1-year Mortality Research Articles

Mid-term results of a case series on branched xenopericardial roll graft replacement to treat aortic arch/arch graft infection.

We conducted this case series to evaluate the feasibility and mid-term outcomes of orthotopic aortic arch reconstruction using xenopericardial grafts to treat native aortic arch/arch graft infection. Between 2010 and 2023, adopting a multidisciplinary approach, we treated consecutive patients with aortic arch/arch graft infection by orthotopic branched xenopericardial roll graft replacement and tissue filling. The end-points of the study were the graft re-infection, graft-related complications such as pseudoaneurysm formation, thromboembolism, graft stenosis, graft calcification, and death. The subjects were 11 patients (8 men and 3 women) with a median age of 66 (51 to 79, [IQR] 59.0, 70.5) years. Of the 11 patients, 7 underwent preoperative mediastinal irrigation/negative-pressure wound treatment. The 30-day mortality was 0% (0/11 patients), and one patient died in hospital, after 8 months. Aorta-related death occurred in 18.2% (2/11 patients), with both cases developing local recurrence of fungal infection. The remaining 9 patients (81.8%) remained free of re-infection. The estimated 1-, 3-, 5-, and 7-year risk-adjusted survival rates were 91 ± 9%, 81 ± 12%, 58 ± 16%, and 58 ± 16%, respectively. The estimated 1-, 3-, 5-, and 7-year cumulative aorta-related mortality rates were 9 ± 9%, 19 ± 12%, 19 ± 12%, and 19 ± 12%, respectively. Graft-related complications included branch kinking in 1 patient and graft rupture in 1 patient. There were no cases of graft-related thromboembolism or graft calcification. The median follow-up period was 45 (8 to101, [IQR] 36.5, 70.9) months. The longest follow-up period until date of the currently surviving patients is 101 months. Although the xenopericardium appeared to be vulnerable to fungal infection, based on the favorable results obtained, we consider that branched xenopericardial roll graft replacement using a multidisciplinary, staged approach may serve as a useful treatment option for aortic arch/arch graft infection.

Association between estimated pulse wave velocity and the risk of mortality in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective cohort study based on the MIMIC database

BackgroundThe estimated pulse wave velocity (ePWV) is a recently developed, simple and useful tool to measure arterial stiffness and to predict long-term cardiovascular mortality. However, the association of ePWV with mortality risk in patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is unclear. Herein, this study aims to assess the potential prediction value of ePWV on short- and long-term mortality of SAH patients.MethodsData of adult patients with no traumatic SAH were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) III and IV database in this retrospective cohort study. Weighted univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were used to explore the associations of ePWV levels with 30-day mortality and 1-year mortality in SAH patients. The evaluation indexes were hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). In addition, subgroup analyses of age, the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, surgery, atrial fibrillation (AF), renal failure (RF), hepatic diseases, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), sepsis, hypertension, and diabetes mellitus (DM) were also performed.ResultsAmong 1,481 eligible patients, 339 died within 30 days and 435 died within 1 year. After adjusting for covariates, ePWV ≥ 12.10 was associated with higher risk of both 30-day mortality (HR = 1.77, 95%CI: 1.17–2.67) and 1-year mortality (HR = 1.97, 95%CI: 1.36–2.85), compared to ePWV < 10.12. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves showed that compared to single SOFA score, ePWV combined with SOFA score had a relative superior predictive performance on both 30-day mortality and 1-year mortality, with the area under the curves (AUCs) of 0.740 vs. 0.664 and 0.754 vs. 0.658. This positive relationship between ePWV and mortality risk was also found in age ≥ 65 years old, SOFA score < 2, non-surgery, non-hepatic diseases, non-COPD, non-hypertension, non-DM, and sepsis subgroups.ConclusionBaseline ePWV level may have potential prediction value on short- and long-term mortality in SAH patients. However, the application of ePWV in SAH prognosis needs further clarification.

