Demand For Wood Pellets Research Articles

Variability in Physical Properties of Logging and Sawmill Residues for Making Wood Pellets

Wood pellets are a versatile ingredient to produce bioenergy and bioproducts. Wood pellet manufacturing in Canada started as a way of using the excess sawdust from sawmilling operations. With the recent dwindling availability of sawdust and the growth in demand for wood pellets, the industry uses more non-sawdust woody biomass as feedstock. In this study, woody biomass materials received from nine wood pellet plants in British Columbia (BC) and Alberta were analyzed for their properties, especially those used for fractionating feedstock to make pellets. Half of the feedstock received at the plants was non-sawdust. Moisture contents varied from 10 to 60% wet basis, with the hog having an average of 50%. Ash contents ranged from 0.3 to 4% dry basis and were highest in the hog fraction. Bulk density varied from 50 to 450 kg/m3, with shavings having the lowest bulk density. Particle density ranged from 359 kg/m3 for infeed mix to 513 kg/m3 for sawdust. In total, 25% of particles received were larger than 25 mm. The extraneous materials (sand, dirt) in the infeed materials ranged from 0.03% to 1.2%, except for one hog sample (8.2%). Plant operators use mechanical fractionation and blending to meet the required ash content. In conclusion, further instrumental techniques to aid in fractionation should be developed.

Wood Pellet Production in the U.S. South and Exportation for ‘Renewable’ Energy in Europe

In recent years, European demand for wood pellets has surged due to a misconception of carbon neutrality. The current legal frameworks posit that simply replacing a harvested tree renders the burning of wood pellets for energy use renewable energy. This oversimplification does not consider a number of factors, including the difference in carbon sequestration capabilities between original, natural forests and replacement monoculture plantations, the cumulative impact of CO2 emissions in the atmosphere, and the years required for a replacement tree to sequester as much carbon as the harvested tree. The EU and U.K. can currently utilize emissions “reductions” due to burning wood pellets to reach domestic renewable energy goals along with commitments under the Paris Agreement. The corresponding increase in demand for wood pellets in Europe has resulted in a hotspot of wood pellet production in the U.S. South with several significant consequences. This Note presents the environmental justice and climate change impacts of the growing wood pellet industry in historically marginalized communities in the U.S. South, with a close look at the Enviva wood pellet plant in Hamlet, North Carolina. It provides an overview of the inadequacies of U.S., EU, U.K., and international environmental law in protecting both the global climate and local communities from the impacts of wood pellet production and combustion. This Note then builds on calls to change IPCC and EU carbon accounting rules for wood harvested for energy use to propose a solution to the environmental justice side of the wood pellet dilemma in international environmental law: namely, adding environmental justice safeguards to the UNFCCC Paris Agreement.

Spatially-explicit assessment of carbon stocks in the landscape in the southern US under different scenarios of industrial wood pellet demand

Whether the use of industrial wood pellets for bioenergy is part of the problem of climate change or part of the solution to climate change has been heavily debated in the academic and political arena. The uncertainty around this topic is impeded by contradicting scientific assessments of carbon impacts of wood pellet use. Spatially explicit quantification of the potential carbon impacts of increased industrial wood pellet demand, including both indirect market and land-use change effects, is required to understand potential negative impacts on carbon stored in the landscape. Studies that meet these requirements are scarce. This study assesses the impact of increased wood pellet demand on carbon stocks in the landscape in the Southern US spatially explicitly and includes the effects of demand for other wood products and land-use types. The analysis is based on IPCC calculations and highly detailed survey-based biomass data for different forest types. We compare a trend of increased wood pellet demand between 2010 and 2030 with a stable trend in wood pellet demand after 2010, thereby quantifying the impact of increased wood pellet demand on carbon stocks in the landscape. This study shows that modest increases in wood pellets demand (from 0.5 Mt in 2010 to 12.1 Mt in 2030), compared to a scenario without increase in wood pellet demand (stable demand at 0.5 Mt), may result in carbon stock gains of 103–229 Mt in the landscape in the Southern US. These carbon stock increases occur due to a reduction in natural forest loss and an increase in pine plantation area compared to a stable-demand scenario. Projected carbon impacts of changes in wood pellet demand were smaller than carbon effects of trends in the timber market. We introduce a new methodological framework to include both indirect market and land-use change effects into carbon calculations in the landscape.

