Cox Proportional Hazards Analysis Research Articles

Association of Regular Opioid Use With Incident Dementia and Neuroimaging Markers of Brain Health in Chronic Pain Patients: Analysis of UK Biobank

ObjectivesWe aimed to investigate the association of regular opioid use, compared with non-opioid analgesics, with incident dementia and neuroimaging outcomes among chronic pain patients. DesignThe primary design is a prospective cohort study. To triangulate evidence, we also conducted a nested case-control study analyzing opioid prescriptions and a cross-sectional study analyzing neuroimaging outcomes. Setting and ParticipantsDementia-free UK Biobank participants with chronic pain and regular analgesic use. MeasurementsChronic pain status and regular analgesic use were captured using self-reported questionnaires and verbal interviews. Opioid prescription data were obtained from primary care records. Dementia cases were ascertained using primary care, hospital, and death registry records. Propensity score-matched Cox proportional hazards analysis, conditional logistic regression, and linear regression were applied to the data in the prospective cohort, nested case-control, and cross-sectional studies, respectively. ResultsProspective analyses revealed that regular opioid use, compared with non-opioid analgesics, was associated with an increased dementia risk over the 15-year follow-up (Hazard ratio [HR], 1.18 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.08–1.30]; Absolute rate difference [ARD], 0.44 [95% CI: 0.19–0.71] per 1000 person-years; Wald χ2 = 3.65; df = 1; p <0.001). The nested case-control study suggested that a higher number of opioid prescriptions was associated with an increased risk of dementia (1 to 5 prescriptions: OR = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.07–1.37, Wald χ2 = 3.02, df = 1, p = 0.003; 6 to 20: OR = 1.27, 95% CI: 1.08–1.50, Wald χ2 = 2.93, df = 1, p = 0.003; more than 20: OR = 1.43, 95% CI: 1.23–1.67, Wald χ2 = 4.57, df = 1, p < 0.001). Finally, neuroimaging analyses revealed that regular opioid use was associated with lower total grey matter and hippocampal volumes, and higher white matter hyperintensities volumes. ConclusionRegular opioid use in chronic pain patients was associated with an increased risk of dementia and poorer brain health when compared to non-opioid analgesic use. These findings imply a need for re-evaluation of opioid prescription practices for chronic pain patients and, if further evidence supports causality, provide insights into strategies to mitigate the burden of dementia.

The influence of prior percutaneous rhizotomy on outcomes following microvascular decompression for trigeminal neuralgia.

Microvascular decompression (MVD) is an effective intervention in patients with trigeminal neuralgia (TN). How prior rhizotomy can impact long-term pain outcomes following MVD is not well understood. In this study, the authors sought to compare pain outcomes in patients who had undergone primary MVD versus those who had undergone secondary MVD after a single or multiple rhizotomies. The authors retrospectively reviewed the data on all patients who had undergone MVD at their institution from 2007 to 2020. Patients were included in the study if they had undergone primary MVD or if their surgical history was notable for past rhizotomy. Barrow Neurological Institute (BNI) pain scores were assigned at preoperative and final follow-up appointments. Perioperative complications were noted for each patient, and evidence of pain recurrence was recorded as well. A history of rhizotomy as well as other variables that might influence TN pain recurrence were evaluated using a Cox proportional hazards model. The impact of prior rhizotomy on TN pain recurrence following MVD was further assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Of 1044 patients reviewed, 947 met the study inclusion criteria. Of these, 796 patients had undergone primary MVD, 84 had a history of a single rhizotomy before MVD, and 67 had a history of ≥ 2 rhizotomies prior to MVD. Patients in the single rhizotomy and multiple rhizotomies cohorts exhibited a greater frequency of preoperative numbness (p < 0.001), higher preoperative BNI pain scores (p < 0.005), and higher rates of postoperative numbness (p = 0.04). However, final follow-up BNI pain scores were not significantly different between the primary MVD and prior rhizotomy groups (p = 0.34). Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that younger age, multiple sclerosis, and female sex independently predicted an increased risk of pain recurrence following MVD. Neither a history of a single prior rhizotomy nor a history of multiple prior rhizotomies independently increased the risk of pain recurrence. Furthermore, Kaplan-Meier analysis of pain-free survival among the 3 groups revealed no relationship between a history of prior rhizotomy and pain recurrence following MVD (p = 0.57). Percutaneous rhizotomy does not complicate outcomes following subsequent MVD for TN pain. However, patients undergoing rhizotomy before MVD may have an increased risk of postoperative facial numbness compared to that in patients undergoing primary MVD.

