Development Of Production Technology Research Articles

CHINA’S AGRICULTURAL FOREIGN TRADE FLOWS: TRENDS, CHALLENGES, AND OPPORTUNITIES

Purpose. The aim of the article is to analyse China’s agricultural import and export in the context of global geopolitical transformations and identification of trends, challenges, and opportunities for the state’s agricultural policy based on this analysis. Methodology of research. The following methods were used in the research: analysis and synthesis to evaluate the dynamics, product, and geographical structure of China’s agricultural foreign trade; SWOT analysis to assess the strengths, weaknesses, threats, and opportunities of the state’s agricultural policy; abstract and logical method to summarize information from various sources and create a comprehensive understanding of the researched problem, forming theoretical conclusions and generalizations; and graphical method to visualize the research results. Findings. It was found that in 2023, the dynamics of China’s foreign trade in agricultural products continued to show a growth trend that has been observed over the past decade. It was demonstrated that the development of China’s agricultural exports has effectively contributed to the deep expansion and diversification of the agricultural value chain, opening new opportunities for promoting high-quality agricultural development. At the same time, it was noted that China has abolished non-tariff measures on agricultural products and export subsidies for all agricultural products, making it one of the most open markets for agricultural products. However, it was proven that in terms of imports, China remains one of the most dependent countries in the world, which is related to the relatively small area of arable land, large population, and insufficient intensification, technological development, and mechanization of tangible agricultural production. Originality. The research on trends in the development of China’s international trade in agricultural products in the post-COVID period has been further developed, taking into account new geopolitical realities. Using the SWOT analysis method, the strengths, weaknesses, threats, and opportunities of China’s agricultural policy were identified. Practical value. The substantiated conclusions and recommendations derived from the research can be used to determine the strategic directions for the development of China’s trade relations, as well as to intensify agricultural trade flows between Ukraine and China. Key words: international trade, export, import, agriculture, peripheral regions, foreign policy, global risks, competitiveness.

한성기 백제토기 생산시스템 발달과 사회 변화의 상관성

In ancient society, earthenware had a meaning beyond its original purpose of containing, storing, or cooking food, and can be seen to have been directly and indirectly influenced politically and socially. The influx of new material culture promoted the emergence of new cultures, divided classes, and gave rise to new food cultures. Additionally, those in demand developed earthenware production technology. In the Hanseong period, with the development of Baekje pottery production technology, the production time was shortened with the spread of blade technology, cutting face, and rotating table, which became the basis for mass production. As firing technology developed, kiln firing, overlap firing, and high-density firing became possible, and complex production methods were operated depending on the model. In addition, it became possible to produce a special type of black polished earthenware. Additionally, with the development of earthenware production technology, the diversity of tableware and eating patterns were established. Exclusive ceremonial earthenware used in ceremonial activities was produced. The production of ultra-large storage containers increased surplus production, and the emergence of ultra-large cooking utensils was used for banquets and ceremonial purposes. And the spread of steaming cooking methods using steaming pots, long-shaped earthenware, and stoves means that alcohol, rice cakes, etc. were manufactured. This technological development and use of earthenware is due to the increase in demand for Baekje earthenware during the Hanseong period, and it can be seen that these earthenware were very closely related to the process of social change. In ancient society, the production and consumption of earthenware triggered social changes, and as society became more complex and diverse, cooking methods and eating methods also became more complex. This is because earthenware and food are related to social stratification and overall culture. It should be seen that Baekje pottery during the Han Dynasty was changed and developed according to various political and social interactions at the time.

Development of technology for the production of all-purpose buckwheat malt using plasmochemically activated aqueous solutions

The result of the conducted research is the development of buckwheat malt production technology using plasma-chemically activated aqueous solutions. Buckwheat grain with high starch content became the object of research. The main technological problem is obtaining high-quality brewing malt suitable for the production of gluten-free beer. The expediency of using plasma-chemically activated aqueous solutions as an intensifier of the process of germination of buckwheat grains and an effective disinfectant of buckwheat malt has been experimentally proven. It is shown that the use of plasma chemical activation of technological solutions allows to speed up the process of moistening of buckwheat grain by more than 2 times. The energy and germination capacity of buckwheat grains, when using plasma-chemically activated aqueous solutions, underwent positive changes. The effect of increasing the energy of germination was from 8 to 14 %, and the ability to germinate was 2–9 %. The amylolytic activity of buckwheat malt was analyzed, an increase in amylolytic activity in the range of 30–77 units/g was noted. The extractability of buckwheat malt was investigated separately. This indicator increased by 2–9 % depending on the concentration of peroxides in the solution. The Kolbach index also increased by 2–10 %, which indicates an intensive course of proteolysis. The total amount of amino acids in the experimental samples increased by 619 mg/100 g. There was a significant decrease in the viscosity of the wort, which indicates the high solubility of the obtained buckwheat malt. The technology can be applied in the industrial production of brewing malt and sprouted buckwheat grain of functional purpose. The developed buckwheat malting technology will receive priority in the production of environmentally friendly buckwheat malts of universal purpose that are not contaminated with pathogenic microflora

