Incidence Of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever Research Articles

A study on dengue incidences in arid and semi arid regions of Rajasthan

In India, the incidence of dengue fever (DF) and dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) have risen dramatically in the last two decades. In Rajasthan dengue cases are tremendously increasing year after year. In our study on the basis of climatic conditions some arid (Jaisalmer, Barmer, Bikaner) and semi-arid (Jodhpur, Ganganagar, Hanumangarh) region districts of Region districts of rajasthan were selected. Retrospective data of the past 5 years from 2015 to 2019 were collected. Data collection was done with the help of various Chief Medical and Health Office of the concern district and also with the help of National vector borne disease control programme (NVBDCP). In this study, we obtained total 5142 dengue cases from selected arid and semi-arid regions of Rajasthan. Maximum dengue cases were found in Jaisalmer and Jodhpur in arid and semi-arid region, respectively. Minimum dengue incidence was analysed in Bikaner and Hanumangarh in arid and semi-arid regions, respectively.

Effectiveness of Repellent from Patchouli (PogestemonCablin) Varieties of Southeast Sulawesi Against Aedes aegypti

Background & objectives: The incidence of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) continues to increase over time in the world, including in Indonesia. One of the prevention efforts against dengue virus transmission is to avoid vector mosquito bites by the use of repellants. Using repellents can reduce exposure to mosquito bites that may cause infection with the dengue virus. This study aimed to determine the effectiveness of repellent lotion composed of patchouli batik extract (Pogostemoncablin) from Southeast Sulawesi varieties against Aedes aegypti mosquitoes. Methods: The research subjects were Aedes aegypti adult mosquitoes. The research consisted of three stages. The first stage was a phytochemical test (qualitative method), the second stage was the analysis of patchouli essential oil (GC-MS method) and the third stage was a test of the effectiveness of lotions made from patchouli extract in lotion preparations against Aedes aegypti. Results: The results of the effectiveness test of patchouli leaf repellent (Pogestemoncablin) lotion preparations were: for a concentration of 2.5%, protective power 81.5%; concentration 5%, protection power 83.67%; concentration 7.5%, protection power 88.64 %; the concentration of 10%, protection power 90.44%, and the concentration of 12.5% ​had protection power 90.89%. Probit analysis and linear regression showed the value of Probit Lc 50 was = 6.631. Interpretation & conclusion: The results of the effectiveness test of Pogestemoncablin repellent lotion preparations with the most effective concentrations were 10% and 12.5%. The results of the ANOVA test indicated there was no difference in the average value of the protection power in patchouli leaves.

The Influence of Health Care Programs on Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) Events at Cipamokolan Health Center In Bandung

Background: Dengue is a tropical disease that has become a major international problem in public health inrecent years. Currently an estimated 2.5-3 billion people live in dengue transmission zones.Objectives: The purpose of this study is to find out the effect of health care programs on the incidence of denguehemorrhagic fever.Method: The study used control case design. The case population is those who suffer from dengue hemorrhagicfever, while the control population is those who do not suffer from dengue hemorrhagic fever. The case samplein this study was 48 participants and the control group as many as 48 participants. Simple random samplingtechnique is used to determine research samples, Statistical tests used are chi square tests and odds ratiosResults: The results of the study that had an influence were health counseling (0.000), examination of the flick(0.014), administration of larvacide (0.013), and fogging (0.000).Conclusion: Health care programs that have been shown to affect the incidence of dengue hemorrhagic fever.are health counseling, larva examination, administration of larvacide, and fogging. To reduce the incidence ofdengue hemorrhagic fever needs to be done as early as possible by eradicating the vector of dengue hemorrhagicfever. Health extension activities need to be done to increase public knowledge of the importance of eradicatingmosquito nests in efforts to prevent dengue hemorrhagic fever transmission.

