Cold Phase Research Articles

Impact of ENSO on the UTLS chemical composition in the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone

The changes in the convection and background dynamics over the Asian Summer Monsoon (ASM) are mainly responsible for the changes in the concentrations of the tropospheric pollutants within the Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone (ASMA). In this study, we have investigated the structural and chemical composition changes of the ASMA during different El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions by making use of reanalysis products and Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS) satellite observations. Our analysis mainly concentrates on the July and August months of 2015 (El Niño) and 2022 (La Niña), which are the cold (Nino Index 3.4 exceeding −0.5 in magnitude throughout the year) and warm (Nino Index exceeding +0.5 in magnitude throughout the year) phase of the ENSO. The ASMA structure during different phases of the ENSO is found to be different when compared with the long-term (2005–2023) mean. The ASMA is found to have a larger zonal extent during La Niña (2022), extending from 20° to 140° E compared to El Niño (2015), which is from 20° to 100–105°E. A significant decrease (increase) in the concentration of the tropospheric species (CO and WV) is noticed within the ASMA in El Niño (La Niña). The decrease in the tropospheric species is clearly evident throughout the upper troposphere. The northeastern edge of the ASMA at 100 hPa and 150 hPa showed quite distinct behaviour with an enhancement (reduction) in the tropospheric species during La Niña (El Niño). Interestingly, there is an increase in O3 concentrations over the northeastern edge of ASMA during 2015, which is attributed to the stratospheric intrusion. Our results also revealed the enhancement of the tropospheric species over the western Pacific region during 2015 but not in 2022. Current findings highlight dynamic shifts linked to varying ENSO phases, leading to notable alterations in both the ASMA structure and Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere (UTLS) chemical composition.

Effect analysis on hydrocarbon adsorption performance of transition metal modified zeolites in the gasoline engine during cold start process using Monte Carlo method

Zeolite molecular sieves are commonly used for adsorption of hydrocarbons(HCs) during cold start phase of gasoline engines. In this work, the adsorption properties of three zeolites modified with three transition metal ions(Fe2+, Cu2+ and Zn2+) were investigated for the HCs adsorption using the Monte Carlo method. Adsorption simulations were carried out with ethylene and propylene as probe molecules or with a mixture of five hydrocarbon and water molecules. The introduction of transition metal cations enhances the local positive electric field within the molecular sieve, enabling it to engage in stronger adsorption interactions with adsorbate molecules, which significantly improves the adsorption performance of the molecular sieve. For single-component adsorption, Zn2+-MFI with a Si/Al ratio of 7 showed the best adsorption of ethylene, with a high adsorption capacity of 149.19 molecules per cell at 298 K, which was 1.47 times higher than that of pure silicon. The enhanced hydrophilicity of the modified zeolite resulted in a substantial increase in the adsorption of water molecules during multicomponent adsorption. The limited adsorption sites and intermolecular competition for adsorption resulted in the occupation of adsorption sites by large hydrocarbons and a decrease in the adsorption of the remaining small molecules.

Synoptic control of the spatiotemporal variability of fog and low clouds under ENSO phenomena along the Chilean coast (17°-36° S)

The northern and central coasts of Chile have an extensive semi-permanent layer of stratocumulus clouds that produce fog on land, a crucial resource for water-stressed areas. This study examines the spatio-temporal variability of fog and low clouds (FLC) across four climatic zones (17°S-36°S) characterized by arid conditions. Our analysis aims to elucidate the relationship between FLC patterns and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon based on 25 years (1998–2022) of GOES satellite images. The variability of FLC shows a marked, although spatially asymmetric, seasonal cycle, with a subtle positive trend in the long-term. Our results suggest that the presence of FLC is controlled by the strength of the thermal inversion (correlation coefficient, r = 0.7), which, in turn, depends on the sea surface temperature (SST) and the subsidence. Specifically, FLC patterns are controlled by SST in the north (r = −0.9) and by subsidence intensity in the south (r = 0.9). Furthermore, our analysis indicates a potential link between ENSO and FLC, which alters the SST-subsidence equilibrium. At 20°S, warm phases of ENSO lead to increased FLC during the summer and decreased FLC during the winter. Conversely, at 30°S, warm phases result in decreased FLC during the summer and increased FLC during the winter. However, during cold phases, this trend is reversed. At 20°S, FLC decreases in summer and increases in winter, while at 30°S, FLC increases in summer and decreases in winter. In summary, our study offers a novel perspective on understanding the large-scale dynamics associated with FLC frequency along the central and northern coasts of Chile, including FLC underlying mechanisms and the long-term influence exerted by ENSO on the phenomenon.