A signature based on circadian rhythm-associated genes for the evaluation of prognosis and the tumour microenvironment in HNSCC

The morbidity and mortality rates of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) remain high worldwide. Therefore, there is an urgent need to identify a new prognostic biomarker to guide the personalized treatment of HNSCC patients. Increasing evidence suggests that circadian rhythm genes play an important role in the development and progression of cancer. We aimed to explore the value of circadian rhythm genes in predicting prognosis and guiding the treatment of HNSCC. We first obtained a list of circadian rhythm genes from previous research. The sequencing data were retrieved from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases. Finally, univariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis were performed to develop a prognostic signature (Circadian Rhythm-Related Gene Prognostic Index, CRRGPI) consisting of nine circadian rhythm genes. The signature exhibited good performance in predicting overall survival. Patients with low CRRGPI scores had lower metabolic activities and an active antitumour immunity ability. Additionally, a clinical cohort was used to further evaluate the ability of the CRRGPI to predict the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors. In conclusion, the novel circadian rhythm-related gene signature can provide a precise prognostic evaluation with the potential capacity to guide individualized treatment regimens for HNSCC patients.

Tuberculosis and Nontuberculous Mycobacterial Infections in Patients with Spondyloarthritis: A Population-Based Study.

Background and Objectives: Tuberculosis is caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB), while nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM) encompass a group of mycobacterial species that are distinct from the MTB complex and leprae. Spondyloarthritis (SpA) is a group of chronic inflammatory diseases with shared clinical characteristics and is treated with biological agents; however, their use may elevate the risk of MTB and NTM infections. This study aimed to compare the incidence and risk of MTB and NTM infections in patients with SpA, including ankylosing spondylitis (AS) and psoriatic arthritis (PsA), using a population-based approach. Materials and Methods: This study included 2333 patients with SpA and 9332 age- and sex-matched controls from the Korea National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort database from 2002 to 2019. The patients were identified using the International Classification of Diseases-10 codes for AS, PsA, MTB, and NTM. Results: The results showed that a negligible percentage of patients with SpA developed NTM (0.002%) and MTB (0.016%), with no significant difference in the incidence rate ratio (IRR) compared to controls. Among patients with SpA treated with biologics, the IRRs for NTM and MTB were 5.66 and 3.069, respectively; however, these were not statistically significant. No cases of NTM or MTB infection were reported in female patients with SpA treated with biologics. In both the SpA patient group and the control group, the incidence of MTB was higher in individuals over 60 years old compared to those under 60 years old. Cox proportional hazard analysis revealed a significant adjusted hazard ratio of 1.479 for MTB in patients with SpA after adjusting for age, sex, smoking history, insurance level, and comorbidities. However, this significance was not maintained when biological therapy was further adjusted. Conclusions: Our study indicated that the risks of NTM and MTB infection are not elevated in patients with SpA. Although biological use may potentially increase the risk of MTB infection, it does not lead to a significant increase in incidence rates. Proactive screening for latent tuberculosis and adequate prophylaxis using biologics can effectively manage the risk of NTM and MTB infections.

Prognostic significance of systemic immune-inflammation index in patients with nonfunction pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor undergoing surgical resection.

The purpose of our study was to investigate the clinical significance and prognostic role of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in patients who underwent surgical resection for nonfunctioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (pNETs). We conducted a retrospective analysis of 364 patients with nonfunctioning pNETs. The association between the SII level and clinical parameters was investigated. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to calculate the optimal SII value. Cox proportional hazard analysis was performed to evaluate the prognostic factors. Our study included 364 patients with nonfunctioning pNETs who underwent surgery. The median age was 51.0 (43.0, 59.3), and 164 (45.1%) were male. The optimal threshold of SII determined by ROC analysis was 523.95. Higher SII levels were significantly associated with older age (p = 0.001), sex (p = 0.011), tumor size (p = 0.032), and tumor grade (p = 0.002). Recurrence was observed in 70 (19.2%) patients following a median follow-up of 98 months. Univariate analysis showed that higher SII (p < 0.0001), tumor size >4 cm (p = 0.015), and G2/G3 grade (p = 0.002) were significantly associated with disease-free survival (DFS). Multivariate analysis revealed that higher SII (HR: 7.35; 95% CI: 3.44, 15.70; p < 0.0001) and G2/G3 grade (HR: 3.11; 95% CI: 1.42, 6.82; p = 0.005) remained significantly associated with tumor recurrence. Furthermore, 46 (12.6%) patients died during the follow-up. Higher SII (HR: 8.43; 95% CI: 3.19, 22.72; p < 0.0001) and G2/G3 grade (HR: 3.16; 95% CI: 1.01, 9.86; p = 0.048) were independent predictors of overall survival (OS) by multivariate analysis. In conclusion, our study revealed that a higher SII level was associated with tumor-related features (larger tumor size and advanced grade) and subsequent shorter DFS and OS in patients with nonfunctioning pNETs. These results indicated that the SII could serve as an efficient prognostic biomarker for nonfunctioning pNETs.

