Domestic Industry Research Articles

Nickel export ban policy in Indonesia - a path to sustainable economic development?

Electric-based vehicles (EV) come as an option for the solution over the GHG emissions problem resulting from energy production and transportation. Background. The demand for nickel, as a vital component of the lithium-ion batteries used in EV increases significantly and Indonesia plays a critical role as the owner of the world's largest nickel reserve. While exporting raw materials can increase national income, Indonesia misses out on the opportunity to capture higher value-added benefits from downstream processing and manufacturing. The nickel export ban policy is proposed by the Indonesian government as an effort to encourage the growth of the domestic nickel processing industry and capture higher value from the country’s nickel resources. From the creation of domestic value addition, industrial development, and sustainable resource management, it is hoped that Indonesia will move toward sustainable economic development. Methods. This paper reviewed component required to assess the nickel export strategy for long-term economic growth. We used a straightforward approach, outlining each sustainability principle's underlying objectives and providing justifications for why it should be considered in the nickel sector. By citing justifications for their advantages and justifications for their risks, we analyzed the existing policy. Results and discussions. Indonesia's nickel sector does not comply with sustainability principles and is used as a raw material for electric vehicle batteries, but it may only benefit a few people rather than the general welfare of the community. Conclusion. Therefore, the government's decision to impose a ban on nickel exports is correct, but it must be accompanied by efforts to improve both in terms of technology and policies regarding natural resource management. To control the power inclination to ensure sustainability and equality that sustainable natural resource management promotes, further study of the political component is required.

Public Discussion in Russia on Foreign Automobile Purchases and Import Substitution during First World War

The article examines the issue of Russian automobile transport’s dependence on foreign purchases during the First World War and the absence of a developed domestic automotive industry. For the first time, this question is explored through the prism of discussions held at public organization meetings, in the State Duma, and in the pages of periodicals. Special attention is paid to the importance of automobiles during the war, criticism of the existing situation in the automotive transport sector, the inadmissibility of its complete dependence on foreign states, and the necessity of import substitution through the creation of domestic automobile plants and related enterprises. New sources are introduced into the scholarly discourse, allowing for a more comprehensive understanding of both the problems that have arisen in the field of automobile transport and their perception by Russian society. It is noted that, despite differences in approaches to organizing the domestic automotive industry, participants in the public discussion unanimously agreed on the need to overcome the situation that existed before the war, the inadmissibility of total dependence on foreign supplies in a matter of great importance to military affairs, and the urgency of developing national production of automobile transport on a state scale.

Evaluating the benefits of dark and quiet skies in an age of satellite mega-constellations

In an age of proliferating satellite constellations and congested Earth orbits, what is the status and value of dark and quiet skies? Satellite mega-constellations such as Starlink are illuminating the night sky with unnatural light and making astronomical observations—both professional and recreational—increasingly difficult. Radio frequency interference (RFI) from these constellations also adds obtrusive “noise,” impacting sensitive astronomical observations in the radio portion of the electromagnetic spectrum. Scientists predict that the growing commercial space sector will add more than 100,000 satellites to Earth's orbit by the end of the decade, raising concerns from numerous scientists as to the future of dark skies. Astronomy, in particular, is inevitably affected by the impending disappearance of dark and quiet skies, which are necessary conditions for many aspects of scientific research. This topic has also gained attention, at both the international level and national level, within the United States. Nonetheless, contributions to the conversation of mitigating light/noise pollution predominantly focus on the likely adverse effects of artificial sky brightening from satellites. A holistic discussion is also warranted on the benefits of existing night skies and their significance for society.This paper addresses the positive value of dark skies and the significance of protecting astronomy through current governing and analogous frameworks. First, this paper evaluates dark skies’ application under existing international and national law and policy, highlighting lacunae in governance and outlining convoluted issues for Earth-based science (astronomy) versus the lawful use of space (satellites). U.S. space law is used as a case study given the extensive history of the United States in space, comprehensive U.S. space political infrastructures, and the burgeoning domestic satellite mega-constellation industry. Second, relevant ethical values are identified to clarify inherent moral considerations that can guide policymaking and serve to establish practical measures and approaches to balance the conflicting interests of astronomers and satellite operators. Significantly, this paper contributes to the topic by explaining how the advent of technological change creates new conflicts on Earth and expounds on how and why these issues are lacking or are inadequate under current international frameworks. Moreover, this work explores key ethical values on this topic for informing public policy on dark and quiet skies and highlights some mechanisms for resolving these conflicts. In conclusion, the recession of dark skies is already occurring, and the likely impacts require transparency, good will, and interdisciplinary compromise between scientists, policymakers, and the space industry.