Utilization of SYNTAX Score II for Predictive Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Coronary Artery Disease and Chronic Renal Insufficiency Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

The SYNTAX score II (SS II) has earned widespread recognition for use on individuals with coronary artery disease (CAD) due to its reliable predictions of 4-year all-cause mortality (ACM). This research focuses on substantiating the prognostic significance of using the SS II for patients experiencing concurrent chronic renal insufficiency (CRI) and CAD who have undergone percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). This study retrospectively examined 2468 patients with concurrent CAD and CRI who underwent PCI. Based on their SS II, these participants were sorted into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups and monitored over a median of three years. The evaluation of the predictive precision of different SYNTAX scores for clinical outcomes in patients with CRI after PCI involved using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. These included the standard SS (SS), SS II, clinical SS (CSS), and residual SS (rSS). The primary outcomes were ACM and cardiac mortality (CM), while the secondary outcomes covered major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs), stroke, unplanned revascularization, and myocardial infarction (MI). Higher 5-year cumulative incidences of MACCEs, MI, CM, and ACM were observed significantly in patients in the high SS II category relative to those in the low and medium SS II categories. Multivariable Cox regression analysis confirmed that the SS II independently predicts ACM, CM, MI, and MACCEs as a prognostic marker. Additionally, the analysis of the time-dependent ROC curve demonstrated that the areas under the curve (AUC) for predicting CM and ACM were 0.772 and 0.767, respectively, which are superior to those of other SYNTAX scores (p < 0.05). As an independent predictor, the SS II is notable for its ability to forecast long-term adverse outcomes, including MACCEs, CM, ACM, and MI. For patients with coexisting CAD and CRI undergoing PCI, it provides significantly improved prognostic accuracy for 5-year ACM and CM compared to other SYNTAX scores.

Intervention for impending pathological fractures at proximal femur is associated with lower mortality rates in patients with intermediate-to-high risk according to the Katagiri-New score

BackgroundProphylactic intervention for impending pathological fractures (IF) is associated with improved survival in patients with long-bone metastasis. However, information regarding whether the tumor burden and/or physical status are associated with survival benefits of intervention for IF is lacking.MethodsThis multicenter retrospective study investigated 121 patients who underwent surgery for 63 impending and 58 complete metastatic fractures of the proximal femur between 2008 and 2023. After matching for age, sex, body mass index, and Katagiri-New score, 42 patients with IF were compared with 42 patients with complete pathological fractures. The 1-year mortality rate was considered the primary outcome, and was compared and stratified by risk based on the Katagiri-New score. The 1-year mortality rate was evaluated according to the surgical method in the subgroup analysis of patients with IF.ResultsThe 1-year mortality rate was significantly lower in patients with IF with intermediate-to-high risk(p = 0.04), whereas no difference was observed in patients with low-to-high risk. IF was associated with a significantly higher rate of home discharge (p < 0.01) and improved post-operative ambulatory function (p = 0.07). The subgroup analysis of patients with IF revealed no difference in the survival rate between nailing and hemiarthroplasty.ConclusionPatients with intermediate-to-high risk IF based on the Katagiri-New score had a lower mortality rate than those who underwent surgery for pathological fractures. A higher rate of home discharge was observed in patients with IF. Based on the Katagiri-New score, survival benefits can be obtained from prophylactic intervention for IF of the proximal femur in patients with intermediate-to high-risk.

One-year mortality and associated factors in older hospitalized COVID-19 survivors: a Nationwide Cohort Study in Korea

This study aimed to evaluate the 1-year mortality rate among older patients with COVID-19 discharged from hospital and to identify risk factors associated with this outcome. Using a COVID-19 dataset from the Korean National Health Insurance System, this study’s evaluation period spanned from October 8, 2020, through December 31, 2021. The primary outcome was the 1-year mortality rate following hospital discharge. A logistic regression model was employed for multivariable analysis to estimate the odds ratios for the outcomes, and the Kaplan-Meier method was used to analyze differences in 1-year survival rates. Among the 66,810 COVID-19 patients aged 60 years or older who were hospitalized during the study period, the in-hospital mortality rate was 4.8% (n = 3219). Among the survivors (n = 63,369), the 1-year mortality rate was 4.9% (n = 3093). Non-survivors, compared to survivors, were significantly older (79.2 ± 9.5 vs. 68.9 ± 7.8, P < 0.001) and exhibited a lower rate of COVID-19 vaccination (63.0% vs. 91.7%, P < 0.001). Additionally, non-survivors experienced a higher incidence of organ dysfunction, along with a greater proportion of required mechanical ventilation (14.6% vs. 1.0%, P < 0.001) and extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (4.0% vs. 0.1%, P < 0.001). Multivariable logistic regression analysis identified older age, male sex, cardiovascular disease, immunosuppression, organ dysfunction, illness severity, and corticosteroid use during hospitalization as factors associated with death within 1 year after hospital discharge. However, vaccination was found to have a long-term protective effect against death among COVID-19 survivors. The 1-year mortality rate after hospital discharge for older COVID-19 patients was comparable to the in-hospital mortality rate for these patients in Korea. The long-term mortality rate among hospitalized older COVID-19 patients was influenced by demographic factors and the severity of illness experienced during hospitalization.