Physicochemical Characterization of Wood Mixed with Coffee Waste Pellet

Recently, the demand for wood pellets as solid biofuel for co-firing process in the industry has increased. However, the increase in demand is not accompanied by the availability of sawdust (SD) as a raw material. Thus, seeking alternative biomass is needed to substitute wood. One of the alternative biomasses that can be considered as raw material for bio-pellet is the solid waste from the coffee industry. Meanwhile, the coffee industry annually produces large amounts of organic waste such as spent coffee grounds (SCG) and coffee husks (CH). Both solid wastes have organic compounds contained so that they can be utilized as solid biofuel. In this research, We investigated the quality changes of wood pellets before and after the addition of coffee waste in different mass ratios (1:1, 1:3). A densification method with a pressure of 2 tons is used in the wood pellet-making process. Physicochemical characterization of wood pellets such as density, durability, compressive strength, calorific value, and proximate and composition analysis using SCG and CH are conducted. The result shows that the addition of SCG into wood pellet increased the calorific value of wood pellet from 21.03 MJ.kg-1 to 21.71 MJ.kg-1. The calorific value with a ratio of 50: 50 of SD: SCG produces a better calorific value than CH (20.64 MJ.kg-1). The mechanical test of the pellet shows that the addition of SCG and CH slightly decreases the mechanical durability from 99.34% to 97.02%. Thus, increase the appearance density from ρ = 892.46 kg.m-3 to ρ = 1119.33 kg.m-3.

Exploring the limits to sustainable pellet production for international markets: The impact of increasing pellet production in the US Southeast on feedstock use, production cost and carbon sequestration in forest areas

AbstractWith rising demand for wood pellets from the US Southeast (US SE), the environmental limits to additional biomass demand are increasingly questioned. This study analyses the impact of increased pellet production in the US SE until 2030 on feedstock allocation, carbon flux in forest areas and costs of pre‐treatment and transport of feedstock and pellets. This by linking locations of forest biomass supply and demand through supply‐side logistics, allocating feedstock based on lowest costs of pre‐treatment, transport of feedstock and pellets, for the entire wood products sector. The impact is analysed for different scenarios with varied pellet production levels, additional inclusion of logging residues and optimization either on costs or on maintaining total carbon stock in sourcing areas of new pellet mills. In a scenario of 20 Mt pellet production, the roundwood share increases from 0% in 2020 to 37% pulplogs and 11% sawlogs in 2030. Costs increase with 57% towards 2030 compared to 2020, largely because of higher costs for pulplogs and sawlogs. In a scenario without pellet production, forest carbon removal in the US SE is 3 Mt CO2/year lower than in 2020. In the Reference scenario, additional carbon removal of 6, 21 and 38 Mt CO2/year is observed for 10, 20 and 30 Mt pellet production, respectively. In all cases, the forests of the US SE remain a net sink until 2030. The impact of a selection criteria for new pellet mill locations based on keeping local growth/drain ratios above 1 in sourcing areas is small since this mostly results in displacement of impacts and does not affect the total feedstock availability. Additional mobilization of logging residues is a key strategy to reduce carbon impacts, resulting in a smaller additional flux of 2, 11 and 29 Mt CO2/year for 10–30 Mt pellet production.

U.S. and Global Wood Energy Outlook under Alternative Shared Socioeconomic Pathways

There has been a significant increase in the use of wood pellets for energy in the past decade due in large part to their climate mitigation potential. Because of this, the demand for wood pellets is largely driven by policy, as well as socioeconomic development, making projections of future wood energy markets highly uncertain. The aim of this study is to provide projections of future wood energy market trends under five distinct socioeconomic scenarios based on the assumed future evolution of gross domestic product, population, technological change, trade openness, and bioenergy preferences using the FOrest Resource Outlook Model. In four out of the five scenarios considered, it is projected that the use of roundwood and mill chips, particles, and residuals will rise in order to produce a growing output of wood pellets in the United States and globally. In terms of international markets, the global dominance of Europe’s demand for wood, to help that continent achieve its own climate goals, further explains the sustained and growing supply position of the U.S. South regions to meet that demand. Taken together, the projections suggest emerging bioenergy markets will drive increased competition for inputs with other manufacturers, particularly in the U.S. South regions.

