapy: A Report from the Children's Oncology Group

<h3>Purpose/Objective(s)</h3> To identify potential clinical prognostic factors associated with a higher risk of local recurrence in localized pelvic Ewing Sarcoma (ES) patients treated with radiation therapy. <h3>Materials/Methods</h3> Data for 101 patients treated with definitive radiotherapy (RT) or both surgery and radiation (S+RT) on INT-0091, INT-0154, and AEWS0031 were analyzed. Radiation and imaging data was reviewed at IROC QARC. Imaging data for patients who did not receive radiation was not available, so surgery only patients were excluded. Tumor size was classified as </≥ 8 cm in maximum dimension and </≥ 200 mL volumetrically. Pelvic subsites were categorized as sacrum, iliac/buttock, or ischiopubic-acetabulum. Five-year cumulative incidence of local failure was defined as standard. <h3>Results</h3> The most common primary pelvic subsite was sacrum, 44.6%. Median tumor size at diagnosis was 9.7 cm (range: 2.4-16.0 cm) in maximum dimension and 215.9 mL (range: 3.7-1400.0 mL) volumetrically. RT was utilized in 68% of patients and S+RT in 32%. There was no statistically significant difference in local therapy modality employed based on tumor subsite or size. The five-year cumulative incidence of local failure for the entire cohort was 19.0% (95% CI, 12.7-28.5%). RT was associated with a higher incidence of local failure at 25.0% compared to 6.3% for S+RT (p=0.046). There was no difference in local failure outcomes by tumor size </≥ 8 cm in maximum dimension or </≥ 200 mL volumetrically. A higher incidence of local failure was seen with each additional 100 mL of tumor at diagnosis for all patients (p=0.04) and for RT only patients (p=0.005). Tumors originating in the ischiopubic-acetabular region were associated with the highest local failure incidence of 37.5%, compared to 20.0% for iliac-buttock and 11.4% for sacrum (p=0.02). Ischiopubic-acetabulum tumors treated with RT alone had the highest local failure rate in the cohort (50.0%, p=0.06). Multivariable analysis demonstrated RT alone (HR 5.1, p=0.04), tumor subsite (particularly ischiopubic-acetabulum tumors, HR 4.6, p=0.02), and increasing volume per 100 mL (HR 1.2, p=0.01) were associated with a higher incidence of local recurrence. <h3>Conclusion</h3> Patients with pelvic ES selected for S+RT had lower rates of local failure compared to patients selected for definitive RT. Tumors involving the ischiopubic-acetabular region and increasing tumor volume at diagnosis likely correlate with inferior local tumor control outcomes, especially for RT only patients, indicating local therapy intensification may be warranted for this cohort. Tumor characteristics did not correlate with choice of local therapy modality suggesting an opportunity to develop best local therapy practices guidelines for future studies based on tumor features.

Incidence of Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Decompensated Liver Cirrhosis and Prognostic Accuracy of the PAGE-B HCC Risk Score in a Low Endemic Hepatitis B Virus Infected Population.

PurposeWe aimed to determine incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and decompensated liver cirrhosis in persons with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in Denmark stratified by disease phase, liver cirrhosis, and treatment status at baseline. Additionally, we aimed to assess the prognostic value of the PAGE-B HCC risk score in a mainly non-cirrhotic population.Patients and MethodsIn this register-based cohort study, we included all individuals over the age of 18, with chronic HBV infection first registered between 2002 and 2016 in at least one of three nationwide registers. The study population was followed until HCC, decompensated liver cirrhosis, death, emigration, or December 31, 2017, which ever came first.ResultsAmong 6016 individuals included in the study, 10 individuals with and 23 without baseline liver cirrhosis developed HCC during a median follow up of 7.3 years (range 0.0–15.5). This corresponded to five-year cumulative incidences of 7.1% (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.0–12.3) and 0.2% (95% CI 0.1–0.4) in persons with and without baseline liver cirrhosis. The five-year cumulative incidence of decompensated liver cirrhosis was 0.7% (95% CI 0.5–1.0). Among 2038 evaluated for liver events stratified by disease phase, incidence of HCC was low in all who were non-cirrhotic and untreated for HBV at baseline. PAGE-B score was evaluated in 1529 persons. The 5-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 0, 0.8 (95% CI 0.5–1.8), and 8.7 (95% CI 1.0–16.4) in persons scoring <10, 10–17 and >17, respectively (c-statistic 0.91 (95% CI 0.84–0.98)).ConclusionWe found low incidence of HCC and decompensated liver cirrhosis in persons with chronic HBV infection in Denmark. Moreover, the PAGE-B score showed good accuracy for five-year risk of developing HCC in the population with chronic HBV infection in Denmark.

