Cox Proportional Hazards Analysis Research Articles

Predicting rapid progression and overall survival in stage II-III pancreatic cancer using a CT-based radiomic signature.

706 Background: We sought to assess the ability of a computed tomography (CT)-derived radiomic signature (RS) feature set to predict rapid tumor progression and overall survival (OS) in patients diagnosed with stage II-III pancreatic cancer undergoing stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) in sequence with chemotherapy. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study on a cohort of 240 stage II-III pancreatic cancer patients who underwent SBRT in sequence with chemotherapy at a single institution (Stanford Hospital and Clinics). Among them, 83 had pre-SBRT contrast-enhanced CT images with segmented tumors, forming the imaging set, from which we extracted 900 radiomic (quantitative pixel-level imaging characteristic) features from delineated tumor regions-of-interest. For RS development, we divided the imaging set into a training set (n = 53) for model development and a test set (n = 30) for evaluation. We built a binary prediction model on the training set to identify patients at risk of rapid tumor progression within three months after SBRT. We utilized logistic regression with the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator algorithm for feature selection and classification. To fine-tune parameters, we performed five-fold cross-validation on the training set, repeating each set of parameters five times. Finally, we assessed the model's performance on the test set (n = 30) using the area under the curve (AUC) value. We selected the model with the best AUC, while also generating the predictive radiomic feature set. For OS prognostication, we conducted both univariate and multivariate Cox proportional-hazards analyses using RS and clinical features (age, sex, stage, vessel involvement, tumor location, performance status, body mass index, biological equivalent dose of radiation) as potential predictors. Results: The enrolled cohort consisted of 127 men (mean age, 69 years ± 12 [SD]) and 113 women (mean age, 69 years ± 13 [SD]). Seventeen textural radiomic features were identified as the RS, which demonstrated a high AUC in the test set for the prediction of rapid progression (AUC 0.850; 95% CI: 0.725, 0.975). Age was associated with OS in the multivariate model while high RS (>0.5) was independently associated with OS in both univariate and multivariate models. Conclusions: CT-derived RS, combined with age, represent the most prognostic factors for stage II-III pancreatic cancer. RS, which likely reflects underlying biology or molecular alterations, contributes to the highest HR of poor OS and provide the strongest indicator of outcome following commonly used treatments in this patient population. [Table: see text]

Prognostic Value of Cardiac Magnetic Resonance Feature Tracking Strain in Aortic Stenosis.

Recent data have suggested that global longitudinal strain (GLS) could be useful for risk stratification of patients with severe aortic stenosis (AS). In this study, we aimed to investigate the prognostic role of GLS in patients with AS and also its incremental value in relation to left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and late gadolinium enhancement (LGE). We analysed all consecutive patients with AS and LGE-CMR in our institution. Survival data were obtained from office of national statistics, a national body where all deaths in England are registered by law. Death certificates were obtained from the general register office. Some 194 consecutive patients with aortic stenosis were investigated with CMR at baseline and followed up for 7.3 ± 4 years. On multivariate Cox regression analysis, only increasing age remained significant for both all-cause and cardiac mortality, while LGE (any pattern) retained significance for all-cause mortality and had a trend to significance for cardiac mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated that patients in the best and middle GLS tertiles had significantly better mortality compared to patients in the worst GLS tertiles. Importantly though, sequential Cox proportional-hazard analysis demonstrated that GLS did not have significant incremental prognostic value for all-cause mortality or cardiac mortality in addition to LVEF and LGE. Our study has demonstrated that age and LGE but not GLS are significant poor prognostic indicators in patients with moderate and severe AS.

Clinical prognostic impact of C-NLR in heart failure patients with different ejection fractions: a retrospective study

ObjectionInflammatory conditions and immune disorders may worsen the prognosis of chronic heart failure (CHF) patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of a new indicator, C-NLR, composed of C-reactive protein (CRP) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), for the risk of all-cause mortality in HF patients with different ejection fractions.MethodsA total of 1221 CHF patients admitted to the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University from January 2017 to October 2021 were enrolled in this study. All patients were divided into 2 groups according to the median C-NLR. Kaplan–Meier survival curves were used to compare the all-cause mortality among CHF patients with different ejection fractions. Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to evaluate the relationships between variables and mortality. The predictive value of the C-NLR was assessed by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses.ResultsWe collected data from 1192 patients with CHF. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis revealed that patients with low LCR levels had better overall survival (OS). After multivariate adjustment Cox proportional hazards analysis, the level of C-NLR was still independently related to mortality.ConclusionsC-NLR was a competent independent predictor in HF with different ejection fractions, and routine measurement of C-NLR would help clinical doctors identify patients with a poor prognosis.

