Expanded Criteria Donors Research Articles

The Kidney Donor Profile Index (KDPI) Correlates With Histopathologic Findings in Post-reperfusion Baseline Biopsies and Predicts Kidney Transplant Outcome.

BackgroundThe increasing organ shortage in kidney transplantation leads to the necessity to use kidneys previously considered unsuitable for transplantation. Numerous studies illustrate the need for a better decision guidance rather than only the classification into kidneys from standard or expanded criteria donors referred to as SCD/ECD-classification. The kidney donor profile index (KDPI) exhibits a score utilizing a much higher number of donor characteristics. Moreover, graft biopsies provide an opportunity to assess organ quality.MethodsIn a single center analysis 383 kidney transplantations (277 after deceased and 106 after living donation) performed between January 1st, 2006, and December 31st, 2016, retrospectively underwent SCD/ECD and KDPI scoring. Thereby, the quality of deceased donor kidneys was assessed by using the KDPI and the living donor kidneys by using the living KDPI, in the further analysis merged as (L)KDPI. Baseline biopsies taken 10 min after the onset of reperfusion were reviewed for chronic and acute lesions. Survival analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards analysis within a 5-year follow-up.ResultsThe (L)KDPI correlated with glomerulosclerosis (r = 0.30, p < 0.001), arteriosclerosis (r = 0.33, p < 0.001), interstitial fibrosis, and tubular atrophy (r = 0.28, p < 0.001) as well as the extent of acute tubular injury (r = 0.20, p < 0.001). The C-statistic of the (L)KDPI concerning 5-year death censored graft survival was 0.692. Around 48% of ECD-kidneys were classified as (L)KDPI<85%. In a multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis including (preformed) panel reactive antibodies, cold ischemia time, (L)KDPI, and SCD/ECD-classification, the (L)KDPI was significantly associated with risk of graft loss (hazard ratio per 10% increase in (L)KDPI: 1.185, 95% confidence interval: 1.033–1.360, p = 0.025). Survival analysis revealed decreased death censored (p < 0.001) and non-death censored (p < 0.001) graft survival in kidneys with an increasing (L)KDPI divided into groups of <35, 35–85, and >85%, respectively.ConclusionWith a higher granularity compared to the SCD/ECD-classification the (L)KDPI is a promising tool to judge graft quality. The correlation with chronic and acute histological lesions in post-reperfusion kidney biopsies underlines the descriptive value of the (L)KDPI. However, its prognostic value is limited and underlines the urgent need for a more precise prognostic tool adopted to European kidney transplant conditions.

Experimental long-term sub-normothermic machine perfusion for non-allocable human liver grafts: first data towards feasibility

Summary Background Patients with end-stage liver disease can only be cured by liver transplantation. Due to the gap between demand and supply, surgeons are forced to use expanded criteria donor (ECD) organs, which are more susceptible to ischemia–reperfusion injury (IRI). Therefore, enhanced storing techniques are required. Machine perfusion (MP) has moved into the spotlight of research because of its feasibility for investigating liver function prior to implantation. However, as the perfect MP protocol has not yet been found, we aimed to investigate the potential of sub-normothermic (SN)MP in this field. Methods Non-allocable human livers were subjected to 24 h of SNMP at 21 °C after delivery to the study team. Perfusion was performed with Custodiol® (Dr. Franz Köhler Chemie, Bensheim, Germany) or Belzer MPS® (Bridge to Life Europe, London, UK) and perfusate liver parameters were determined. For determination of biliary conditions, pH, glucose, and HCO3- levels were measured. Results Liver parameters were slightly increased irrespective of perfusate or reason for liver rejection during 24 h of perfusion. Six livers failed to produce bile completely, whereas the remaining 10 livers produced between 2.4 ml and 179 ml of bile. Biliary carbonate was increased in all but one liver. The bile-glucose-to-perfusate-glucose ratio was near 1 for most of the organs and bile pH was above 7 in all but one case. Conclusion This study provides promising data on the feasibility of long-term SNMP as a tool to gain time during MP to optimize ECD organs to decrease the gap between organ demand and supply. Long-term (24 h) sub-normothermic liver machine perfusion seems to be possible, although some adjustments to the protocol might be necessary to improve the general outcome. This has so far been shown for normothermic machine perfusion, bearing some drawbacks compared to the sub-normothermic variant.