Integration of European legislative practices in risk management and solvency in the domestic insurance industry

The insurance industry of Ukraine is on the verge of significant changes associated with the integration processes into the European legal framework. It has been identified that the adaptation of domestic insurance legislation to EU Directives requires insurers to form solvency capital, taking into account the minimum capital requirements, and implement a risk-oriented approach in managing their activities. It is noted that there is a need for a gradual implementation of the legislative norms of the European Union presented in the Solvency II Directive into the domestic legislation. This is because the Ukrainian insurance sector is in a turbulent state, primarily associated with military risks, and the key uncertainty currently lies in the liabilities of insurers. The paper employs methods such as analysis, comparison, logical inference formation, and generalization based on the materials of studies by domestic and foreign scholars, as well as legislative norms. These methods are used to investigate the main legislative requirements for risk and capital management in insurance companies. Differences in the sizes of the minimum required capital for domestic and foreign companies are identified, and recommendations are provided to reduce the review periods of its absolute regulatory values defined by Ukrainian legislation, taking into account new risks. The necessity of gradually introducing European legislative innovations is substantiated, considering the peculiarities of the domestic insurance market. This is because the provisions of the Solvency II Directive impose heightened requirements on the capitalization of insurers to cover risks. A conclusion is drawn that the implementation of a risk-oriented approach will not only allow for a prompt response to identified risks but also ensure commitments to clients and enhance the financial stability of insurance companies in Ukraine. The transformation of Ukrainian insurance legislation into the European legislative field provides many positive aspects for domestic insurers to conduct their activities on an efficient, risk-free, fair and stable insurance market.

Scenario Planning Approach of Coal Market Sales on PT ABCoal Towards Energy Transitions Era

Nowadays, energy transition is one of the major events faced by coal producers, particularly Indonesian coal producers. PT ABCoal is one of the largest coal producers in Indonesia. Based on the company’s 5-year plan, PT ABCoal is expected to increase its production volume from 25 to 30 million metric tons to around 35 to 45 million metric tons. Within the export market, most of the sales (around 50%) were sold to the Chinese market through off-takers. Meanwhile, the 25% for the domestic market is obliged by the Indonesian government regulation and is not negotiable. This research aimed to understand the future condition of the coal market within the next five years and what scenario would likely happen in the next five years. Afterward, it would try to provide the coal sales strategy that will fit into those scenarios using explorative scenario planning with expert interviews to obtain the perspective and knowledge from an interviewee who has expertise in this field. The obtained answers are then mapped into the PESTLE analysis framework to obtain more understanding and collect thorough driving forces data. The critical impact and high uncertainty were determined through qualitative-quantitative analysis from interview results using content analysis. Based on the analysis in this research, it is concluded that the top driving forces that are being used for scenario elements are coal price and government regulation. This research creates four scenarios that are called business as usual, finding a new home, home sweet home, and more is better. Each scenario needs a different approach to coal sales strategy to optimize its revenue and ensure the sustainability of its selling operation. The coal sales strategy optimization for each scenario is based on domestic and export composition, preferable domestic industry target composition, and developing-country export composition.

A case study on the impacts of future climate change on soybean yield and countermeasures in Fujin city of Heilongjiang province, China