Assessing the time-to-removal of totally implantable venous access devices comparing valved-versus open-ended catheters in patients treated with chemotherapy.

Totally IntraVenous Acess Devices (TIVAD) are used to have long-term bloodstream access. The catheter connected to the subcutaneous chamber may be valved (TIVAD-V) or open-ended (TIVAD-O). Infectious and occlusion complications require the removal of the TIVAD. We compared the two types of catheters (TIVAD-V and TIVAD-O) in terms of time-to-removal and complication rates. A retrospective study of 636 patients treated for any malignancy using a TIVAD were included. TIVAD complication was defined as the occurrence of infection or occlusion requiring TIVAD removal. Risk factors of complications and time-to-removal of TIVAD were assessed by a Cox proportional hazard analysis. A total of 55 TIVADs (8.7%) were removed including 47 for infection and eight for occlusion in 54 months. There was no significant difference in the frequency of complications between TIVAD-V and TIVAD-O. There was no significant difference in time-to-removal between TIVAD-V and TIVAD-O (17.0 months, IQR [10.5-25.0] and 18.4 months, IQR [11.5-22.9], p = 0.345, respectively). There was no difference between TIVAD with valved and open catheter in terms of complications and time-to-removal in patients treated by chemotherapy.

Opioid trends and risk factors for sustained use among children and adolescents in Israel: a retrospective cohort study.

Despite growing global concern over opioids, little is known about the epidemiology of opioid use in children and adolescents. This retrospective study investigated opioid use trends and identified risk factors associated with sustained opioid use among outpatient children and adolescents in Israel. Electronic health records of 110,955 children and adolescents were used to establish opioid purchase trends in outpatient settings between 2003 and 2021. Of these, data from 2012 to 2021, n = 32,956, were included in a Cox proportional hazards analysis to identify demographic, clinical, and pharmacological risk factors for sustained opioid use. An increase in opioid use was observed, with a notable rise among strong opioids, peripheral areas, and noncancer patients. Prevalence of sustained opioid users was approximately 2.5%. Risk factors with significant adjusted hazard ratios for sustained use included history of frequent doctor visits 1.82 (95% CI [1.50-2.22]) and drug purchases 1.30 (95% CI [1.07-1.58]), malignancy 1.50 (95% CI [1.07-2.09]), history of cardiovascular (1.44 (95% CI [1.04-1.98]) and pain-related conditions 1.34 (95% CI [1.14-1.58]), and different opioid substances (relative to codeine use): tramadol 2.38 (95% CI [1.73-3.27]), oxycodone 4.29 (95% CI [3.00-6.16]), and "other strong opioids" 6.05 (95% CI [3.59-10.2]). Awareness of observed increase in opioid purchases is crucial for doctors and public health practitioners. Additional monitoring and secondary prevention of children and adolescents possessing the identified risk factors should facilitate where appropriate reducing sustained opioid use when it is unnecessary.

Higher Molecular Injury at Diagnosis of Acute Cellular Rejection Increases the Risk of Lung Allograft Failure: A Clinical Trial.

