Abstract
Abstract. The paper is focused on identifying interlinks between migration growth and economic development indicators. The main idea is to check the statements that migrants move to the countries with high levels of urbanization, high export-import, and budget potential, social, economic, and infrastructural development, high rates of innovations, accessible and effective health care system, financial stability.The previous studies in the sphere of migration were analyzed in detail, and their outcomes became a starting point for selection of the parameters that may affect the net migration growth.
 The paper is designed as quantitative research, based on Fuzzy-Logic Cognitive Maps (FCM) modeling for mapping the most influential parameters of nine systems (concepts) of national economic development and migration growth.
 In this study the matrices of causality and directions of influence of parameters of the nineconceptsand 53 sub-concepts and migration growth were computed, and cognitive maps of causal links between net migration growth and chosen parameters of national development were visualized.
 It was found that the highest level of positive interaction exists between net migration growth and such indicators as «International Tourism», «Income», «Total Government Spending», «Birth rates», «GDP per capita». And negative interactions were found between migration growth and risk of not covering the expenditures of surgical care, including catastrophic non-coverage, and mortality. The recommendations for further improvements of migration policy, social policy and budgeting policy were offered.
 Keywords: migration, net migration growth, national development, fuzzy cognitive maps, FCM modelling, determinants.
 JEL Classification F22, J01, O15
 Formulas: 3; fig.: 11; tabl.: 17; bibl.: 45.
Highlights
The study is preconditioned by the rapid changes in the population in Ukraine, namely the high rate of migration, that coupled with increased technological advances and resources reallocation
The results showed a weak causal relationship between the level of net migration and the concept of «infrastructure development» parameters
The results of cognitive modeling showed that the highest level of positive interaction was found between net migration growth and indicators T7 («Export-import Potential»), PS3, PS5 («Budget Potential»), H12, H14 («Health Care System»), EG1 («Economic Development»)
Summary
The study is preconditioned by the rapid changes in the population in Ukraine, namely the high rate of migration, that coupled with increased technological advances and resources reallocation. Several more tendencies like the rapid rate of urbanization, technology innovations, the gap between regional and country development, and the will to get access to a better quality of life became factors of high migration rates in Ukraine. According to the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) data, more than 68% of Ukrainian cities show a permanent tendency to decrease the rate of economic activity due to the rapid decline of their population [35]. Further decline in Ukraine's population and the outflow of workers, and low attractiveness for immigrants will lead to a decline in consumer demand in the country in the long run, reducing incentives for investment by external stakeholders and negatively affect GDP growth. The migration mitigating isinterconnected with the incentives for overcoming the specified negative tendencies
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