Global climate change poses a great impact on crop growth, development and yield. Soybean production in Northeast China, which is one of the traditional dominant soybean production areas in China, is of great significance for developing the domestic soybean industry and reducing dependence on imported soybeans. Therefore, it is crucial to evaluate the impacts of future climate change on soybean yield in Northeast China, and to propose reasonable adaptation measures. In this study, we took Fujin city of Heilongjiang province in Northeast China as an example, and used the CROPGRO-soybean model in DSSAT (Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer) to simulate the impacts of future climate change on soybean yield in the four periods of the 2020s (2021-2030), 2030s (2031-2040), 2040s (2041-2050) and 2050s (2051-2060) under two representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), and further determine the best agronomic management practices. The results showed that the calibrated and validated model is suitable for simulating soybean in the study area. By analyzing the meteorological data under future climate scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 from the PRECIS regional climate model, we found that the average temperature, cumulative precipitation and cumulative solar radiation would mostly increase during the growing season in Fujin city of Heilongjiang province. Combined with the model simulation results, it is shown that under the effect of CO2 fertilization, future climate change will have a positive impact on soybean yield. Compared to the baseline (1986-2005), the soybean yield would increase by 0.6% (7.4%), 3.3% (5.1%), 6.0% (16.8%) and 12.3% (20.6%) in the 2020s, 2030s, 2040s and 2050s under RCP4.5 (RCP8.5).Moreover, the optimal sowing dates and the optimal supplemental irrigation amount under RCP4.5 (RCP8.5) are May 10 (May 5) and 50 mm (40mm), respectively. Under future climate conditions, the agronomic management practices, such as advancing the sowing date and supplementary irrigation in the key stage of soybean growth would increase soybean yield and make soybean growth more adaptable to future climate change.

INDUSTRIAL SECTOR OF THE ECONOMY OF UKRAINE IN THE CONDITIONS OF GLOBAL CHALLENGES: ASSESSMENT OF STRUCTURAL CHANGES

A comparative (with individual EU countries) assessment of the economic efficiency of the processing industry of Ukraine was carried out in the section of 16 productions according to the indicator of the share of gross added value in the output. The technological structure of the output of the domestic industry during 2013-2022 was studied. The main causes of negative structural transformations in the industrial sector of the national economy during the specified period have been identified. The impact of Russia's full-scale military aggression on indicators of the dynamics and structure of industrial products sold in Ukraine and abroad is analyzed. The desired directions of structural changes in the output of the processing industry are analytically substantiated, based on the importance of its strategic segments, primarily mechanical engineering.

Analyzing the Development Status of Contemporary Chinese Cosmetics Market via Practices of Merge and Acquisition in the Luxury Industry

China’s cosmetics industry has long been in a situation of potential problems. Especially during the COVID-19 pandemic, the cosmetics industry suffered certain setbacks, resulting in limited development. The cosmetics market in China has always been dominated by foreign products. Through research, it has been found that there are many domestic cosmetics brands, but there is a lack of experience in management and operation. This article analyzes the mergers and acquisitions and development history of international luxury goods groups, and analyzes whether there are any parts that can be used for reference to promote the development of the domestic cosmetics industry. The article found that due to the unified production and non-reliance on manual characteristics of the cosmetics industry, only a portion of experience in management and operation can be learnt. It does not support Chinese brands to develop solely according to the merger and acquisition methods of luxury goods groups.

Assessing Antimicrobial Efficacy on Plastics and Other Non-Porous Surfaces: A Closer Look at Studies Using the ISO 22196:2011 Standard.

The survival and spread of foodborne and nosocomial-associated bacteria through high-touch surfaces or contamination-prone sites, in either healthcare, domestic or food industry settings, are not always prevented by the employment of sanitary hygiene protocols. Antimicrobial surface coatings have emerged as a solution to eradicate pathogenic bacteria and prevent future infections and even outbreaks. Standardised antimicrobial testing methods play a crucial role in validating the effectiveness of these materials and enabling their application in real-life settings, providing reliable results that allow for comparison between antimicrobial surfaces while assuring end-use product safety. This review provides an insight into the studies using ISO 22196, which is considered the gold standard for antimicrobial surface coatings and examines the current state of the art in antimicrobial testing methods. It primarily focuses on identifying pitfalls and how even small variations in methods can lead to different results, affecting the assessment of the antimicrobial activity of a particular product.

Indonesia's Strategy in Dealing with The European Union Green Protectionism in The Palm Oil Trade

The presence of palm oil in the international market is relatively competitive. As a producer of 59% of global palm oil, Indonesia faces green protectionism in the EU market. It is used for environmental protection, anti-deforestation, and global warming control. Therefore, this study analyzes Indonesia's response to EU market protectionism. The study uses the perspective of protectionism and the dynamics of state adjustment behavior in conflicts of national interest. The country's adjustment strategy theory is complemented by the behavioral choice strategy theory in facing international sanctions. The authors use qualitative methods, with literature study, observation, and supplemented interviews. In dealing with palm oil trade barriers, Indonesia initially utilized the domestic offensive strategy to deal with the restrictions, changing domestic palm oil management policies, including forest moratorium, terminating palm oil permits, adopting the ISPO certification system, and downstream the domestic palm oil industry. However, it was ineffective, and various restrictions became more vigorous, so Indonesia implemented an international offensive strategy, encouraging changes in international regulations and eliminating protectionism against palm oil. Nevertheless, the resistance has yet to be very successful. Therefore, Indonesia must perform proactive conformance to find new markets for Indonesian palm oil.