Environmental externalities of wood pellets from fast-growing and para-rubber trees for sustainable energy production: A case in Thailand

Wood pellets are one of biomass-based energy carriers considered important as renewable energy source. This study considers wood pellets for heat and power generation from fast-growing Leucaena and Acacia trees and para-rubber trees in a life cycle perspective. The objectives of this study are to estimate the actual cost (including environmental externalities) of heat and electricity production from wood pellets, and comparison with the external cost of fossil fuels, as well as forecasting the external cost arising from the increase in wood pellet demand. For both heat and electricity production, it was seen that when external costs are included, wood pellets are cheaper than lignite and fuel oil although the latter are cheaper when only internal costs are considered. Four recommendations for reducing the external costs of wood pellet production are: 1) to support sustainable agriculture for para-rubber trees and fast-growing trees, 2) to consider clean transportation in the supply chain, 3) wood pellet factory zoning, including good logistics, and 4) considering the external cost of wood pellets for polluter pays principle. These results and recommendations of the study can provide important information to consider towards adjusting the national energy plan and to have strict measures for avoiding problem shifting from the use of non-renewable resources (fossil fuels) to issues related to the use of biomass-based fuels (use of agro-chemicals, forest encroachment, and so on).

Assessing the potential for unaccounted emissions from bioenergy and the implications for forests: The United States and global

AbstractDevelopment of the bioenergy sector is being actively pursued in many countries as a means to reduce climate change and fulfill international climate agreements such as the Paris Agreement. Although biomass for energy production (especially wood pellets) can replace carbon‐intensive fossil fuels, its net greenhouse gas impact varies, and the production of wood pellets can also lead to intensification in forest harvests and reduction of forest carbon stocks. Additionally, under specific conditions, emissions associated with imported biomass feedstocks may be omitted from national accounts, due to incompatibilities in accounting approaches. We assessed the risks and potential scale of emissions omitted from accounts (EOA) among key trading regions, focusing on the demand for wood pellets under different levels of climate mitigation targets. Our results suggest that the global production of wood pellets would grow from 38.9 to 120 Mton/year between 2019 and 2050 in a scenario that limits global mean temperature increase to 1.5°C above pre‐industrial levels. A large portion of this occurs in North America (36.8 Mton/year by 2050), Europe (47.6 Mton/year by 2050), and Asia (23.3 Mton/year by 2050). We estimate that in a 1.5°C scenario, global EOA associated with international trade of wood pellets has the potential to reach 23.81 MtCO2eq/year by 2030 and 69.52 MtCO2eq/year in 2050. Emissions resulting from European biomass energy production, based on wood pellet imports from the United States, may reach 11.68 MtCO2eq/year by 2030 and 33.57 MtCO2eq/year in 2050. The production of wood pellet feedstocks may also present a substantial carbon price arbitrage opportunity for bioenergy producers through a conjunction of two distinct GHG accounting rules. If this opportunity is realized, it could accelerate the growth of the bioenergy industry to levels that harm forests’ function as a carbon sink and omit actual emissions in national and global accounting frameworks.

Spatially-Explicit Assessment of Carbon Stocks in the Landscape in the Southern Us Under Different Scenarios of Industrial Wood Pellet Demand

Spatially-Explicit Assessment of Carbon Stocks in the Landscape in the Southern Us Under Different Scenarios of Industrial Wood Pellet Demand

Influence of lignin distribution, physicochemical characteristics and microstructure on the quality of biofuel pellets made from four different types of biomass

The worldwide increase in the demand for wood pellets has led to increased interest in the use of biomass feedstock. However, the quality of pellets depends directly on the biomass feedstocks. This paper brings new insights about the influence of lignin distribution, physicochemical characteristics, and microstructure on the quality of pellets. The aim of the study was to characterize the physical, chemical, mechanical and energy properties of pellets produced from Pinus radiata (PR), Eucalyptus nitens (EN), Paulownia elongata × fortune (P), and Miscanthus × giganteus (MG), as well as to use microscopic techniques to examine how lignin distribution influences the mechanical properties. The findings show that the pellets made from PR were more suitable for bioenergy production compared to those produced with EN, P, and MG. Anatomical structure proved to be important in relation to pellet quality. The clear areas on the surface of the pellets presented relationship with the percentage of biomass lignin (which ranged from 26.4 to 34.2%). The P and PR pellets were more durable and had fewer empty spaces between particles. The pellets made from EN, which was the material most difficult to compact, had abundant cracks.