There is No Smoking Gun: LongTerm Lung Transplant (LTx) Outcomes Using Smoking Donors

<h3>Purpose</h3> Lung transplant (LTx) is limited by a supply of donor lungs. Donor lungs from smokers are known to have adverse effects on early post-LTx outcomes (Oto et al, 2004). As long-term survival outcomes remains under assessed we investigated the effect of donor smoking on long-term LTx survival and death from chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD) using the cohort described by Oto et al. <h3>Methods</h3> 173 bilateral LTx recipient records between 1995-2002 were retrospectively reviewed. 97 (56.1%) of LTx donors had ceased or never smoked and 76 (43.9%) were current smokers. Kaplan-Meir models were used to assess long-term survival. Smoking donors were divided into two groups: 1-15 pack years (PY) (n=35) and >16 PY (n=21). 20 recipients received donors with a smoking history but unknown amount. Hazard ratios (HR) were used to assess survival outcomes between known smoking groups. <h3>Results</h3> No significant survival difference was found between LTx recipients for never/ ceased smokers and smokers (Figure 1) or between smoking dose cohorts (Figure 2). HR for smokers compared to never/ ceased smokers: 1.25, 95% CI 0.70 to 2.25, p=0.439. HR for 1-15 PY compared to never or ceased smokers: 1.21, 95% CI 0.57 to 2.53, p=0.615. HR for >16 PY compared to never/ ceased smokers: 0.83, 95% CI 0.28 to 2.41, p=0.721. There was no significant difference in death from CLAD between groups. <h3>Conclusion</h3> This study suggests that a smoking history in LTx donors does not significantly affect long-term survival or increase death from CLAD. This may have implications for expanding donor criteria, enabling LTx opportunities for more patients.

Impact of targeted hypothermia in expanded-criteria organ donors on recipient kidney-graft function: study protocol for a multicentre randomised controlled trial (HYPOREME)

IntroductionExpanded-criteria donors (ECDs) are used to reduce the shortage of kidneys for transplantation. However, kidneys from ECDs are associated with an increased risk of delayed graft function (DGF), a risk...

Early experiments with hypothermic oxygenated machine perfusion of kidney grafts from extended criteria donors

Objective: to evaluate the safety and efficacy of hypothermic oxygenated machine perfusion (HOPE) for kidney grafts obtained from expanded criteria donors (ECD).Materials and methods. From June 2018 to June 2021, 200 surgeries involving kidney transplants from deceased donors were performed at Botkin City Clinical Hospital. Of these, 123 were men (61.5%) and 77 were women (38.5%). The mean age was 47.62 ± 11.69 (20–73) years. In 102 cases, kidney grafts were procured from ECD. In 92 recipients (90.2%) of kidney transplants from an expanded criteria donor, static cold storage done according to the standard technique was used to preserve the organ; these patients constituted observation group 1. In 10 recipients (9.8%), hypothermic oxygenated perfusion was used in addition to static cold preservation; these patients formed observation group 2.Results. No 30-day mortality was recorded in both observation groups. The mean static cold storage time in group 1 patients was 612.33 ± 178.88 (133–1180) minutes. Overall incidence of delayed graft function was 26.5% (53/200). Incidence of delayed graft function was 19.3% (19/98) for organs from standard donors using static cold storage and 35.8% (33/92) for ECD organs. Twenty-five patients (12.5%) had postoperative complications. Postoperative complications with delayed graft function were diagnosed in 12 patients, which was 22.6% (12/53), with immediate function in 13 patients, which was 8.8% (13/147). Mean cold storage time in group 2 patients was 319.11 ± 110.24 (311–525) minutes. Mean HOPE time was 202.34 ± 21.48 (150–210) minutes. Delayed graft function was recorded in 1 group 2 patient (10%). No complications, including perfusion-related one, were recorded in this group.Conclusion. The unique technique used at Botkin City Clinical Hospital for HOPE in kidney transplant is safe. It provides a low risk of delayed graft function for ECD kidneys.