Rationale: The association of acute cellular rejection (ACR) with chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD) in lung transplant recipients has primarily been described before consensus recommendations incorporating restrictive phenotypes. Furthermore, the association of the degree of molecular allograft injury during ACR with CLAD or death remains undefined. Objectives: To investigate the association of ACR with the risk of CLAD or death and to further investigate if this risk depends on the degree of molecular allograft injury. Methods: This multicenter, prospective cohort study included 188 lung transplant recipients. Subjects underwent serial plasma collections for donor-derived cell-free DNA (dd-cfDNA) at prespecified time points and bronchoscopy. Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards analysis was conducted to analyze the association of ACR with subsequent CLAD or death as well as the association of dd-cfDNA during ACR with risk of CLAD or death. Additional outcomes analyses were performed with episodes of ACR categorized as "high risk" (dd-cfDNA ⩾ 1%) and "low risk" (dd-cfDNA < 1%). Measurements and Main Results: In multivariable analysis, ACR was associated with the composite outcome of CLAD or death (hazard ratio [HR], 2.07 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.05-4.10]; P = 0.036). Elevated dd-cfDNA ⩾ 1% at ACR diagnosis was independently associated with increased risk of CLAD or death (HR, 3.32; 95% CI, 1.31-8.40; P = 0.012). Patients with high-risk ACR were at increased risk of CLAD or death (HR, 3.13; 95% CI, 1.41-6.93; P = 0.005), whereas patients with low-risk status ACR were not. Conclusions: Patients with ACR are at higher risk of CLAD or death, but this may depend on the degree of underlying allograft injury at the molecular level. Clinical trial registered with www.clinicaltrials.gov (NCT02423070).

Survival Outcomes of Medullary Thyroid Cancer With and Without Amyloid Deposition

ObjectiveAmyloid deposition within tumor stroma is a distinctive histologic feature of medullary thyroid cancer (MTC). However, its prognostic significance remains uncertain. We aimed to elucidate the impact of amyloid status on survival outcomes in a large cohort. MethodsThe Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry was queried to identify patients diagnosed with MTC from 2000 to 2019. Patients with amyloid-positive (International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, third edition code 8345/3) and amyloid negative (International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, third edition code 8510/3) tumors were analyzed. Overall and disease-specific survival were compared between matched cohorts using Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards analyses. ResultsOf the 2526 MTC patients, 511 of which were amyloid-positive and 2015 that were amyloid negative. Amyloid-positive patients displayed lower T stage (T3/4: 28% vs 85%, P < .001) and less extrathyroidal extension (11.3% vs 81.6%, P < .001). No difference in distant metastasis rate was observed between groups (14.5% vs 14.4%, P = .98). However, amyloid-positive patients showed a tendency for distal lymph node metastasis (1.2% vs 0.3%, P = .020). On univariate analysis, amyloid-positive status showed comparable overall survival times (mean 172.2 vs 177.8 months, P = .17), but a trend toward worse cancer-specific survival (hazard ratios [HR] = 1.31, 95% CI = 0.99-1.71, P = .051). After adjusting for covariates, amyloid deposition did not independently predict overall (HR = 1.15, 95% CI = 0.91-1.47, P = .25) or cancer-specific survival (HR = 1.30, 95% CI = 0.96-1.77, P = .09). Initiating therapy later than 1 month following diagnosis was associated with worse overall survival (HR = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.02-1.54, P = .029). ConclusionsThe presence of amyloid in MTC paradoxically associates with lower T stage yet exhibits a trend toward worse cancer-specific mortality. Amyloid deposition alone does not independently influence prognosis. Delayed treatment adversely impacted overall survival.

Association of proton pump inhibitor use with survival and adverse effects outcomes in patients with multiple myeloma: pooled analysis of three clinical trials

Proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) are commonly used in cancer patients, but their impact on treatment outcomes in multiple myeloma (MM) patients remains unclear. This study investigated the association of PPI use with survival and adverse effects in MM patients across three randomized-control trials initiating daratumumab, lenalidomide, or bortezomib combination treatments. Cox proportional hazard analysis and logistic regression were employed to assess the associations with treatment outcomes, while adjusting for age, sex, weight, MM international staging system stage, ECOG-performance status, comorbidity count, and presence of gastrointestinal disorders. Pooled data involving 1804 patients revealed that 557 (32%) used PPIs at baseline. PPI use was independently associated with worse overall survival (adjusted HR [95% CI] 1.32 [1.08–1.62], P = 0.007) and grade ≥ 3 adverse events (adjusted OR [95% CI] 1.39 [1.03–1.88], P = 0.030). However, the association with progression-free survival did not reach statistical significance (adjusted HR [95% CI] 1.14 [0.97–1.33], P = 0.112). Findings were consistent across trials and treatment arms. PPI use was identified as a negative prognostic factor in MM patients, potentially enhancing clinical decisions regarding its use. Further research is needed to fully comprehend the impacts and safety of PPI use in MM patients.