Comparative Life Cycle Assessment of Bioenergy Production from Different Wood Pellet Supply Chains

The EU is one of the largest producers and consumers of wood pellets in the world, covering around 36% of the global wood pellet production and around 50% of the global consumption in 2018. The EU wood pellet consumption is expected to further increase in response to the ambitious energy and climate goals for 2030. Currently, wood pellets are mainly produced from sawdust and other sawmill residues; however, other types of forest feedstock are being investigated in order to meet the increasing wood pellet demand and move toward greater energy independence. The aim of this study is to evaluate and compare the environmental impact of different wood pellet supply chains. A comparative cradle-to-grave life cycle assessment is performed considering the following wood feedstock systems: (i) sawdust from sawmill (S1), (ii) roundwood logs (S2), (iii) whole trees from forest thinning operation (S3), and (iv) logging residues produced during forest tree harvesting (S4). The study focuses on Global Warming Potential (GWP), Ozone Depletion Potential (ODP), Photochemical Ozone Creation Potential (POCP), and Human Toxicity Potential (HTP). Results show that S3 displays the lowest figures on all the environmental impact categories considered in this study. Compared to the reference case S1, S3 shows a GWP reduction of 46%, an ODP reduction of 6.6%, a POCP reduction of 14.8%, and HTP reduction of 13.2%. S3 and S4 have lower GWP than S1 and S2, even when the biogenic CO2 emissions are considered. Overall, the life cycle phases that have the highest GWP, POCP, and HTP are the burning phase and the preparation of the material to be pelletized, particularly the drying process. Nevertheless, the main phases that contribute to the ODP are the forest operations and the pellet preparation.

Techno-economic analysis of plantation biomass production and small-scale wood pellet processing for bioenergy market

ABSTRACT There has been an increased demand for wood pellets for energy production, hence pellet production is a valuable market opportunity to explore. The purpose of the study was to assess the economic feasibility of on-site wood pellet processing for bioenergy market. The benefit–cost model was used to estimate the nett return over the projected investment period. Monte Carlo simulation was performed for the possible range of nett returns and to identify the effect of stochastic variables on profitability. The simulation results showed positive nett return from both biomass production and processing of pellets. The sweetgum yield, market price of biomass and pellet, and projected volume of pellets had the greatest positive effect on profitability. The results will help to make pelletizing readily available to those who are looking to make the switch and go green by using alternative and renewable energy.

Assessing the wood sourcing practices of the U.S. industrial wood pellet industry supplying European energy demand

BackgroundAs the demand for wood pellets has increased in EU member states, so has a multi-pronged examination of the environmental effects of establishing a transatlantic trade in wood pellets between the U.S. and Europe. However, the nature of industrial wood pellet supply chains is poorly understood or little known. This work aimed to understand the feedstock sourcing strategies being used by the wood pellet industry in the southeast U.S., commonly applied approaches to documenting sustainability of these feedstocks, and drivers operating behind related developments.MethodsThis study used structured interviews of sustainability managers and procurement staff at pellet mills comprising 75% of the U.S. industrial pellet sector. The industry was classified into types of supply chains, based on the role of loggers, wood dealers, sawmills, and other wood product facilities in the supply chains. Additional classifications examined feedstock types and origins, number and type of suppliers, contractual relationships with suppliers, applied procurement systems, risk assessment and due-diligence methodologies, risk mitigation procedures, and supply chain certifications.ResultsThree main types of supply chains were identified within the U.S. industrial pellet sector, differentiated based on features of feedstock procurement, risk assessment procedures, and risk management. The study observed a slight shift toward using a higher proportion of wood residuals as feedstock in some of the larger pellet mills. Policy requirements, customer orders, and external pressures were driving the sector’s adoption of sustainability programs, with risk assessments and wood procurement procedures aligned to policy requirements.ConclusionsThe strength of a risk-based approach to sustainability documentation depends on the quality of source data on risks within a sourcing area, scale of analysis, and integration of risk assessments into procurement practices. Some risk categories are more difficult to assess and control. Challenges increase with increasing number and diversity of supply chain actors and depend on the nature of agreements between these entities for the conveyance of feedstocks to pellet mills. Fiber procurement is similar to pulpwood-using industries, but extending the risk assessment to residuals is complicated and challenging to the sector. The study identified a number of strategies in use within pellet mill supply chains for dealing with these challenges.