A1104 - Diabetes mellitus in expanded criteria donors may impair the outcomes of dual kidney transplantation

A1104 - Diabetes mellitus in expanded criteria donors may impair the outcomes of dual kidney transplantation

A1101 - Perioperative and functional outcomes after kidney transplantation from uncontrolled donors after circulatory death vs. expanded-criteria donors after brain death vs. standard-criteria donors: Toward an evidence-based refinement of allocation strategies

A1101 - Perioperative and functional outcomes after kidney transplantation from uncontrolled donors after circulatory death vs. expanded-criteria donors after brain death vs. standard-criteria donors: Toward an evidence-based refinement of allocation strategies

Procurement of Uterus in a Deceased Donor Multi-Organ Donation National Program in France: A Scarce Resource for Uterus Transplantation?

Uterus transplantation is a new possibility for women suffering from absolute uterine infertility to become pregnant and have children. In the case of a deceased donor, a list of exclusion criteria is defined to ensure the high quality of the uterus graft. This study evaluates the number of potentially available uterus grafts based on the pre-defined exclusion criteria in a national deceased donor multi-organ donation program in France. We analyzed the data reported in the CRISTAL database regarding all women aged 18 to 60 on whom organ procurement was performed between 2014 and 2019. Potential deceased women donors were classified into three categories: very ideal donor, ideal donor, and expanded criteria donor. Between 2014 and 2019, 4544 women underwent organ procurement. Using the very ideal donor, ideal donor, and expanded criteria donor classification, we found that, respectively, only 124, 264, and 936 donors were potentially eligible for UTx. This represents 2.8 per million people (PMP) very ideal donors, 3.8 PMP ideal donors, 8.6 PMP expanded criteria donors (ECDs). The restricted number of grafts requires a complementary strategy of living and deceased donors to meet the demand of all women with AUI.

Donation after circulatory death heart transplantation in the United States: An early report of donor characteristics.

In the United States, heart transplantation continues to be constrained by a limited supply of donor organs. Over the past decade, we have seen a dramatic rise in the number of candidates listed for heart transplantation, with the number of transplants performed increasing, although at a lesser rate.1 A multitude of efforts are being undertaken to increase the size of the donor pool, including the transplantation of expanded-criteria donor hearts, the use of normothermic ex vivo perfusion techniques, as well as a renewed interest in transplanting hearts following donation after circulatory death (DCD).

A Review of Current and Emerging Trends in Donor Graft-Quality Assessment Techniques.

The number of patients placed on kidney transplant waiting lists is rapidly increasing, resulting in a growing gap between organ demand and the availability of kidneys for transplantation. This organ shortage has forced medical professionals to utilize marginal kidneys from expanded criteria donors (ECD) to broaden the donor pool and shorten wait times for patients with end-stage renal disease. However, recipients of ECD kidney grafts tend to have worse outcomes compared to those receiving organs from standard criteria donors (SCD), specifically increased risks of delayed graft function (DGF) and primary nonfunction incidence. Thus, representative methods for graft-quality assessment are strongly needed, especially for ECDs. Currently, graft-quality evaluation is limited to interpreting the donor’s recent laboratory tests, clinical risk scores, the visual evaluation of the organ, and, in some cases, a biopsy and perfusion parameters. The last few years have seen the emergence of many new technologies designed to examine organ function, including new imaging techniques, transcriptomics, genomics, proteomics, metabolomics, lipidomics, and new solutions in organ perfusion, which has enabled a deeper understanding of the complex mechanisms associated with ischemia-reperfusion injury (IRI), inflammatory process, and graft rejection. This review summarizes and assesses the strengths and weaknesses of current conventional diagnostic methods and a wide range of new potential strategies (from the last five years) with respect to donor graft-quality assessment, the identification of IRI, perfusion control, and the prediction of DGF.

Deep Learning Algorithms for the Prediction of Posttransplant Renal Function in Deceased-Donor Kidney Recipients: A Preliminary Study Based on Pretransplant Biopsy.