Joint Association of Low Nadir Serum Sodium and Potassium with Worse Outcomes after Ischemic Stroke

Background. Potassium and sodium are inextricably linked to the maintenance of cell potential and electrolyte homeostasis. Few studies have examined their joint relationship with outcomes after stroke. The objective of this study is to ascertain whether combined low nadir serum sodium and potassium levels are correlated with an unfavorable outcome in ischemic stroke. Methods. Retrospective cohort study of 2,920 consecutive patients with first-ever ischemic stroke. Serum sodium and potassium levels were measured at 10 consecutive time points over 10 days poststroke. The Youden Index was performed to identify patients with low nadir sodium (&lt;140 mmol/L) and potassium (&lt;3.65 mmol/L) levels, defined as a NaK score of 2. Multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard analysis were used to evaluate the independent relationship of sodium and potassium levels with clinical outcomes at three months. Results. A total of 2,920 patients with ischemic stroke were analyzed (mean age 62.14±14.13 years; 60.19% male), of whom 740 (25.3%) with both low nadir sodium and potassium levels had a quintuple 3-month case fatality compared to other patients (10.6% vs. 2.1%). Multivariable analyses identified NaK=2 as an independent predictor of 3-month death (adjusted odds ratio (OR) 2.23; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.17-4.53; p=0.019) and an unfavorable shift in the distribution of scores on the modified Rankin scale (adjusted OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.12-2.04; p=0.007). Conclusions. Low sodium and potassium levels are common after ischemic stroke and are independent predictors of subsequent death.

Validation and comparison of prognostic scoring systems in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with nivolumab.

Several scoring systems have been developed to predict prognosis in patients with refractory cancer. We aimed to validate eight scoring systems and determine the best method for predicting the prognosis of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with nivolumab. This multicentre retrospective study involved 154 patients with recurrent and/or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with nivolumab between 2017 and 2020. Oncological outcomes were assessed according to the scoring systems, including MD Anderson Cancer Center + neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and Hammersmith scores. Objective response, overall survival and progression-free survival were evaluated using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analyses. Receiver operating curve analysis was used to calculate the area under the curve and estimate the efficacy of each score. No significant associations were found between the responses and any score. Seven of the eight scoring systems were associated with disease control (odds ratio, 0.26-0.70). Amongst the eight scoring systems, MD Anderson Cancer Center + neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio showed the highest area under the curve for predicting response and disease control. Seven scoring systems were prognostic factors for progression-free survival (hazard ratio, 1.22-1.95). All eight scoring systems were prognostic factors for overall survival (hazard ratio, 1.62-3.83). According to the time-dependent receiver operating characteristics analysis for overall survival, the Hammersmith scoring system had the best predictive ability at 3months, and the MD Anderson Cancer Center + neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio scoring system had the highest area under the curve between 6 and 24months. MD Anderson Cancer Center + neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and Hammersmith scoring systems were better predictors of prognosis in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma treated with nivolumab.

Impact of atrial fibrillation phenotype and left atrial volume on outcome after pulmonary vein isolation.

Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is increasingly performed in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Both AF phenotype and left atrial (LA) volume have been shown to influence ablation outcome. The inter-relationship of the two is incompletely understood. We aimed to investigate the impact of AF phenotype vs. LA volume on outcome after PVI. In a retrospective analysis of a prospective registry of patients undergoing a first PVI, the association of AF phenotype and LA volume index (LAVI) was assessed as well as their impact on AF recurrence during follow-up. Overall, 476 patients were enrolled (median age 63 years, 29% females, 65.8% paroxysmal AF). Obesity, hypertension, chronic kidney disease, and heart failure were all significantly more frequent in persistent AF. After 1 year, single-procedure, freedom from arrhythmia recurrence was 61.5%. Patients with paroxysmal AF had better outcomes compared with patients with persistent AF (65.6 vs. 52.7%, P = 0.003), as had patients with no/mild vs. moderate/severe LA dilation (LAVI <42 mL/m2 67.1% vs. LAVI ≥42 mL/m2 53%, P < 0.001). The combination of both parameters refined prediction of 1-year recurrence (P < 0.001). After adjustment for additional clinical risk factors in multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, both AF phenotype and LAVI ≥42 mL/m2 contributed significantly towards the prediction of 1-year recurrence. Atrial fibrillation phenotype and LA volume are independent predictors of outcome after PVI. Persistent AF with no/mild LA dilation has a similar risk of recurrence as paroxysmal AF with a moderate/severe LA dilation and should be given similar priority for ablation.

Blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio: a novel mortality indicator in intensive care unit patients with coronary heart disease

The blood urea nitrogen to albumin ratio (BAR) has been demonstrated as a prognostic factor in sepsis and respiratory diseases, yet its role in severe coronary heart disease (CHD) remains unexplored. This retrospective study, utilizing data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database, included 4254 CHD patients, predominantly male (63.54%), with a median age of 74 years (IQR 64–83). Primary outcomes included in-hospital, 28-day and 1-year all-cause mortality after ICU admission. The Kaplan–Meier curves, Cox regression analysis, multivariable restricted cubic spline regression were employed to assess association between BAR index and mortality. In-hospital, within 28-day and 1-year mortality rates were 16.93%, 20.76% and 38.11%, respectively. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed associations between the increased BAR index and higher in-hospital mortality (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.02–1.21), 28-day mortality (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.08–1.27) and 1-year mortality (HR 1.23, 95% CI 1.16–1.31). Non-linear relationships were observed for 28-day and 1-year mortality with increasing BAR index (both P for non-linearity < 0.05). Elevated BAR index was a predictor for mortality in ICU patients with CHD, offering potential value for early high-risk patient identification and proactive management by clinicians.

Risk factors for repeated percutaneous transluminal angioplasty of hemodialysis vascular access after initial intervention.

Percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA) is a significant intervention to deal with occlusion and stenosis of vascular access. The study aimed to explore the risk factors of repeated PTA (re-PTA) after the initial intervention in patients undergoing hemodialysis. This retrospective study included 180 patients who underwent successful PTA for the first time between March 2016 and December 2020. Information on demographic, clinical, anatomical, and medication variables was collected. Survival curves were plotted using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the risk factors associated with re-PTA were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses. The primary clinical patency rates at 6, 12, and 24months after PTA were found to be 85.2%, 70.7%, and 58.6%, respectively. The univariate Cox proportion hazards analysis revealed the association of non-antiplatelet agents (HR 2.368 95% CI 1.351 to 4.150, p = .003) and arteriovenous graft (AVG) (HR 2.096 95% CI 1.147 to 3.831, p = .016) with re-PTA. However, only non-antiplatelet therapy showed statistical significance (HR 2.368 95% CI 1.351 to 4.150, p = .003) in multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis. Among the patients undergoing hemodialysis, the use of antiplatelet agents was associated with a lower risk of re-PTA. Therefore, the use of antiplatelet drugs may reduce the rates of re-PTA and help in maintaining the patency of vascular access.

Outcomes of repeated endoscopic submucosal dissection for superficial Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma on endoscopic resection scar.

Endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) can be performed for superficial esophageal cancer. However, performing ESD for superficial esophageal cancer on a previous endoscopic resection scar may be difficult. We compared the outcomes between ESD for superficial esophageal cancers on previous endoscopic resection scar (group A) and that for naïve lesions (group B). The study included outcomes of ESD, cumulative incidence of local failure, and predictors of the occurrence of local failure in ESD patients with squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). The outcome variables evaluated were en bloc resection rates, procedure times, adverse events, and overall survival rates. Overall, 220 lesions were extracted (groups A and B: 23 and 197 lesions, respectively). In groups A and B, the complete resection rates were 60.9 and 92.9% (P < 0.001), and the mean procedure times were 79 and 68min (P = 0.15), respectively. The perforation rates in groups A and B were 4.3 and 1% (P = 0.28). The 1-year cumulative local failure rates were 22 and 1% (P < 0.001), respectively. In the multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis, superficial esophageal SCC on a previous endoscopic resection scar was a strong predictor of local failure (hazard ratio = 21.95 [3.99-120.80], P < 0.001). The 3-year overall survival rates in groups A and B were 95 and 93% (P = 0.99), respectively. Repeated ESD on scar is an option for treating superficial esophageal SCC with an acceptable rate of adverse events. Because of the low complete resection rate and high local failure compared with conventional ESD, strict endoscopic follow-up is required after repeated esophageal ESD.

Triglyceride-glucose index predicts major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with chronic kidney disease.

Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index has been regarded as a reliable surrogate marker of insulin resistance for predicting cardiovascular outcomes. The current study aimed to explore the associations between TyG index with major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). 13,517 patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) from the Kailuan study were included. Patients were divided into quartiles according to the TyG index. The outcomes were MACE, including acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and ischemic stroke (IS). The association between TyG index and the risk of MACE was analyzed by Cox regression models. During 13.87-year follow-up, a total 1356 MACEs occurred. Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards analyses showed that a higher TyG index quartile was associated with an elevated risk of MACE. TyG index is significantly related to MACE in patients with CKD. TyG index can be regarded as a novel predictor of MACE for patients with CKD.

Exposure to statin therapy decreases the incidence of venous thromboembolism after trauma.

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in trauma patients, despite chemoprophylaxis. Statins have been shown capable of acting upon the endothelium. We hypothesized that statin therapy in the pre- or in-hospital settings leads to a decreased incidence of VTE. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of injured patients who received statin therapy pre- or in-hospital. Adult, highest-level trauma activation patients admitted January 2018 - June 2022 were included. Patients on prehospital anticoagulants, history of inherited bleeding disorder, and who died within the first 24 hours were excluded. Statin users were matched to non-users by statin use indications including age, current heart and cardiovascular conditions and history, hyperlipidemia, injury severity, and body mass index. Time to in-hospital statin initiation and occurrence of VTE and other complications within 60 days were collected. Differences between groups were determined by univariate, multivariable logistic regression, and Cox proportional hazard analyses. Of 3,062 eligible patients, 79 were statin users that were matched to 79 non-users. There were no differences in admissions demographics, vital signs, injury pattern, transfusion volumes, lengths of stay, or mortality between groups. The overall VTE incidence was 10.8% (17/158). Incidence of VTE in statin users was significantly lower (3%) than non-users (19%; P = 0.003). Differences between statin users and non-users were observed for rates of DVT (0% vs 9%), PE (3% vs 15%), and sepsis (0% vs 5%). Exposure to statins was associated with an 82% decreased risk of developing VTE (hazard ratio = 0.18, 95% CI 0.04 - 0.86; P = 0.033). Statin exposure was associated with decline in VTE and lower individual rates of DVT, PE, and sepsis. Our findings indicate that statins should be evaluated further as a possible adjunctive therapy for VTE chemoprophylaxis after traumatic injury. Level III, Retrospective Cohort Study.

Efficacy of Native T1 Mapping for Patients With Non-Ischemic Cardiomyopathy and Ventricular Functional Mitral Regurgitation Undergoing Transcatheter Edge-to-Edge Repair.

We investigated the efficacy of left ventricular (LV) myocardial damage by native T1mapping obtained with cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) for patients undergoing transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (TEER).Methods and Results: We studied 40 symptomatic non-ischemic heart failure (HF) patients and ventricular functional mitral regurgitation (VFMR) undergoing TEER. LV myocardial damage was defined as the native T1Z-score, which was converted from native T1values obtained with CMR. The primary endpoint was defined as HF rehospitalization or cardiovascular death over 12 months after TEER. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that the native T1Z-score was the only independent parameter associated with cardiovascular events (hazard ratio 3.40; 95% confidential interval 1.51-7.67), and that patients with native T1Z-scores <2.41 experienced significantly fewer cardiovascular events than those with native T1Z-scores ≥2.41 (P=0.001). Moreover, the combination of a native T1Z-score <2.41 and more severe VFMR (effective regurgitant orifice area [EROA] ≥0.30 cm2) was associated with fewer cardiovascular events than a native T1Z-score ≥2.41 and less severe VFMR (EROA <0.30 cm2; P=0.002). Assessment of baseline LV myocardial damage based on native T1Z-scores obtained with CMR without gadolinium-based contrast media is a valuable additional parameter for better management of HF patients and VFMR following TEER.

The "Can Do, Do Do" Framework Applied to Assess the Association between Physical Capacity, Physical Activity and Prospective Falls, Subsequent Fractures, and Mortality in Patients Visiting the Fracture Liaison Service.