Palaeoenvironmental changes since the last deglaciation recorded at Moon Lake on the Bashang Plateau, northern China: implications for the future sustainability of regional forests

Warming-induced ecological degradation and the continuous shrinking of lakes have been observed in the Bashang Plateau, northern China, leading to the recent demise of cultivated forests. The objective of this paper is to investigate the long-term palaeoenvironmental context of these recent changes through a multi-proxy sediment core analysis at Moon Lake to better understand forest sustainability in the future. The core chronology was determined based on seven accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS) 14C dates and covers the period from 14,000 yr BP to the present. The Moon Lake record reveals four climate stages: (1) a warm and humid period followed by a cold and arid phase corresponding to the Allerod warm period and the Younger Dryas stadial (14,000 to 11,700 yr BP), (2) a relatively warm and humid period (11,700 to 7400 yr BP), (3) a period of fluctuating dry-wet-dry changes (7400 to 4000 yr BP), and (4) a relatively arid period (4000 yr BP to present). Since 1800 yr BP, drought conditions have intensified, and significant warming and drying trends have been observed over the past 500 yr BP. This consistent warming and drying trend over the past few centuries indicate that large-scale afforestation is no longer sustainable in the Bashang region. Coupled with instrumental records of soil drying and water scarcity, our Holocene records of climate change are useful for ecological resource management and sustainable forestry planning in the region.

Why Does Extreme Precipitation Occur in Borneo During Both El Niño and La Niña Winters?

AbstractExtreme precipitation over the Maritime Continent (MC) is not only vital for local livelihoods, but also influences atmospheric circulation in tropical and extra‐tropical regions. The warm (cold) phase of El Niño‐Southern Oscillation usually leads to dry (wet) condition around the MC in boreal winter. This study unravels that extreme precipitation occurs in Borneo during both El Niño and La Niña winters. Extreme precipitation in Borneo is associated with tripole and dipole anomalous vertical motion pattern, respectively, over the MC‐tropical Pacific in El Niño and La Niña years. A parallel analysis reveals that weak precipitation in Borneo in El Niño and La Niña years occurs with dipole and tripole anomalous vertical motion pattern, respectively, over the MC‐tropical Pacific. The amplitude of the equatorial central‐eastern Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies may be a factor in the change of anomalous vertical motion pattern over the MC‐tropical Pacific. Further analysis identifies a tendency of extreme precipitation in late December to early−mid January and weak precipitation in February in Borneo. This suggests a critical role of seasonal change in the eastern equatorial Pacific SST in the occurrence of extreme precipitation in Borneo.

Role of the Indian Ocean basin mode in driving the interdecadal variations of summer precipitation over the East Asian monsoon boundary zone