Association between adhesive capsulitis and depression: A five-year retrospective cohort study including 58,516 adults from Germany

BackgroundLittle is known on the longitudinal relationship between adhesive capsulitis and depression. Therefore, the aim of this study was to investigate the association between adhesive capsulitis and the five-year cumulative incidence of depression in adults from Germany. MethodsThe present retrospective cohort study included all adults aged ≥18 years with a first diagnosis of adhesive capsulitis in one of 1198 general practices in Germany between January 2010 and December 2018 (index date). Patients with adhesive capsulitis were matched to those without adhesive capsulitis using a propensity score based on age, sex, index year, average number of visits per year, and diagnoses documented prior to or at the index date (i.e., thyroid gland disorders, diabetes mellitus, coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular diseases, and Parkinson's disease and secondary parkinsonism). In individuals without adhesive capsulitis, the index date was a randomly selected visit date. ResultsThis study included 29,258 patients with and 29,258 patients without adhesive capsulitis (mean [SD] age 55.9 [15.6] years; 53.2% men). Within five years of the index date, there were 17.5% of patients with adhesive capsulitis and 8.7% of those without adhesive capsulitis diagnosed with incident depression (log-rank p-value<0.001). This result was corroborated in the Cox regression analysis, as there was a positive and significant association between adhesive capsulitis and the cumulative incidence of depression (HR = 1.86, 95% CI: 1.78–1.95). ConclusionIn this study, adhesive capsulitis was associated with an increased cumulative incidence of depression. Further research is warranted to better understand the mediating factors involved in this relationship.

Predicting the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients receiving antiviral therapy: Validating the CAMD and AASL scores in China.

We aimed to validate the predictive value of the cirrhosis, age, male sex, and diabetes (CAMD) score and age, albumin, sex, and liver cirrhosis (AASL) score for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients, treated with nucleos(t)ide analogues (NUCs) in Northeast China. From January 2009 to June 2020, 945 patients diagnosed with CHB who received NUC therapy at China-Japan Union Hospital of Jilin University were included. Comprehensive medical records were retrospectively analyzed, and the predictive values of the CAMD score and AASL score for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were evaluated. A total of 58 patients (5.94%) were diagnosed with HCC. Multivariate analysis revealed that age [odds ratio (OR) = 1.041, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.009-1.073, P < 0.011] and cirrhosis (OR = 3.297, 95% CI 1.383-7.861, P < 0.007) were independent predictors of HCC. Either the CAMD or AASL score was significantly higher in the HCC group compared to the non-HCC group. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of CAMD and AASL was 0.721 (95% CI 0.663-0.780) and 0.718 (95% CI 0.662-0.774), respectively. Risk stratification using either CAMD or AASL revealed significant differences in the one-, three-, and five-year cumulative incidence rates of HCC between the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups (all P < 0.001, log-rank test). Both CAMD and AASL scores have predictive value for HCC risk of CHB patients in Northeast China. In future, the optimal monitoring frequency and methods should be personalized.

Association of type II diabetes mellitus with characteristics and outcomes for patients undergoing sentinel lymph node biopsy for cutaneous melanoma.