POLA SEBARAN DAN RISIKO KEJADIAN DEMAM BERDARAH DENGUE DI KECAMATAN MEREK KABUPATEN KARO

Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever is still one of the public health problems in the Merek District and tends to show a fluctuating increase. It was reported that in 2017 the total number of DHF cases was 38 cases with a morbidity or Incidence Rate (IR) of 9.4 / 100,000 population, while the case fatality rate (CFR) was 5.3%. DHF is caused by an imbalance between the three interacting factors, namely host, agent, and environmental factors. The use of Geographic Information System (GIS) is carried out to obtain information about the distribution of cases in each region. The purpose of this study was to determine the distribution patterns and risks that influence the incidence of dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) in the Merek District of Karo District. Observational research with a case-control design. The case is DHF sufferers. Control is not a sufferer of DHF. Samples were taken by simple random sampling of 62 cases and 62 controls. Where researchers do measurements on the dependent variable beforehand the effect (DHF), while the independent variables are retrospective to determine whether there is a risk of DHF events. The statistical tests used were Chi-Square (bivariate analysis) and Logistic Regression (multivariate analysis). The results of the bivariate analysis showed risk factors for age, education, use of wire mesh and eradication of mosquito nests related to the incidence of DHF. The results of multivariate analysis showed that the risk factor that played a role in the incidence of DHF was the eradication of mosquito nets. The incidence of DHF increases in people who do not have the habit of PSN (Mosquito Nest Eradication) for that practice of cleaning and draining water reservoirs, closures, and burial of used goods.

Faktor Risiko Lingkungan Rumah terhadap Keberadaan Jentik Nyamuk di Lubuk Linggau Timur I

Background: The existence of Aedes sp. is an indicator of the presence of a population of Aedes sp. environmental conditions also greatly affect the incidence of dengue disease, it is also related to the presence of larvae. Citra Medika Health center’s working area is a contributor of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) incidence with increased DHF cased from 2016-2018. Objective: to analyze the relationship between environmental conditions and the presence of Aedes sp. in the Citra Medika Health Center, Lubuk Linggau Timur District 1 in 2020. Methods: It was quantitative research with a cross-sectional design approach. The total sample was 91 respondents, who have met predetermined criteria using the purposive sampling technique, with inclusion criteria and exclusion criteria. The data used in this study are secondary data from Citra Medika Health Center and primary data obtained from interviews and direct observation. Result: It showed that there was a relationship between the implementation of Mosquito Breeding Eradication (p-value 0,047) and the presence of solid waste (p-value 0.039) with the presence of Aedes sp. larvae. Conclusion: This study concludes that the presence of Aedes sp. larvae are caused by factors such as the implementation of Mosquito breeding Eradication DBD and the presence of solid waste.

Willingness to pay for dengue vaccine among parents of elementary school students in Denpasar

Background and purpose: The incidence of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) in Bali, especially in Denpasar, remains high. Efforts to eradicate mosquito nests have been carried out but did not give a significant reduction in the incidence number. The dengue vaccine is now available and can be a way of prevention. The dengue vaccine has not been included in the mandatory immunization program by the government so people who want to get vaccinated have to pay for it by themselves. This study aims to determine the relationship between socio-demographic factors and perceptions with the willingness to pay for the dengue vaccine among parents of elementary school students in Denpasar.Methods: This study used a cross sectional design involving 100 mothers of students from grade 3 to grade 6 at Dauh Puri 5 Elementary School and Dauh Puri 6 Elementary School who were selected with systematic random sampling. Data collected included education level, income, respondents' perceptions and willingness to pay for dengue vaccine. Data were collected by interview using a questionnaire, the results were analyzed using a multivariate logistic regression.Results: The average willingness of parents to pay for the dengue vaccine per dose was IDR 131,170. Percentage of respondents who were willing to pay for the dengue vaccine was 31%. The results of analysis showed that variables associated with parents’ willingness to pay for the dengue vaccine were education level (OR=4.06; 95%CI: 1.19-13.76), perceived susceptibility (OR=1.59; 95%CI: 0.58-4.37) and perceived benefits (OR=2.60; 95%CI: 1.00-6.81).Conclusion: Parents' willingness to pay for the dengue vaccine remains very low compared to the current price of vaccine per dose. The government needs to provide subsidies so that the dengue vaccine can be included in the national immunization program and be accessed by all people. Further research is needed with a broader scope and more varied population’s characteristics to obtain a willingness to pay value that can represent society in general.