Sex Differences in Outcomes After Elective and Acute Aortic Surgery-A Single-Centre Experience over the Last Two Decades.

Background/Objectives: Recent studies show conflicting results regarding sex-related differences in outcomes following aortic surgery. This study primarily evaluated 20-year mortality rates, along with 30-day and one- and five-year rates, and postoperative complications in female and male patients who underwent elective and acute ascending aortic surgery at a tertiary care centre. Methods: This retrospective observational study analysed data from 676 adult patients who underwent ascending aortic surgery in Amsterdam UMC, between January 2001 and December 2020. Descriptive statistics, Fisher's Exact test, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and logistic regression were used to assess differences in mortality rates. Results: Patient characteristics for elective and acute procedures were different. Females were generally older (elective: 69 vs. 62 years, p < 0.001, acute: 70 vs. 62 years, p = 0.002), with smaller body surface area (elective/acute: 1.8 vs. 2.1 m2, p < 0.001), lower preoperative haemoglobin (elective: 8.3 vs. 8.9 mmol/L, p < 0.001, acute: 7.8 vs. 8.4 mmol/L, p < 0.001) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (elective: 64 vs. 91 mL/min, p < 0.001; acute: 67 vs. 83 mL/min, p = 0.004). Females undergoing elective procedures had a lower body mass index (25.0 vs. 26.6 kg/m2, p = 0.006), better left ventricle function (p = 0.048) and higher incidence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (15 vs. 8%, p = 0.032). In elective procedures, the 20-year mortality rate (49% vs. 30%, p < 0.001) was significantly higher in females, especially those under 60 years (OR of 3.158 [1.2-8.6], p = 0.024). Mortality rates up to one year were comparable. Five-year mortality rate (26% vs. 16%, p = 0.027) was higher. Females had longer ventilation times (32% vs. 15%, p < 0.001) and intensive care unit stays (2 vs. 1 days, p = 0.005). For acute procedures, morbidity and mortality rates were comparable between sexes. Conclusions: Females under 60, undergoing elective ascending aortic surgery showed higher long-term all-cause mortality rates. Implementing sex-specific management strategies and extended follow-up could be essential for improving outcomes in this group.

Ventilation Dependency after Cardiac Operation for Infective Endocarditis: Risk Factors and Focus on Preoperative Aortic Regurgitation

Introduction: The investigation was to elucidate predictors of ventilation dependency after cardiac operation for infective endocarditis. Methods: Patients with infective endocarditis undergoing cardiac operation were retrospectively investigated. Mechanical ventilation &gt;72 hours was defined as ventilation dependency after cardiac operation. Results: 896 patients with infective endocarditis who underwent cardiac operation were assigned to group of mechanical ventilation ≤72 h (n = 704) and &gt;72 h (n = 192). Multivariate analyses identified age, interval from symptoms to operation, vegetation size, aortic occlusion length, pump length, intensive care unit (ICU) retention length, serum creatinine before and 24 h after surgery, preoperative and postoperative left ventricular end diastolic dimension (LVEDD), preoperative aortic regurgitation and packed red blood cells to be associated with ventilation dependency after cardiac operation; ventilation dependency is significantly related to prolonged ICU stay (&gt;3 d), 1- and 5-year mortality after cardiac operation. All-time mortality (45.3% versus 5.6%, p &lt; 0.001) of mechanical ventilation &gt;72 h group was higher than that of mechanical ventilation ≤72 h group. A significant positive correlation exists between preoperative aortic regurgitation and ventilation dependency after cardiac operation. A value of preoperative aortic regurgitation &gt;5.25 cm2 was 100% sensitive and 64.6% specific for the diagnosis of ventilation dependency after cardiac operation. Conclusions: We found modifiable risk factors of ventilation dependency after cardiac operation including interval from symptoms to operation, vegetation size, aortic occlusion length, pump length, ICU retention length, serum creatinine before and 24 h after operation, preoperative and postoperative LVEDD, preoperative aortic regurgitation and packed red blood cells and optimization of pre-, peri-, and postoperative factors that can reduce incidence of ventilation dependency, contributing to better short- and long-term outcomes.