Type II diabetes mellitus (T2DM) can lead to an immunosuppressed state, but whether T2DM is associated with worse outcomes for patients with melanoma has not been well studied. Consecutive patients diagnosed with clinical stage I-II cutaneous melanoma who underwent sentinel lymph node biopsy at a single institution (2007-2016) were identified. Melanoma characteristics and recurrence/survival outcomes were compared between patients with and without T2DM at the time of melanoma diagnosis. Of 1128 patients evaluated, 111 (9.8%) had T2DM (n = 94 [84.7%] non-insulin dependent [NID-T2DM]; n = 17 [15.3%] insulin dependent [ID-T2DM]). T2DM patients were more likely to be older (odds ratio [OR] 1.04, p < 0.001), male (OR 2.15, p = 0.003), have tumors >1.0 mm (OR 1.88, p = 0.023), and have microsatellitosis (OR 2.29, p = 0.030). Five-year cumulative incidence of melanoma recurrence was significantly higher for patients with ID-T2DM (46.7% ID-T2DM vs. 25.7% NID-T2DM vs. 17.1% no T2DM, p < 0.001), and on multivariable analysis, ID-T2DM was independently associated with melanoma recurrence (hazard ratio 2.57, p = 0.015). No difference in 5-year disease-specific survival was observed between groups. ID-T2DM appears to be associated with more advanced melanoma and increased risk for melanoma recurrence. Further study as to whether this reflects differences in tumor biology or host factors is warranted.

Correlating measured radiotherapy dose with patterns of endocrinopathy: The importance of minimizing pituitary dose.

Pituitary insufficiency is a common toxicity of cranial radiotherapy received in childhood for central nervous system, head and neck, and hematological malignancies. There is a recognized deficiency pattern and correlation with prescribed radiotherapy dose; however, correlation with measured pituitary dose (which can be minimized with modern radiotherapy techniques) has not previously been assessed. Retrospective analysis was carried out of measured pituitary dose and endocrine outcomes of patients receiving cranial, total body, or head and neck photon beam radiotherapy at a tertiary center from July 2008 to October 2019. Complete data for 102 patients were available. Median (IQR) age at radiotherapy was 9.0 (6.0-12.0) and follow-up 5.7 years (3.5-9.1). Most patients received focal brain radiotherapy (36.3%) or total body irradiation (32.4%); most frequent diagnoses were acute lymphoblastic leukemia (25.5%) and medulloblastoma (17.6%). The majority developed pituitary insufficiency (64; 62.7%); 41% had one and 38% had two hormone deficiencies. Growth hormone deficiency (GHD) (58; 56.9%) and thyroid-stimulating hormone deficiency (TSHD) (32; 31.4%) were most common. Patients who developed pituitary insufficiency received higher maximum pituitary dose-median (IQR) Gy, 44.0 (20.4-54.0) vs 18.2 (14.4-52.6); P = 0.008. Doses of 40-49 Gy or &gt;50 Gy led to a higher cumulative incident rate than &lt;20 Gy (HR 4.07, P &lt; 0.001 and HR 3.04, P &lt; 0.001, respectively). However, even at lower dose bands, levels of pituitary insufficiency were significant with a five-year cumulative incidence of GHD for &lt;20 Gy and TSHD for 20-29 Gy reaching &gt;30%. Our findings confirm a correlation between measured pituitary dose and risk of insufficiency even at lower doses, despite modern radiotherapy techniques. These data highlight the importance of minimizing pituitary dose and early specialist endocrine follow-up.

Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices in Ebstein Anomaly: Management and Outcomes.

Optimal management of cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) in patients with Ebstein anomaly during tricuspid valve (TV) surgery is unknown. Thus, we aimed to characterize CIED management/outcomes in patients with Ebstein anomaly undergoing TV surgery. Patients at the Mayo Clinic from 1987 to 2020 with Ebstein anomaly and CIED procedure were reviewed for procedural details, complications, echocardiogram, and lead parameters. Five-year cumulative incidence of CIED complications were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Ninety-three patients were included; 51 were female, and mean age was 40.7±17.5 years. A new CIED was implanted in 45 patients at the time of TV surgery with the majority receiving an epicardial (n=37) CIED. Among 34 patients who had preexisting CIED (11 epicardial, 23 transvenous) at time of TV surgery, 20 had a transvenous right ventricular lead managed by externalizing the lead to the TV (n=15) or extracting the transvenous lead with epicardial lead implantation (n=5). Fourteen patients underwent CIED implantation (4 epicardial, 10 transvenous) without concurrent surgery. Placement of lead across the TV was avoided in 85% of patients. The 5-year cumulative incidence of CIED complications was 24% with no significant difference between epicardial and transvenous CIEDs (26% versus 23%, P=0.96). Performance of lead parameters was similar in epicardial and transvenous leads during median (interquartile range) follow-up of 44.5 (61.1) months. In patients with Ebstein anomaly undergoing TV surgery, the use of epicardial leads and externalization of transvenous leads to the TV can avoid lead placement across the valve leaflets. Lead performance and CIED complications was similar between epicardial and transvenous CIEDs.