Economic Growth and Policy Dynamics in Contemporary China: A Comprehensive Analysis and Future Outlook

The Chinese economy has grown dramatically over the past few decades. China's economic rise is particularly intriguing because it defies conventional economic models and has been driven by unique policies and dynamics. Nevertheless, in a world characterized by increasing protectionism, international trade tensions, and changes in investor sentiment, the sustainability of China's economic growth model has come into question. Chinese policymakers should navigate these shifts as investors reconsider their positions and countries protect their domestic industries. This paper investigates the policy dynamics that have contributed to the rapid economic growth in China. It also describes the various economic models that can describe the Chinese economic model. The paper reveals s that consumption, investments, and exports are the major drivers of economic growth in China. Consumption in retail sales is robust and is projected to keep increasing yearly into the future. Keynesian theory asserts that aggregate demand is the most important driving force in an economy. As such, the aggregate demand for consumer goods by government, businesses, and households is high in China. Investments are also a major driver in creating gross fixed capital. Investments from a neoclassical perspective show that investors are concerned with maximizing The conclusion shows that in a world where countries are increasingly protective of domestic industries and also where investors are withdrawing from China, policymakers will have to focus on internal growth and consumption as the driver of economic growth.

Integrated characterization of filler tobacco leaves: HS–SPME–GC–MS, E-nose, and microbiome analysis across different origins

This study delves into the aroma characteristics and microbial composition of filler tobacco leaves (FTLs) sourced from six distinct cigar-growing regions within Yunnan, China, following standardized fermentation. An integrated approach using gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GC–MS), electronic nose (E-nose), and microbiome analysis was employed for comprehensive profiling. Results derived from Linear Discriminant Analysis (LDA) using E-nose data confirmed the presence of notable variability in flavor substance profiles among the FTLs from six regions. Additionally, GC–MS was used to discern disparities in volatile organic compound (VOC) distribution across FTLs from these regions, identifying 92, 81, 79, 58, 69, and 92 VOCs within each respective sample set. Significantly, 24 VOCs emerged as pivotal determinants contributing to the heterogeneity of flavor profiles among FTLs from diverse origins, as indicated by Variable Importance for the Projection (VIP) analysis. Furthermore, distinctions in free amino acid content and chemical constituents were observed across FTLs. Of noteworthy significance, solanone, isophorone, durene, (-)-alpha-terpineol, and 2,3'-bipyridine exhibited the strongest correlations with microbiome data, with fungal microorganisms exerting a more pronounced influence on metabolites, as elucidated through two-way orthogonal partial least-squares (O2PLS) modeling. These findings provide a theoretical and technical basis for accurately evaluating the synchronization of FTLs in aromas and fermentation processes, and they will enhance the quality of fermented FTLs and foster the growth of the domestic cigar tobacco industry ultimately.Graphical

Exploring the Challenges Faced by ‘Examination’ Phase of Intellectual Property (IP) Life Cycle – A Pilot Study

This pilot study delves into challenges during the 'Examination' phase of the Intellectual Property (IP) life cycle, focusing on complexities in IP search. By addressing limitations in existing databases and the dynamic nature of technology, the study aims to comprehend their impact on decision-making. Employing qualitative interviews and developmental research over 16 weeks, the study identifies challenges, explores their specific aspects, and establishes a foundation for future research. Innovators underscore the crucial role of IP search in grant timelines, commercial use, and protection, emphasizing challenges in terminology and databases. Legally, IP search challenges impact accuracy, validity, and infringement risks, necessitating engagement with legal professionals and advanced tools for compliance and precision. Private companies perceive IP search challenges as pivotal for operations, requiring advanced technologies and engagement with IP experts. IP service providers face challenges in data complexity, terminology, and cross-jurisdictional differences, investing in research and advanced tools for accurate search services. Government offices see IP search challenges as vital for promoting innovation, focusing on patent quality and supporting domestic industries. Educators encounter challenges impacting information access, emphasizing collaboration and specialized tools for teaching enhancement. Respondents in the pilot study highlight challenges in readability, articulation, and translation during IP search examination. Process standardization issues and participants' knowledge levels in legal and technical aspects are crucial considerations. Limitations in existing tools and significant efforts throughout the IP life cycle are also emphasized. Findings suggest a need for improvements in language, standardization, legal knowledge, software functionality, and educational approaches to comprehensively address IP search challenges.