Predicting outcomes in patients with exacerbation of COPD requiring mechanical ventilation

BackgroundAcute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) are common and significantly contribute to mortality in patients with COPD. Prognostic scores can assist clinicians in making tailored decisions to manage AECOPD. In the current study, we therefore aimed to evaluate the performance of the Noninvasive Ventilation Outcomes (NIVO) score, originally designed to assess in-ICU mortality, in predicting 1 year mortality and NIV failure in AECOPD.MethodsThis retrospective study analyzed data from patients hospitalized for AECOPD requiring mechanical ventilation between January 1st, 2018, and December 31st, 2022. Mortality was assessed at the end of ICU stay and 1 year after admission, while NIV failure was defined as intubation or death without intubation.ResultsAmong 302 ICU admissions of COPD patients, 190 patients with AECOPD requiring mechanical ventilation were included. Of these, 44 (23%) died in the ICU, 62 out of 184 (34%) failed NIV, and 78 (41%) died within 1 year of admission. Patients who died in ICU or experienced NIV failure had more severe COPD and more impaired blood gas parameters at admission. The NIVO score demonstrated an AUC of 0.68 in predicting 1-year mortality and an AUC of 0.85 in predicting NIV failure. A NIVO score over 7 was associated with higher 1-year mortality and NIV failure (HR of 4.4 [1.8–10.9] and 41.6 [5.6–307.9], respectively).ConclusionBeyond predicting in-ICU mortality, the NIVO-score is a reliable tool in predicting 1-year mortality and NIV failure in AECOPD.

Comparison of outcomes for transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt creation: Viatorr versus Fluency versus a bare stent/Fluency stent combination

PurposeTo compare clinical outcomes of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) created with the single covered-uncovered stent (Viatorr TIPS Endoprosthesis) versus covered stent (Fluency) versus a combination of covered and uncovered stent.Materials and methodsFrom May 2016 and July 2019, a total of 180 liver cirrhosis patients with recurrent variceal bleeding underwent TIPS creation with single covered-uncovered stent (n = 63) or covered stent (n = 41) or a covered and uncovered stent combination (n = 76). Shunt dysfunction, rebleeding, overt hepatic encephalopathy and mortality was estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method and compared with the log-rank test.ResultsThe difference of baseline characteristics among these three groups were not significant. The included patients had a median age of 51 years (IQR 43–61), and 101 (56.1%) were men. The 1-year and 2-year shunt dysfunction rates were 1.6% and 3.2% in the single covered-uncovered stent group, 7.3% and 7.3% in the covered stent group and 5.3% and 6.6% in the combination group, respectively. There was no significant difference among groups [Hazard Ratio (HR) (95%CI): 1 vs 2.29 (0.38 − 13.72) vs 2.10 (0.41 − 10.83); P = 0.913]. No significant differences in the incidence of all-cause rebleeding were observed between the groups at 1 year (Viatorr vs Fluency vs combination: 11.1% vs 17.1% vs 10.5%) as well as 2 years (15.9% vs 17.1% vs 11.8%), with the HR (95%CI) being 1 vs 1.27 (0.5—3.21) vs 0.74 (0.30–1.82); P = 0.475). The 1-year and 2-year incidence of overt hepatic encephalopathy were 30.2% and 30.2% in the single covered-uncovered stent group, 22.0% and 22.0% in the covered stent group and 25.0% and 25.0% in the combination group, respectively. However, there was no significant difference among these three groups (P = 0.402). In addition, there was no significant difference in the 1-year and 2-year mortality (6.3% and 7.9% vs. 4.9% and 9.8% vs. 6.6% and 9.2%, P = 0.606).ConclusionNo significant difference was observed among different stent groups. Fluency covered stent and the generic bare stent/Fluency covered stent was not an unreasonable alternative to the Viatorr stent for TIPS creation.