Factors affecting the quality of fuel pellets produced from waste biomass

The production of wood pellets has more than doubled between 2010 and 2015 to over 30 million metric tons. It is expected to grow to even more than 50 million metric tons by 2025. Thus, increasing demand for wood pellets for its energy utilization has prompted researchers to search for non-woody feedstocks. In this context, a potentially huge underutilized biomass such as garden waste can be explored as an alternative feedstock. The key factors affecting the quality of fuel pellets were evaluated during the garden waste pelletization process. Experiments were performed using a flat die pellet mill to investigate the effect of feedstock moisture content, die size, and milling size on pellet quality. Quality parameters such as pellet moisture, pellet length, bulk density, and durability were measured as per ASABE standards. Feed moisture content had a significant effect on durability and bulk density, with high quality pellets produced at the low feed moisture content (< 20%). The quality parameters of produced pellets were evaluated as per standards. It is concluded from the investigation that pellets produced at 5-10% feed moisture content using 15 mm die and fine shredded biomass satisfies the ISO standard and other norms.

Mixed biomass pelleting potential for Portugal, step forward to circular use of biomass residues

Densification of the biomass residues as an efficient method to produce a renewable and CO2 neutral energy resource has been in consideration in recent years. However, according to a recent boost in the European wood pellet demand, the importance of R&D studies for substitution and enhancement of current raw materials for pelleting purposes has been increased. A large amount of annual garden waste and agricultural residues in Portugal causes that so-called Mixed Biomass Pelleting (MBP) method becomes a promising approach of the future that by closing the cycles in the agro-economic environments of Portugal, enhances the socio-economic conditions in the rural areas. This itself will have one more important consequence of wildfire prevention in the Portuguese forests. This work as a subset of a broader study that aims to develop an evaluation tool for circular economies will cover the information required for a techno-economic analysis of mixed biomass pelleting by a review on potential assessment methods, a rough-cut assessment of agro-residues potential for Portugal and gathering the required information about pellets origin, characteristics and legislative frames.

РАЗВИТИЕ ЦИРКУЛЯРНОЙ ЭКОНОМИКИ В РОССИИ: РЫНОК БИОТОПЛИВА

The growing interest in energy security and renewable energy in Europe and Asia has stimulated the demand for wood briquettes and pellets. The production of energy from pellets per unit of investment is cheaper than the production of gas and oil, which determines the development of a circular economy in the Russian Federation. In Russia the main producers of pellets and fuel briquettes are large timber companies. At the same time, small business is an active producer of biofuels. The article presents the results of an expert survey of business representatives in the field of biofuel production, as well as analytical information on production, capacity utilization, sales and raw materials for the production of fuel briquettes from wood waste in the Russian Federation. It has been established that the main factors affecting the price of pellets and fuel briquettes are: formed market demand, the method of transportation and packaging of products, as well as their quality. Expanding domestic production of wood pellets is the number one task for Russian producers, given the growth of the global pellet market. Moreover, in a number of countries in Europe and America, the main exporters of pellets and fuel briquettes, measures to support manufacturers are actively implemented. Support is needed at all state levels to accelerate the development of new industries and industries in the field of biofuel and bioenergy. The most popular measures to support domestic producers of biofuels may be reduction in tax rates, compensation for the costs of certification of products for small and medium-sized businesses. According to our estimates, we can expect further growth in the production of fuel briquettes, the intensity of which will, in many respects, be determined by the possibility of subsidizing transport transportation and the development of the domestic biofuel market. The domestic market for pellets and fuel briquettes will stagnate without the support of biofuel producers, and pricing and certification is an important element for developing the export potential of industry enterprises

The Wood Pellet Sector: Barriers to Growth and Opinions of Manufacturers in Poland

Biomass is a major source of renewable energy in the EU and Poland, stimulating the growth of the wood pellet sector. Wood pellet demand is stimulated by a complex interaction of market forces and policies including EU climate, energy, and environmental regulations, Poland’s program to improve air quality, and subsidies for the replacement of inefficient stoves used by households. This article focuses on the growth of the wood pellet industry, imports and exports in Poland, and wood pellet quality and use by households. The main issues faced by the EU wood pellet sector between 2013 and 2016 are further considered in the context of opinions of Polish wood pellet manufacturers. Industry opinions were collected in response to an open-ended question that probed for the main issues faced by wood pellet producers during the survey implemented by the authors in 2019. Respondents identified difficulties in obtaining raw material for pellet production and poor pellet quality as major problems. Although the majority did not feel concerned about competition from imported wood pellets, a small number of respondents viewed such competition as a problem reflecting the reversal of decreasing imports in 2017. Overall, the domestic wood pellet industry can be expected to grow because of increasing pressure to expand the use of renewable energy and will be driven by the household sector switching to more efficient, wood burning stoves. Additionally, the expanding area of private Polish forests may become a source of much-needed raw material for wood pellet manufacturing.