BackgroundPosttransplant renal function is critically important for kidney transplant recipients. Accurate prediction of graft function would greatly help in deciding acceptance or discard of allocated kidneys.Methods: Whole-slide images (WSIs) of H&E-stained donor kidney biopsies at × 200 magnification between January 2015 and December 2019 were collected. The clinical characteristics of each donor and corresponding recipient were retrieved. Graft function was indexed with a stable estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and reduced graft function (RGF). We used convolutional neural network (CNN)-based models, such as EfficientNet-B5, Inception-V3, and VGG19 for the prediction of these two outcomes.ResultsIn total, 219 recipients with H&E-stained slides of the donor kidneys were included for analysis [biopsies from standard criteria donor (SCD)/expanded criteria donor (ECD) was 191/28]. The results showed distinct improvements in the prediction performance of the deep learning algorithm plus the clinical characteristics model. The EfficientNet-B5 plus clinical data model showed the lowest mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE). Compared with the clinical data model, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) of the clinical data plus image model for eGFR classification increased from 0.69 to 0.83. In addition, the predictive performance for RGF increased from 0.66 to 0.80. Gradient-weighted class activation mappings (Grad-CAMs) showed that the models localized the areas of the tubules and interstitium near the glomeruli, which were discriminative features for RGF.ConclusionOur results preliminarily show that deep learning for formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded H&E-stained WSIs improves graft function prediction accuracy for deceased-donor kidney transplant recipients.

Simultaneous and ultra-sensitive SERS detection of SLPI and IL-18 for the assessment of donor kidney quality using black phosphorus/gold nanohybrids.

Due to the global challenge of donor kidney shortage, expanding the pool of deceased donors has been proposed to include expanded criteria donors. However, the lack of methods to precisely measure donor kidney injury and predict the outcome still leads to high discard rates and recipient complications. As such, evaluation of deceased donor kidney quality is critical prior to transplantation. Biomarkers from donor urine or serum provide potential advantages for the precise measure of kidney quality. Herein, simultaneous detection of secretory leukocyte peptidase inhibitor (SLPI) and interleukin 18 (IL-18), two important kidney injury biomarkers, has been achieved, for the first time, with an ultra-high sensitivity using surface enhanced Raman scattering (SERS). Specifically, black phosphorus/gold (BP/Au) nanohybrids synthesized by depositing Au nanoparticles (NPs) onto the BP nanosheets serve as SERS-active substrates, which offer a high-density of inherent and accessible hot-spots. Meanwhile, the nanohybrids possess biocompatible surfaces for the enrichment of target biomarkers through the affinity with BP nanosheets. Quantitative detection of SLPI and IL-18 were then achieved by characterizing SERS signals of these two biomarkers. The results indicate high sensitivity and excellent reproducibility of this method. The limits of detection reach down to 1.53×10-8 mg/mL for SLPI and 0.23×10-8 mg/mL for IL-18. The limits of quantification are 5.10×10-8 mg/mL and 7.67×10-9 mg/mL for SLPI and IL-18. In addition, simultaneous detection of these biomarkers in serum was investigated, which proves the feasibility in biologic environment. More importantly, this method is powerful for detecting multiple analytes inheriting from excellent multiplexing ability of SERS. Giving that the combined assessment of SLPI and IL-18 expression level serves as an indicator of donor kidney quality and can be rapidly and reproducibly conducted, this SERS-based method holds great prospective in clinical practice.

Waitlisted and Transplant Patient Perspectives on Expanding Access to Deceased-Donor Kidney Transplant: A Qualitative Study.