Research of Green Innovation of Companies of Countries with Different Levels of Technological Development of Production

Abstract In the conditions of the transition to higher technological systems in the conditions of the implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals, the companies of the world face the question of effective management of green innovative development in their economic activities. The goal of the research is the formation of effective organizational and economic support for green innovations of companies of countries with different levels of technological development of production. This research contains: to describe the known positions of scientific schools regarding the managerial aspects of green innovations of companies of the world; to form the economic support of this administration, by developing an assessment of the potential of green innovations of companies of the world (the data of the Global Innovation Index Report were taken as a source of empirical data), to form criterion values of the potential of green innovations of companies of the countries for the purpose of their clustering. The research methods used include: system method; bibliometric analysis; method of assessing competitiveness; criterion method; method of generalization. The objects of evaluation include companies from five countries of Central and Eastern Europe. The main results of the study include: development of management theory; forming an assessment of the green innovation potential of companies from countries of the world with different levels of technological development of production (the data of the Global Innovation Index Report were taken as a source of empirical data); formation of criterion support for the results of evaluation of the green innovation potential of the countries’ companies. The conclusions of the study should include establishing the actualization of managing green innovations by companies of the world by involving the results of the assessment of the green innovation potential of companies of the world to the formation of the criterion values of this assessment in order to make effective management decisions on the part of all interested stakeholders. For further scientific research, to focus on the formation of effective communication links between different groups of stakeholders, the basis of this scientific direction is the criteria developed by the authors to ensure the level of green innovation potential of companies of countries in order to make effective decisions on the part of stakeholders (state bodies, investors, manufacturers, suppliers, clients, financial institutions) regarding organizational, social, economic support of green innovations of companies of countries with different levels of technological development of production. This study can be useful for the governments of countries in the development of international and national programs for the innovative development of the economy in terms of the implementation of the Sustainable Development Goals; to company managers when forming strategic and tactical plans for green innovative business development; to students and scientists in the implementation of scientific and educational programs.

Experimental and numerical study on the offshore adaptability of new FLH2 floating hydrogen liquefaction production storage and offloading unit

With the development of hydrogen production technology from offshore wind power and natural gas, the deep-sea energy interconnection system using hydrogen energy as the medium is constantly improving. The floating hydrogen liquefaction production storage and offloading unit (LH2-FPSO, FLH2) is an effective method for large-scale utilization of offshore hydrogen energy. By filling the heat exchanger with ortho-parahydrogen conversion catalyst, a new porous medium heat exchange channel is formed. Integrating the spiral wound heat exchanger with the ortho-parahydrogen catalytic conversion reactor can reduce the deck area of FLH2 process system and lower the investment cost of floating hydrogen liquefaction device. The performance of FLH2 can be influenced by the offshore wave and typhoon. In this paper, the methods of floating cryogenic visualization experiment, theoretical analysis and numerical simulation are conducted to study the coupled flow and heat transfer mechanism of working fluid applied in FLH2 under offshore conditions. The results show that the sea state has little influence on the ortho-parahydrogen conversion and cooling process of hydrogen in the porous heat exchange tube. The complex flow and heat transfer challenges brought by the integrated process of new floating hydrogen liquefaction and ortho-parahydrogen conversion have been overcome. With the effect of co-current shear of gas-phase mixed refrigerant, a large dry area will not appear on the outer wall surface of porous tube under offshore conditions. The FLH2 process system shows good adaptability at sea.