Abstract. Based on long-term observational and reanalysis datasets from 1901 through 2014, this study investigates the characteristics and physical causes of the interdecadal variations in the summer precipitation over the East Asian monsoon boundary zone (EAMBZ), which is a peculiar domain defined from the perspective of the interplay between climatic systems (i.e., mid-latitude westerly and East Asian summer monsoon). Observational evidence reveals that, similarly to previous studies, the EAMBZ precipitation featured prominent interdecadal fluctuations, e.g., with dry summers during the periods preceding 1927, 1939–1945, 1968–1982, and 1998–2010 and wet summers during the periods of 1928–1938, 1946–1967, and 2011 onwards. Further analyses identify that, amongst the major interdecadal oceanic forcings (e.g., Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and Pacific decadal oscillation), the Indian Ocean basin mode (IOBM) is a significant oceanic forcing responsible for the interdecadal variations of the EAMBZ precipitation, playing an independent and critical modulation role. When the cold phase of the IOBM occurs, an anomalous cyclonic circulation is excited around the northeast corner of the tropical Indian Ocean, which further induces a north-low–south-high meridional seesaw pattern over the Northeast China–subtropical western Pacific (SWP) sector. Such seesaw pattern is conducive to the enhanced EAMBZ precipitation by linking favorable environments for the transportation of water vapor from the SWP and the convergence over the EAMBZ at interdecadal timescales. For this reason, a physical–empirical model for the EAMBZ precipitation is developed in terms of the IOBM cooling. Despite the fact that the extreme summer EAMBZ precipitation cannot be captured by this model, it can still well capture its interdecadal fluctuations and reflect their steady relationship. The key physical pathway connecting the IOBM cooling with the interdecadal variations of the summer EAMBZ precipitation is supported by the numerical results based on the large ensemble experiment and the Indian Ocean pacemaker experiment. Our findings may provide new insights into the understanding of the causes of the interdecadal variations in the summer EAMBZ precipitation, which may favor the long-term policy decision-making for the local hydrometeorological planning.

Extragalactic Magnetism with SOFIA (SALSA Legacy Program). VII. A Tomographic View of Far-infrared and Radio Polarimetric Observations through MHD Simulations of Galaxies

The structure of magnetic fields in galaxies remains poorly constrained, despite the importance of magnetism in the evolution of galaxies. Radio synchrotron and far-infrared (FIR) polarization and polarimetric observations are the best methods to measure galactic scale properties of magnetic fields in galaxies beyond the Milky Way. We use synthetic polarimetric observations of a simulated galaxy to identify and quantify the regions, scales, and interstellar medium (ISM) phases probed at FIR and radio wavelengths. Our studied suite of magnetohydrodynamical cosmological zoom-in simulations features high-resolutions (10 pc full-cell size) and multiple magnetization models. Our synthetic observations have a striking resemblance to those of observed galaxies. We find that the total and polarized radio emission extends to approximately double the altitude above the galactic disk (half-intensity disk thickness of h I radio ∼ h PI radio = 0.23 ± 0.03 kpc) relative to the total FIR and polarized emission that are concentrated in the disk midplane (h I FIR ∼ h PI FIR = 0.11 ± 0.01 kpc). Radio emission traces magnetic fields at scales of ≳300 pc, whereas FIR emission probes magnetic fields at the smallest scales of our simulations. These scales are comparable to our spatial resolution and well below the spatial resolution (<300 pc) of existing FIR polarimetric measurements. Finally, we confirm that synchrotron emission traces a combination of the warm neutral and cold neutral gas phases, whereas FIR emission follows the densest gas in the cold neutral phase in the simulation. These results are independent of the ISM magnetic field strength. The complementarity we measure between radio and FIR wavelengths motivates future multiwavelength polarimetric observations to advance our knowledge of extragalactic magnetism.

The impact of cosmic rays on the interstellar medium and galactic outflows of Milky Way analogues

Abstract During the last decade, cosmological simulations have managed to reproduce realistic and morphologically diverse galaxies, spanning the Hubble sequence. Central to this success was a phenomenological calibration of the few included feedback processes, whilst glossing over higher complexity baryonic physics. This approach diminishes the predictive power of such simulations, preventing to further our understanding of galaxy formation. To tackle this fundamental issue, we investigate the impact of cosmic rays (CRs) and magnetic fields on the interstellar medium (ISM) and the launching of outflows in a cosmological zoom-in simulation of a Milky Way-like galaxy. We find that including CRs decreases the stellar mass of the galaxy by a factor of 10 at high redshift and ∼4 at cosmic noon, leading to a stellar mass to halo mass ratio in good agreement with abundance matching models. Such decrease is caused by two effects: i) a reduction of cold, high-density, star-forming gas, and ii) a larger fraction of SN events exploding at lower densities, where they have a higher impact. SN-injected CRs produce enhanced, multi-phase galactic outflows, which are accelerated by CR pressure gradients in the circumgalactic medium of the galaxy. While the mass budget of these outflows is dominated by the warm ionised gas, warm neutral and cold gas phases contribute significantly at high redshifts. Importantly, our work shows that future JWST observations of galaxies and their multi-phase outflows across cosmic time have the ability to constrain the role of CRs in regulating star formation.