Background:A concerning number of kidneys (eg, expanded donor criteria, extended criteria, or marginal kidneys) are discarded yearly while patients experience significant morbidity and mortality on the transplant waitlist. Novel solutions are needed to solve the shortage of kidneys available for transplant. Patient perceptions regarding the use of these less than ideal kidneys remain unexplored.Objective:To explore the perspectives of patients who have previously received a less than ideal kidney in the past and patients awaiting transplant who could potentially benefit from one.Design:Qualitative description study.Setting:2 provinces in Canada participated (Saskatchewan and Manitoba).Patients:Patients with end-stage kidney disease who were awaiting kidney transplant and were either (a) aged 65 years and older, or (b) 55 years and older with other medical conditions (eg, diabetes).Methods:Criterion sampling was used to identify participants. Semi-structured, one-on-one interviews were conducted virtually, which explored perceived quality of life, perceptions of less than ideal kidneys, risk tolerance for accepting one, and educational needs to make such a choice. The interviews were transcribed verbatim and thematic analysis was used to analyze the data.Results:15 interviews were conducted with usable data (n = 10 pretransplant; n = 5 posttransplant). Participants were a mean of 65.5 ± 8.8 years old. Four interrelated themes became prominent including (1) patient awareness and understanding of their situation or context, (2) a desire for information, (3) a desire for freedom from dialysis, and (4) trust. Subthemes of transparency, clarity, standardization, and autonomy were deemed important for participant education. The majority of pretransplant participants (n = 8/10) indicated that between 3 and 5 years off of dialysis would make the risk of accepting a less than ideal kidney feel worthwhile.Limitation:The study setting was limited to 2 Canadian provinces, which limits the generalizability. Furthermore, the participants were homogenous in demographics such as ethnicity.Conclusion:These findings indicate that patients are comfortable to accept a less than ideal kidney for transplant in situations where their autonomy is respected, they are provided clear, standardized, and transparent information, and when they trust their physician. These results will be used to inform the development of a new national registry for expanding access to deceased-donor kidney transplant.Trial Registration:Not registered.

P.147: Clinical Outcome of Pancreas Transplantation From Expanded Criteria Donors: From a Single-center Experience

P.147: Clinical Outcome of Pancreas Transplantation From Expanded Criteria Donors: From a Single-center Experience

Donor Death Category Is an Effect Modifier Between Cold Ischemia Time and Post-transplant Graft Function in Deceased-Donor Kidney Transplant Recipients.

Objectives: We aimed to analyze the effect of cold ischemia time (CIT) on post-transplant graft function through mixed-effect model analysis to reduce the bias caused by paired mate kidneys.Methods: We reviewed all kidney transplantation records from 2015 to 2019 at our center. After applying the exclusion criteria, 561 cases were included for analysis. All donor characteristics, preservation and matching information, and recipient characteristics were collected. Transplant outcomes included delayed graft function (DGF) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Generalized linear mixed models were applied for analysis. We also explored potential effect modifiers, namely, donor death category, expanded criteria donors, and donor death causes.Results: Among the 561 cases, 79 DGF recipients developed DGF, and 15 recipients who died after surgery were excluded from the eGFR estimation. The median stable eGFR of the 546 recipients was 60.39 (47.63, 76.97) ml/min/1.73 m2. After adjusting for confounding covariates, CIT had a negative impact on DGF incidence [odds ratio = 1.149 (1.006, 1.313), P = 0.041]. In the evaluation of the impact on eGFR, the regression showed that CIT had no significant correlation with eGFR [β = −0.287 (−0.625, 0.051), P = 0.096]. When exploring potential effect modifiers, only the death category showed a significant interaction with CIT in the effect on eGFR (Pinteraction = 0.027). In the donation after brain death (DBD) group, CIT had no significant effect on eGFR [β = 0.135 (−0.433, 0.702), P = 0.642]. In the donation after circulatory death/donation after brain death followed by circulatory death (DCD/DBCD) group, CIT had a significantly negative effect on eGFR [β= −0.700 (−1.196, −0.204), P = 0.006]. Compared to a CIT of 0–6 h, a CIT of 6–8 or 8–12 h did not decrease the post-transplant eGFR. CIT over 12 h (12–16 h or over 16 h) significantly decreased eGFR. With the increase in CIT, the regenerated eGFR worsened (Ptrend = 0.011).Conclusion: Considering the effect of paired mate kidneys, the risk of DGF increased with prolonged CIT. The donor death category was an effect modifier between CIT and eGFR. Prolonged CIT did not reduce the eGFR level in recipients from DBDs but significantly decreased the eGFR in recipients from DCDs/DBCDs. This result indicates the potential biological interaction between CIT and donor death category.