РОЛЬ РАЗРАБОТКИ И ИСПОЛЬЗОВАНИЯ ПЕРЕДОВЫХ ТЕХНОЛОГИЙ В ЭКОНОМИКЕ ЗНАНИЙ РОССИИ И СЕВЕРО-ЗАПАДА

The problem of the development and use of advanced technologies posed in the article is relevant in connection with the objective needs of the development of the knowledge economy in Russia and the regions. The information base of the study was made up of official data of the Federal State Statistics Service of Advanced Production Technologies for 2020–2022, presented in the Russian Federation and in the context of the Russian Federation subjects. The key concept of the work is formed on the methodological basis of quality economics, which allows conducting interdisciplinary research of fundamental and applied importance. The ratio analysis of different advanced technologies groups in the economy of Russia and the Northwestern Federal District is carried out, the dynamics of changes in the development and use of advanced production technologies in the period characterized by the greatest instability due to internal changes and the effects of external shocks is investigated. The leading groups of advanced technologies in the country as a whole and in the region are identified, and the contribution of the Northwestern macro-region AMTs to the total number of developed and used AMTs in Russia is assessed. The conclusion is made about the decisive role of the Northwestern District in the development of the most important groups of technologies for the country: production, processing, transportation and assembly, design and engineering, technologies ofautomated identification, surveillance and/or control. The solution of the complex task of combining technological development and the formation of new standards of quality of life based on the quality economics is designated as a direction for further research.

The current state of the wine market in Russia

This scientific article explores the current state of the winemaking market in Russia. Taking into account changing consumer preferences, economic factors and legislative norms, the authors analyze the current situation of the industry, its dynamics and development prospects. The article analyzes the wine industry. The dynamics of the growth of the viticulture industry, the importance of which lies in providing wine producers with wine materials, is considered. The structure and dynamics of sales of wine products are studied both in Russia as a whole and by region. The problem of import substitution in the Russian wine market is considered. The research is based on the analysis of statistical data and marketing research. The article examines the main market trends, including changes in consumer demand, competitive advantages of various segments and opportunities for the development of new production technologies. The presented analysis will help entrepreneurs, investors and regulators to better understand the current situation in the Russian wine market and make informed strategic decisions for the future. To study the current state of the wine market in Russia, a comprehensive methodological approach was used, including analysis of statistical data, marketing research, interviews with industry experts and analysis of the legislative framework. This approach made it possible to cover various aspects of market dynamics and identify key trends. The scientific novelty of this article lies in an updated analysis of the current state of the wine market in Russia, taking into account the latest trends and changes in the industry. The study includes up-to-date data on consumer preferences, economic factors and legislative impact on the wine market. The conclusions of the article emphasize the increasing demand for high-quality and environmentally friendly wines, the growing interest in local producers and the strengthening of the position of domestic wines in the market. The authors of the article also identified prospects for the development of new production technologies and marketing strategies to attract consumers and investors. In general, the article highlights the importance of adapting the wine industry to changing market conditions and offers practical recommendations for industry participants.

Green technology innovation, trade deficit and carbon emission transfer in agriculture under the new “dual circulation” development pattern of China

Under the new development pattern of domestic and international “dual circulation” in China, studying the relationship among green technology innovation, agricultural trade deficit (ATD) and carbon emission transfer embodied in agricultural trade (ATCT) becomes crucial for achieving coordinated and unified high-quality economic development and efficient environmental protection. Based on this, the paper uses environmental input–output model, “two-stage” decoupling and recoupling model, panel vector auto-regressive model, spatial econometric model and “rolling” Grey-BP neural network prediction model to explore present status of ATD, ATCT and their relationship, driving role of green technology innovation, as well as whether that relationship will be improving in the future. The results reveal the following: (1) China's ATD and ATCT show an increasing trend year by year, and their inter-provincial differences are gradually significant over time. The overall relationship between ATD and ATCT does not display ideally, which makes it necessary to quickly transform that relationship into reasonable and ideal state. (2) Green technology innovation has significant positive “U-shaped” and inverted “U-shaped” local effects on ATD and ATCT respectively, with a reasonable range of ATD reduction while ATCT increase valuing from 0 to 0.290, and has significant positive “U-shaped” spatial spillover effect on both without any reasonable range. The short-term effect of green technology innovation on coordinated promotion between ATD and ATCT is superior to the long-term one. (3) Green technology innovation has a significant regional heterogeneity. Regional differences must be taken into consideration seriously, and the measures adapted to local conditions are crucial. The role of fundamental and progressive green technology innovation has heterogeneity, which means that targeted development and utilization of green technology products are important. (4) Regardless of the time horizon, the relationship between ATD and ATCT will improve, which can provide a key step for coordinated development of economy and environment in agricultural trade. Therefore, in order for China to implement and promote further opening-up, reduce agricultural trade dependence, ensure food security and important agricultural product supply, as well as achieve the unity of high-quality economic development and ecological efficient protection, it is necessary to reasonably reverse trade deficit and increase carbon emission transfer in agriculture.