Tumour-based Mutational Profiles Predict Visceral Metastasis Outcome and Early Death in Prostate Cancer Patients

BackgroundVisceral metastases are known to occur in advanced prostate cancer, usually when the tumour is resistant to androgen deprivation and, have worse outcomes regardless of therapies. ObjectiveTo analyse genomic alterations in tumour samples according to their lymphatic, bone, and visceral metastatic stages and overall survival. Design, setting, and participantsWe selected 200 patients with metastatic prostate cancer. Genomic profiling of 111 genes and molecular signatures (homologous recombination deficiency [HRD], microsatellite instability, and tumour burden mutation) was performed with the MyChoice test (Myriad Genetics, Inc, Salt Lake City, UT, USA). Outcome measurements and statistical analysisThe association between genomic profiles and visceral metastatic evolution was evaluated using logistic regression. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard analyses were used for analyses of early death. Results and limitationsA total of 173 (87%) genomic profiles were obtained. Eighty-four (49%) patients died during the follow-up period (median duration = 76 mo). TP53 was the most frequently mutated gene, followed by FANC genes, including BRCA2, and those of the Wnt-pathway (APC/CTNNB1). TP53 gene mutations were more frequent in patients of European (42%) than in those of African (16%) ancestry. An HRD score of >25 was predictive of FANC gene mutations. The mutational status of TP53 (p < 0.001) and APC (p = 0.002) genes were significantly associated with the risk of visceral metastases. The mutational status of CTNNB1 (p = 0.001), TP53 (p = 0.015), BRCA2 (p = 0.027), and FANC (p = 0.005) genes were significantly associated with an earlier age at death. The limitations are the retrospective study design based on a selection of genes and the low frequency of certain molecular events. ConclusionsMutations in the TP53 gene and genes (APC/CTNNB1) related to the Wnt pathway are associated with metastatic visceral dissemination and early death. These genomic alterations could be considered as markers to identify prostate cancer patients at a high risk of life-threatening disease who might benefit from more intensified treatment or new targeted therapies. Patient summaryIn this report, we evaluated the relationships between genomic profiles (gene mutations and molecular signatures) of tumour samples from patients with metastatic prostate cancer and early death. We found that mutations of specific genes, notably TP53 and APC/CTNNB1 related to the Wnt pathway, are associated with visceral metastatic progression and an earlier age at death.

Optimal Preventive Maintenance Scheduling for Wind Turbines under Condition Monitoring

Renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar, are positioned to play a pivotal role in future energy systems. In this paper, we propose a mathematical model for calculating and regularly updating the next preventive maintenance plan for a wind farm. Our optimization criterion considers various factors, including the current ages of key components, major maintenance costs, eventual energy production losses, and available data monitoring the condition of the wind turbines. Employing Cox proportional hazards analysis, we develop a comprehensive approach that accounts for the current ages of critical components, significant maintenance costs, potential energy production losses, and data collected from monitoring the condition of wind turbines. We illustrate the effectiveness of our approach through a case study based on data collected from multiple wind farms in Sweden. Our results demonstrate that preventive maintenance planning yields positive effects, particularly when the wind turbine components in question have significantly shorter lifespans than the turbine itself.

The impact of falls on activities of daily living in older adults: A retrospective cohort analysis.

Falls contribute to impairments in activities of daily living (ADLs), resulting in significant declines in the quality of life, safety, and functioning of older adults. Understanding the magnitude and duration of the effect of falls on ADLs, as well as identifying the characteristics of older adults more likely to have post-fall ADL impairment is critical to inform fall prevention and post-fall intervention. The purpose of this study is to 1) Quantify the association between falls and post-fall ADL impairment and 2) Model trajectories of ADL impairment pre- and post-fall to estimate the long-term impact of falls and identify characteristics of older adults most likely to have impairment. Study participants were from the Ginkgo Evaluation of Memory Study, a randomized controlled trial in older adults (age 75+) in the United States. Self-reported incident falls and ADL scores were ascertained every 6 months over a 7-year study period. We used Cox proportional hazards analyses (n = 2091) to quantify the association between falls and ADL impairment and latent class trajectory modeling (n = 748) to visualize trajectories of ADL impairment pre-and post-fall. Falls reported in the previous 6 months were associated with impairment in ADLs (HR: 1.42; 95% CI 1.32, 1.52) in fully adjusted models. Based on trajectory modeling (n = 748), 19% (n = 139) of participants had increased, persistent ADL impairment after falling. Participants who were female, lived in a neighborhood with higher deprivation, or experienced polypharmacy were more likely to have ADL impairment post-fall. Falls are associated with increased ADL impairment, and this impairment can persist over time. It is crucial that all older adults, and particularly those at higher risk of post-fall ADL impairment have access to comprehensive fall risk assessment and evidence-based fall prevention interventions, to help mitigate the negative impacts on ADL function.