Treatments of Ph-like acute lymphoblastic leukemia: a real-world retrospective analysis from a single large center in China

Philadelphia chromosome-like acute lymphoblastic leukemia (Ph-like ALL) is a high-risk subtype of ALL. We retrospectively studied 70 cases with Ph-like ALL and here present the largest study of CAR-T cell treatment and haplo-HSCT for this leukemia. Median age was 26 years and median leukocyte count was 31.44 × 109/L. The proportion of patients receiving chemotherapy, KIs, CAR-T cells, and allo-HSCT was 19%, 30%, 46%, and 61%, respectively. The overall response rate was 62%, 73%, and 100% after one month of KI treatment combined with chemotherapy, CAR-T cell therapy, and allo-HSCT, respectively. Five-year DFS and OS were 35% and 51%, respectively. The five-year cumulative incidence of relapse and non-relapse mortality was 63% and 11%, respectively. Allo-HSCT was associated with a better DFS (p = 0.010) and OS (p = 0.000) by univariate analysis. In conclusion, allo-HSCT after KIs together with chemotherapy or CAR-T cell therapy is a safe and feasible treatment modality for Ph-like ALL.

PB2183: RELAPSE PREDICTS POOR OUTCOMES IN FLT3-MUTATED ACUTE MYELOID LEUKEMIA POST ALLOGENEIC HEMATOPOIETIC CELL TRANSPLANTATION

Background: Allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (alloHCT) is the only curative option for patients with FLT3-ITD (FMS-like tyrosine kinase 3 internal tandem duplication) acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Although sorafenib has been recommended as maintenance treatment, data on risk factors and outcomes in these patients are limited. Aims: We investigated the risk factors and outcomes in patients with FLT3-mutated AML that underwent alloHCT. Methods: We enrolled consecutive adult patients with FLT3-mutated AML that underwent alloHCT at our JACIE-accredited center over the last two decades based on EBMT standards. The following factors were recorded and analyzed: age, disease, phase at transplant, type of donor and transplant, grade II-IV acute and moderate/severe chronic graft-versus-host disease (GVHD), relapse, treatment-related mortality (TRM), disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Results: We studied 43 patients with FLT3-mutated AML who received alloHCT at a median age of 45 (18-62) years from sibling (21), matched (16) or mis-matched (3) unrelated, and haploidentical donors (3). Phase at transplant was first complete remission/CR1 (31 patients), CR2 (9) or relapsed/refractory disease (3). With a median follow-up of 26.5 (1.2-239) months, relapse was observed in 16 patients, 4 of whom presented only with isolated extramedullary disease. Five-year cumulative incidence (CI) of relapse was 41.7% and was independently associated with previous lines of treatment (p=0.015), disease phase at transplant (25.7% for CR1, 50% for CR2, and 100% for relapsed/refractory disease, p=0.007), and chronic GVHD (p=0.004). Relapse was treated with chemotherapy (15 patients), donor lymphocyte infusions (7), azacytidine (6), or gilteritinib (3). No patient received sorafenib either as maintenance or treatment. Only one relapsed patient survived after treatment of isolated extramedullary disease. Five-year CI of TRM was 17.4% and was associated only with disease phase at transplant (p<0.001). Five-year DFS and OS were 46.5% and 52.5%, respectively. The only significant predictor of OS was relapse (beta=0.303, p<0.001). Summary/Conclusion: r study confirms that relapse post alloHCT is an imminent feature of FLT3-mutated AML, associated with poor outcomes. Disease phase at transplant is an important risk factor for alloHCT outcomes. Nevertheless, relapse incidence remains high, even in patients transplanted in CR1, highlighting the necessity of maintenance therapy with FLT3 inhibitors.