Current Status and Economic Analysis of Green Hydrogen Energy Industry Chain

Under the background of the power system profoundly reforming, hydrogen energy from renewable energy, as an important carrier for constructing a clean, low-carbon, safe and efficient energy system, is a necessary way to realize the objectives of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality. As a strategic energy source, hydrogen plays a significant role in accelerating the clean energy transition and promoting renewable energy. However, the cost and technology are the two main constraints to green hydrogen energy development. Herein, the technological development status and economy of the whole industrial chain for green hydrogen energy “production-storage-transportation-use” are discussed and reviewed. After analysis, the electricity price and equipment cost are key factors to limiting the development of alkaline and proton exchange membrane hydrogen production technology; the quantity, scale and distance of transportation are key to controlling the costs of hydrogen storage and transportation. The application of hydrogen energy is mainly concentrated in the traditional industries. With the gradual upgrading and progress of the top-level design and technology, the application of hydrogen energy mainly including traffic transportation, industrial engineering, energy storage, power to gas and microgrid will show a diversified development trend. And the bottleneck problems and development trends of the hydrogen energy industry chain are also summarized and viewed.

Development of Gluten-Free Bread Production Technology with Enhanced Nutritional Value in the Context of Kazakhstan.

This research aims to enhance the nutritional value of gluten-free bread by incorporating a diverse range of components, including additives with beneficial effects on human health, e.g., dietary fibers. The research was focused on improving the texture, taste, and nutritional content of gluten-free products by creating new recipes and including novel biological additives. The goal was to develop gluten-free bread with less than 3 ppm gluten content that can be eaten by people suffering from gluten sensitivity. The physical and chemical properties of gluten-free rice, corn, green buckwheat, chickpea, amaranth, and plantain flours were examined to understand their unique characteristics and the possibility of their mixing combination to achieve the desired results. Initially, nine recipes were prepared, and in survey research, four baking recipes were selected and tested. The composition of amino acids in the prepared gluten-free bread was determined. The variant made of corn, green buckwheat flour with plantain was found to be top-rated. Changes in the nutritional content of the new product were analyzed, and general regulations and nutritional values were identified. Experimental baking processes were carried out, leading to the successful formulation of gluten-free bread containing corn, green buckwheat, and plantain flour in a ratio of 40:40:20, meeting gluten-free requirements and demonstrating improved nutritional properties, as well as consumption properties, confirmed by surveys conducted on a group of consumers.

Development and application of new technology for ultra-low phosphorus steel production in converter

Phosphorus must be reduced to less than 20ppm for the products subject to hydrogen resistance and other hostile environments. The current dephosphorization process in converter has not reached this level. In this study, the dephosphorization slag with ultra-high Lp was studied, and the kinetic conditions of dephosphorization reaction were optimized too. The industrial production was carried out in a 200t converter in Shougang Jingtang, and the production process was ‘KR-BOF-LF-VD-CC'. By the double slag process in converter, phosphorus contents were reduced to 3.8-11.0ppm in one casting consequence of 10 heats, and the average phosphorus was 7.3ppm. The average tap to tap time was 42min. This technology was successfully applied in the production of 9Ni steel, acid resistant steel and hydrogen resistant steel. 53800 tons of ultra-low phosphorus molten steel have been successfully produced.

ФОРМУВАННЯ КОМПОЗИТУ ПРИ ВАРІЮВАННІ ДИСПЕРСНОСТІ НАПОВНЮВАЧА ТА ВИДУ ЗВ’ЯЗУЮЧОГО

The aim of this study was to investigate polymer composites based on andesite of different dispersion as a filler with different types of polymer matrix for further development of production technology. Varying the types and concentration of mineralfillers of different genesis, including volcanic rocks, is one of the ways to modify polymer composite materials. The choice of filler type is an important factor influencing the structure formation and properties of the resulting composite. At the same time, varying the particle size distribution of the filler and its quantitative ratio with the matrix makes it possible to adjust the performance properties of the resulting composite materials within a wide range. In addition, the surface properties of thefiller particles and the chemical nature of the polymer matrix are of great importance. The possibility of expanding the range and increasing the operational reliability of composite materials when using new types of natural raw materials determine therelevance of this research. To achieve this goal, a set of modern methods of physical and chemical analysis and standardised testing of materials was used in the study. The object of the study was composite materials using andesite screenings as a fractionated filler and copolymers as a matrix. Changes in the physical and mechanical properties of the composites were determined by varying the content (55-85 wt.%) and granulometry of the filler and the type of polymeric binder. According to the test results, it is possible to adjust the parameters of the properties of polymer composites, while the range of their changes is as follows: water absorption 2.2-14.9 %, density 1.24-1.96 g/cm3, abrasion 0.005-0.1 g/cm2, elastic modulus 41-83 Pa/mm2, which indicates the prospects of manufacturing and practical use of the obtained wear-resistant composites in construction