Clinician's Approach to Advanced Statistical Methods: Win Ratios, Restricted Mean Survival Time, Responder Analyses, and Standardized Mean Differences.

Novel statistical methods have emerged in recent medical literature, which clinicians must understand to properly appraise and integrate evidence into their practice. Some of these key concepts include win ratios, restricted mean survival time, responder analyses, and standardized mean difference. This article offers guidance to busy clinicians on the comprehension and practical applicability of the results to patients. Win ratios provide an alternative method to analyze composite outcomes by prioritizing individual components of the composite; prioritization of the outcomes should be evidence-based, pre-specified, and patient-centered. Restricted mean survival time presents a method to analyze Kaplan-Meier curves when assumptions required for Cox proportional hazards analysis are not met. As it only considers outcomes that occur within a specific timeframe, the duration of follow-up must be appropriately defined and based on prior epidemiologic and mechanistic evidence. Researchers can analyze continuous outcomes with responder analyses, in which participants are dichotomized into "responders" or "non-responders." While clinicians and patients may more easily grasp outcomes analyzed in this way, they should be aware of the loss of information and resulting imprecision, as well as potential to manipulate data presentation. When meta-analyzing continuous outcomes, point estimates can be converted to standardized mean differences to facilitate the combination of data utilizing various outcome measures. However, clinicians may find it challenging to grasp the clinical meaningfulness of a standardized mean difference, and may benefit from converting it to well-known outcomes. By providing the background knowledge of these statistical methods, along with practical applicability, benefits, and inevitable limitations, this article aims to provide clinicians with an approach to appraise the literature and apply the results in clinical practice.

Radiofrequency ablation for capsular-located versus noncapsular-located papillary thyroid microcarcinoma: a propensity score matching study of 1095 patients.

To assess the safety and efficacy of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) for capsular-located papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) in a large cohort and to compare its outcomes with those of noncapsular-located PTMC. We retrospectively reviewed patients who underwent RFA for solitary capsular-located and noncapsular-located low-risk PTMC (n = 1095) from June 2014 to October 2020. To balance confounding variables between capsular and noncapsular groups, we employed the 1:1 propensity score matching approach. We evaluated and compared tumor changes, disease progression, and complications in both groups. Furthermore, we analyzed the association between capsular location and disease progression using multivariable Cox regression. During a mean follow-up time of 29.86 ± 16.14months and 29.73 ± 15.69months, no substantial difference was observed between capsular and noncapsular groups in the latest volume (0.83 ± 3.66 mm3 vs. 0.85 ± 3.67 mm3, p = 0.44) and volume reduction ratio (99.29 ± 4.04% vs. 99.43 ± 3.03%, p = 0.43), and cumulative disappearance rate (87.87% vs. 86.07%, p = 0.31). In addition, no significant differences were observed in complication incidence (1.35% vs. 1.12%, p = 0.76) and progression-free survival (p = 0.53). Based on adjusted multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, the association between capsular location and disease progression was nonsignificant (all p > 0.05). This study demonstrates that the short-term outcomes of RFA for capsular-located PTMCs are comparable to those of noncapsular-located PTMCs. These findings indicate that RFA may be a viable and effective alternative for eligible patients with solitary capsular-located PTMC. Radiofrequency ablation may serve as a safe and effective alternative treatment method for eligible patients with capsular-located and noncapsular-located papillary thyroid microcarcinoma. • The safety and efficacy of radiofrequency ablation for capsular-located and noncapsular-located papillary thyroid microcarcinomas were comparable. • Disease progression did not differ significantly between capsular-located and noncapsular-located papillary thyroid microcarcinomas. • The incidence of complications for capsular-located papillary thyroid microcarcinoma was low.