Abstract 12663: Impact of Increased Utilization of Expanded Criteria Donors at a High-Volume Heart Transplant Center: A Quasi-Experimental Analysis

Introduction: Increased use of expanded criteria donors (ECDs) could alleviate the donor shortage in heart transplantation (HT), but whether ECDs confer acceptable outcomes remains unclear. We utilized a “natural experiment” to assess the impact of ECD utilization on outcomes. Methods: We evaluated outcomes before (2011-15; “pre-intervention”) and after (2016-18; “post-intervention”) the adoption of an aggressive ECD utilization strategy at our high-volume HT program. We compared pre- vs. post- intervention changes in outcomes at our program with those occurring concurrently at other programs in the United States. We defined an ECD as a donor with age &gt; 50 years, left ventricular ejection fraction &lt; 50%, and/or coronary artery disease. Results: ECD utilization at our program increased from 10.9% of all HTs pre-intervention to 28.0% post-intervention (p &lt; 0.0001), with a concurrent decrease in ECD utilization nationwide (12.5% to 11.7%; p = 0.08). There was no concurrent change at our program in recipient mix by priority status at listing, blood type, demographics, or comorbidities. Our program experienced significant decreases (pre- vs. post- intervention) in median wait times (67 to 42 days; p = 0.05) and the proportions with prolonged (&gt; 10 days) hospitalization (25.0% to 17.1%; p = 0.04) and any MCS or inotrope requirement (79.4% to 70.6%; p = 0.03) prior to transplant. Nationwide, median wait times were unchanged (p = 0.18) and prolonged pre-transplant hospitalization (p = 0.0009) and MCS/inotrope utilization (p &lt; 0.0001) were increasingly common. At our program, there was no significant change in a composite of death or graft failure at 30 days (2.8% to 1.9%; p = 0.32) or 1 year (6.9% to 8.1%; p = 0.21) post-HT. Concurrently, there were modest changes nationwide in this composite outcome at 30 days (4.3% to 3.7%; p = 0.05) and 1 year (9.9% to 8.6%; p = 0.003). Conclusions: A “natural experiment” employing increased ECD utilization at a high-volume HT program was associated with decreases in wait times, duration of hospitalization, and MCS or inotrope requirement prior to transplant, with no accompanying change in recipient mix or post-transplant outcomes. Broader ECD utilization is likely a safe and resource-saving strategy to alleviate the donor shortage in HT.

Long-term survival benefit from dual kidney transplantation using kidneys from donors with very extended criteria-a French cohort between 2002 and 2014.

This national multicentre retrospective cohort study aimed to assess the long-term outcomes of dual kidney transplantation (DKT) and compare them with those obtained from single kidney transplantation (SKT). Our first analysis concerned all first transplants performed between May 2002 and December 2014, from marginal donors, defined as brain death donors older than 65 years, with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) lower than 90mL/min/1.73 m2. The second analysis was restricted to transplants adequately allocated according to the French DKT program based on donor eGFR: DKT for eGFR between 30 and 60, SKT for eGFR between 60 and 90mL/min/1.73 m2. Recipients younger than 65 years or with a panel-reactive antibody percentage≥25% were excluded. The first analysis included 461 DKT and 1131 SKT. DKT donors were significantly older (77.6 versus 74 years), had a more frequent history of hypertension and a lower eGFR (55.1 versus 63.6mL/min/1.73 m2). While primary nonfunction and delayed graft function did not differ between SKT and DKT, 1-year eGFR was lower in SKT recipients (39versus 49mL/min/1.73 m2, P<0.001). Graft survival was significantly better in DKT, even after adjustment for recipient and donor risk factors. Nevertheless, patient survival did not differ between these groups. The second analysis included 293 DKT and 687 SKT adequately allocated with donor eGFR and displayed similar results but with a smaller benefit in terms of graft survival. In a context of organ shortage, DKT is a good option for optimizing the use of kidneys from very expanded criteria donors.

Deciphering transplant outcomes of expanded kidney allografts donated after controlled circulatory death in the current transplant era. A call for caution.