Three-Year Outcomes Following TAVR in Younger (

Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is an alternative to surgery in patients with severe aortic stenosis, but data are limited on younger, low-risk patients. This analysis compares outcomes in low-surgical-risk patients aged <75 years receiving TAVR versus surgery. The Evolut Low Risk Trial randomized 1414 low-risk patients to treatment with a supra-annular, self-expanding TAVR or surgery. We compared rates of all-cause mortality or disabling stroke, associated clinical outcomes, and bioprosthetic valve performance at 3 years between TAVR and surgery patients aged <75 years. In patients <75 years, 352 were randomized to TAVR and 351 to surgery. Mean age was 69.1±4.0 years (minimum 51 and maximum 74); Society of Thoracic Surgeons Predicted Risk of Mortality was 1.7±0.6%. At 3 years, all-cause mortality or disabling stroke for TAVR was 5.7% and 8.0% for surgery (P=0.241). Although there was no difference between TAVR and surgery in all-cause mortality, the incidence of disabling stroke was lower with TAVR (0.6%) than surgery (2.9%; P=0.019), while surgery was associated with a lower incidence of pacemaker implantation (7.1%) compared with TAVR (21.0%; P<0.001). Valve reintervention rates (TAVR 1.5%, surgery 1.5%, P=0.962) were low in both groups. Valve performance was significantly better with TAVR than surgery with lower mean aortic gradients (P<0.001) and lower rates of severe prosthesis-patient mismatch (P<0.001). Rates of valve thrombosis and endocarditis were similar between groups. There were no significant differences in rates of residual ≥moderate paravalvular regurgitation. Low-risk patients <75 years treated with supra-annular, self-expanding TAVR had comparable 3-year all-cause mortality and lower disabling stroke compared with patients treated with surgery. There was significantly better valve performance in patients treated with TAVR. URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02701283.

Validation of mitochondrial FMN as a predictor for early allograft dysfunction and patient survival measured during hypothermic oxygenated perfusion

Hypothermic oxygenated machine perfusion (HOPE) preconditions liver grafts before transplantation. While beneficial effects on patient outcomes were demonstrated, biomarkers for viability assessment during HOPE are scarce and lack validation. This study aims to validate the predictive potential of perfusate flavin mononucleotide (FMN) during HOPE to enable the implementation of FMN-based assessment into clinical routine and to identify safe organ acceptance thresholds. FMN was measured in perfusate samples of 50 liver grafts at multiple time points. After transplantation, patients were followed up for development of early allograft dysfunction (EAD), transplantation, and 1-year survival. FMN concentrations were significantly higher for grafts that developed EAD at 5 and 60 minutes into HOPE (p = 0.008, p = 0.026). The strongest predictive potential of FMN for EAD was observed at 5 minutes of HOPE with an AUC of 0.744. Similarly, 5-minute FMN was predictive for 1-year mortality (p &lt; 0.001), reaching a remarkable AUC of 0.890. Cutoffs for prediction of EAD (10.6 ng/mL) and early mortality (23.5 ng/mL) were determined and allowed risk stratification of grafts. Particularly, patients receiving low-risk grafts developed EAD in 9% of cases, while all patients survived the first postoperative year. In contrast, high-risk organs developed an incidence of EAD at 62%, accompanied by the necessity of retransplantation in 38% of cases. One-year mortality in the high-risk cohort was 62%. Evaluation of FMN as early as 5 minutes during HOPE allows for risk stratification of liver grafts. Low-risk grafts, according to FMN, display a negligible risk for patients. Yet, high-risk grafts are associated with increased risk for EAD, transplantation, and early mortality and should not be used for transplantation without further assessment.

Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction Change Following Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: Correlates and Association With Prognosis.

The association between left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) change (ΔLVEF) following percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and the long-term mortality rate in patients with coronary artery disease is incompletely investigated. We aimed to assess the impact of PCI on LVEF and the association of ΔLVEF after PCI with the long-term mortality rate. This observational study included 8181 patients with paired angiographic LVEF measurements performed at baseline and 6 to 8 months following the index PCI. ΔLVEF was defined as LVEF measured on the 6- to 8-month angiography minus LVEF measured on the baseline angiography. LVEF change was classified according to the following categories: reduced (ΔLVEF <0), mildly improved (ΔLVEF >0% to <10%) and largely improved (ΔLVEF ≥10%). The primary outcome was the 5-year mortality rate. In patients with baseline LVEF <40%, 40% to <50% and ≥50%, ΔLVEF (median [25th-75th percentiles]) was 6.0% [0.0% to 14.0%], 4.0% [-1.0% to 11.0%] and 0.0% [-4.0% to 3.0%], respectively (P<0.001). In patients with reduced, mildly improved, and largely improved ΔLVEF, the 5-year mortality rate (n=712) was 29.1%, 23.1%, and 16.5%, respectively, in patients with baseline LVEF <40%; 17.0%, 12.2% and 9.8%, respectively, in patients with baseline LVEF 40% to <50%; and 7.8%, 7.1%, and 5.6%, respectively, in patients with baseline LVEF ≥50% (adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.91 [95% CI, 0.86-0.96]; P<0.001) for all-cause death and adjusted (HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.81-0.92]; P<0.001) for cardiac death, calculated for 5% higher ΔLVEF. In patients with coronary artery disease undergoing PCI, improvement of LVEF following PCI was associated with a reduced long-term mortality rate in patients with reduced LVEF but not in patients with preserved LVEF before intervention.