A Numerical Investigation of the Influence of Humid Environments on the Thermal Performance of a Phase Change Thermal Storage Cooling System in Buildings

Phase change thermal energy storage (PCTES) technology has garnered significant attention in addressing thermal management challenges in building HVAC systems. However, the cooling performance of PCTES systems in humid scenarios remains unexplored, which is crucial in subtropical regions, high-humidity underground areas, and densely populated spaces. Taking the mine refuge chamber (MRC) as an example, this study focuses on a passive temperature and humidity control system by employing cold storage phase change plates (PCPs) for 96 h. First, an improved and simplified full-scale numerical model including PCPs and MRC parts is established. Then, the model is validated through the experimental results and solved using a numerical method. Finally, the influence of various factors within the system is investigated and an optimization method involving batch operation is proposed. The results indicate that (1) within 40 h, the use of cold storage PCPs leads to an indoor temperature reduction of 4.8 °C and a 7% decrease in relative humidity; (2) the PCPs show asynchronous states in sensible and latent heat transfer rates; (3) for every 50 additional PCPs, the average indoor temperature increases by 0.6 °C and the relative humidity decreases by 1.5%; (4) implementing batch operation of PCPs ensures that the indoor Heat Index drops by 10 °C, which is vital for human survival. The findings will play a crucial role in the global expansion and application (including geographical and functional aspects) of phase change thermal storage technology.

Intermediate Gas Phases within Turbulent Radiative Mixing Layers

Turbulent radiative mixing layers (TRMLs) occur ubiquitously in astrophysical environments; e.g., TRMLs are prevalent within galactic outflows at the intersections between hot supernovae ejecta and cold molecular clouds. A velocity shear between the rapidly outflowing hot gas and cold clouds drives the Kelvin–Helmholtz instability producing TRMLs, with radiative cooling dominating the heat transfer between the gas phases. Using hydrodynamic simulations, we have modeled TRMLs for a range of overdensities (100, 1000, 3000) applied to cold phase temperatures of 400, 103, and 104 K. The production of an intermediate gas phase at the interface between the hot and cold phases is consistently observed at ∼104 K for molecular clouds, in agreement with larger-scale wind-tunnel simulations.

Early 20th century Southern Hemisphere cooling

Abstract. Global surface air temperature increased by ca. 0.5 °C from the 1900s to the mid-1940s, also known as Early 20th Century Warming (ETCW). However, the ETCW started from a particularly cold phase, peaking in 1908–1911. The cold phase was global but more pronounced in the Southern Hemisphere than in the Northern Hemisphere and most pronounced in the Southern Ocean, raising the question of whether uncertainties in the data might play a role. Here we analyse this period based on reanalysis data and reconstructions, complemented with newly digitised ship data from 1903–1916, as well as land observations. The cooling is seen consistently in different data sets, though with some differences. Results suggest that the cooling was related to a La-Niña-like pattern in the Pacific, a cold tropical and subtropical South Atlantic, a cold extratropical South Pacific, and cool southern midlatitude land areas. The Southern Annular Mode was positive, with a strengthened Amundsen–Bellingshausen seas low, although the spread of the data products is considerable. All results point to a real climatic phenomenon as the cause of this anomaly and not a data artefact. Atmospheric model simulations are able to reproduce temperature and pressure patterns, consistent with a real and perhaps ocean-forced signal. Together with two volcanic eruptions just before and after the 1908–1911 period, the early 1900s provided a cold start into the ETCW.