Chemical and perfusion markers as predictors of moyamoya disease progression and complication types

To investigate the association between chemical markers (triglyceride, C-reactive protein (CRP), and inflammation markers) and perfusion markers (relative cerebral vascular reserve (rCVR)) with moyamoya disease progression and complication types. A total of 314 patients diagnosed with moyamoya disease were included. Triglyceride and CRP levels were assessed and categorized based on Korean guidelines for dyslipidemia and CDC/AHA guidelines, respectively. Perfusion markers were evaluated using Diamox SPECT. Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to examine the relationship between these markers and disease progression, as well as complication types (ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and rCVR deterioration). Elevated triglyceride levels (≥ 200) were significantly associated with higher likelihood of end-point events (HR: 2.292, CI 1.00–4.979, P = 0.03). Severe decreased rCVR findings on Diamox SPECT were also significantly associated with end-point events (HR: 3.431, CI 1.254–9.389, P = 0.02). Increased CRP levels and white blood cell (WBC) count were significantly associated with moyamoya disease progression. For hemorrhagic stroke, higher triglyceride levels were significantly associated with end-point events (HR: 5.180, CI 1.355–19.801, P = 0.02). For ischemic stroke, severe decreased rCVR findings on Diamox SPECT (HR: 5.939, CI 1.616–21.829, P < 0.01) and increased CRP levels (HR: 1.465, CI 1.009–2.127, P = 0.05) were significantly associated with end-point events. Elevated triglyceride, CRP, and inflammation markers, as well as decreased rCVR, are potential predictors of moyamoya disease progression and complication types. Further research is warranted to understand their role in disease pathophysiology and treatment strategies.

The impact of respiratory reactance in oscillometry on survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis

BackgroundIdiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a progressive disease with a poor prognosis. Pulmonary function tests (PFTs) aid in evaluating the disease status of IPF. The clinical significance of oscillometry measurements in interstitial lung diseases has recently been reported. Our previous study showed that respiratory reactance (Xrs) measured by oscillometry reflected disease severity and predicted subsequent lung capacity decline in patients with IPF. However, the direct impact of Xrs on survival needs to be determined, and there are currently no reference values in oscillometry to predict prognosis. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the association between oscillometry measurements, particularly Xrs, and survival in patients with IPF and to determine the cutoff values of Xrs that predict 3-year survival.MethodsWe analyzed the relationship between the measured values of PFT and oscillometry derived from 178 patients with IPF. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses were performed to investigate the relationships between clinical indices at the time of the first oscillometry and survival. We performed the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to set the optimized cutoff values of Xrs for 3-year survival prediction. We examined the discriminating power of cutoff values of Xrs on survival using the Kaplan–Meier method and the log-rank test.ResultsXrs components, especially in the inspiratory phase (In), significantly correlated with the PFT values. In the multivariate analyses, Xrs (all of reactance at 5 Hz [X5], resonant frequency [Fres], and low-frequency reactance area [ALX] in the inspiratory phase) had a significant impact on survival (X5, p = 0.003; Fres, p = 0.016; ALX, p = 0.003) independent of age, sex, and other prognostic factors derived from the univariate analysis. The area under the ROC curve was 0.765, 0.759, and 0.766 for X5 In, Fres In, and ALX In, with cutoff values determined at − 0.98, 10.67, and 5.32, respectively. We found significant differences in survival after dividing patients using each of the cutoff values of Xrs.ConclusionsIn patients with IPF, Xrs measured by oscillometry significantly impacted survival. We also determined the cutoff values of Xrs to discriminate patients with poor prognoses.

The correlation between albumin-corrected anion gap and prognosis in patients with acute myocardial infarction.

Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is a cardiovascular disease with high morbidity and mortality. We collected patients with AMI from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (v2.0) database and explored the association between serum albumin-corrected anion gap (ACAG) level and mortality in patients with AMI. Data of adult patients with AMI were collected. According to the 360day prognosis, patients were divided into survival and non-survival groups. Based on the ACAG level, patients were then divided into normal and high ACAG groups. Cox hazard proportional models and restricted cubic splines (RCSs) were used to investigate the correlation between ACAG and mortality. Kaplan-Meier curves were created to compare the cumulative survival rates between the high and normal ACAG groups. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to analyse the predictive value of ACAG for the prognosis of patients with AMI. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses were conducted to revalidate the results. Finally, 1783 patients were included. Elevated ACAG (>20mmol/L) was significantly associated with 30 and 360day mortality (P<0.001). Adjusted for multiple confounding factors, the Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that elevated ACAG (>20mmol/L) was an independent risk factor of increased all-cause mortality in patients with AMI (hazard ratio 1.423, 95% confidence interval 1.206-1.678, P<0.001). RCS analysis further showed that there was a non-linear trend relationship between ACAG and the risk of all-cause mortality at 30 and 360days (χ2=10.750, P=0.013; χ2=13.960, P=0.003). Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that the 30 and 360day cumulative survival rates of patients with AMI were significantly lower (log-rank test, χ2=98.880, P<0.001; χ2=105.440, P<0.001) in the high ACAG group. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of ACAG was 0.651, while the AUC of anion gap (AG) was 0.609, indicating that ACAG had a higher predictive value for 360day mortality than AG. When combined with Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, the predictive performance of ACAG for 360day mortality was better, with an AUC of 0.699. Sensitivity and subgroup analyses were conducted suggesting the stability of our results. Elevated serum ACAG (≥20mmol/L) is an independent risk factor for short-term and long-term mortality in critically ill patients with AMI, and it may assist clinicians and nurses identifying high-risk patients.

Does neonatal resuscitation associated with neonatal death in low-resource settings? A follow-up study

Background The newborn period is the most vulnerable phase for a child’s survival, with around half of all under-five deaths worldwide occurring during this time. Despite existing policies and measures, Ethiopia ranks among the top 10 African countries in terms of newborn mortality. In spite of many studies being carried out in the country, the incidence and predictors of neonatal mortality in the Pastoralist and agro-pastoralist parts of the country’s southern still remain unidentified. Therefore, this study aimed to identify the predictors of neonatal mortality in selected public Hospitals in southern Ethiopia. Materials and methods An institution-based retrospective cohort study was conducted among 568 neonates admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit at Bule Hora University teaching Hospital and Yabelo General Hospital, Southern Ethiopia from 1 January 2020–31 December 2021. A simple random sampling technique was used to select records of neonates. Data entry was performed using Epidata version 3.1 and the analysis was performed using STATA version 14.1 Kaplan Meir curve and Log-rank test were used to estimate the survival time and compare survival curves between variables. Hazard Ratios with 95% CI were computed and all the predictors associated with the outcome variable at p-value 0.05 in the multivariable cox proportional hazards analysis were declared as a significant predictor of neonatal death. Results Out of 565 neonates enrolled, 54(9.56%) neonates died at the end of the follow-up period. The overall incidence rate of death was 17.29 (95% CI: 13.24, 22.57) per 1000 neonatal days with a restricted mean follow-up period of 20 days. Of all deaths, 64.15% of neonates died within the first week of life. In the multivariable cox-proportional hazard model, neonatal age < 7 days (AHR: 9.17, 95% CI: (4.17, 20.13), place of delivery (AHR: 2.48, 95% CI: (1.38, 4.47), Initiation of breastfeeding after 1 h of birth (AHR: 6.46, 95% CI: (2.24, 18.59), neonates’ body temperature <36.5 °C (AHR: 2.14, 95% CI: (1.19, 3.83), and resuscitated neonates (AHR: 2.15, 95% CI: (1.20, 3.82) were independent predictors of neonatal death. Conclusion In the research setting, the incidence of neonatal death was high, especially during the first week of life. The study found that neonatal age < 7 days, place of delivery, Initiation of breastfeeding after 1 h of birth, neonates’ body temperature <36.5 °C, and resuscitated neonates were predictors of neonatal death. To improve newborn survival, significant neonatal problems, improved resuscitation, and other relevant factors should be addressed.

Does maintaining the number of present and functional teeth benefit the longevity of life in older people requiring nursing care?: A prospective cohort study.