Outcomes of kidney transplantation (KT) after controlled circulatory death (cDCD) with highly expanded criteria donors (ECD) and recipients have not been thoroughly evaluated. We analyzed in a multicenter cohort of 1161 consecutive KT, granular baseline donor and recipient factors predicting transplant outcomes, selected by bootstrapping and Cox proportional hazards, and were validated in a contemporaneous European KT cohort (n=1585). 74.3% were DBD and 25.7% cDCD-KT. ECD-KT showed the poorest graft survival rates, irrespective of cDCD or DBD (log-rank<0.001). Besides standard ECD classification, dialysis vintage, older age, and previous cardiovascular recipient events together with low class-II-HLA match, long cold ischemia time and combining a diabetic donor with a cDCD predicted graft loss (C-Index 0.715, 95% CI 0.675-0.755). External validation showed good prediction accuracy (C-Index 0.697, 95%CI 0.643-0.741). Recipient older age, male gender, dialysis vintage, previous cardiovascular events, and receiving a cDCD independently predicted patient death. Benefit/risk assessment of undergoing KT was compared with concurrent waitlisted candidates, and despite the fact that undergoing KT outperformed remaining waitlisted, remarkably high mortality rates were predicted if KT was undertaken under the worst risk-prediction model. Strategies to increase the donor pool, including cDCD transplants with highly expanded donor and recipient candidates, should be performed with caution.

Early Graft Loss Following Transplantation From Expanded Criteria Donors.

Expanded criteria donor (ECD) kidneys are associated with higher graft loss rates than standard criteria donor kidneys. We sought to determine factors associated with early graft loss and their discrimination ability for this outcome compared with kidney donor risk index. Data were extracted from the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA) for ECD transplants between 1997 and 2014. The primary outcome was early graft loss (all-cause graft loss within 3 y of transplantation). Death-censored graft loss was substituted as a sensitivity analysis. Era-adjusted odds ratios were calculated by multivariable logistic regression for donor, recipient, and transplant factors available at transplantation. Discrimination was assessed by c-statistic, with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) calculated by bootstrapping. Of 2152 ECD kidney transplants, early graft loss occurred in 406 (19%) and was associated with recipient diabetes, smoking, First Nations recipients, and oliguria. Of factors defining ECD (age, elevated terminal creatinine, hypertension, death from cerebrovascular accident), all but mode of death were associated with early graft loss. The multivariable model, including known donor, recipient, and transplant factors, was moderately good at predicting early graft loss (c-statistic 0.65; 95% CI, 0.62-0.68). Recipient factors (c-statistic 0.62; 95% CI, 0.59-0.65) performed equally well compared with donor factors (c-statistic 0.60; 95% CI, 0.57-0.64) or the kidney donor risk index (c-statistic 0.60; 95% CI, 0.56-0.63). Early graft loss occurs in approximately one-fifth of ECD kidney transplants. The discriminatory value of commonly used recipient, donor, and transplant factors are approximately comparable and limited.

Influence of Cold Ischemia Time on the Outcome of Kidney Transplants from Donors Aged 70 Years and Above-A Collaborative Transplant Study Report.

The use of kidney allografts from ≥70-y-old donors has increased persistently over the last 20 y. Prolonged cold ischemia time (CIT) is well known to increase graft failure risk. However, despite their growing importance, no data are available on the impact of CIT, specifically on survival of allografts from ≥70-y-old donors. In total, 47 585 kidney transplantations from expanded criteria donors (ECDs) performed during 2000-2017 and reported to the Collaborative Transplant Study were analyzed. The impact of CIT on 5-y death-censored graft and patient survival was studied for transplantations from <70-y (n = 33 305) and ≥70-y-old ECDs (n = 14 280). Compared with the reference of ≤12 h CIT, a CIT of 13-18 h did not increase the risk of graft failure significantly, either for recipients of kidneys from <70-y or from ≥70-y-old ECDs. In contrast, graft failure risk increased significantly when CIT exceeded 18 h, both in recipients of kidneys from <70-y and, more pronounced, from ≥70-y-old ECDs (CIT 19-24 h: hazard ratio [HR] = 1.19 and 1.24; P < 0.001; CIT ≥24 h: HR = 1.28 and 1.32, P < 0.001 and P =0.003, respectively). Within the 18-h CIT interval, additional HLA matching further improved survival of ECD transplants significantly, whereas the negative impact of a prolonged CIT >18 h was stronger in ≥65-y-old recipients and for transplants with multiple HLA mismatches. The influence of CIT on patient survival was less pronounced. CIT, as long it is kept ≤18 h, has no significant impact on survival of kidney transplants, even from ≥70-y-old ECDs.