New Challenges and Opportunities of Indonesian Crude Palm Oil in International Trade

Indonesia is one of the largest palm oil producers in the world. The palm oil industry must look at the market competition map, starting from competing countries and other export opportunities to absorb palm oil products to increase state revenues. This paper analyzes the new challenges and opportunities for Crude Palm Oil (CPO) in Indonesia in international trade. Analytical tools were Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA), Dynamic Product Export and X-model Potential Export. The results showed that Indonesian and Malaysian palm oil commodities obtained an RCA value of more than 1 and an RSCA value of close to 1. Indonesia is more competitive than Malaysia. The X-model showed that Indonesian CPO market share optimism is only in India and the rest is less potent. Malaysian CPO market share also has less potential. Therefore, Indonesia’s new challenges are export tariffs, obstructed access, insufficient downstream production and a black campaign. The opportunity for participation in the CPO export market is only in India compared to Malaysia, which has less potential. The two countries have less potential in destinations such as the Netherlands, USA, China and Kenya. Indonesia can take external policies by establishing cooperation with export destination countries, such as trade agreements, so that information about Indonesian palm oil is well received. Meanwhile, internal policies strengthen domestic downstream industry policies, such as the food, health, and renewable energy industries, to strengthen the domestic economy and improve the welfare of Indonesian palm oil farmers.

Potential Pollution Loads of the Cikembar Sub-Watershed to the Cicatih River, West Java, Indonesia

The Cicatih River in the Cikembar sub-watershed, located in Sukabumi Regency, flows along the upstream of the Cikembar sub-watershed and Palabuhan Ratu Bay. For decades, the river has served as a vital water resource, catering to various needs such as domestic use, agriculture, livestock, fisheries, industry, mining, tourism, and hydroelectric power. Recently, the Sukabumi Regency Government made the pollution of coastal and river areas one of the priority issues on sustainable development initiatives for the Sukabumi Regency. This highlights the importance of managing the Cicatih River, one of the main rivers in the regency. This research aims to analyze the potential pollution loads in the Cikembar sub-watershed to the Cicatih River by assessing its water quality status and potential pollution loads from four main sectors: domestic, agricultural, livestock, and industrial. The water quality was calculated based on the Pollution Index method. The potential pollution load from different sources was analyzed using various emission factor calculations. For each pollutant source, the following parameters were analyzed: total suspended solids (TSS), biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), chemical oxygen demand (COD), Total-N (nitrogen), and Total-P (phosphorus). Results showed that the condition of the Cicatih River is slightly polluted. The parameter exceeding its maximum threshold is BOD. The largest contributor to the potential pollution load of BOD is the domestic sector (53%), while the agricultural sector is the least (2%). In the domestic sector, Bojongkembar Village is the largest contributor to the potential pollution load. The results of this analysis can be used to develop strategies for managing the overall Cikembar sub-watershed.

Research on the Optimization Measures for Live Marketing of Domestic Beauty Brands-Taking Huaxizi as an Example

The online celebrity live streaming marketing model is a new marketing model. This paper takes Huaxizi as an example to analyze the main problems in the online celebrity live streaming marketing of domestic beauty brands, and propose effective optimization strategies. Research has found that there are four issues with online celebrity live streaming marketing: a lack of reasonable planning, a single online celebrity live streaming method that is prone to aesthetic fatigue, exaggeration of product functions to induce consumers to purchase, and a serious low feasibility of commercialization of online celebrity live streaming content. And specific suggestions and countermeasures were given for these four issues: make a good live broadcast plan in advance and remind the broadcast to start in a timely manner; increase the marketing content and methods of online celebrity live streaming, and innovate through innovation; remind consumers to consume reasonably and ensure product quality; and online celebrity live streaming needs to maintain a balance between content and business. Finally, it is expected that this article can provide reference case inspiration for the research on the online celebrity live streaming marketing model of domestic beauty industry brands, and bring certain reference value to relevant enterprises in the industry.