Interannual Lightning Variability within the TRMM LIS Dataset Using an ENSO Perspective

Abstract The Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) was used to investigate interannual variability of lightning from 1998 to 2014 within the 38°S–38°N range. Previous studies have indicated that the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon is one significant contributor to interannual lightning variability, potentially the dominant mechanism on the global scale. This period of 16 years contained four warm- (El Niño), eight cold- (La Niña), and four neutral-phase ENSO years based on the oceanic Niño index. Large magnitude lightning anomalies were found during the warm phase of ENSO, with mean warm-phase anomalies of &gt;10 flashes (1000 km)−2 min−1 in north-central Africa and Argentina. This includes a +35 flashes (1000 km)−2 min−1 anomaly in Argentina during the 2009 El Niño. In general, large-scale anomalies of thermodynamic properties and upper-atmospheric vertical motion coincided with the lightning anomalies observed in both Africa and South America. The anomaly over north-central Africa, however, was characterized by a 6-week shift in the annual lightning maximum with the warm phase, a result of the more complex environmental response to ENSO over the Sahel. The most consistent ENSO anomalies with appreciable lightning were found in southeastern Africa, northwestern Brazil, central Mexico, and the southern Red Sea. Of these, all but the Mexico region had enhanced lightning with the cold phase and suppressed lightning with the warm phase.

Assessing Argentina's heatwave dynamics (1950–2022): a comprehensive analysis of temporal and spatial variability using ERA5-LAND

Understanding the spatial and temporal variability of heatwaves is crucial for climate change adaptation. This study examines heatwaves in Argentina from 1950 to 2022, analyzing temporal and spatial changes using four metrics: number of events (E), duration (D), mean intensity (MnI), and maximum intensity (MxI). It investigates seasonal variations (Warm and Cold Seasons—CS, WS) and the influence of different phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Data from ERA5-LAND Reanalysis for 2 m daytime (Tx) and nighttime (Tn) temperatures are utilized. Our findings reveal regions with significantly higher heatwave intensities (Tx) in the North, east of Cuyo, west of Centro, and Southern Patagonia. Conversely, significant heatwave intensities (Tn) were observed, particularly in the north of the Litoral and Southern Patagonia. The Andes region (center and north) exhibited significant intensities for Tn. Both D and E exhibited similar significant trends for both Tn and Tx, except for the central zone. During the WS, the North-West and South Patagonia exhibit significant increasing trends for across most metrics. In contrast, during the CS, a higher number of significant increases in the studied metrics were observed in relation to Tx. El Niño amplifies heatwave intensities nationwide, except in Patagonia, where this occurs during the cold phase. In this phase, E and D of events increase in most Argentinian regions, resulting in a decoupling of intensity and duration, which increases in opposite periods. This study contributes to existing research by providing a detailed understanding of heatwave behavior with high spatial resolution.

Deciphering SO2 poisoning mechanisms for passive NOx adsorption: A kinetic modeling approach and development of a high-resistance catalyst

Passive NOx adsorption (PNA) is a promising technology aimed at reducing NOx emissions from vehicles during the cold start phase of the engine. This work investigated the SO2 poisoning mechanism of PNA through a combination of experimental research and kinetic modeling, leading to the development of a novel PNA sample with high resistance to SO2 poisoning. Pd/SSZ-13 samples were synthesized using different drying conditions, revealing that samples dried at room temperature showed lower degradation (10 %) compared to those dried at 80 °C (26 %). Investigation into the degradation revealed that ion-exchanged Pd sites with a hydroxyl group were more resistant to SO2 poisoning than other Pd sites. It is also found that SO2 aids in NOx storage on Pd sites, enhancing the PNA performance. A kinetic model was developed to describe the SO2 poisoning behavior and its influence on NOx storage. The model, which was verified under various conditions, effectively simulated the PNA behavior and SO2 poisoning of Pd/SSZ-13.