Perilaku Kesehatan Anak Sekolah Dasar Memiliki Kerentanan Terjadinya Demam Berdarah Dengue

The background of this research is because dengue fever caused by the denguevirus through the bite of the female Aedes aegypti mosquito still has a high morbidity and mortality rate, especially in elementary school children.It's not clear why elementary school-aged children have high dengue fever rates, in terms of good parental knowledge research results. This study aims to determine whether the health behavior of elementary school children has a relationship with the incidence of dengue hemorrhagic fever. This research is an analytic study with a cross sectional approach with a total sample of 62 people located at the State Elementary School 6 Banyuning Buleleng. How to take samples with simple random sampling technique. The results of the study using the Spearman rank correlation test showed an r value of -0.515 and a p value of 0.000 (α = 0.05). It was concluded that there was a significant relationship between health behavior and the incidence of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever. It is hoped that teachers, students and parents will play an active role in eradicating dengue fever through draining, closing and burying movements.

Faktor Risiko Demam Berdarah di Negara Tropis

Tropical countries are the largest contributor to the incidence of Dengue HemorrhagicFever (DHF), but research on risk factors is still independent in various countries, it cannot beconcluded holistically. Through the research design, a systematic review is able to summarize andanswer the causes of DHF in this tropical country. This research method is a systematic review withguidelines following the 2009 PRISMA Checklist. In the initial search, 1,680 articles were foundusing the keyword “risk factors for Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever”, reduced to 274 article titles afteradding the keyword “tropical country”. Furthermore, the relevant abstracts were fi ltered and found37 selected article items. Through critical appraisal of the full text of the article, it was found that 17articles met the selection criteria for further review in this study. The results showed that there were5 major groups of risk factors that were widely studied, namely sociodemography, climatology, placeof dwelling, environment, and behavior. The sociodemographic factor associated with the incidenceof DHF in tropical countries is age. In terms of climatology, temperature and rainfall are importantfactors in the vector breeding process. Rural areas (rural areas) are the place of dwelling with the mostcases of DHF found. The environmental aspect that has been widely studied is mosquito breeding. Themost signifi cant risk behavior factor in transmission was the behavior of hanging clothes. Of the 17articles, it was found that 77.8% of the articles examined environmental variables.

Hubungan Pengetahuan Kepala Keluarga tentang Demam Berdarah Dengue dengan Sikap Kepala Keluarga dalam Pemberantasan Sarang Nyamuk di Kelurahan Sudajaya Hilir

The high incidence of DHF can also be caused by low public knowledge about DHF. Sukabumi City is one of the city areas with quite high numbers. In 2017 there were 361 cases. Meanwhile, in 2018 there were 239 cases. Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) is an infectious disease mainly affecting children, characterized by high heat, bleeding and can cause an outbreak. By doing 3M Plus activities, which are draining, closing, and burying and other activities that can inhibit the breeding of Aedes Aegypti mosquitoes.The study used a type of collegial research with a cross sectional approach. The population consisted of all family heads in the downstream sudAjaya sub-district of 725 households. Samples were taken as many as 225 families by cluster random sampling. The instrument used in this study is a questionnaire, the data obtained is processed using chi square test statistics.The results showed that there was a relationship between the knowledge of the head of the family regarding Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) and the attitude of the head of the family in the Eradication of Mosquito Nests (PSN) (p-value 0.022).Conclusion, there is a relationship between the knowledge of the head of family about Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) with the attitude of the head of the family in the Eradication of Mosquito Nest (PSN).

THE EFFECT OF HEALTH EDUCATION ON INCREASING BEHAVIOR FOR THE PREVENTION OF DENGUE HEMORRHAGIC FEVER IN THE COMMUNITY

Background: One form of prevention of dengue haemorrhagic fever is through increasing public knowledge and understanding of the incidence of dengue haemorrhagic fever. Objective: This study was carried out with the aim of knowing the effect of health education on increasing behaviour for the prevention of dengue hemorrhagic fever in community. Methods: This study used a research design in the form of a pre experimental design with one group pre-post test design approach. This research was conducted on September 5, 2021 at RT 01 Kali Pecabean Village, Candi Sub-District, East Java Province, Indonesia. The population of this research is all families who live in RT 01 Kali Pecabean Village. The number of research samples was 26 families that were determined by using a sampling technique in the form of purposive sampling. Families who became respondents in this study were represented by one of the family members who participated in social gathering activities. The inclusion criteria used were families who participated in health education activities conducted at regular social gatherings. The instrument used is The Dengue Haemorrhagic Fever Prevention Questionnaire (DHFPQ). The result of reliability test was .550 and the validity was .84. Analysis of the data used is the Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test with p-value < .05. Result: The results showed that there was an effect of health education on increasing behaviour for the prevention of Dengue Haemorrhagic Fever in the community (p-value .0000). Conclusion: With the results of this study, it is hoped that health workers are expected to increase public understanding through the provision of health education as a preventive measure against the incidence of Dengue Haemorrhagic Fever. In addition, health workers are also expected to provide assistance to the community.

