Research in Demographic Trends – the Regional Aspect

Abstract

Successful social and economic development of the country, including stable economic growth, improving the welfare of the population is impossible in unstable demographic situation. Alongside rather extensive research on demographic topics in our country, most of the present work study is devoted to the study research in of patterns and trends at the country level, and not in the regional aspect. The relevance of the research topic is confirmed by the Decree of the President of the Russian Federation on national development goals (№ 474, 21.07.2020), the first of which is the maintenance of the population, health and well-being of the people, implementation of the national project «Demography», development of various programs to stabilize the demographic situation at the regional level. The main purpose of the study is a comprehensive review of the characteristics of demographic trends in the Samara Region and the study of opportunities for their stabilization. To achieve the stated goal, the tasks were set to conduct a comprehensive statistical analysis of the current regional demographic situation in the Samara Region and its comparative analysis in the regions of Privolzhsky Federal District, identify the causes that provide the transformation of the size and structure of the population, study planned regional documents to stabilize the demographic situation. In the process of studying the demographic situation, the following features of the development of the Samara region were revealed: an increase in demographic burden on the able-bodied population with a simultaneous reduction in its number; negative dynamics in the indicators of population reproduction; pessimistic trend in the formation of the family institution and deformed gender and age structure of the population. The article systematizes the home scientific practice of compiling integral indicators for measuring the demographic situation. The integrated assessment of the demographic situation proposed in the study and its practical application on statistical data from the regions of the Privolzhsky Federal District using a multidimensional non-parametric method confirms the presence of negative trends in the Samara Region. It should be noted that programs aimed at stabilizing the demographic situation are being implemented in the region. At the same time, within the framework of the planned regional demographic policy, it is proposed to take into account a number of measures proposed in the study.