Paleoclimatic reconstruction of the Karewa deposits of Kashmir Valley, northwest Himalaya: A review

Plio-Pleistocene sedimentary successions, comprised of fluvio-glacial-lacustrine sediments capped by loess, are widespread in the Kashmir Valley, NW Himalaya, India. These sediments act as a repository of climate records for the past 4.4 Ma suggesting the dominance of southwestern monsoon up to 1.95 Ma and thereafter the dominance of mid-latitude western disturbances in the region. However, the younger strata of the loess-paleosol sequences (LPSs), <200 ka old, and Holocene sediments have been studied for high-resolution climate records compared to older archives because of the contentious chronological issues of the older deposits. Earlier studies revealed moderate climatic conditions from ∼65.8 ± 7.2 ka to 44.3 ± 5.8 ka, followed by periods of extreme dry phases of enhanced wind velocity, coinciding with the last major magnetic inversion. The climatic conditions have produced strong pedogenic signatures on the LPSs during the MIS-3 (∼43–34.7 ± 2.3). The dry arid climate phases recorded during the MIS-2 stage up to ∼14.7 ± 5.4 ka revealed a weak pedogenic alteration and a high amount of CaCO3 accumulation in the loess. Subsequent sporadic alluvial deposition of sediments over the LPSs implies widespread precipitation and glacial melting linked to the onset of the Holocene warming punctuated by dry and cold climate phases corresponding to the Bond events of 0, 3, 4, 5, and 7, which indicated a westerly-dominated climate during the Holocene. This review therefore critically examines existing literature on Karewa deposits in the Kashmir Valley, identifies knowledge gaps, and offers recommendations for future research, emphasizing their paleoclimatic potential for the Quaternary Period.

A marine record of Patagonian ice sheet changes over the past 140,000 years

Terrestrial glacial records from the Patagonian Andes and New Zealand Alps document quasi-synchronous Southern Hemisphere-wide glacier advances during the late Quaternary. However, these records are inherently incomplete. Here, we provide a continuous marine record of western-central Patagonian ice sheet (PIS) extent over a complete glacial-interglacial cycle back into the penultimate glacial (~140 ka). Sediment core MR16-09 PC03, located at 46°S and ~150 km offshore Chile, received high terrestrial sediment and meltwater input when the central PIS extended westward. We use biomarkers, foraminiferal oxygen isotopes, and major elemental data to reconstruct terrestrial sediment and freshwater input related to PIS variations. Our sediment record documents three intervals of general PIS marginal fluctuations, during Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 6 (140 to 135 ka), MIS 4 (~70 to 60 ka), and late MIS 3 to MIS 2 (~40 to 18 ka). These higher terrigenous input intervals occurred during sea-level low stands, when the western PIS covered most of the Chilean fjords, which today retain glaciofluvial sediments. During these intervals, high-amplitude phases of enhanced sediment supply occur at millennial timescales, reflecting increased ice discharge most likely due to a growing PIS. We assign the late MIS 3 to MIS 2 phases and, by inference, older advances to Antarctic cold stages. We conclude that the increased sediment/meltwater release during Southern Hemisphere millennial-scale cold phases was likely related to higher precipitation caused by enhanced westerly winds at the northwestern margin of the PIS. Our records complement terrestrial archives and provide evidence for PIS climate sensitivity.

Modulations of ocean-atmosphere interactions on squid abundance over Southwest Atlantic

Anthropogenic shifts in seas are reshaping fishing trends, with significant implications for aquatic food sources throughout this century. Examining a 21-year abundance dataset of Argentine shortfin squids Illex argentinus paired with a regional oceanic analysis, we noted strong correlations between squid annual abundance and sea surface temperature (SST) in January and February and eddy kinetic energy (EKE) from March to May in the Southwest Atlantic. A deeper analysis revealed combined ocean-atmosphere interactions, pinpointed as the primary mode in a rotated empirical orthogonal function analysis of SST. This pattern produced colder SST and amplified EKE in the surrounding seas, factors crucial for the unique life stages of squids. Future projections from the CMIP6 archive indicated that this ocean-atmosphere pattern, referred to as the Atlantic symmetric pattern, would persist in its cold SST phase, promoting increased squid abundance. However, rising SSTs due to global warming might counteract the abundance gains. Our findings uncover a previously unrecognized link between squids and specific environmental conditions governed by broader ocean-atmosphere interactions in the Southwest Atlantic. Integrating these insights with seasonal and decadal projections can offer invaluable information to stakeholders in squid fisheries and marine conservation under a changing climate.