Adapting to Turbulence: How Global Retail Giants Navigate Trade Wars and Reshape International Trade Norms

More than just a part of the economic landscape, retailing has a profound impact on society, culture, and the market economy. As an integral part of the economic ecosystem, retailing provides goods and services to consumers and is also an enabler of economic growth, closely linked to other industries. Global retail giants play an important role in international trade by increasing supply chain transparency and encouraging suppliers to comply with ethical labor practices and environmental standards. This commitment to sustainability and social responsibility is consistent with the emphasis on fair labor practices and environmental stewardship in international trade norms. However, significant challenges arise when confronted with the trade-off between national interests and the interests of transnational corporations on the global stage. Governments often aim to protect domestic industries and jobs, which may conflict with the interests of global retailers in having smooth access to global markets. Finding the right balance between these interests remains a perennial challenge in international trade discussions. In addition, the burgeoning trade war between the United States and China has had varying degrees of impact on the retail industry. Therefore, this dissertation will delve into the new challenges and changes faced by retail giants in the context of the trade war.

The Effectiveness of Safeguard Measures in Elevating the Competitiveness of Domestic Industry: Case Study of Indonesia's Textile Industry

Temporary trade barriers, such as safeguards, is a measure to rescue the economy in such a way as to protect domestic industries from foreign competitors. Safeguards provide opportunities for domestic industries to make structural adjustments and reshape their business process to increase their competitiveness during the validity period. Indonesia's government has imposed safeguards for most textile sub-industries, from the upstream industry (yarn and fibres) to the downstream garment industry and other related textile industries. This paper aims to evaluate whether the application of safeguards meets its objectives in improving the competitiveness of domestic industry against its foreign competitors with a long observation period. It is found that the effectiveness of the application of safeguards was limited to rescuing the trade balance. In terms of export competitiveness, safeguards have not been effective in increasing the export competitiveness of the textile industry in the world market.

Public support and opposition toward floating offshore wind power development in Norway

For countries like Norway, with abundant offshore wind resources and deep seas, floating wind power technology can play an essential role in the green energy transition. However, this technology is still immature, and the first utility-scale floating offshore wind power projects need substantial support for technology development to be commercially feasible. This study employs an online survey targeting the general population in Norway (N = 1011) to investigate support and opposition toward floating offshore wind power development. The survey includes a discrete choice experiment focusing on policy-relevant factors such as the export of electricity, reducing domestic carbon emissions by electrifying offshore oil and gas platforms, impact on global technology cost trends, and involving domestic offshore industries as key players in the floating offshore wind sector. We find the highest support for developing projects that utilize technology from domestic offshore industries and projects connected to the domestic electricity grid. Projects aimed at reducing domestic carbon emissions by electrifying offshore oil and gas platforms are favored over those for exporting electricity to other countries. A significant impact on future technology costs does not lead to increased support for the project. Projects presented after a framing text focusing on meeting future electricity demand result in a higher willingness to pay for floating offshore wind projects than those presented after a framing text focusing on meeting climate objectives. Respondents opposing all the projects are likely climate skeptics and believe that project developers should bear all the project costs. Norway is expected to play a critical role in developing floating wind power. However, the Norwegians demand clear national benefits to be willing to shoulder the cost of spearheading the floating offshore wind power development. Understanding these preferences is vital for crafting energy policies aligning with public interests and rapidly integrating floating wind power into the green energy transition.

Risk factors analysis of semiconductor components based on CART

Semiconductor chip is the core of the digital economy, has important strategic significance, in recent years, the global semiconductor market size is growing rapidly. At present, the domestic semiconductor industry is still in the late stage relative to the leading enterprises with first-mover advantages, and is in urgent need of rapid and stable development. The international and domestic semiconductor market has been analysed and focuses on the opportunities and challenges currently facing the domestic semiconductor industry. Based on the semiconductor component risk assessment data, the risk value of semiconductor components is modelled and analysed from a microscopic point of view using the CART regression tree method in data mining, and the model accuracy is further verified and improved by XGBoost, which analyses the microscopic influencing factors of semiconductor component risk, and is an important revelation for the construction of a complete semiconductor component risk prediction mechanism in China.