This prospective cohort study examined the effects of the number of present and functional teeth on mortality among older Japanese adults requiring nursing care in an environment of comprehensive oral hygiene and nutritional management. The study included 174 older adults (mean age: 84.4 ± 8.3 years; male/female: 49/125) in need of support or long-term care, who resided in either a local specialized healthcare facility or their own homes, and received daily oral hygiene and nutritional support at facilities in Okayama, Japan. The initial clinical oral examination along with assessment of general physical condition and nursing environment of the participants were performed in July 2013 and followed up for one year. All-cause mortality occurred in 28 (mean age: 88.7 ±13.4 years; male/female: 6 /22) individuals during the follow-up period. Cox proportional hazard analysis indicated that older age, low performance in activities of daily living (Barthel Index <40), and underweight status (body mass index <18.5) were significant risk factors for mortality. The number of present and functional teeth were not found to be significant risk factors for mortality. During the one-year follow-up period, the number of present and functional teeth did not have a significant impact on mortality among older Japanese adults requiring nursing care in a well-managed environment of oral hygiene and nutritional status.

Aortic arch calcification increases major adverse cardiac event risk, modifiable by echocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy, in end-stage kidney disease patients.

The factors affecting cardiovascular risk associated with vascular calcification in patients with chronic kidney disease are less well addressed. Distinct risk factors may contribute synergistically to this elevated cardiovascular risk in this population. We aimed to determine whether echocardiographic left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) affects the risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) associated with vascular calcification in end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) patients. In this retrospective cohort study, ESKD patients underwent chest radiography and echocardiography to assess aortic arch calcification (AoAC) and LVH, respectively, and were classified into three groups accordingly: non-to-mild AoAC without LVH, non-to-mild AoAC with LVH, and moderate-to-severe AoAC. The risks of MACE, cardiovascular mortality, and overall mortality were assessed using Cox proportional hazard analysis. Of the 283 enrolled ESKD patients, 44 (15.5%) had non-to-mild AoAC without LVH, 117 (41.3%) had non-to-mild AoAC with LVH, and 122 (43.1%) had moderate-to-severe AoAC. After 34.1 months, 107 (37.8%) participants developed MACE, including 6 (13.6%), 40 (34.2%), and 61 (50%) from each respective group. Those with moderate-to-severe AoAC (Hazard ratio, 3.72; 95% confidence interval, 1.58-8.73) had a significantly higher risk of MACE than did those with non-to-mild AoAC without LVH or with non-to-mild AoAC and LVH (Hazard ratio, 2.73; 95% confidence interval, 1.16-6.46). A similar trend was observed for cardiovascular and overall mortality. Echocardiographic LVH could modify the risk of adverse cardiovascular events associated with vascular calcification in ESKD patients. Interventions aiming to ameliorate both morbidities might be translated into a lower MACE risk in this population.

Differences in the risk of clinical failure between thiopurine and methotrexate in bio-naïve patients with Crohn's disease: a Korean nationwide population-based study.

Although immunomodulators are widely prescribed in patients with Crohn's disease (CD), it is unclear whether there is a difference in treatment outcomes between thiopurines and methotrexate (MTX). To compare the risk of clinical failure between thiopurines and MTX in bio-naïve patients with CD. Nationwide, population-based study. We used claims data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service. After inverse probability of treatment weighting, logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard analyses were used to evaluate the risk of clinical failure in bio-naïve patients with CD treated with thiopurine (thiopurine group) or MTX (MTX group). Overall, 10,296 adult and pediatric patients with CD [9912 (96.3%) and 384 (3.7%) in the thiopurine and MTX groups, respectively] were included. The odds ratios (ORs) of failure to induce remission were significantly higher in the MTX group than in the thiopurine group [adjusted OR (aOR), 1.115; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.045-1.190; p = 0.001]. However, the opposite result was observed only in patients without concomitant steroid use: the MTX group had a lower risk of induction failure than the thiopurine group (aOR, 0.740; 95% CI, 0.673-0.813; p < 0.001). The risk of overall maintenance failure was higher in the MTX group than in the thiopurine group [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 1.117; 95% CI, 1.047-1.191; p = 0.001]. The risk of overall maintenance failure was higher in the standard-dose MTX group than in the low-dose MTX group (aHR, 1.296; 95% CI, 1.134-1.480; p < 0.001). There was no significant difference in the risk of maintenance failure according to the administration route of MTX. Thiopurine is more effective than MTX in inducing and maintaining remission in bio-naïve patients with CD; however, the concomitant use of steroids influences inducing remission.