The Interdecadal Weakening of the Relationship Between Indian Ocean Sea Surface Temperature and Summer Precipitation in Central Asia

AbstractThe close relationship between the Indian Ocean Basin mode (IOBM) and summer precipitation in Central Asia (CA) has been documented in several studies. Nonetheless, this relationship has weakened since the 1990s and varies with the Atlantic Multi‐decadal Oscillation (AMO) phase transition. During the cold phase of the AMO (1970–1998), precipitation in CA was significantly positively correlated with the IOBM. Conversely, during the warm phase of the AMO (1999–2019), this correlation became insignificant. The decrease in the interannual variation in the IOBM resulted in the weakening of the atmospheric heat source variation over the North Indian continent and the south‐north movement of the subtropical westerly jet (SWJ). Along with the southerly SWJ, the IOBM exhibited only a weak positive correlation with precipitation in southern CA after the 1990s. This remarkable contrast in the impact of IOBM during different phases of the AMO offers intriguing possibilities for improving climate prediction in CA.

Interannual Variations of the North Equatorial Current Across the Pacific Ocean

AbstractThe interannual variation of the North Equatorial Current (NEC) across the North Pacific Ocean and the modulation of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) are investigated based on both observations and reduced gravity model experiments. Results reveal that the interannual variation of the NEC is highly related to El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) with unsynchronized variations both in zonal and meridional structure. The tropical and subtropical gyre branches of the NEC (NEC‐S and NEC‐N) behave antiphase variation during El Niño events with the transport of the former being enhanced and the latter being weakened across the Pacific. The NEC axis in the western/eastern Pacific shifts northward/southward during El Niño events, consistent with the meridional shift of the zero‐line of wind stress curl. Model experiments indicate that Rossby waves mainly modulate the NEC near the western boundary and the NEC‐N, while Ekman pumping modulates NEC‐S in the western basin. Meanwhile, the relationship between the interannual variation of the NEC and ENSO events is significantly modulated by different PDO phases. The PDO cold phase favors a much closer connection between the NEC and the Niño 3.4 index. The dynamics lie in that PDO‐related wind stress curl and sea level anomalies are consistent with that of El Niño, favoring the enhanced correlation between NEC and El Niño. The reverse is true for the warm phase. These results will contribute to a better understanding of the behavior of the tropical Pacific Ocean circulation and its role in climate change.

Stable isotopes show Homo sapiens dispersed into cold steppes ~45,000 years ago at Ilsenhöhle in Ranis, Germany

The spread of Homo sapiens into new habitats across Eurasia ~45,000 years ago and the concurrent disappearance of Neanderthals represents a critical evolutionary turnover in our species’ history. ‘Transitional’ technocomplexes, such as the Lincombian–Ranisian–Jerzmanowician (LRJ), characterize the European record during this period but their makers and evolutionary significance have long remained unclear. New evidence from Ilsenhöhle in Ranis, Germany, now provides a secure connection of the LRJ to H. sapiens remains dated to ~45,000 years ago, making it one of the earliest forays of our species to central Europe. Using many stable isotope records of climate produced from 16 serially sampled equid teeth spanning ~12,500 years of LRJ and Upper Palaeolithic human occupation at Ranis, we review the ability of early humans to adapt to different climate and habitat conditions. Results show that cold climates prevailed across LRJ occupations, with a temperature decrease culminating in a pronounced cold excursion at ~45,000–43,000 cal bp. Directly dated H. sapiens remains confirm that humans used the site even during this very cold phase. Together with recent evidence from the Initial Upper Palaeolithic, this demonstrates that humans operated in severe cold conditions during many distinct early dispersals into Europe and suggests pronounced adaptability.