Development of resource-saving technology for copper production at “Almalyk MMC” JSC

This article discusses the possibility of introducing man-made waste from the production of nonferrous metals from metallurgical processing into copper production. Industrial tests have shown that with the use of technogenic waste from the production of nonferrous metals when smelting copper in metallurgical furnaces, it was possible to reduce the copper content both in the converter slag and in the slag of the reverberatory furnace with the possibility of additional extraction of noble metals. Based on the research carried out, a technological scheme for energy- and resourcesaving copper production technology was developed.

Thermodynamic models for solution behavior and solid-liquid equilibrium in acetate binary systems from low to very high concentration at 25oC

In this study we developed new thermodynamic models for solution behavior and solid-liquid equilibrium in eight acetate binary systems from low to very high concentration at 25oC: six systems of the type 1-1 (X(CH3COO)-H2O with X= (Li, Na, K, Rb, Cs, and Tl)) and two systems of the type 2-1 (Y(CH3COO)2-H2O with Y= (Mg, and Ba)). Models were developed on the basis of Pitzer ion interactions approach. To parameterize models for binary systems we used all available experimental osmotic coefficients data (φ) for the whole concentration range of solutions. To develop models, we used different versions of the standard molality-based Pitzer approach. It was established that for all acetate systems under study application of extended approach with 4 parameters (β0 , β1 , β2 and Cφ ) and variation of 1 and 2 terms in fundamental Pitzer equations leads to the lowest values of standard model-experiment deviation. The predictions of new developed here models are in excellent agreement with experimental φ data, and with recommendations on the mean activity coefficients (±) from low to very high concentration: up to 23.8 m in K(CH3COO)-H2O, up to 39.2 m in Rb(CH3COO)-H2O, and up to 52.2 m in Cs(CH3COO)-H2O. On the basis of evaluated binary parameters important thermodynamic characteristics (Deliquescence Relative Humidity DRH, thermodynamic solubility products Ko sp; standard molar Gibbs free energy of formation, fGo m) for 7 acetate solids were determined at 25oC. The calculated DRH and fGo m values were compared with those reported in the literature. The models described in this study are of high importance, especially in development and improvement of technology for production and purification of acetate solutions and solid phases.

Technological development of biofertiliser products and processes: a patent analysis

Technological development of biofertiliser products and processes: a patent analysis

Evolving role of multi-agent technology in product design and development in manufacturing industry using FMCDM techniques

Evolving role of multi-agent technology in product design and development in manufacturing industry using FMCDM techniques

Evolving Role of Multi-Agent Technology in Product Design and Development in Manufacturing Industries using FMCDM Techniques

Evolving Role of Multi-Agent Technology in Product Design and Development in Manufacturing Industries using FMCDM Techniques

Книжная серия «Есть стать в строй!» как образец советской военно-патриотической пропаганды

