Türkiye’de 2030 Yılına Kadar Bina Sektöründeki Enerji Tüketim Tahmini

Abstract

As in the rest of the world, energy consumption is increasing in Turkey as a result of population growth and technological developments. Energy efficiency studies are becoming more and more important for Turkey, which meets more than half of its energy needs from imported sources. When the sectors where energy is consumed intensively are analyzed, it is seen that the share of building sector energy consumption in total energy consumption is approximately 20%. This high rate shows that energy efficiency studies in the building sector will reduce the amount of energy imports and the current account deficit, as well as help to ensure security of supply.
 In this study, Turkey's population, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), number of buildings and the total amount of energy consumed in buildings in the past 20 years are used to estimate how much energy will be consumed in the building sector for the future. Within the scope of the study, how much energy will be consumed in the building sector in Turkey until 2030 is estimated by using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) method in Matlab program. It is calculated that Turkey will consume 37.868 thousand Tons of Oil Equivalent (TOE) of energy in the building sector in 2030. In addition, the importance of energy efficiency studies in the building sector is emphasized.