Impact of Perioperative Pulmonary Artery Catheter Use on Clinical Outcomes Following Cardiac Surgery: A Nationwide Cohort Study

BackgroundEvidence on the effectiveness of pulmonary artery catheters (PACs) in cardiac surgery is scarce. Research QuestionDoes perioperative PAC use decrease on 1-year all-cause mortality in patients undergoing cardiac surgery? Study Design and MethodsThis nationwide, population-based cohort study included all adult patients who underwent cardiac surgery in Korea between January 2011 and December 2020 using a Korean health insurance claim database. We compared the primary outcome, the risk of 1-year all-cause mortality, between patients with and without perioperative use of PACs (PAC and no-PAC groups, respectively) using logistic regression analysis after stabilized inverse probability of treatment weighting. A subgroup analysis was performed to determine whether the association varied according to the type of cardiac surgery and institutional case volume. ResultsA total of 61,405 patients were analyzed. The PAC group had a significantly lower risk of 1-year all-cause mortality than that in the no-PAC group (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 0.81; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.76–0.86). In the subgroup analysis, both the type of cardiac surgery and institutional case volume were identified as significant modifiers (all P for interaction<0.001). Specifically, the PAC group had a significantly lower risk of 1-year all-cause mortality following isolated off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (adjusted OR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.48–0.61) compared to the no-PAC group. PAC use was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of 1-year all-cause mortality in the lowest-case volume centers (<100 cases/year; OR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.65–0.76). InterpretationPerioperative use of PACs was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of postoperative 1-year all-cause mortality. This association was predominantly driven by patients who underwent off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting and those who underwent cardiac surgery in less experienced centers.

Handgrip strength as a predictor of 1‑year mortality after hip fracture surgery in the Colombian Andes Mountains.

The aim of this study was to determine the association between low HGS and 1-year mortality in a cohort of older patients over 60years old with fragility hip fractures who underwent surgery in the Colombian Andes Mountains. A total of 126 patients (median age 81years, women 77%) with a fragility hip fracture during 2019-2020 were admitted to a tertiary care hospital. HGS was measured using dynamometry upon admission, and data about sociodemographic, clinical and functional, laboratory, and surgical intervention variables were collected. They were followed up until discharge. Those who survived were contacted by telephone at one, three, and 12months. Bivariate, multivariate, and Kaplan-Meier analyses with survival curves were performed. The prevalence of low HGS in the cohort was 71.4%, and these patients were older, had poorer functional and cognitive status, higher comorbidity, higher surgical risk, time from admission to surgery > 72h, lower hemoglobin and albumin values, and greater intra-hospital mortality at one and three months (all p < 0.01). Mortality at one year in in patients with low HGS was 42.2% and 8.3% in those with normal HGS, with a statistically significant difference (p = 0.000). In the multivariate analysis, low HGS and dependent gait measured by Functional Ambulation Classification (FAC) were the factors affecting postoperative 1-year mortality in older adults with hip fractures. In this study of older people with fragility hip fractures, low HGS and dependent gait were independent predictive markers of 1-year mortality.

Effect of Sarcobesity Index and Body Adipose Tissue Variables on Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing Performance in Colorectal Surgery Setting: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Aims/Background The prognostic significance of body composition variables has become a popular area of research over the recent years. This study aimed to determine whether adipose tissue variables and sarcobesity index measured by computed tomography (CT) could predict cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) performance and long-term mortality in patients undergoing major colorectal surgery. Methods The Strengthening the Reporting of Cohort Studies in Surgery (STROCSS) statement standards were followed to conduct a retrospective cohort study of consecutive patients who had CPET prior to major colorectal surgery between January 2011 and January 2017. Receiver Operating Characteristic curve analysis was conducted to assess the discriminative performances of adipose tissue variables. The association between CT-derived adipose tissue variables (sarcobesity index, visceral adipose tissue, subcutaneous adipose tissue, and total adipose tissue) and CPET performance and mortality were assessed using regression analyses. Results 457 patients were included. Total adipose tissue evaluated via 2-dimensional (2D) and 3-dimensional (3D) approaches predicted oxygen uptake (V̇O2) Rest, V̇O2 anaerobic threshold (AT), ventilatory equivalents for carbon dioxide (V̇E/V̇CO2) AT, ventilatory equivalents for oxygen (V̇E/V̇O2) AT, V̇O2 peak, exercise time, maximum work, peak metabolic equivalents (METS), peak respiratory rate (RER), and peak oxygen pulse. Sarcobesity index (2D and 3D) predicted V̇O2 Rest, V̇O2 AT, V̇E/V̇CO2 AT, V̇O2 peak, maximum work, peak METS, maximum heart rate, and peak RER. Neither total adipose tissue nor sarcobesity index (2D and 3D) predicted 1-year, 3-year, or 5-year mortality. There was no difference in the discriminative performance of adipose tissue variables in predicting mortality. Conclusion The CPET performance may be predicted by radiologically measured adipose tissue variables and sarcobesity index. However, the prognostic value of the variables may not be significant in this setting.