ANALYSIS OF THE PHYSICAL HOME ENVIRONMENT AND COMMUNITY BEHAVIOR TOWARDS INCIDENCE OF DENGUE HEMORRHAGIC FEVER IN RIAU PROVINCE

Introduction: Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) is still a health problem in Meranti Islands Regency. There has been an increase of 15-25% of cases every year since 2017-2019. The purpose of this study is to determine the correlation between the physical home environment and community behavior towards DHF incidence which include: ventilation, air temperature, water reservoirs, knowledge, and attitudes.
 Method: It was observational analytic with a cross-sectional design. This research was conducted for three months (February-April 2020). The research subject was 92 samples were selected by the purposive sampling technique. The research instrument was a structured questionnaire and observation sheet. Data analysis using Chi-square test.
 Results: There were 49 (53.3%) cases of DHF with the physical home environment that was not following the health standards, namely: ventilation (bad=70.7%), air temperature (bad=77.2%), water reservoirs (bad=59.8%), knowledge (low=55,4%), and attitude (negative=55.4%). There was a significant correlation between ventilation (p=0,002), air temperature (p=0,020), water reservoirs (p=0,027), knowledge (p=0,008), and attitudes (p=0,000) toward incidence of DHF (p-value <0.05).
 Conclusion: The physical home environment and community behavior are related to DHF incidence. Good coordination between health promotion team, local government in providing health education, socialization of healthy homes by empowering local communities.

Community Knowledge and Attitudes about the Transmission of Dengue Haemorrhagic Fever and Its Relationship to Prevention Behaviour in Palembang, South Sumatra, Indonesia

BACKGROUND: PSN 3 M Plus is a long-running program in Indonesia for the prevention and control of dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF). AIM: This study aimed to determine the knowledge, behavior, attitudes, and beliefs of the community toward PSN 3 M Plus in preventing and controlling the spread of DHF. METHODS: A cluster random sampling method was used to recruit 200 respondents in endemic areas and 100 respondents in sporadic locations of Indonesia from August 2020 to February 2021. The respondents were interviewed directly by interviewers and the relationships between demographics and characteristics with the practice of PSN 3M Plus prevention behavior on the incidence of DHF were analyzed. RESULTS: Most respondents had good knowledge regarding the cause of DHF. Although respondents recognized and understood the dangers of and how to control DHF, most did not follow PSN 3 M Plus and believed that fogging was the most effective control measure. There was a significant relationship between the characteristics of the respondents in terms of education, occupation, and attitude on vector control practice. CONCLUSION: Although community environmental modifications can be a cost-effective approach to reduce the incidence of DHF, there is a need to raise public awareness regarding preventive vector control measures as good knowledge does not guarantee good compliance with PSN 3M Plus recommendations.

Comparison of NS1 Antigen Detection by Rapid Immunochromatography Test and ELISA for Early Diagnosis of Dengue at a Government General Hospital, Ananthapuramu

Background: The incidence of Dengue hemorrhagic fever, Dengue shock syndrome associated with Dengue can be reduced by diagnosing Dengue early and by initiating early treatment to Dengue patients. This study was conducted to compare results of NS1 antigen rapid test and ELISA in clinically suspected dengue patients.
 Materials and Methods: Present study was a comparative study conducted on 100 Patients presented with clinical history of Dengue. At Microbiology Laboratory, serum of all samples was assessed for NS1 detection using antigen Rapid test and ELISA. Sensitivity & specificity values were calculated for NS1 antigen rapid test, compared with ELISA.
 Results: Out of 100 serum samples collected from suspected cases of Dengue in and around Anantapuramu, 30 (30%) were positive for ELISA and 28 (28%) were positive for Rapid diagnostic test. Sensitivity & specificity when only NS1 was considered on rapid test kits when compared with ELISA were 93.33%, 98.57%,
 Conclusion: It is concluded that ELISA test was superior in the diagnosis of Dengue and recommended on improvement in sensitivity of RDTs.