Opportunities and attitudes of private forest landowners in supplying woody biomass for renewable energy

Woody biomass has been identified as a source of dispatchable, renewable energy. Private lands supply the majority of the wood-based pellets that is produced in the southeastern United States (SE US) and shipped to countries in the European Union (EU) for energy generation. To assess the perspectives of potential suppliers of woody biomass in the SE US, nonindustrial private forest landowners were surveyed in the fuelsheds of the two primary ports for wood pellets exported to the EU. The survey assessed owners' characteristics, attitudes, and future management plans. Survey results were examined to explore the relationships among these factors and owners' intentions for providing material for wood-based energy. The results indicate that forest landowners have multiple reasons for maintaining their forest land, with more than 40% of the owners ranking timber production as a very important reason. Furthermore, the majority of landowners would be willing to provide woody biomass for producing bioenergy. Among factors that would enhance landowners' willingness to provide woody biomass for energy, technical assistance to improve stand productivity and future value was the most popular option, followed by reducing fire and disease risk, long-term markets, and high prices. Landowner willingness to provide woody material for bioenergy also varied depending on demographics including age and gender, property characteristics including holding size and distance to residence, and perceptions regarding the impact on forest value of wood pellet demand and the viability of bioenergy as an alternative to fossil energy.

Interrelation of Volatile Organic Compounds and Sensory Properties of Alternative and Torrefied Wood Pellets

The increasing demand for wood pellets on the market, which is caused by their excellent combustion properties, inspires the production as well as the utilization of alternative biomass pellets as fuel. However, the emission of volatile organic compounds gives pellet materials a distinct odor or off-odor, which is directly perceived by the end user. Thus, there is an urgent need for knowledge about the emitted volatile organic compounds and their potential formation pathways as well as their contributions to odor properties of the pellets. In this study, pellets made of biomass energy crops (i.e., straw or miscanthus), byproducts from the food industry (i.e., rapeseed, grapevine, or DDGS (dried distillers grains with solubles from beer production)), or eucalyptus, as well as torrefied pinewood and torrefied sprucewood were investigated with respect to the emitted volatile compounds and their possible impact on the pellet odor. Headspace solid-phase microextraction in combination with gas chromatography–mass spectrometry was used to enrich, separate, and identify the compounds. Techniques used in sensory science were applied to obtain information about the odor properties of the samples. A total of 59 volatile compounds (acids, aldehydes and ketones, alcohols, terpenes, heterocyclic compounds, and phenolic compounds) were identified with different compound ratios in the investigated materials. The use of multivariate statistical data analysis provided deep insight into product–compound interrelation. For pellets produced from bioenergy crops, as well as from byproducts from the food industry, the sensory properties of the pellets reflected the odor properties of the raw material. With respect to the volatiles from torrefied pellets, those volatiles that are formed during the torrefaction procedure dominate the odor of the torrefied pellets covering the genuine odor of the utilized wood. The results of this work serve as a substantiated basis for future production of pellets from alternative raw materials.

Assessing the Potential Impact of Rising Production of Industrial Wood Pellets on Streamflow in the Presence of Projected Changes in Land Use and Climate: A Case Study from the Oconee River Basin in Georgia, United States

This study examines the impact of projected land use changes in the context of growing production of industrial wood pellets coupled with expected changes in precipitation and temperature due to the changing climate on streamflow in a watershed located in the northeastern corner of the Oconee River Basin. We used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) for ascertaining any changes in streamflow over time. The developed model was calibrated over a seven-year period (2001–2007) and validated over another seven-year period (2008–2014). Any changes in streamflow were simulated for a combination of 10 land use and climate change cases, from 2015 to 2028, under the two scenarios of High and Low Demand for industrial wood pellets. Our results suggest that streamflow is relatively stable (&lt;1% change) for land use and temperature-related cases relative to the base case of no change in land use and climate. However, changes in precipitation by ±10% lead to considerable changes (±25%) in streamflow relative to the base case. Based on our results, expected changes in precipitation due to the changing climate will determine any changes in the streamflow, rather than projected land use changes in the context of rising demand for industrial wood pellets for export purposes in the selected watershed, keeping land under urban areas as constant. This study contributes to our broader understanding of the sustainability of the transatlantic industrial wood pellet trade; however, we suggest undertaking similar research at a larger spatial scale over a longer time horizon for understanding trade-offs across carbon, biodiversity, and water impacts of the transatlantic industrial wood pellet trade.