Predicting 30-Day and 1-Year Mortality in Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction (HFpEF).

To develop and compare prediction models for 30-day and 1-year mortality in Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) using EHR data, utilizing both traditional and machine learning (ML) techniques. HFpEF represents 1 in 2 heart failure patients. Predictive models in HFpEF, specifically those derived from electronic health record (EHR) data, are less established. Using MIMIC-IV EHR data from 2008-2019, patients aged ≥ 18 years admitted with a primary diagnosis of HFpEF were identified using ICD-9 and 10 codes. Demographics, vital signs, prior diagnoses, and lab data were extracted. Data was partitioned into 80% training, 20% test sets. Prediction models from seven model classes (Support Vector Classifier (SVC), Logistic Regression, Lasso Regression, Elastic Net, Random Forest, Histogram-based Gradient Boosting Classifier (HGBC), and XGBoost) were developed using various imputation and oversampling techniques with 5-fold cross-validation. Model performance was compared using several metrics, and individual feature importance assessed using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis. Among 3910 hospitalizations for HFpEF, 30-day mortality was 6.3%, and 1-year mortality was 29.2%. Logistic regression performed well for 30-day mortality (Area Under the Receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) 0.83), whereas Random Forest (AUC 0.79) and HGBC (AUC 0.78) for 1-year mortality. Age and NT-proBNP were the strongest predictors in SHAP analyses for both outcomes. Models derived from EHR data can predict mortality after HFpEF hospitalization with comparable performance to models derived from registry or trial data, highlighting the potential for clinical implementation.

Impact of Chronic Hepatitis C Virus on Acute Kidney Injury After Living Donor Liver Transplantation.

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is one of the most common complications after liver transplantation (LT) and can significantly impact outcomes. The presence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection increases the risk of AKI development. However, the impact of HCV on AKI after LT has not been evaluated. The aim of this study was to assess the effect of HCV on AKI development in patients who underwent LT. Between January 2008 and April 2023, 2183 patients who underwent living donor LT (LDLT) were included. Patients were divided into 2 groups based on the presence of chronic HCV infection. We compared LT recipients using the propensity score matching (PSM) method. Factors associated with AKI development were evaluated using multiple logistic regression analysis. In addition, 1-year mortality and graft failure were assessed using a Cox proportional regression model. Among 2183 patients, the incidence of AKI was 59.2%. After PSM, the patients with HCV showed a more frequent development of AKI (71.9% vs 63.9%, P = .026). In multivariate analysis after PSM, HCV was associated with AKI development (odds ratio [OR], 1.53; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-2.20, P = .022), 1-year mortality (Hazard ratio [HR], 1.98; 95% CI, 1.12-3.52, P = .019), and graft failure (HR, 2.12; 95% CI, 1.22-3.69, P = .008). The presence of HCV was associated with increased risk for the development of AKI, 1-year mortality, and graft failure after LT.

Triglyceride-glucose index is associated with all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with alcohol use disorder: a retrospective cohort study

BackgroundThe relationship between Triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and clinical outcomes in patients with alcohol use disorder (AUD) is unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the association between TyG index and all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with AUD.MethodsWe used data from the multi-parameter intelligent monitoring in intensive care IV (MIMIC-IV) database. The patients were equally divided into quartiles. Kaplan–Meier curves were used for survival analysis. The primary endpoint of the study was 28-day mortality, followed by 1-year mortality. We used Cox proportional hazard models to assess the relationship between TyG index and all-cause mortality at different endpoints.ResultsA total of 537 AUD patients were included. Using TyG value as a continuous variable (HR 1.460, 95% CI 1.121–1.903, p = 0.005) and categorical variable (HR 1.447–3.477 from Q2 to Q4, with Q1 as reference), elevated TyG value was significantly associated with increased 28-day mortality. TyG was positively associated with 1-year mortality in AUD patients with an HR of 1.295 (95% CI 1.011–1.659, p = 0.041).ConclusionTyG index is positively associated with different clinical outcomes of critically ill AUD patients.