The "can do, do do" framework combines measures of poor and normal physical capacity (PC, measured by a 6 min walking test, can do/can't do) and physical activity (PA, measured by accelerometer, do do/don't do) into four domains and is able to categorize patient subgroups with distinct clinical characteristics, including fall and fracture risk factors. This study aims to explore the association between domain categorization and prospective fall, fracture, and mortality outcomes. This 6-year prospective study included patients visiting a Fracture Liaison Service with a recent fracture. Outcomes were first fall (at 3 years of follow-up, measured by fall diaries), first subsequent fracture, and mortality (at 6 years). Cumulative incidences of all three outcomes were calculated. The association between domain categorization and time to the three outcomes was assessed by uni- and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis with the "can do, do do" group as reference. The physical performance of 400 patients with a recent fracture was assessed (mean age: 64 years; 70.8% female), of whom 61.5%, 20.3%, and 4.9% sustained a first fall, sustained a subsequent fracture, or had died. Domain categorization using the "can do, do do" framework was not associated with time to first fall, subsequent fracture, or mortality in the multivariate Cox regression analysis for all groups. "Can't do, don't do" group: hazard ratio [HR] for first fall: 0.75 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.45-1.23), first fracture HR: 0.58 (95% CI: 0.24-1.41), and mortality HR: 1.19 (95% CI: 0.54-6.95). Categorizing patients into a two-dimensional framework seems inadequate to study complex, multifactorial outcomes. A personalized approach based on known fall and fracture risk factors might be preferable.

Abstract 5151: High serum kidney injury marker-1 and high baseline tumor PD-L1 protein expression levels are independently associated with treatment effect in adjuvant nivolumab plus ipilimumab vs placebo in localized clear cell renal cell carcinoma

Abstract Introduction: CheckMate 914 (CM-914) Part A is a double-blind, phase III randomized trial of the Nivolumab (NIVO) plus Ipilimumab (IPI) vs placebo (PBO) in localized ccRCC. Our prior report from this study suggested a disease-free survival (DFS) benefit for NIVO+IPI among patients with Fuhrman grade 4, TNM stages PT2a and PT4, or sarcomatoid features, although the sample size was limited. It is known that high circulating KIM-1 is associated with worse DFS after nephrectomy. In this exploratory post hoc analysis, we investigated whether high KIM-1 may help identify a subset of patients who benefit from adjuvant NIVO+IPI. Methods: Patients (n=816) with RCC after nephrectomy were randomized in CM-914 Part A to receive NIVO+IPI or PBO as previously described. Assessment of KIM-1 levels was performed using enzyme linked immunoassay (ELISA) on pre-treatment (n=584) and matched on-treatment blood samples (n=584). We used pre-treatment tumor samples to assess PD-L1% tumor cell expression (%TC) in an PD-L1 IHC 28-8 pharm Dx assay. The association between biomarkers and DFS outcomes was investigated by Kaplan-Meier (KM) and Cox proportional hazards analysis. Results: Median baseline serum KIM-1 level was 102 (9.9 - 1055.7) pg/mL. Serum KIM-1 levels were higher in males vs females, ≥65 yrs vs &amp;lt;65 yrs, Asian vs white patients, and patients with partial vs radical nephrectomy. In the PBO arm, subjects with highest quartile of pre-treatment KIM-1 had significantly worse DFS than those from the three lower quartiles. In contrast, this DFS risk among the subjects within the highest KIM-1 quartile was mitigated with NIVO+IPI treatment. Among patients within the highest quartile of pre-treatment KIM-1, there was trend for better DFS for NIVO+IPI versus PBO, HR=0.6 (0.34-1.04). Increase in KIM-1 during study therapy was positively associated with higher DFS rate in both arms. Multivariable analysis showed that PD-L1 %TC was predictive at predefined PD-L1 cutoffs (&amp;gt;=1%, &amp;gt;=5%, and &amp;gt;=10%), associating with improved DFS compared to placebo. Subjects with high PD-L1 expression had a DFS benefit from NIVO+IPI independent of KIM-1. Conclusion: Circulating KIM-1 and tumor PD-L1 expression may enrich for benefit from IO therapy in adjuvant ccRCC and hence holds promise for informing risk stratification and patient inclusion in neoadjuvant or adjuvant clinical trials. Citation Format: Sai Vikram Vemula, Wenxin Xu, Yu Wang, Xiaowen Liu, Jorge Ruiz de Somocurcio, David McDermott, Jun Li, Rupal Bhatt, Chung-Wei Lee, Burcin Simsek, Saurabh Gupta, Robert Motzer. High serum kidney injury marker-1 and high baseline tumor PD-L1 protein expression levels are independently associated with treatment effect in adjuvant nivolumab plus ipilimumab vs placebo in localized clear cell renal cell carcinoma [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(6_Suppl):Abstract nr 5151.