Relationship of Climate, Environmental Health Intervention with the Incident Rate (IR) of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever Case in North Jakarta, 2017-2019

The issue of climate change has been hotly discussed considering its serious impact on various aspects of life, especially health. The negative potential or risk of climate change to health has been seen as a global challenge that can threaten human livelihoods. This climate change has resulted in changing disease patterns in society due to a changing climate and environment. The increase in temperature has the potential to be associated with a significant increase in cases of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF). This research was a descriptive with an ecological time series design to describe the frequency and distribution of health problems or the correlation between disease and the factors that influence it. The purpose of this study was to determine the relationship between climate, environmental health interventions and the incidence of dengue fever. The results of climate conditions in North Jakarta in 2017 to 2019 average normal air temperature 28.480C, high humidity 74.94%, medium rainfall 136.37 mm, wind speed classified as low 1.30 knots, active waste bank environment 162.66, DHF incident rate 47.86 below national standards 49/100,000 inhabitants. The results of the bivariate factors associated with IR DHF were humidity p 0.006, larva free rate 0.003, waste bank 0.009, rainfall 0.190, and wind speed 0.474. The final model factors related to IR DHF were humidity p value 0.000, R0.741, R Square 0.550; Rainfall p value 0.005, R 0.407, R Square 0.165, Larvae Free Rate R 0.296, R Square 0.088. The conclusion of these three factors contributed to the incidence of DHF R 0.952 meaning that the relationship was very strong, R Square 0.906 (90.6%) contributed to the IR DHF in North Jakarta. Suggestions in the environment that the humidity was not high around 45%- 60%, larvae free rate < 95%. Precipitation >100 mm DHF have alert.

KEJADIAN DEMAM BERDARAH DENGUE (DBD) DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2010-2019

Dengue Haemorrhagic Fever (DHF) control focuses on preventation efforts with the mosquito nest eradication movement (PSN). The larva free number (ABJ) is an indicator of the success of PSN and early prevention by ensuring a negative house with Aedes sp. This research is descriptive used secondary data on Indonesia’s health profile in 2010-2019. This study describes cases of DHF, incidence rate and larva free rate (ABJ) for 10 years. The results showed that DHF cases in Indonesia from 2010-2019 fluctuating where the higehest cases occurred in 2016 which was 204.171 cases and the lowest occurred in 2018 which was 65.602 cases. The highest incidence of DHF occurred in 2016 which was 78,85 per 100.000 population. Indonesia’s ABJ for 10 years is still below the target <95% in the range 24,1-80,2%. Transmission of DHF still occurs in Indonesia, this can be seen from the still finding cases of DHF every year and indicators of morbidity due to DHF which is still high above 49 per 100.000 population. The low ABJ affects the occurrence of dengue cases in Indonesia.

Analysis of climatic variability and dengue hemorrhagic fever incidence at the Tsunami Area Banda Aceh City

The rebuilding of post-tsunami community residential an area in Banda Aceh City has created a new ecosystem and at the same time a public health problem. The construction of new settlements has an impact on the emergence of Aedes aegypti habitat. The post-tsunami climate factor is thought to be one of the factors that cause outbreaks of dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) cases every year in Banda Aceh City. This study aims to analyze the relationship between climatic variability with the DHF incidence cases from 2010-2020 at the tsunami area Banda Aceh City. The study uses monthly DHF case data obtained from the Banda Aceh City Health Office. Monthly climate data were obtained from the Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency of Aceh Province. Spearman’s correlation analysis shows that temperature, humidity, rainfall, and wind velocity have a significant relationship with the DHF incidence cases. Humidity and rainfall are positively correlated with DHF incidence, while temperature and wind velocity shows a negative correlation with DHF incidence. This study shows that climate is one of the factors influential in the DHF incidence cases at the tsunami area Banda Aceh City.

The Overview of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever Based on Larva Free Index, Education Level, and Population Density

One of the diseases that still has the potential to become an epidemic in Indonesia is Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF). Banjarbaru City is a dengue-endemic area with a high number of new cases (IR) of dengue during 2016-2018 consecutively. In 2018, Banjarbaru City's IR DBD was the second highest after Hulu Sungai Selatan Regency at 105.24 per 100,000 population. The purpose of this study is to describe the incidence of dengue hemorrhagic fever based on the review of larva free index, education level, and population density in the City of Banjarbaru in 2018-2019. The population in this study is demographic data and health data in the City of Banjarbaru in 2018-2019. The sample of this research is the data on dengue cases, larva free index data, education level data, and population density data for the City of Banjarbaru in 2018-2019. Descriptive data analysis used frequency distribution tables and cross-tabulations. The results showed descriptively low larva free index showed a low incidence of DHF (2018 (18.75%) 2019 (11.11%), high levels of education showed a high incidence of DHF (2018 (20%), 2019 (20%), and high density indicates a high incidence of DHF (2018 (18.75%) in 2019 (12.5%).

GAMBARAN EPIDEMIOLOGI KEJADIAN DEMAM BERDARAH DENGUE: KARAKTERISTIK PENDERITA, WAKTU DAN FAKTOR LINGKUNGAN DI KECAMATAN TEMBALANG TAHUN 2019

Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) is an endemic infectious disease in Tembalang District, Semarang. DHF is caused by dengue virus and transmitted by Aedes sp. mosquitoes especially Aedes aegypti. Patient characteristics, season, physical environmental factors and populations density is one of the risk factors for DHF transmission. This study aims to describe epidemiology of patient characteristics, time, physical environmental factors and population density on DHF incidence and analyze the correlation of factors and DHF incidence in Tembalang District. The type of this research is observasional descriptive with cross sectional study design. Samples of this research is 122 verified cases by Health Office Semarang City and they who live on Tembalang District. The epidemiological analysis obtained that the highest percentage of DHF patient is 61,5% in the male gender, 59% at the age of 4-12 years old and 63,1% during the rainy season. The result of statistical analysis show that there is no correlation between area height (p = 0,084), temperature (p = 0,823), rainfall (p = 0,692), land use (p = 0,655) and population density (p = 0,387) with DHF incidence in Tembalang District at 2019.

Impact of Climate Change on Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) in Tropical Countries: A Literature Review

Introduction: Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever (DHF) is a zoonotic disease that is most wary because the cases reported by WHO increased quite drastically from 2.4 million cases to 5.2 million cases in 2010-2019 globally. In 2020, the DHF rate increased by 953,476, and the majority occurred in tropical countries. In response to this, WHO emphasized that climate and weather variables can play an important role in predicting the DHF outbreak. This article was written to find out the impact of climate change on the incidence of DHF. Discussion: The literature review method was used in writing this article by utilizing article searches in online databases, namely PubMed, DOAJ, Proquest, and Science Direct. Amount 11 articles related to the title have been selected as literacy materials. Climatic variables consisting of temperature, rainfall, and humidity have the potential to increase the incidence of DHF. Conclusion: It can be concluded that climate change indicators can affect the breeding place of the Aedes aegypty, making the various incidence of DHF cases in tropical or subtropical countries. This can be an early warning for each region always to carry out active surveillance in detecting the risk of increasing DHF cases in certain weather.

Modeling Dynamic System for Prediction of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever in Maros District

BACKGROUND: Efforts to control the incidence of dengue hemorrhagic fever (DHF) have been carried out intensively, however, there is no significant reduction in the number of DHF sufferers. Meanwhile, the predictive model is expected to be an early warning to anticipate the incidence of DHF. AIM: Therefore, this study aims to determine the dynamic model for predicting dengue fever incidence in Maros Regency from 2020 to 2040. METHODS: This study used the research and development (R and D) method with a dynamic systems approach. The study was conducted in Maros Regency and the data on dengue cases in Maros Regency from 2014 to 2018 were used as samples. Meanwhile, interpretive structural modeling (ISM) was used to determine policy scenarios in reducing dengue cases while the analysis of the dynamic model of dengue fever was conducted using the Powersim program. RESULTS: The critical elements of DHF prevention in the Maros Regency include the Jumantik program, 3M Plus, early warning systems, and outreach. Furthermore, the prediction of the average incidence of dengue fever from 2020 to 2040 has decreased based on dynamic model simulations by applying the Jumantik scenario (46.8%), 3M Plus (61.17%), early warning systems (74.4%), counseling (52.12%), and the combined scenario (97.87%). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of dengue fever in the Maros Regency is prevented and controlled by the combination of the Jumantik program, 3M Plus, early warning systems, and counseling.