Optimizing aeration efficiency and forecasting dissolved oxygen in brackish water aquaculture: Insights from paddle wheel aerator

Abstract

BackgroundAquaculture relies significantly on effective aeration systems to ensure optimal conditions for aquatic organisms. This 96-day study investigates the dynamic relationship between Oxygen Transfer Rates (OTR) and seasonal variations, with a specific focus on the impact of seasonal dynamics and the placement of paddle wheel aerators. The study recognizes the pivotal role of Total Dissolved Solids (TDS) and Total Suspended Solids (TSS) as key water quality parameters influencing aeration efficiency. MethodologyA series of water circulation experiments were conducted at regular intervals to assess mixing rates, revealing a nuanced trajectory ranging from 27.05 to 14.22 m³/kWh. The study scrutinized the influence of TDS and TSS on these rates. Additionally, water velocity variations, ranging from 0.45 to 1.67 m/s, were examined, highlighting density-dependent changes, particularly evident post four weeks of operation. Oxygen stratification analysis provided insights into deviations in Dissolved Oxygen (DO) concentrations, with particular attention to climatic aberrations. Rigorous statistical analyses, including chi-squared, Pearson correlation, Gaussian distribution checks, and student's t-tests, validated the methodological robustness and data reliability. Significant findingsEmploying a Seasonal Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model, the study achieved a remarkable 97 % accuracy in forecasting DO levels for the subsequent 96 days. Real-time validation, complemented by a Chi-square goodness of fit test, reaffirmed the model's reliability, establishing congruence between observed and forecasted values. This research underscores the critical roles of strategic aerator placement and seasonal considerations in optimizing pond aeration efficiency, providing substantive insights for the sustainable management of aquaculture ecosystems.