Abstract 6113: Racial disparity in HER2-positive breast cancer: A single cancer center registry review

Abstract Background: Racial disparity outcomes in HER2-positive breast cancer have been previously described but the literature is limited. We examined data from our cancer center registry to investigate racial disparity in HER2-positive breast cancer. Method: We retrospectively queried patients diagnosed with HER2-positive breast cancer from Houston Methodist Cancer Center registry from 2016 to 2022. Patients’ demographics, cancer staging, treatment and outcomes including recurrence and survival were recorded and analyzed. We used the distressed communities index (DCI), a composite metric of multiple socioeconomic factors based on the patient’s zip code at diagnosis, as a surrogate of socioeconomic status. Multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards analysis were used. A p value &amp;lt;0.05 is considered statistically significant. Results: From 2016 to 2022, 992 patients were retrieved. 58.4% (579/992) patients were White, 17.3% (172/992) black, 16.2% (161/992) Hispanic and 8.1% (80/992) Asian. Although Black and Hispanic patients lived in more distressed communities, Black and Asian patients were diagnosed with more advanced disease. There were no statistically significant differences in neoadjuvant treatment received and pathologic complete response (pCR) rate among racial groups (table 1). Patients with higher stages are more likely to receive neoadjuvant treatment (OR: 5.49 [CI: 3.61-8.49] and 5.59 [CI: 3.15-10.2] for Stage 2 and 3 respectively). ER-HER2+ subtype was the only predictor of achieving pCR (OR: 0.47, CI: 0.29-0.79). Younger age, receiving neoadjuvant treatment and earlier stages were associated with improved all-cause mortality. There were no differences in receiving neoadjuvant treatment between racial groups, DCI; race and DCI are not associated with pCR or all-cause mortality. Conclusion: Our retrospective study from a single institution revealed no significant racial disparities in the treatment and outcome of HER2-positive breast cancers. Table 1. Characteristics of HER2-positive breast cancer in different racial groups Variables Asian, N = 80 Black, N = 172 Spanish, N = 161 White, N = 579 p-value Age (at diagnosis), mean (SD) 54 (13) 54 (12) 53 (13) 57 (13) &amp;lt;0.001 Distressed communities index, mean (SD) 28 (28) 49 (31) 49 (31) 35 (29) &amp;lt;0.001 HER2 subtype 0.7 ER-HER2+ 33/80 (41%) 64/169 (38%) 55/161 (34%) 204/576 (35%) ER+HER2+ 47/80 (59%) 105/169 (62%) 106/161 (66%) 372/576 (65%) Cancer stage 0.010 0 4/80 (5.0%) 4/172 (2.3%) 8/161 (5.0%) 31/579 (5.4%) 1 34/80 (43%) 51/172 (30%) 52/161 (32%) 227/579 (39%) 2 14/80 (18%) 44/172 (26%) 49/161 (30%) 172/579 (30%) 3 12/80 (15%) 30/172 (17%) 23/161 (14%) 52/579 (9.0%) 4 13/80 (16%) 30/172 (17%) 16/161 (9.9%) 63/579 (11%) Unknown 3/80 (3.8%) 13/172 (7.6%) 13/161 (8.1%) 34/579 (5.9%) Received neoadjuvant 0.074 No 31/66 (47%) 68/136 (50%) 54/134 (40%) 263/497 (53%) Yes 35/66 (53%) 68/136 (50%) 80/134 (60%) 234/497 (47%) Complete pathological response 0.9 No 17/35 (49%) 34/70 (49%) 40/75 (53%) 111/230 (48%) Yes 18/35 (51%) 36/70 (51%) 35/75 (47%) 119/230 (52%) Mortality (all cause) 0.052 Alive 76/80 (95%) 150/172 (87%) 147/161 (91%) 540/579 (93%) Dead 4/80 (5.0%) 22/172 (13%) 14/161 (8.7%) 39/579 (6.7%) Citation Format: Alan Hodges, Cornelius Rosenbaum, Claudia Santana, Polly A. Niravath, Hanh Mai, Dharamvir Jain, Jenny C. Chang, Jiaqiong Xu, Kai Sun. Racial disparity in HER2-positive breast cancer: A single cancer center registry review [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(6_Suppl):Abstract nr 6113.

Overexpression of circular RNA hsa_circ_0008621 facilitates colorectal cancer progression and predicts poor prognosis.