The article considers the history of the military-patriotic book series Est’ Stat’ v Stroy! [Back in lines! - Yes, sir!]. This series was published in 1967-1986 in the Molodaya Gvardiya [Young Guard] publishing house of the Central Committee of the Komsomol. The authors of the article set three research objectives: (1) to examine the composition of the studied book series; (2) to study the sociopolitical conditions of its occurrence: (3) to analyze the features of the subject of books and forms of presentation of the material, and to consider the stages of prepress preparation of these publications. The books of the book series were used as sources. Archival materials from the funds of the Russian State Archive of SocioPolitical History (RGASPI) were also involved. The latter are the documents of the Molodaya Gvardiya publishing house, the so-called author’s files for published products. They included author’s applications, publishing agreements between authors and editors, fee sheets, reviews of manuscripts, and correspondence with authors, reviewers, censorship authorities. A significant part of the documents are introduced into scholarly discouse for the first time. The study resulted in the following. The series Est’ Stat’ v Stroy! was the outcome of a political order, as evidenced by the revealed correspondence between the publishing house and political bodies of various types and branches of the armed forces. But the editorial staff also worked on these publications willingly and proactively. Unlike other “custom-made” ideological publications, which were not sold out and occupied the shelves of Soviet bookstores for years, the books of the series very quickly became scarce and inaccessible even in libraries. The work on compiling the collections of the series was a difficult organizational task. It was necessary to coordinate the activities of the authors of sections and essays, reviewers and designers, to obtain visas of political organizations and censors. In some cases, work on books was delayed due to the author’s unreliability or the unsatisfactory quality of the materials. The editors of the publishing house very carefully approached the issue of reviewing the books of the series and involving specialists from leading higher military educational institutions of the relevant profile in this procedure. The books to a certain extent reflected their era, the level of development of both book production technology and propaganda techniques. The books in this series may be of interest to researchers in a number of aspects: as a source on the history of book publishing, on the order of prepress preparation, design of publications; as a source on the forms and methods of military-patriotic propaganda, methods of ideological work in the 1960s and 1970s; and as a source of a general historical nature. The authors declare no conflicts of interests.

РАЗРАБОТКА РЕЦЕПТУРЫ МЯСНЫХ ПАШТЕТОВ С ДОБАВЛЕНИЕМ РАСТИТЕЛЬНЫХ КОМПОНЕНТОВ ДЛЯ ГЕРОДИЕТИЧЕСКОГО ПИТАНИЯ

The serious problem for food industry is seniors provision with palatable and beneficial foods especially if they have masticatory muscles function disturbed and/or they have dysphagia and need especial nutrition. Meat products are important components of human diet. However, they contain many fat and cholesterol and few polyunsaturated fatty acids and it may be the cause of obesity, cardiovascular diseases and hypercholesterinemia development. Therefore, the development of meat product technology with high nutritional and biological value and low fat content should be considered the actual task. The recipe has been developed and characteristics have been evaluated for meat pate enriched with plant components and linseed oil and destined for old men consuming.

Scenario forecasting of the dynamics of Russian production technologies using spatial SAR models

Relevance. The development and implementation of advanced production technologies are the most important factors of economic growth and competitiveness in the modern economy. Predicting their dynamics, taking into account the spatial features of localization, is a difficult and time-consuming task. The spatial effects resulting from the impact of the surrounding territories play a significant role in the dynamics of advanced production technologies in the regions of Russia. Accounting for these effects is necessary when constructing scenario models in conditions of strong spatial heterogeneity of the studied processes. Traditional forecasting methods do not take into account spatial interdependencies and are not able to reflect the influence of surrounding regions on the development of technologies. Research objective. Assessment and scenario forecasting of the dynamics of advanced production technologies being developed in the regions of Russia using SAR models that allow taking into account spatial effects between regions. Data and methods. For scenario forecasting of the dynamics of advanced production technologies being developed in the Russian regions, taking into account spatial effects, a methodological approach was developed based on the modeling of the spatial log (SAR) of the processes of their development, autoregressive (ARMA) modeling and forecasting of the key factors of their dynamics. Taking into account spatial effects and heterogeneity, the proposed approach to modeling makes it possible to more accurately predict the dynamics of advanced production technologies in the Russian regions. Results. The developed methodological approach was tested to form predictive scenarios for the dynamics of advanced production technologies being developed in the regions of Russia. In particular, an inertial forecast scenario was developed, assuming the preservation of current trends in the dynamics of the technologies being developed, as well as two extreme possible scenarios – optimistic and pessimistic. With the help of the spatial SAR model, a significant influence of the number of research organizations on the volume of advanced production technologies generated was confirmed, and in the second group of regions, the influence of the number of technicians who conduct research and development was confirmed. The novelty of the study is to take into account the spatial features of the localization of the advanced production technologies being developed, as well as the spatial effects resulting from the impact of the surrounding regions on the creation of new technologies. This approach makes it possible to significantly reduce errors in the formation of forecast scenarios in conditions of significant spatial heterogeneity of the initial data. Conclusions. To intensify the generation of new technologies in the regions of the second group, it is necessary to attract personnel with technical specialties. The dynamics of the technologies being developed in the first group of regions with a powerful research potential are also influenced by the number of research personnel and the amount of attracted financial resources for fundamental and applied research. To increase the activity of these regions in the development of advanced technologies, it is necessary to form and develop relationships with the surrounding regions.