Endovascular versus open repair of ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms with hostile neck anatomy

ObjectiveAneurysm neck anatomy in ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysms (rAAAs) is often complex, limiting the feasibility of endovascular repair (EVAR). The objective of this study was to compare the outcomes of EVAR and open surgical repair (OSR) for treatment of rAAAs in patients with hostile neck anatomy (HNA). The secondary aim was to review the clinical characteristics and anatomic risk factors predictive of mortality. MethodsA multi-center retrospective review was performed to identify patients with rAAAs and HNA between 2004 and 2021. HNA was defined as infrarenal aortic neck diameter >28 mm, infrarenal neck length <15 mm or angulation >60 degrees. The primary end point was 30-day all-cause mortality. Secondary end points included 90-day, 1-year and 5-year mortality. Preoperative computed tomography was analyzed using an Aquarius workstation. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate survival, and univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to assess variables that influenced survival. Results137 patients with rAAAs and HNA underwent infrarenal EVAR or OSR. Overall mean age was 74 ± 10 years and 72% were male. 85 patients (62%) underwent infrarenal EVAR and 52 (38%) underwent OSR. Mean aneurysm size at the time of rupture was 86 ± 22 mm. Patients who underwent OSR were more likely to present with a higher Garland preoperative risk score (P = .05), have a lower pH (P < .001), lower SBP (P < .001) and higher lactate (P = .005). Patients with an infrarenal neck length <15 mm were more likely to undergo OSR (EVAR 64% vs. OSR 87%, P = .004) and patients with an infrarenal neck angle >60 degrees were more likely to undergo EVAR (60% vs. 39%, P = .01). EVAR was associated with lower 30-day (17% vs. 27%; OR 0.6; 95% CI, 0.3-1.2; P = .14) and 90-day (22% vs. 33%; HR 0.6; 95% CI, 0.3-1.2; P = .17) all-cause mortality, however, this was not statistically significant. The overall median follow-up time was 19 (2-66) months. 1-year survival for EVAR and OSR were 75% and 64% (Log-rank P = .14) and 5-year survival for EVAR and OSR were 65% and 55% (Log-rank P = .28). Hemoglobin (P = .009), increasing calcification score (P = .002) and infrarenal neck length <10 mm (P = .01) were associated with all-cause mortality at 30-days for EVAR on multivariate Cox regression analysis. Lactate (P <.001) was the only variable associated with all-cause mortality at 30-days for OSR on multivariate Cox analysis. ConclusionEarly and long-term survival favored EVAR in comparison to OSR in patients with rAAAs and HNA, however, this was not statistically significant. Calcification of the infrarenal neck and neck length <10 mm were associated with increased 30-day mortality for EVAR while no anatomic variables were specifically associated with 30-day mortality for OSR.

The Abdominal Adiposity Index (A Body Shape Index) Predicts 10-Year All-Cause Mortality in Elderly Active Non-Obese Subjects

Background/Objectives: A Body Shape Index (ABSI), which accounts for waist circumference relative to mass and height, shows a robust association with mortality risk. The present study evaluates the effectiveness of ABSI as a predictor of 10-year all-cause mortality in physically active, non-obese elderly individuals. Methods: This prospective cohort study included 159 volunteers (94 women, aged 60–80 years), recruited in the frame of the “Physical Activity and Nutrition for Great Ageing” (PANGeA) Cross-border Cooperation Program Slovenia–Italy 2007–2013, and followed for 10 years. Baseline characteristics included anthropometric measurements, bioelectrical impedance analysis, and cardiovascular fitness tests (VO2max). Statistical analyses (Cox regression, Kaplan–Meier survival) were conducted to examine the relationship between ABSI and mortality. Results: During the 10-year follow-up, 10 deaths (6.7%) were recorded. ABSI (adjusted for age, smoking, comorbidities, and therapy) was an independent predictor of mortality (hazard ratio = 4.65, p &lt; 0.001). Higher ABSI scores were linked to reduced VO2max (r = −0.190, p = 0.017) and increased systolic blood pressure (r = 0.262, p = 0.001). An ABSI-based predictive model showed strong discriminatory power (AUROC = 0.91). Conclusions: ABSI is a reliable predictor of 10-year mortality in active, non-obese elderly individuals and may improve risk stratification in clinical practice.