To evaluate the potential role of serum and tissue hsa_circ_0008621 as a prognostic biomarker for CRC patients. Focused on the functional role of hsa_circ_0008621 in colorectal cancer (CRC). Serum and tissue hsa_circ_0008621 expression were quantified by qRT-PCR in 157 CRC patients, as well as 100 serums from healthy controls. Serum and tissue hsa_circ_0008621 expression was evaluated for their prognostic role in CRC patients using Kaplan-Meier curves and Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis. To further characterize the biological role of hsa_circ_0008621 expression in CRC, invitro hsa_circ_0008621 inhibition was performed and the effects on cellular growth, migration, invasion, apoptosis, and glycolysis were explored. Next, the downstream molecules for hsa_circ_0008621 were predicted. Hsa_circ_0008621 expression was significantly upregulated in CRC tissues and serums. Serum hsa_circ_0008621 levels were significantly up-regulated in advanced-staged samples. High serum hsa_circ_0008621 expression was associated with shorter overall survival and recurrence-free survival in CRC patients. Multivariate Cox regression analysis identified a high level of serum hsa_circ_0008621 expression as an independent prognostic factor with respect to overall survival and recurrence-free survival. Loss of function assays for hsa_circ_0008621 invitro led to a significant decrease in cell proliferation, migration, invasion, and glycolysis, but an increase in cell apoptosis. Hsa_circ_0008621 can sponge miR-532-5p, which targets SLC16A3. High level of serum hsa_circ_0008621 is associated with poor survival in CRC and promotes CRC progression, suggesting it to be a promising non-invasive prognostic biomarker and novel therapeutic target in CRC patients.

The Natural History of Patients With Pre-Existing and De Novo Inflammatory Bowel Disease After Solid Organ Transplantation: EITOS Study of GETECCU.

Limited data are available on the outcome of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) in patients with solid organ transplantation (SOT). We describe the natural history of pre-existing IBD and de novo IBD after SOT. This was a retrospective, multicenter study that included patients with pre-existing IBD at the time of SOT and patients with de novo IBD after SOT. The primary outcome was IBD progression, defined by escalation of medical treatment, surgical therapy, or hospitalization due to refractory IBD. Risk factors were identified using multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis. A total of 177 patients (106 pre-existing IBD and 71 de novo IBD) were included. Most patients with pre-existing IBD (92.5%) were in remission before SOT. During follow-up, 32% of patients with pre-existing IBD had disease progression, with a median time between SOT and IBD progression of 2.2 (interquartile range, 1.3-4.6) years. In the de novo cohort, 55% of patients had disease progression with a median time to flare of 1.9 (interquartile range, 0.8-3.9) years after diagnosis. In the pre-existing IBD cohort, active IBD at the time of SOT (hazard ratio, 1.80; 95% confidence interval, 1.14-2.84; P = .012) and the presence of extraintestinal manifestations (hazard ratio, 3.10; 95% confidence interval, 1.47-6.54; P = .003) were predictive factors for IBD progression. One-third of patients with pre-existing IBD and about half of patients with de novo IBD have disease progression after SOT. Active IBD at the time of SOT and the presence of extraintestinal manifestations were identified as risk factors for IBD progression.

Prognostic value of red cell distribution width in non-ST elevation myocardial infarction: A cohort study.

Non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) has a higher risk of long-term mortality than ST-elevation myocardial infarction; thus, identifying such high-risk patients is essential. Red cell distribution width (RDW) recently emerged as a strong predictor of mortality in several cardiovascular diseases, however, it is scarcely known whether RDW has a prognostic value in NSTEMI patients, therefore, this study aims to elucidate this issue. 421 consecutive patients with NSTEMI between January 2020 and June 2022 were prospectively enrolled. Patients were divided into 2 groups by the optimal cutoff value of RDW using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves. The optimal cutoff value of RDW for predicting all-cause mortality was 13.4 and the study population was divided into low RDW (≤13.4) and high RDW (>13.4). The primary endpoint of this study was long-term all-cause mortality. The secondary endpoint was the association between RDW and long-term adverse events, including heart failure, gastrointestinal hemorrhage, stroke events, re-infarction rate, cardiovascular mortality, and major adverse cardiovascular events. The association of RDW with the outcome was analyzed by Cox regression analysis. Patients with high RDW tended to be older, had a higher history of previous MI, a higher history of percutaneous coronary intervention, a higher level of neutrophil, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, a lower level of albumin, and a lower level of ejection fraction (all P < .05). During a median follow-up of 720 days (IQR, 534-913 days), the all-cause mortality was significantly higher in the high RDW group than in the low RDW group (24.8% vs 6.3%, P < .001). In the multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, RDW > 13.4 was an independent predictor for long-term all-cause mortality [hazard ratio 3.008; 95% confidence interval 1.005, 9.003, P = .049]. Admission RDW could be used as a new biomarker for predicting long-term mortality in patients with NSTEMI, and high RDW was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality.